Category: Saturday

  • Zimbabwe after Mugabe

    Zimbabwe after Mugabe

    “How do you think he would have been assessed if Robert Mugabe had either died or quit office two decades ago?” a leading comrade and progressive journalist asked me in a telephone conversation on the fate that had befallen Zimbabwe’s maximum ruler for over four decades who had been forced by the country’s army and liberation war veterans to quit office? The answer is, of course, obvious. He would have been celebrated as a worthy African leader, canonized by the West and lionized by the international community.  Unfortunately, Mugabe stayed too long in office, had become increasingly alienated from reality and was unfortunate to have fallen under the spell of his excessively power-thirsty wife, Grace, a veritable Jezbel of our time.  Some commentators have dismissed Mugabe as just another example of the myriad of sit-tight African leaders who only lust for power and do not have the interests of their people at heart. He validates for those who hold this view, the proposition that Africa’s most fundamental problem is that of poor and inept leadership. This is, however, a rather superficial viewpoint that oversimplifies a more complex situation.

    The truth of the matter is that many of the African leaders who like Mugabe started out well but some of whom ended up as villains in office, were leaders and able statesmen of the first rank. These include such first post-independence generation leaders as Jomo Kenyatta of Kenya, Kwame Nkrumah of Ghana, Sekou Toure of Guinea, Milton Obote of Uganda, Amilcar Cabral of Guinea Bissau, Kenneth Kaunda of Zambia, Patrice Lumumba of Congo, Abdel Nasser of Egypt, Julius Nyerere of Tanzania or Muammar Gaddafi of Libya to name a few. They were well read, cosmopolitan and highly patriotic leaders of their countries. Many of them courageously led the struggle for their countries’ liberation from colonial rule most times at great personal cost. Their sacrificial and pioneering roles in the nationalist struggle for independence unfortunately gave them a sense of entitlement of their right to lead their newly liberated countries; a feeling shared by a not insubstantial number of their fellow country men and women.

    It is so easy with the benefit of hindsight to blame these leaders for the rash of one- man and one-party dictatorships that erupted all over Africa in the immediate post-independence period.  However, the conventional wisdom in the aftermath of independence even in highly distinguished and respected intellectual circles was that liberal democracy was at that time a luxury which the newly independent African countries could hardly afford. A choice had to be made between a liberal democracy that could all too often be distracting, cacophonous, obstructive of swift and decisive decision making as well as divisive and what the ‘modernization theorists’ described as ‘developmental dictatorship’ if I can recall correctly.

    All these turned out with time to be completely wrong headed. For, African leaders could not be exempted from Lord Acton’s enduring and time tested maxim that ‘power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely’. That was the tragedy of Mugabe as that of several otherwise immensely talented African leaders who met their waterloo in power. For at least his first two decades in power, Mugabe was the toast of the western media and political establishment. He was even given a knighthood by the British Queen. He remained the darling of the West for as long as he left intact the grossly unjust and inequitable economic and social structure bequeathed to Zimbabwe by imperialism. This was particularly the case with the criminally untenable and abysmally unequal distribution of land with a minority of white farmers retaining control of large tracts of fertile land to the detriment of millions of deprived Zimbabwean peasant farmers and families.

    For over two decades after independence, Mugabe was reluctant to do anything about the historic injustice of asymmetrical land distribution in Zimbabwe. His stance was no doubt partly due to the kind of advice he was given by the radical political economist and revolutionary, Abdulrahman Babau, in an open letter to Mugabe in May 1980 shortly after his assumption of office and published in the New African magazine. In the words of Babu to Mugabe, “Experience elsewhere has taught us that the taking over of ongoing viable farms has invariably led to almost total collapse of agricultural production and has forced the countries concerned to incur heavy foreign debt to import food. As foreign borrowing without repayment cannot be sustained for a long time the countries are forced literally to beg for food on an international scale…It is a painful historical fact that in Zimbabwe such large-scale farms are owned by White settlers, some of whom are liberal and others incorrigibly reactionary. To expropriate them will amount to economic disaster, at least in the short run. To allow them to continue as before will amount to perpetuating a national injustice. This is a serious dilemma”.

    The popular perspective and conventional wisdom is that the Mugabe administration undertook the confiscation of White-owned farms and distributing them to its cronies as his dictatorial grip on the country tightened, his intolerance of opposition grew and his popularity at home plummeted. There may be some truth to this view. But the radical South African Political Economist, Professor Patrick Bond, gives us another no less instructive point of view. According to him, the same war veterans largely responsible for Mugabe’s eventual ouster from power, had earlier confronted him in Y2000 when they became fed up with his reluctance to take over the white farms, which as that year were mostly under-utilized.

