Category: Columnists

  • Stella Oduah: Truly transformational

    Stella Oduah: Truly transformational

    The President Goodluck Jonathan administration has been so dismal and yet receding still that the very thought of it invests one with overwhelming gloom. Especially when you consider what might have been, the enormous potentials and giant leaps Nigeria might have made under steadier hands and a more perspicacious mind. Embroiled in Jonathan’s unremitting inertia, one becomes quick to dismiss him and his pack as a bunch of no-gooders. But that is indeed what it is save for the work of Prof. Bath Nnaji, Power Minister (now chucked out), Inspector General of Police, Mohammed Abubakar and Aviation Minister, Princess Stella Oduah, the surprise candidate.

    Truth be told, we never gave her a chance. Not yours truly, not many Nigerians. It must be something about her beauty – she is too beautiful to be capable of any serious work; many thought. She built a sizeable oil firm, the skeptics are reminded, but they would be quick to dismiss that with something like: this is Nigeria and any beauty with half brain would build Disneyland if she desired; after all isn’t the richest woman in the whole wide world a Nigerian fashion designer? Thus Princess Oduah had her bewitching beauty arrayed against her ab initio.

    Then there was the Neighbour 2 Neighbour (N2N) suv; a seeming cash machine that steam-rolled President Jonathan to power in spite of deadly odds. She was at the helm of this monstrous vehicle which churned out cash faster than any teller machine. The operation – which was what Jonathan’s primary and subsequent election campaign turned out to be – was driven with such palpable tenacity and a tinge of ruthlessness that the result could not have been anything else but what it turned out to be – landslide victory. Princess Oduah is of course remembered as the dowager wearing the steel gloves in those high-wire moments.

    When she was rewarded with the Aviation Ministry top job, there was instantaneous uproar especially from the experts and workers in the industry. We the media joined the lynch mob deploying the rather risqué cliché in classifying her as a square peg in a round hole! Of course job for the boys, sorry, for the girls, was the refrain that rented the air. Perhaps, having lived with the Nigerian culture of appointment as settlement in the past few decades we have grown to expect nothing from our government appointees. Not the least a beautiful and moneyed Princess. She was written off from the first day by many. Including this column, sorry to say.

    But the Princess has turned out to be the soothing revelation of the Jonathan administration. In 18 months she has put up such a sterling performance that had long become extinct in this part of the world. Much used to government propaganda, all the talk about master plan, aviation framework and 8-point road map were just the usual ‘story’ to yours truly as the lady harped upon them early last year. When she embarked on what they called international road show, I was ‘definitely’ sure it was one of those jamborees. What sold me was returning to Owerri Airport after about one year not to find the seedy shed that was the Sam Mbakwe International Cargo Airport (SMICA) totally rebuilt. The SMICA terminal was a miserable structure built over 30 years ago by late Governor Sam Mbakwe through the effort of the people. Today it has taken a major makeover; a heart-lifting and indeed a miraculous transformation.

    The same thing one has witnessed at the General Aviation Terminal (GAT) in Lagos and the domestic terminal at the Nnamdi Azikiwe Airport, Abuja. One hears the same massive overhaul is taking place simultaneously in eight other airports across the country and 11 more are in various stages of work. If the Princess’ feat were just the erection of glitzy structures, one would argue that anyone who had funding could do same. But the change is seems to be deeper and multifaceted which include safety and security issues plus long-term plan of hub status and an aerotropolis initiative. There is also the ‘soft’ project of getting foreign airlines to behave better and give Nigeria her due in bilateral agreements.

    What one finds most remarkable is not the monumental work initiated and executed in such a short period of time but her unhidden passion for her job and the pathos of a great patriot in the face of despoliation and decadence. One would not be ashamed to say that in one’s 25 years of practice, one has not noticed this kind of dedication to duty and zeal to repair and deliver the goods to the people from an appointee.

    Princess Oduah is by far, the most outstanding minister today in the Jonathan team. One would dare wager that if she were the Petroleum Minister, she would have built us refineries and saved Nigeria the shame of importing kerosene from Niger Republic and Ghana; if she were Works Minister, she would have fixed the Benin-Ore highway without feeding us with a whole asphalt of excuses; if she were the Health Minister, she would have almost completed for Nigeria, a world class health tourism complex that would make Nigerians shun Indian and UK hospitals; if she were Education Minister, she would have driven the nine new federal universities to great heights and perhaps started about a dozen Unity Schools; if…

    While most of Stella’s colleague still can’t find their way around their ministry’s complex not to mention drawing up a master plan and road map, she has shown that in spite of a doodling leadership, all it takes is passion, patriotism and drive to turn Nigeria around. If she can turn around a turbulent aviation industry which had been in decay for the past three decades, there is no responsibility she cannot handle, it seems. We hope she would keep up this tempo and don’t get carried away by this initial success.

    YAKOWA AND AZAZI: Now here, now no more: the painful exit of Governor Patrick Yakowa of Kaduna State and former National Security Adviser, Andrew Azazi, reiterates for us the living, two quick lessons. One is that it awakens the realization in us that this minute you are a governor or an NSA and in the next couple of minutes you could become mere ashes. The second point is that if only we realize the unforgiving futility of life we would be more sober, pausing every moment to pay obeisance to life, to the living and to our Maker. May god grant their souls eternal repose. Amen.

    NOTE: this is wishing all our readers a great Christmas and a happy New Year. EXPRESSO goes on vacation till late January.

  • The responsibility of citizenship: The youth in focus (1)

    The responsibility of citizenship: The youth in focus (1)

    On Tuesday, December 18, 2012, an historic event occurred in Ibadan, the political capital of the southwest. A dynamic group of young, upwardly mobile men and women, determined to contribute to the transformation of Oyo State launched a project with the inspiring name, ThinkOyo. I felt humbled and considered it an honour to be invited to deliver the maiden edition of the organisation’s Distinguished Lecture Series. The following is the first installment of the lecture that will appear on this page in the next two to three weeks. I appreciate the organising wizardry of the Steering Committee including Funlola Adesina, Wale Olajide, Biodun Makinde, and Femi Popoola, the incomparable broadcaster who brought back memories.

    I am particularly impressed with the choice of name for the organisation, ThinkOYO. Thinking is one activity that we as a people have not been serious about in this country. But the downside of that neglect of thinking is that we are denying what is our fundamental nature. We are thinking animals. That is what separates us from other animals. It is the ability to think that enables us to appreciate who we are, what we are, and why we are here? Opo ojo lo ti ro ti ile ti fi mu. What makes any of us so special that we were not in the list of those that have been called to the other side of the river? Are we better than those that were called?

    Moreover, it is the deficit of thinking that makes people engage in disreputable activities. Consider the case of a leader who got carried away by the allures of office and misappropriates public funds. He or she might give little thought to the probability, even possibility, of being caught. That is the kind of shallow thinking that gets people into serious trouble. So the name of the organisation that sponsored this event is itself food for thought. And for me, it does the job half way.

    My question then is this: When you think Oyo, what do you think? What ideas run through your mind? What images are presented to your mind’s eyes?