    Consequently, over the Easter weekend in 2000, over 3000 large white farms were taken over by about 170,000 Zimbabwean families. This was obviously a carefully planned operation. Mugabe, who initially opposed the development, was forced to change his stance and support the takeover given the popularity in Zimbabwe of the occupation of the white farms. In any case, what choice did Mugabe have since Britain reneged on its pledge under the Lancaster House agreement to pay Zimbabwe 10 million pounds to buy back some of the white farms for redistribution to deprived black farmers?

    Zimbabwe’s efforts to move, through the forcible acquisition of unjustly acquired land, from mere flag or nominal independence to genuine economic emancipation instantly drew a furious and punitive reaction from the West. Stiff sanctions were imposed on the country that virtually brought the economy to its knees. Inflation soared. Food scarcity became the norm. The country’s currency became practically worthless. The British monarchy withdrew Mugabe’s knighthood. He became an international pariah and a persona non grata in the West overnight. It will be recalled that key western countries such as the US and Britain vigorously supported the apartheid regime in South Africa as well as white minority rule in the former Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe). If they had their way, white supremacist rule would be alive and well in those countries today.

    Even though the compulsory acquisition and redistribution to thousands of black farmers of the huge white farms is widely regarded as a disaster with deleterious economic consequences, Professor Bond points out some little publicized gains of the exercise. He notes, for instance, that “The 146,000 smaller farmers with land of six hectares saved and reinvested and became highly productive, creating 800,000 jobs”. This is in addition to the several vibrant market towns which have reportedly grown around the land reform farms. Again, Zimbabwe reportedly produced more maize in 2017 than was ever grown by white farmers who have always been credited for making the country Africa’s food basket. This year, Zimbabwe produced 2.2 million tonnes of Maize, the highest in two decades. Compared to 2011, another good year for Maize production, an increase of about 700,000 tonnes was witnessed this year.

    Apart from favourable weather conditions, the United States Department of Agriculture has cited a special programme for import substitution known as ‘Command Agriculture’ as being responsible for the successes recorded in this respect. The ‘Command Agriculture’ scheme involves land reform farmers signing contracts for a certain number of hectares and agreeing to sell not less than five tonnes of maize per hectare to the Grain Marketing Board. On its part, government provides seedlings, fertilizer, tractors where necessary and fuel for ploughing with the cost deducted from the sale prize of the maize.

    Mugabe’s successor, former Vice-President Emmerson Mnangagwa has promised more support for the Land Commission set up under Mugabe to “ensure that all land is utilized optimally”. It will be prudent and wise for him to seek better relations between his country and the international community. Even as VP, Mnangagwa had reportedly been moving to curb corruption by using the army to check that agreed number of hectares were ploughed and planted as well as getting some senior figures of the ruling ZANU-PF arrested for selling fertilizer and diesel meant for other farmers. However, the truth is that what has taken place in Zimbabwe is only a palace coup. The discredited status quo remains intact. Mnangagwa and the military high command remain part and parcel of the rot of the Mugabe years. His prime task should be to liberalize the political space, legitimize political opposition, strengthen the integrity of the electoral system and perish any though of sit-tight, life dictatorship if the same fate that befell Mugabe is not to be his portion.

  • Eagles aren’t hard tacklers

    Eagles aren’t hard tacklers

    The draws are known. Group opponents are plotting strategies to outwit one another. Mind games rule the media space, with pundits taking a dig at tough tackling teams to spite them. Will you blame them? The fixtures have laid the path through which the next world champion will emerge from seven matches to be played at the Russia 2018 World Cup, which begins on June 15.

    It is Nigeria’s sixth appearance. There are great expectations, especially with Argentina as one of this country’s Group D foes. The difference this time is that the fixture is the last for Group D. Many are tipping both countries to approach the game with caution, with a point enough to qualify them for the Round of 16, if they play to their full potential. For ardents of permutations in soccer, any roll of the dice produces several options. But when matches are played, losers sulk, knowing that their chances of qualifying from the group get slimmer with every bad result.

    For winners, the last group game decides who the round of 16 foes will be. In most cases, certain countries avoid stronger opponents. A case in point is the last group game between Nigeria and England in Japan, when the English wanted to avoid France at the 2002 Japan/Korea World Cup.