    I hope that what comes to your mind is the enviable tradition of pace-setting in every aspect of social and political life, in adventurism, in culture, in work ethics and pride in the dignity of labour, in entrepreneurship, in political consciousness, and in civic responsibility.

    Oyo indigenes in particular and Yoruba nationals in general have a great heritage to be proud of provided. Consider the origin of the nation. Oranmiyan was the most adventurous of the children of Oduduwa. It was his adventurism that motivated the founding of Oyo and the consolidation of the kingdom of Oyo, making it one of the first empires of note in Africa. That spirit of adventure inspired many of the “first in Africa” achievements that the Western Nigeria was able to claim credit for in the fifties and early sixties.

    That Oyo has always been a pace setter in culture should come as no surprise to anyone. Whether it is material culture production or artistic creativity, our people have led the pack. And when I once privately watched a video of Iku Baba Yeye Oba Lamidi Olayiwola Adeyemi III making a presentation on Yoruba history and culture I found myself literally leaping out of the seat filled with pride and joy in my cultural heritage. Of course the video was promptly circulated among my colleagues who were always eager for good news from the home front.

    Needless to remind ourselves that culture is an identifier. It is what makes us who we are. The major elements of culture include language and religion. Let us grant that the latter is a controversial issue which can take us further afield from our focus here today. It cannot be denied, however, that for various reasons and due to various causes, traditional religion has lost its place as an important aspect of our cultural identification. But not only do we no longer want to identify with traditional religion, we also shy away from names that are otherwise meaningful but have dispensable connection with our past religious identification as Africans or Yoruba.

    What is more disturbing, however, is the place of our mother tongue in our contemporary quest for new identities. The Yoruba language has been an enabler in several respects. First, like other mother tongues, it provides the most effective medium for the education of our children in their formative years as the research has been an unambiguous about the benefits of mother tongue education. Secondly, the richness of Yoruba language is attested to by scholars and the diaspora community has been fascinated by this undeniable property of the language.

    Institutions of higher learning across Yorubaland and the Americas have developed centres for the study of Yoruba. The multiplication of such centres means that there are going to be openings for specialists in Yoruba language and culture in those countries for the foreseeable future. We are going to take advantage of such opportunities for our young ones only if we provide the foundations for the teaching and learning of the language right from the elementary school.

    But it is a damning aspect of our present condition that we have relegated Yoruba language to the back burner of the media for civilised discourse such that middle and upwardly mobile Yoruba are literally banning the speaking of the language in their homes!

    Our work ethics and enterprising spirit is legendary. Our ancestors understood the importance of hard work. They detested laziness and explicitly expressed their disdain for a life of drudgery or thievery. Tal’o fole lomo? We have poems in praise of hard work: Ise loogun ise. Mura sise ore mi. Ise lafi ndeni giga. Ba o ba reni feyinti, bi olee lari. Baa ba reni gbekele a tera mose eni. The emphasis on hard work is not just so you can do well in life if you had no wealthy relatives. They also advise against relying on the prosperity of relatives. Baba re lee lowo lowo, Iya re lee lesin leekan, Boo ba gboju le won, o te tan ni mo so fun o. Iya mbe fomo to ko gbon. Ekun mbe fomo to nsa kiri. Ma fowuro sise ore mi. Mura si se ojo nlo.

    That was the sentiment that underscored our identity and it is what must naturally come to mind when you think Oyo. For when we now reflect on the pace setting achievements, we must bear in mind that everything associated with that era was the result of the highly charged productivity of the populace and the determination of leadership to make a mark, itself born out of the internalisation of the cultural norms that got them inspired in the first place.

    With regard to political consciousness, colonialism cannot claim sole credit for its inception. In any case, politics is the heart and soul of societies. Whether it is the politics of ascension to or abdication from the throne, it’s all politics, if you abstract from the pretentions to spiritual intervention.

     

  • China’s new leader

    ‘The new china leadership would have its hands full with domestic problems of how to meet the rising expectations of its people. To the outsider, China appears a homogenous country, but it is not. People in China’s Tibet, inner Mongolia, and the northeast that are heavily populated by Muslims would be as difficult to control in future as they have been in the past’

    The Chinese Communist party has now elected a new politburo of seven with Xi Jin Ping as the General Secretary and First Commissar of the Armed Forces. In this position, Jin Ping would be Head of State or President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces. His father was one of the leaders of China under Chairman Mao Zedong. In other words, he’s almost a prince of the Communist party. He is known to be a conservative who toes party line and he is far from being a doctrinaire communist. He is a practical politician who is committed to keeping China together and would not brook opposition from anywhere in the country or in the party. He is more relaxed than previous leaders, but beyond this relaxed exterior is an iron will.

    In his public statement, he acknowledged that there is a disconnect between party and people and that members of the party are corrupt and that wealth of the country is not evenly distributed. He committed himself to a prosperous China in which everybody shares in the wealth of the nation. He said very little on foreign policy. He did not say whether he would tighten up the hold on Hong Kong or abandon the policy of one China and two-economic systems in which Hong Kong is allowed to embrace capitalism. In any case, one wonders if China today can really be called a communist state, it seems to us outsiders, that what the Chinese practice is a gerontocratic oligarchy masquerading as a Socialist party. Leadership within the party is arranged by the leaders and the people are just faced with a fait accompli to which they must acquiesce.

    Jin Ping said little also about Taiwan where more than 60 million Chinese have their own democratic government and unlike before have abandoned the pretence of being a nationalist government waiting to cross over to the mainland to take over from the renegade communists. In the past, new leadership in China would routinely make sabre rattling noise about unification of the Chinese people and referred to Taiwan’s leadership as capitalist running dog. It seems the Chinese on the mainland and the island of Taiwan are now too comfortable making money to allow the little matter of politics to interfere in their economic interest. Millions of tourists are going each way between Taiwan and China and there is massive investment of overseas Chinese money including that of Taiwan in the phenomenal economic development of People’s Republic of China. Obviously, Xi Jin Ping would want this to continue.

    The man who does the day-to-day running of China and who would be replacing Premier Wen Jiabao is Li Keqiang. Apart from these two men, there are five other men on the standing committee of the politburo. Not much is known of the seven of them except that they are all mainstream members of the Chinese Communist party.

    What happens in China is of global importance. In another 10 years, it is surmised; China would be the largest economy in the world and would have eclipsed that of the United States. China would still be relatively poor in terms of per capita Income because of its huge population of over 1.3 billion, a fifth of the global population. Whatever happens therefore in China would reverberate all over the world. If the Chinese economy dips it would drag the whole world economy down with it. Already many countries in Africa and Latin America that produce a lot of raw materials are now dependent on the Chinese market and for us in Nigeria, that is dependent on the American market for the sale of crude oil and gas, the Chinese market would increasingly become an alternative because of America’s desire to free itself from the stranglehold of oil exporters, particularly those in the Middle East and I believe including also Nigeria.

    It should now be public knowledge that America is doing everything to free itself from dependence on foreign energy source. Soon, America would be producing as much oil as Saudi Arabia because licenses have been given out for drilling not only in the Gulf of Mexico, but in Alaska and on the Atlantic Coast and America is also producing a lot of oil and gas from shale and tar sands and parallel development is also going on in Mexico and, Canada, the result of which would lead to continental North America being self sufficient in energy. On top of this, America is also unlike Europe, building nuclear power plants which in spite of its recent problems are a clean source of energy. The upshot of all these for us in Africa and Nigeria is that we would increasingly need the Asian market dominated by China and India until such a time when they too become energy self sufficient.

    The new china leadership would have its hands full with domestic problems of how to meet the rising expectations of its people. To the outsider, China appears a homogenous country, but it is not. People in China’s Tibet, inner Mongolia, and the northeast that are heavily populated by Muslims would be as difficult to control in future as they have been in the past; but what would challenge the ability of this new leadership will be in its relations with the United States and Japan; as well as Russia which shares thousands of miles of frontier with China with conflicting claims along the Usuri River area over which they fought a land war in the 70s. It seems China and Russia have agreed to bury the hatchet and to live in peace with one another, but claims over territories are not easily forgotten and this may be causes of conflict and disagreement in the future.

    Resource hungry China is locked in claims over uninhabited islands in the South China sea involving sometimes the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia and even Malaysia; but the most serious conflict of claims is in the North China sea where the Japanese and Chinese are laying claims to the same islands with different names to the Japanese and Chinese. The Americans are also strengthening their pacific fleet and loudly asserting that they are a pacific nation with interest in the pacific. China is building its first aircraft carrier as an indication of its desire for sea power. It is not likely the United States would allow China to humiliate Japan in the ensuing conflicts over these uninhabited Islands and its resource rich territorial waters. Whatever happens, the future of China would not be secure without positive relationship with the United States which today is the largest market for Chinese goods and it is on this market that Chinese prosperity depends for now. The Chinese are also the largest holders of American bonds and because of this, America is beholden to the Chinese. In other words, there is a symbiotic relationship between America and China. Which means the future of the world would depend on a bipolar relationship between China and the United States, but for years to come, the United States would have an edge over China in terms of power and ability to deploy and project it.

  • Death so cruel

    One of the mysteries of life is death, which is a debt all human beings must pay. It is certain that all of us will die, but we don’t know when and where we will die. The rich will die and the poor will die. Only the almighty God can unravel the mystery of death, but we don’t know His number in order to call Him for the fine details about why people die; when they will die and where. Nobody has the key to unlock this mystery other than Him. Another thing about death is that it does not operate on the basis of age. It does not matter whether you are young or old when it comes it does not bother about age.

    This is why death will take the son and leave the father or take an older person and leave his younger sibling. Nobody can understand this mystery. All we know is that we will die. So we prepare for this inevitability as soon as we wake up everyday. Each day that we spend in life we count as bonus. Deep down inside us we know that death is lurking around somewhere. As we survive each day we pray that the end should not come soon. We pray to live long, but each day that we live brings us nearer to the grave. We are all afraid of death no matter what we say at times.

    But why should we be afraid of death when we know that it is an inevitable end that will come when it will come? We are probably afraid of death because we don’t know why we die or where we are going to after our death. Some will say when we die we go to heaven or hell. This is a spiritual belief which some people don’t buy into. If we can help it many of us won’t like to die. We want to live as long as Methusela, who according to the Bible, lived for 969 years, a no-mean feat. In this present age and time, none of us can live that long, except God wills it. These days, we have people living up to 150 years and a little above that before they die, yet it is still a far cry from the 969 years that Methusela lived.

    Even at over 100 years, people still don’t want to die, if they can help it. At the smell of danger we run for dear live despite our common complaints that things are not well with the country. If things are that bad, it should be expected that those grumbling about hard time, would be ready to quit the stages. You will be making a mistake if you think like that. Despite their loud complaints, such people are not ready to die. They are ready to continue to endure until ‘’things get better”. Nobody knows when things will get better, but we are ready to wait, no matter how long for the tide to turn in our favour.

    The good man dies and the bad man dies. But at the passage of each of them the difference is clear. When the good man dies, the people mourn as in the case of the late Chief MKO Abiola and when the bad man dies, the people rejoice as in the case of the late Gen Sani Abacha. I am not mocking Abacha in death. No, far from it. How can I do that when I know that sooner or later I will also die? No man should rejoice at the death of his fellow man because we don’t know how, when or what will kill those left behind. The people rejoiced over Abacha’s death because they perceived him as an extremely wicked person. If given the chance many would have stoned him to death before he fell to the grim reaper in his secluded fortress in Aso Rock.

    There is a lesson in the death of the good man and the bad man for those alive. The moral in it is that we should live our lives in such a way that when the end comes, people will celebrate and not mock us either in public or in the secret confines of their homes. It was Mark Antony, who said in Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar that ‘’the evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones’’. If as noble as Caesar was, his good deeds were overlooked by the conspirators who killed him, what then do we expect to happen to the evil-minded ones in our midst. Life is a stage on which we play our part and leave when the time comes, yielding space to the next actor. Shakespeare put it succintly in his play As you like it : ‘’All the world’s a stage, and all men and women merely players, they have their exits and their entrances; and one man in his time plays many parts, his acts being seven ages…’’

    Yes, we play many parts in life, but I am not so sure that all of us complete the seven ages mentioned by Shakespeare before we bow out. Whether we like it or not, at whatever of the ages death meets us we have no choice than to leave. For former Kaduna State Governor Patrick Yakowa, erstwhile National Security Adviser (NSA) Gen Andrew Azazi, Dauda Tsoho, Commander Muritala Daba, Lt Adeyemi Sowole and Warrant Officer (WO) Mohammed Kamal, the end came last Saturday. Ironically, they were returning from a funeral when they were killed in an helicopter crash. None of them knew that the end would come when it came. They probably had many plans for themselves and their families. This is the thing about death; it disrupts man-made plans, turning things upside down for those left by the deceased.

    Yakowa was a governor. He

    hadtheburdenof

    shoulderingthe responsibilities of a volatile state like Kaduna. He was discharging these responsibilities to the best of his ability before death came in the dense terrain of Okoroba in Ogbia Local Government Area of Bayelsa State. Yakowa was a quiet and unassuming man who did his job without fuss. He was gentle, humble and humane. He wasn’t your archetypal governor who entered a gathering with the kind of noise that some of our governors are known for. If you are not told you will not know that he is a governor if you are meeting him for the first time. Why should such a man die, you may want to ask? This is where God shows His awesomeness. He does what He wishes at any time He likes.

    He is the one who has the power of life and death and the way He chooses to use the power cannot be queried by us His creations. It is sad that death does not distinguish between a good and a bad man because if it does it will not take the good guys and leave the bad ones. Yakowa was such a good man that you start to imagine if really he was a politician. But he was; it’s just that he didn’t allow himself to be carried away by politics of the Nigerian variant. He played politics as a polished and urbane man. The death of men like him in the kind of circumstances that he died can shake men’s faith. But for the discerning mind, there is no better time than this to move closer to God. What has happened has happened. It is something that cannot be helped. So, we must accept fate. As the Bible says : ‘’Man is like a breath, his days are like a fleeting shadow’’.