    Gernot Rohr knows these jigsaw puzzles and would fix them. Rohr feels the Super Eagles may confront France in the round of 16, a repeat of what happened in Brazil 2014, when we were beaten 2-0. This shameful result arose because players, coaches and officials were busy sharing the $3.8 million cash brought by an official a day before the French game. The players didn’t sleep and it showed in their lacklustre approach to the game. The setting will be different in Russia because Rohr means business. How Rohr has tipped France as our likely opponent in the Round of 16, isn’t informed by any lottery or a throw of the dice, but on permutations informed by the tactical savvy of the coaches in Nigeria’s Group D. This is how battles are fought  -largely on projections, not blind chase or asking your nationals to pray for you as if others don’t know God, like Nigerian coaches also do.

    Some interesting perspectives about the Eagles’ strengths and weakenesses have flooded the media, with the most critical being the physical power of the players. I would have ignored it but for the fact that it seems our group opponents want to set us up for the yellow and red cards. Soccer is no romantic exercise; it is a combat sport.

    What the Craotians, Argentines and Icelanders are saying is that Nigerians are hard tacklers. But they have forgotten that most of our boys play in Europe and they are not serial red or yellow card earners. This could be another way to weaken the Eagles before their matches. I’m scared. Take the grit out of the Eagles’ game, then we have lost it all. Our players should be allowed to express themsleves in the best possible way. Decisions must be fair and not informed by off field sentiments which our group foes are advancing before the first kick of the ball at the Mundial. NFF had better call them (our group opponents) to order; otherwise, what happened in Brazil 2014 would recur. France’s Blaise Mutidui hacked down Oguenyi Onazi in Brazil during Nigeria’s game against France. He got no card. If it was the other way, Onazi would still be serving out his ban. No hyperbole.

    My consolation is that Brazil’s gem, Neymar, has seen other qualities in the Eagles which made him celebrate Nigeria’s absence from the Samba Boyz group. Neymar said:  “We (Brazil) have to be at our best to get a good result, particularly in our first game of the tournament. The teams in our group are difficult to play against.

    “I am happy it wasn’t a group where we had to play against African teams like Nigeria. They run a lot and are very physical in their approach. We are no doubt still up against strong sides at the World Cup.”

    Well said Neymar. Nigeria’s physical appproach to matches shouldn’t be scary to our opponents; they don’t need to start flying like saucers in the air at the slightest tackle.

    Nigerians have not forgotten how the Italians injured Daniel Amokachi and Emmanuel Amuneke with their crucnhy tackles which didn’t fetch anyone of them a card. Yet, Amokachi and Amuneke never played the game at top level again after the tackles.

    Former Croatia coach Miroslav Blazevic said: “We must immediately say the group is tough, not just because it really is, but what is needed for us work on our mentality.

    “Yes, the group is loaded, in one part, and spectacular. It can because we have a squad of high-value footballers. Nigeria is our biggest rival in our group. They are desirous of proving they are Africa’s best,” Blazevic told dnevno.hr.

    Croatia are our first opponents in Russia. We need to know their big stars and how they play. Croatia are regulars at the Mundial (1998, 2002, 2006 and 2014) which makes them bad customers.  Croatia placed third in 1998, losing in the semi-finals, qualified for the group stage in 2002, 2006 and 2014.

    The pressure will be on Nigeria if Argentina beats Iceland, which is the group’s opening game. We must grab the three points of the first game. Iceland won’t want to lose to Nigeria in the second game, if the Argentines whack them. Our two matches against Croatia and Iceland will determine our stay in the competition. If we lose or draw either of our first two matches, Argentina could be spoilers seeking for revenge with the last group game. It could be dicey.

    Who should we be looking out for in Iceland and Croatia? Argentina’s players are well known. Croatia have Ivan Rakitic, who plays for Barcelona. Rakitic has 88 caps with Barca and has scored 13 goals, which means he will form a formidable midfield team with Luka Modric, a Real Madrid gem who has 103 caps and has scored 12 goals. Croatia has scoring midfielders who should be prevented from linking up for any attacking onslaught.

    Croatia has gangling Mario Mandzukic, whose aerial strength should worry Eagles’ central defenders Leon Balogun and Troost-Ekong. Our players must stop Mandzukic from entering our 18 metres box. He is quick and strong. He is a relentless fighter on-and-off the ball. To keep him quiet in a game could be difficult. Of course, part of the ways to check Mandzukic is to ‘’arrest’’ Ivan Perisic, who plays for Inter Milan. He has 63 caps and has scored 17 goals. Perisic plays on the left wing for Croatia. Either Shehu Abdulahi or Ebuehi must stick to him like glue to stop him from sending out crosses from the flanks. These four men, if well marked, can create an easy path for Eagles’ victory.