    No matter how painful the death of Yakowa, his friend, Tsoho, Gen Azazi, Commander Daba, Lt Sowole and WO Kamal is, the truth is we cannot bring them back. It is painful and sad that we lost these patriots in such circumstance. But the fact remains that if they were destined to die that day they would have left us irrespective of wherever they might have been. The Lord gave and the Lord has taken; who are we to query the Lord. To die in the course of sharing in the grief of your fellow man, as these men did, is not to die in vain. We will always remember them for this last good deed to humanity. May their souls rest in peace.

  • Nigeria to borrow more

    Nigeria to borrow more

    Nigeria’s foreign debt stock is beginning to rise again. Currently, the total debt stock is about $15 billion. But the Minister of Finance, Mrs. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, announced recently that Nigeria is seeking about $7 billion new loans, of which nearly half are loans requested by some of the states governments. Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala said the foreign loans were required to finance much- needed investment in physical infrastructure, particularly in the woeful power sector that has become a national nightmare and embarrassment.

    The objective domestic economic and financial environment for the proposed loan is quite propitious. Over time, Nigeria has achieved relative macroeconomic stability. Though still rising, inflation is relatively modest. The naira exchange rate is more stable. The foreign reserves are quite healthy to the extent that Nigeria has, under the Sovereign Wealth Fund, placed $1 billion in the international finance market for lending to other international borrowers. At an estimated annual average of 7 per cent, the economic growth rate is quite impressive. It is one of the highest in Africa. But it is fuelled largely by the record increase in oil prices and incomes. Not by non-oil exports. With the rise in oil prices and healthy foreign reserves, Nigeria’s balance of payments is in order. Nigeria can meet its import bill without much strain. International confidence in the Nigerian economy has been restored. Lenders, both bilateral and multilateral, are more willing to lend to Nigeria now, in the belief that, unlike in the early 1980s when Nigeria ran into balance of payments disequilibrium, it is now in a better position to repay its foreign loan without too much hassle. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria is currently one of the highest in Africa, surpassing that of South Africa, still Africa’s largest economy. So, based on the existing health of the domestic economy, it is possible to argue as the Minister of Finance has done with some conviction that now is the time for Nigeria to borrow externally to meet its investment gap of nearly $10 billion annually.

    However, despite these seemingly positive factors, some legitimate questions should be asked by the public about these planned foreign loans. First, have both the federal and states governments really identified the infrastructure projects to be financed by these foreign loans? Second, are the loans project-specific, and will they be used for the purpose intended? Third, do we really have the managerial and technical capacity to manage such huge foreign loans? Fourth, are these new loans sustainable in the long run? Can they be repaid without too much stress on the domestic economic and economic growth?

    If Nigeria’s past record in managing foreign loans is any guide at all, we are likely to come to the sad conclusion that we have failed to use foreign loans wisely. By the time the Shagari government was overthrown in 1983 by the military, Nigeria’s foreign debt stood at over $40 billion. It could no longer service the loan. Technically, it was in default on its debt servicing which was several times above its average annual GNP. But there was really very little to show for the massive borrowing. The infrastructure, for which the loans were obtained, continued to deteriorate. But like the captain of a sinking ship the Shagari government continued to assure the public that all was well with the economy. It borrowed more and more.

    But the overwhelming evidence is that the foreign loans were simply frittered away and diverted into private pockets. The nation hardly benefited from them. The loans, or at least some of it, had to be repaid. Some financial relief was granted with the writing down of some $18 billion of the repayable loan. It was Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala who, during the Obasanjo administration, arranged the bail out. Now, she is the one seeking new loans for the Jonathan government. But even then, the burden of the financial mess into which the country got itself, fell on the poor, who had to suffer the inevitable cuts in social spending involved in the ensuing economic reform programme. Even today, nearly thirty years later, we have not yet fully recovered from the economic and financial consequences of the structural adjustment programme. Jobs lost have not been recovered. Investments in the social sector have declined sharply, lower than the levels in the 1970s. Investments in education and health have continued to fall.

    If past experience is any guide, then we have to contend with the real possibility that some of the loans will again end up in private pockets. Given the widespread corruption in the public sector, some of the loans will, as usual, be frittered away by the bureaucrats and ministers. Even the Finance Minister is in no position to monitor the use of the loan once it is released to the executing agencies. Foreign lenders do not have the ability, or even obligation, of ensuring that borrowing countries will use the loans granted them honestly and prudently. No matter what happens they will get their loans back, with the due interest. In fact, it is often the case that foreign lenders connive with borrowers from the poor countries in diverting the loans to private pockets. So, there is little or no pressure from the foreign borrowers to ensure fiscal discipline in spending by the borrowers.

    We currently run a budget deficit at all levels of government in the country. The federal deficit is about a third of the entire budget. The domestic debt stock has increased hugely, putting pressure on lending to the business sector. Even then, the rate of implementation of the vast federal budget is barely 60 per cent. It is probably even less. The situation in the states is not much better. Very few of them are financially viable. There is very little to suggest that the proposed loans will fare any better in terms of the implementation of the projects for which we are borrowing. Some of these new loans will go towards funding the overblown public administration. Estimates of this vary from 50 per cent to over 70 per cent of the total budget. The jobs expected from new investment in the economy have not materialised. It is by no means certain that these new loans will generate more jobs in the economy.

    All governments like to spend and borrow money. But as we have seen even in some of the rich countries, such as Greece, Spain, and Italy, or even the United States, the biggest foreign debtor, most of this lending goes towards public consumption, rather than productive investment in the economy. The fiscal responsibility act should include a ceiling on foreign borrowing. We must also contend with the vagaries in the oil sector. The medium to long term forecast is that oil prices will fall, particularly when the United States, the largest importer of Nigerian crude oil, achieves self sufficiency in domestic oil production and consumption. By 2020, it could be a net exporter of oil. This huge oil market will be lost to Nigeria.

    In the circumstances, the federal and states governments government should borrow less, and generate more revenue internally. Due to poor and ineffective tax administration in the country, the rich hardly pay any tax at all. When they pay, it is far less than they should pay. Public corruption must be curbed. The scam over the so-called oil subsidy must be brought to an end. If there is any subsidy at all, this should be fully established. The proposed expenditure of N2 billion on a new banquet hall in the Presidency, and another N7 billion for a new residence for the vice president, are wasteful. It should be reviewed urgently. When obtained, the foreign loans should be utilised more judiciously in the productive sectors of the economy, so as to avoid the situation in which the country found itself in the 1980s when its huge foreign debt became unsustainable. We must not fall into another foreign debt trap.

  • 2012, year Jonathan chose pdp over Nigerians

    2012, year Jonathan chose pdp over Nigerians

    ‘It was a lonely year for the president.  His dear Dame  Patience needed  for support after every day of governing Nigeria which is in itself war, spent part of the year in a German hospital for food poisoning while the  restless  Nigerian  journalists, always in search of tragedies, speculated about the worst’

    The outgoing year 2012 will probably rank as the most testing period of Jonathan’s presidency. The anniversary of January 1, the day his detractors claimed he declared war on Nigerians that gave him a landslide victory is approaching. And these detractors are many. Those who had warned if we voted Jonathan, he would sell the nation to PDP, those of us who harassed him every week for allowing the PDP that Nigerians never voted for to hijack his government, civil society groups, labour unions, students, unemployed graduates, N18, 000 minimum wage agitators and elder-statesmen whose demonstration in support of poor Nigerians had to be cut short by the police.

    To this long list, we can also add university teachers especially those of the University of Lagos that put the president in his place over his attempt to rename their university, one of the few internationally recognized Nigerian brands, Moshood Abiola University (MAU).

    Also in our group of President Jonathan bashing are civil society groups, opposition parties led by ACN publicity secretary who would criticize the president when his wife failed to dress to his (publicity secretary) taste. We also have Tunde Bakare, the pastor with a caustic tongue who had been questioned more than once by the secret police for abusing the pulpit. Of course, we also have the president’s number one sworn enemy, General Muhammadu Buhari who daily invokes images of blood and death in the midst of daily flow of blood of innocent Nigerians whose lives were cut short by those who seem to kill for fun.

    We can also add to the list, the National Assembly especially the lower house which threatened to impeach the president for shoddy implementation of the 2011 budget. Curiously among those who gave President Jonathan nightmares within the year is ex-President Obasanjo, his godfather. Long after the president had said he was neither Pharaoh or a military General, General Obasanjo insisted Jonathan ought to have toed his line by leveling up a large portion of north eastern part of Nigeria to teach those who harbour troublesome children a hard lesson just as he did to the people of Odi in Delta and elsewhere in Benue State. Obasanjo was not done. He said the president was weak on corruption, thereby confirming what other detractors of President Jonathan have been saying.

    It was a lonely year for the president. His dear Dame Patience needed for support after every day of governing Nigeria which is in itself war, spent part of the year in a German hospital for food poisoning while the restless Nigerian journalists, always in search of tragedies, speculated about the worst. But God was and is still on the throne for a president fervently remembered in daily prayers by jet age prosperity prophets. Speculating journalists and others with morbid thoughts were shamed by triumphant return of Dame Patience Jonathan destined to enjoy the fruits of her labour as a newly promoted permanent secretary, in Bayelsa State.

    For succour and support, in the absence of his wife, the president was left with his information crew made up of the information minister who had to be cautioned by the National Assembly for his over enthusiasm . We have Dr Reuben Abati, who was doing what he knows how to do best, mesmerizing with beautiful prose about ‘the president Jonathan they don’t know’. Of course, Dr Doyin Okupe was always there for the president. He defended him vociferously on the attempted change of Unilag name to MAU and the CBN governor’s failed attempt to introduce N5, 000 naira bill.

    It was also Okupe, the self styled president ‘attack lion’ who was to later call the attention of the detractors to President Jonathan’s daring act of sending the son of his party chairman for probe on account of his alleged involvement in fuel subsidy scam. For a president who according to Okupe still has political ambition, it was an act of courage rare among Nigerian politicians especially the PDP breed.

    Now we have been told that the case currently before an Ikeja High Court, has been ‘adjourned till January 30, 2013 to enable Mahmud Tukur, son of the national chairman of the PDP and his co-accused, Abdullahi Alao, the son of Ibadan-based business man, Abdulazeez Arisekola-Alao, Alex Ochonogor, and Eterna Oil and Gas Plc. to settle the N1.8bn subsidy fraud charge preferred against them by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC)’. But can the president really dictate to the judiciary? I don’t think so, except it has to do with a Justice Salami who ruled against PDP indicted ex-governors who stole their opponents’ mandates.

    But this is a year the president cannot wait to end because of other unresolved issues that have continued to haunt him. The president had been stampeded by PDP buccaneers, to remove what everyone except his ministers and those he himself described as ‘oil cabals’ said was a phantom subsidy on January 1. He had ignored the National Assembly demand for the “publication of the list of the beneficiaries of past fuel subsidy and presentation of facts and figures on the true picture of the subsidy”. The lower house subsequently set up an ad hoc committee to probe the fuel subsidy regime covering three years 2009 -2011. The actual budget expenditure on subsidy for both petrol and kerosene was found to be N261.1b in 2006, N278.8b in 2007 and N346.7b in 2008

    We were also told the actual budget expenditure on subsidy for both petrol and kerosene was tolerable when five companies including NNPC were involved. Bare faced stealing only set in after PDP increased the number to 140 marketers. The president has not told us why we still need about 115 marketers if the names of the 25 the government claimed soiled their hands are removed.

    Based on estimated daily consumption of petrol by Nigerians at 31.5 million litres while that of Kerosene is nine million as against other incoherent figures fraudulently bandied around by relevant government officers, the House ad hoc committee proposed a budget of N806.766billion for the 2012 fiscal year for payment of subsidy on petrol and Kerosene. The president is yet to tell us why that figure is now going up to N1.2trillion. Is it that average daily consumption of products that is not available has gone up or that our epileptic four refineries have finally packed up.?

    The president promised to build three refineries in Bayelsa, Kogi and Lagos. The one in Lagos was to produce 200,000 barrels a day and Kogi 100,000 while the planned Balyesa Greenfield Refinery to be built in partnership with the China State Construction Engineering Corporation, according to the NNPC Group Executive Director, Engineering and Technology, Mr. Billy Agha, would create 7,000 job opportunities. The president needs to tell us why we are not making progress in this regard.

    It is only chest-beating economist like Sanusi, the CBN governor who would argue about throwing people out of jobs in the banking sector and the bureaucracy when America is trying to put everybody back to job will guarantee development. If America is subsidizing American car manufacturers to keep workers on their jobs, we are better off losing N1.2 trillion as subsidy to support refineries, energy or even the agricultural sector if such efforts will create jobs for our teaming youths currently embarking on a journey of no return of second slavery to Europe and America. Sanusi and Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala are only obsessed with economic growth long after America Brazil and other parts of the world have shifted attention to human development.

  • Sir Patrick Yakowa (1948 -2012)

    Sir Patrick Yakowa (1948 -2012)

    Sir Patrick Ibrahim Yakowa, who died tragically in a helicopter crash last Saturday in the creeks of Bayelsa State, was a good man. I first met him in 1971 through Mr. Aboki Galadima, his childhood friend who was to become his chief of staff as governor of Kaduna State. I was Galadima’s “fag” as a third year student in Government College, Bida, where he came to do his Higher School Certificate (HSC) from Government Secondary School, Abuja, both in Niger State.

    When I first met Yakowa, himself and Galadima were undergraduates at Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria. I was a “Basico” (student of then two-year-old School of Basic Studies of the university established jointly by the then six northern states to prepare secondary students from the region for direct admission). When we first met the man struck me as nice and somewhat withdrawn. Thereafter our paths hardly crossed until he graduated the following year to embark upon a successful career as a civil servant which culminated in his brief stint as permanent secretary at the federal level in 1999.

    I got to know him a little bit more when General Abubakar Abdulsalami, the military head of state I served as chief press secretary in 1998/’99, appointed him a minister. This, apparently, was to change his career as a technocrat into an even more successful one in politics. Even then few, if any, could’ve predicted he would end up as governor of his state, once considered the bellwether of Nigeria’s politics as capital of the old powerful North.

    But then God, as they say, moves in mysterious ways. First, Mr Steven Shekari, Governor Ahmed Mohammed Makarfi’s deputy who looked as fit as fiddle, died suddenly in 2005 during the governor’s second and final term. Makarfi replaced Shekari with Yakowa, then the secretary of his government.

    Next, Makarfi’s handpicked successor, Architect Namadi Sambo, retained him as deputy after he and a host of others, including the possibly better connected and certainly more politically ambitious Mr. Isaiah Balat, now being touted as possibly the next deputy governor of the state, lost out in the 2007 primaries of the ruling Peoples’ Democratic Party.

    Next, God’s mysterious hands took away President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua in May 2010 after a long-drawn illness during which attempts were made by many within his kitchen cabinet to stop his deputy, Goodluck Jonathan, from acting.

    The sad death resolved the high wire politics that surrounded his illness in favour of Jonathan through the invocation of a little heard of “Doctrine of Necessity” by the Senate. As president his choice of a deputy eventually fell on Governor Sambo. By constitutional progression Yakowa became governor.

    Finally after serving out Sambo’s first term, he predictably won his party’s ticket for the 2011 governorship election and went on, again predictably, to win the election itself. The election proved highly divisive, with the opposition, mainly the CPC, alleging that it was massively rigged.

    As a person Yakowa was a good man. As a politician I am not so sure he was as good. Many, even within his party, had accused him of being highly partisan in his appointments, award of contracts and distribution of projects.

    Last Monday, when I was at my vendor’s to collect my complimentary newspapers and buy others for the day, I overheard a group discussing his tragic death. Uninvited, I offered that he was a good and fair man. Someone in the group disagreed. The Yakowa I knew, he said, was not the same as a governor.

    The man said he was a senior staff in the state’s ministry of education. Before Yakowa, he said, they had eight directors split equally between the Muslim dominated northern part of the state and the Christian dominated south. Since then, he said, the directors had increased to 11 and only two were from the north. Worse still, he said, some of these new directors had neither the requisite skill nor experience. This pattern, he said, was replicated in almost everything the man did, regardless of the impression he tried to create that he was a fair man.

    This claim was perhaps exaggerated, perhaps even false. What cannot be denied, however, is that as a Nigerian politician, he was hardly different from the rest in his determination to get and retain power. This much was obvious in the recently concluded local government elections where the ruling party won an incredible 22 out of 23 local governments. Even the one local government, Kaduna North, which was conceded to the opposition seemed aimed at portraying the governor’s former boss, Vice-President Sambo, with whom he never really had any cordial relationship, as someone no longer of any consequence in the politics of the state; although Sambo is from Zaria, he has lived all his adult life in Kaduna North.

    Whatever may have been his shortcoming as a politician, the one thing I have never heard anyone accuse him of is venality and self-service. Nor have I heard anyone accuse him of lack of humility. In a nation like ours where corruption, selfishness and arrogance have become the main defining characters of its public figures, especially its politicians, Yakowa’s apparent personal integrity and humility made him a rare breed politician.

    Not least of the virtues that recommended him as rare was his apparent disavowal of the First Lady Syndrome, a thing which is not bad in itself but which, as with so many things we copy from abroad, has been turned by the wives of our elected public officers into a sophisticated grand scam. The greater credit for this must go to his wife, Dame Amina, who is probably the most self-effacing First Lady in the country, especially for a woman who is well-educated and from a liberal social background. Some credit, however, must go to her husband for allowing her to be her natural self rather than push her to be like the Joneses.

    As we mourn his death in very tragic circumstances, may his virtues become the guiding principles of his successor, Alhaji Mukhtar Yero. And may the Good Lord give all those he left behind the fortitude to bear his great loss.

     

  • Corruption’s cure is surgery, not softly softly!; Demon of Democracy! A new Armada 2012

    Corruption’s cure is surgery, not softly softly!; Demon of Democracy! A new Armada 2012

    So the thirst season of death is not yet over. Helicopters drop from the sky / Generals and Governors die/ Sabotage, mechanical or human error /Mistake or a form of terror / Their secrets to be buried in the earth/ Just what is a human life worth?/ And who will be next?

    Almost N1,000,000,000,000, one thousand billion naira, spent on fuel imports only because we refuse to operate and police functioning refineries guided by our chemical and petroleum technologists and engineers. This represents lost employment to Ivory Coast, Sierra Leone, Ghana and Portugal. Shame!

    This petroleum ‘subsidy’ is only subsidising failure of the refineries and is a N1,000billion needless drain on our resources and a loud attestation to our CINS of Corruption, Incompetence, Negligence and Selfishness. Nigerians in oil power would rather roundtrip to ‘chop our money’ than refine oil for us at home. An intelligent country would have recruited the local technology from the 2,000 ‘illegal’ Niger Delta refineries to make them legal. Hiking prices is not an answer to national governance failure. How can any of our past six rulers in Nigeria explain why a village in the USA has more power than Nigeria at present -4,000Mw.

    Meanwhile British, VIP, Very Imprisoned Prisoner Ibori collects N50m/year as retirement benefit after being a governor. These self-imposed ‘legalised illegalities’, perpetual goodies from the national and state treasury merely for holding political offices are immoral and insult Nigerians and a slap in the face for pensioners denied pension for years. Why should Nigerians be punished in this way. This is not a dividend but a demon of democracy.

    The arrogance with which Senate ‘Rules out’ voting in the diaspora is reminiscent of a military government decreeing stupid laws against natural justice and simple easily implementable IT computer programmes. Remember that many Nigerians collectively send billions home annually as respected citizens. Even Egypt allows diaspora voting. Such voting is available for many countries abroad including France, Germany and the USA. We should demonstrate our ability to recruit our citizens abroad, largely forced abroad by SAP, Babangida, Abacha, poor economy and education and mismanaged democracy. Shame on Senate as we once again lose an opportunity to catch up in democratic ‘modern methods.’

    Of course the Senate knows that 90% of those abroad will never vote for the ruling party because they are themselves political and economic refugees from the same system that is killing us at home. They should also expect to vote. By the 2015 election we would have had, and as usual wasted, four years to prepare and computerise a Diaspora Voters Register for each country through our embassies should not be nuclear physics. Another ‘Democracy Paradise Lost’ opportunity lost to the evil machinations of petty partisan politics.

    Does no one see the big picture –‘Nigeria Okays Diaspora Voting for Passport Carrying Citizens’? It is not too late to make Nigeria great by forcing the Senate to reverse this decision, a slap in the face of millions of Nigerians abroad and our IT capability. After all we have SATNav1 and 2 and thousands of jobless IT ‘experts’ and the voters programme is available for purchase and modification from democratic and IT compliant nations. Senate should not make an undemocratic mountain out of this political molehill. How dare senators attend international parliamentary group meetings when they are so anti-democratic? There should be a letter to Senate ‘Campaign to reverse this obnoxious ruling’.

    Maestro Pandit Ravi Shankar dies at 92, 1920-2012. He popularised internationally, the Sitar, a complex guitar-like Indian instrument to Beatles’ George Harrison, in Bollywood and Attenborough’s Ghandi. A clean living man who kept his reputation against all norms of the period, RIP. Meanwhile many of Nigeria’s greats struggle on without grants, recognition or support or commissions. Bruce Onabrakpeya is 80. When he dies we will have a big cow-killing because ‘we have lost an irreplaceable gem’ party. A museum now will be preferable.

    There are more than 60 large vessels on the Atlantic Coast sitting off the Lagos harbour waiting to enter port, as any news hungry crew with binoculars or a helicopter and a tiny bit of investigative journalistic DNA knows. This 2012 Armada is caused by the massive corruption and lack of management of the ports in Nigeria which have failed to grow to meet demand. The cost is unquantifiable but it must be quantified by social science and political science and NISER staff and student losses to demurrage, to neighbouring countries from diversion of 100s of ships per annum, to multiple corruption layers from different ‘security and anti-corruption’ agencies, to exit ‘fees’ charged by gatemen for container carrying trailers instead of railways- the true mark of a modern container port. ‘Nigeria Incorporated’ must go down in history as the worst run company in the world and a lesson in incompetence and warning to our children as a company that managed to loose.

    Corruption is Nigerian politics’ greatest ‘Dividend of Democracy’ to the Nigeria electorate. But Nigerians know that corruption can and will be stopped immediately, once the conditions are right when the right leaders and followers will be in place. Is a murderer asked to murder less and less or a rapist to rape less and less or a wife beater to beat less and less monthly? Even our police had the checkpoints cut off suddenly by the incumbent IGP –an amazing feat needing repeating.

     

  • For Azazi, funeral replaces Xmas Carol

    For Azazi, funeral replaces Xmas Carol

    For many years, he had hosted Christmas carol services at his Ikoyi, Lagos residence at least, a week preceding Christmas. It was an annual ritual with attendance drawn from far and wide – the high, the mighty and the lowly placed. Over the years, it had assumed a life of its own as everybody looked forward to the yearly event.

    Preparations were in top gear for this year’s event. My brother and friend of many years, Brigadier-General Felix Ayodele Muhammed (retd.), had been made the coordinator of this year’s event. He had had several meetings with those who will actively participate in the service – band leaders, choirs, religious groups, army chaplains and others. Last Friday, Muhammed, whom his boss of many years, the late General Andrew Owoye Azazi, prefers to call ‘Felix’, had intimated the general that he was coming over the following day, Saturday, December 15, to give him an update of the preparations so far. Azazi did not oppose this. Rather, he simply told Felix to meet with Alero, his wife of many years and finalise issues as he was billed to dash down to Bayelsa, his home state, to attend a function.

    Last Saturday afternoon, Felix made it to the residence of his former boss. He drove into the compound oblivious of the fact that something was amiss. As he entered the sitting room, hoping to meet Mrs. Azazi, an eerie silence descended on the whole environment. It was an unusual situation, but all the same, he sat down on one of the chairs waiting for the ‘madam of the house’ to surface from any part of the one-storey apartment. Just then, he started hearing some shrill cries upstairs. It was then it dawned on him that something had, indeed, gone wrong.

    By the time Felix was face to face with Azazi’s wife, the story became clearer. “Oga is dead!” Felix was transfixed and dazed. He inquired to know what had happened and how it happened. “It was a helicopter crash at Okoloba community in Tombia, Bayelsa State. Oga was returning from the community where he had attended the burial ceremony of Pa Tamunoobebara Douglas, father of Oronto Douglas, Special Adviser to the President on Research and Documentation”.

    From then on, wailings and grief took over as family members, friends and associates trooped in one after the other. Although no details of the crash emerged until later that evening, those who had contacts in Bayelsa, Rivers and in the military were able to extract some information about the crash.

    ‘Felix’ or General Muhammed, a chartered accountant, was the accounts officer to the late Azazi when Azazi was General Officer Commanding, GOC, 1 Battalion of the Army, with headquarters in Kaduna. Since then, both of them had struck a rapport that had endured till date. Besides, Alero, Azazi’s wife is also a chartered accountant.

    I had attended last year’s Christmas Carol in Azazi’s house in the company of General Muhammed and his wife. That evening, Azazi read the first out of about nine readings lined up for the day. His wife and some of his children who were present read some while other family members and close friends also took their turns. It was a night of great revelry, sobriety and thanksgiving for God’s abundant blessings during the year.

    Many known faces turned up for that event. They include Colonel Edore Obi (retd.), one-time military administrator of Bayelsa State; Donald Duke, former governor of Rivers State; business mogul Wale Babalakin; Timi Alaibe, former managing director of Niger Delta Development Commission and later Special Adviser to the President on Niger Delta Affairs. In attendance also were top military chiefs, both serving and retired.

    It was there I came across Rear Admiral Arogundade (retd), the naval officer whose aides reportedly brutalised a lady in Lagos after a minor traffic incident. I took time to ask him some questions on the incident. He did not appear like the ‘monster’ which was painted of him by the media at that time. He lives almost next door to the Azazis and I have met him several times after that encounter both in Lagos and Abuja.

    I first met late General Azazi in early 2005 at the Shehu Musa Yar’Adua Conference Centre in Abuja. It was at the launch of Iniquity in Nigerian Politics, a book authored by my brother and bosom friend, Professor Steve Azaiki. The launch had attracted heavyweights across the country and the diplomatic community. That was one book launch in which several senators were merely confined to the lobby as all the seats inside the conference hall had been taken over by dignitaries. It was like a carnival and I am yet to witness any other book launch of equal attendance of who’s who in Nigeria ever since.

    At the end of the book launch, Azazi, who was in full military uniform, had moved to the podium for a photo session with Azaiki. It was there that Azaiki introduced me to him. Azazi, who was then a brigadier-general, was at that time the boss of the Directorate of Military Intelligence, DMI. Shortly after, he was appointed GOC, 1 Mechanised Division of the Army in Kaduna. He was later made Chief of Army Staff before he was promoted Chief of Defence Staff. Although he was subsequently retired from service, but by that time, his image had loomed large all over the place.

    In the last few years, Azazi had given out some of his daughters, if not all, in marriage in very colourful ceremonies. I attended the one in late 2006 at the Church of Assumption, Falomo, Lagos. I was at the ceremony in the convoy of Dr. Goodluck Jonathan who was then the governor of Bayelsa State. At that time, he had just been picked as running mate to the late Umaru Yar’Adua, who had also earlier been chosen as the standard-bearer of the Peoples Democratic Party in the 2007 presidential election.

    It was at that wedding reception that the idea of putting together a national political platform for Jonathan was conceived by me, Azaiki and Chief Ephraim Faloughi, the chairman of Sovereign Trust Insurance Company. The following day, we came up with Yar’Adua/Jonathan Committee of Friends and held the inaugural meeting at the residence of Chief Ebitimi Banigo in Victoria Island. Others in attendance at that meeting were Ben Bruce, chairman, Silverbird Group; Chief Lawson Omokhodion, former MD of All States Trust Bank and later Liberty Bank who is now into oil business, and a few others. It was the committee that first rallied support for Jonathan all over the country.

    Generally, in Azazi’s death, Jonathan has lost one of his pillars of support. In and out as National Security Adviser to the President, Azazi had always provided support for the President on security matters. Throughout his eventful career – within and outside the military – Azazi had proved to be a patriot, an officer and gentleman whose watchword was discipline in all his deeds. All the same, he was not without some human errors. One of them was that as NSA, he was too visible everywhere when he was expected to operate more incognito.

    Now, he is gone and gone forever. His funeral might as well replace this year’s Christmas Carol service, which would have been held today, Wednesday, December 19. However, it is not how far or how long one lives. It is actually how well. Adieu Andrew Owoye Azazi. May your soul rest in peace! May the souls of all others who also died in the ill-fated flight rest in perfect peace! May their families be consoled by the fact that death is an inevitable end of all human beings! Amen! We all have our entrances and exits at different times and places!

     

  • Omoruyi:  A scholar’s lament

    Omoruyi: A scholar’s lament

    Every crusader, every committed protagonist, I suspect, is haunted at one time or another by this thought: When the battle is over, when the cause he served with great dedication and conviction has been won — or lost as the case may be— will his contributions be reciprocated when he falls on hard times, or will he be driven to lament, as Professor David Omo Omoruyi did the other day, that he had been “used and dumped”?

    Omoruyi’s political roots go back to the Constituent Assembly that shaped Nigeria’s 1979 Constitution, where he took a leading part in moving the body to insert in the document a clause that would have, in effect, eliminated Chief Obafemi Awolowo from the presidential race.

    There was great jubilation in the Constituent Assembly the day that amendment was passed, and Omoruyi was not in the least reticent in claiming a share of the credit. He later entered party politics, on the platform of the National People’s Party. His bid for elective office failed.

    But he is probably best known as the director-general of the Centre for Democratic Studies, one of the many institutions the former military president, General Ibrahim Babangida, set up to execute a transition programme that the political scientist Richard Joseph has called “one of the most sustained exercises in political chicanery ever visited upon a people.”

    Omoruyi can justly claim to be the “father” – in an intellectual sense, that is— of the institution. He had outlined the mandate of such a body in a speech he wrote for Babangida’s delivery as Guest of Honour during the 1989 Guardian Lecture. He and Babangida had been contemporaries in the inaugural Senior Executive Course (1978/79) at the National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies, in Kuru, near Jos, Plateau State.

    The two had forged a thriving friendship, and when Babangida seized power in 1985, he had drafted Omoruyi, then a professor at the University of Benin, into the conclave of political scientists that would wield such enormous influence during the transition and ultimately give political science a bad name.

    Omoruyi, I recall, was a prominent presence at the Lecture, and could hardly conceal his delight at hearing his thoughts presented by the President, no less, before the Nigerian policy elite, at what was then perhaps the most significant event on Nigeria’s intellectual calendar.

    It was a combative speech. Babangida used the forum to berate those he called “victims of the dogma of varieties of Marxist/Socialist orientation alternating cynically between half-truths and the sparing use of truth.” How many of them, he sniggered, could translate “ideology” into the indigenous languages? How many of these agitators operating from Lagos, Ibadan, Kaduna, Enugu and Benin – curiously, he omitted Ile Ife — know their communities?

    As if to warn that such an option was not entirely foreclosed, he invoked a former colonial governor who once threatened to “deport” the “urban agitators” of that era to their villages so they could learn from their roots.

    From my vantage position on the dais of the Nigerian Institute of International Affairs – I was the master of ceremonies — I could see the radical Ife historian, Dr Segun Osoba, literally squirm in his seat as Babangida took his war against “extremists” to a new level.

    So, it came as no surprise when, shortly after the Lecture, Babangida announced that the Federal Government was setting up a Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, with Omoruyi as its director-general. Somewhere along the line, it morphed into Centre for Democratic Studies (CDS).

    It went to work in earnest, along the way making accommodation for the turns, the labyrinthine trajectory of the transition programme. Omoruyi doubled as a strategist, advising on policy and writing speeches. By his account, the CDS trained more than 400,000 members of Nigeria’s political class, through a “unique” political education programme it pioneered.

    The capstone of the transition was of course the Presidential election of June 12, 1993 which, for reasons he still has not been able to explain 19 years later, Babangida decided to annul.

    The CDS had invited and accredited international observers for the election. They had all certified it free and fair and credible. Based on their reports and the reports of the CDS’s field officers, Omoruyi stood resolutely by what was already widely known – that the candidate of the Social Democratic Party, Chief Moshood Abiola, had won decisively.

    In vain, and with a growing sense of personal danger, did Omoruyi urge Babangida again and again to accept and abide by the election result. In the encircling gloom, he fled Abuja to his home in Benin City, where unidentified gunmen with murder on their minds attacked him.

    He survived the attack, and was evacuated to the United States for treatment. On recovering, he took fellowships at Harvard and Lincoln, and wrote his revealing book, “The Tale of June 12:

    The Betrayal of the Democratic Rights of Nigerians (1993).” It was during his sojourn that he was diagnosed with cancer.

    The book is unsparing of those Omoruyi called “enemies” of June 12, but it is especially so of Babangida. The entire transition was a ruse. Everything Babangida said in his June 21 1993 broadcast justifying the annulment was false through and through, Babangida knew it.

    Arthur Nzeribe and his Association for a Better Nigeria were Babangida’s proxies. The bizarre rulings of the Abuja courts on the election were given with the full knowledge and endorsement of the military president and the Federal Ministry of Justice.

    As the scheme unraveled, Omoruyi wrote, Babangida was “more concerned with saving his life and the lives of his family members than with his office and, by extension, the country. There was absolutely no doubt that he was prepared to sacrifice anything, including the transition programme and the country, so long as he saved his life.”

    Weighed down by the mental strain the crisis was taking on him, Babangida had said during one anguished moment: “I wish I can see a psychiatrist to examine me. I think something is wrong with me”

    And so on and so forth.

    After the book’s publication, Omoruyi seemed to have reconciled with Babangida. Omoruyi celebrated the rapprochement, which his son was instrumental in bringing about. If Babangida’s quixotic bid to return to power had not collapsed before it began, Omoruyi would most likely have been in his corner again.

    All had been forgiven even if not forgotten, it seemed.

    Then, Omoruyi’s cancer returned. Lacking the resources to travel abroad to seek the aggressive medical intervention it demanded, he turned to Babangida for help. Despite his famed large-heartedness, Babangida was not forthcoming. Neither were those friends on whose help Omoruyi thought he could stake a claim. In the end, it was Governor Adams Oshiomhole of his home state, Edo, who came to the rescue.

    This sense of abandonment was what provoked Omoruyi’s pained lament that he had been “used and dumped.”

    I think he did himself a great injustice by that statement.

    They thought they were using him, as they had used and wasted so many of the intellectual courtiers of the era. They did not reckon that he has a mind of his own. Only those who have no minds of their own, those who cannot speak truth to power, get used and dumped.

    The reader must judge for himself or herself whether Omoruyi should have returned to Babangida’s camp after what he went through, and after the excoriation of the former military president that perfuses “The Tale of June 12.” Whatever the judgment, we must in this season of goodwill wish him a speedy recovery.

    It will certainly be said of David Omo Omoruyi that he served Nigeria devotedly with his learning and organisational ability at a crucial time in the nation’s history and, at great risk to his life, stood firm on principle when he found – rather late in the day, some might say – that those who recruited him into what he believed was a noble enterprise had all along been actuated by base motives.