    Iceland, with due respect, are unknown – going by their World Cup pedigree. They are being dreaded because they eliminated England at the last European championships. Is England really a football power at the World Cup? Not anymore. Iceland’s four key players are Gylfi Sigurosson (Everton FC), Johann Berg Guomundsson (Burnley FC), Aaron Gunnarsson (Cardif City) and Alfred Finnbogason (Augsburg FC in Germany. I really don’t think that Iceland will win a game in this group. Eagles have no business stopping Cameroon from this Mundial, if they get beaten by Iceland.

    I’m glad that Rohr understands the dynamics of the Mundial, even though this will be his first appearance. He told the international media on Thursday: ‘’We won’t approach every game the same way. There are things we will take into consideration before setting up tactics for any game. First of all, we have to focus on doing well in our first game against Croatia before thinking about our remaining group game against Iceland and Argentina.’’

    Can Nigeria lift the World Cup? Yes, otherwise why are we going for the Mundial? The bulk of our players excel with their European teams. So, what stops them from replicating their club form playing for Nigeria. The Sports Minister said after meeting with President Muhammadu Buhari on Tuesday that the team’s entitlements would be ready by March, when the team would have been involved in at least two friendly matches.

    The implication of the minister’s revelation is that the Federal Government has accepted the sharing formula submitted to it for approval. It means also that there won’t be any disgraceful scene where players would be protesting over their entitlements. It shows we have learned from what happened in previous tournament. This is the way forward.

    Major competitions are replete with upsets; otherwise, how could a Nigerian side that was rushed out of the country with less than 45 days to the Olympic Games win the gold medal? It is about time our boys played their hearts out for the fans, who also give their all to support the team with prayers for those who don’t have the cash to give them.

    Everything stops when Eagles have a game. The country is aglow when they win matches. It is always a graveyard when they lose. A lot is lost by Nigerians who key into the marketing windows of the country’s participation in the Mundial like making gift items from the players’ shirts, calendars, mufflers of the team etc. Business centres experience a boom when Eagles are doing well. Viewing centres expand their operations to cope with customers’ demands. Up Eagles, Up Nigeria!

  • Ekwueme, Mugabe: Two contrasting exits

    Ekwueme, Mugabe: Two contrasting exits

    When former Vice President Alex Ekwueme passed on quietly on November 19 in a London clinic, the world, via cable TV, was following a strange drama unfolding in Zimbabwe on the southern tip of Africa.  Two days later, on November 21, the drama was essentially over, with the resignation of President Robert Mugabe.

    It was weird.

    After 37 years in power, 16-odd million Zimbabweans had come to terms with their grim fate: the old man would rather die in office than leave. Anyone who seriously coveted his seat regretted it. On November 6 Emmerson Mnangagwa, Mr Mugabe’s longtime ally and deputy with a dodgy past, was summarily sacked, and subsequently fled the country, amid claims that he was eyeing the president’s office.

    Mr Mnangagwa’s fate probably set the drama in motion. On November 14 the Zimbabwean army rolled out its tanks, placed Mr Mugabe under house arrest but would not call what it was doing a coup. The president was allowed a public appearance, though with a handful of security aides, at a university event, and would later give a bizarre speech in which he tried to maintain the facade that he was still in control of both the country and his party, ZANU-PF, both of which had clearly denounced him. Amid all this, tens of thousands of Zimbabweans were jubilating on the streets and hugging the same soldiers who had helped to keep the old man in power since 1980 when he led a successful uprising that ousted the white minority rulers of the country then called Rhodesia. On November 21 Mr Mugabe sent his letter of resignation to the parliament just before the lawmakers would impeach him as they promised. Mr Mnangagwa emerged from hiding and was sworn in to take Mr Mugabe’s office until next year when election is due.

    A nationwide gyration marked the end of Mr Mugabe’s political life and his iron-fist reign, a sad way to leave the scene, a lesson to all despots in Africa and the world. He and his scheming, ambitious wife Grace have obtained immunity from prosecution and will also keep what they called their personal properties, but the deposed despot will live out his days in ignominy. Enough said about the 93-year-old megalomaniac who once said Zimbabwe’s independence was procured with the gun, and whose departure Zimbabweans also procured with the gun.

    Dr Ekwueme did not fight the sort of battle that Mr Mugabe fought in the years leading up to 1980 but history will reserve its coziest living quarters for Dr Ekwueme, while leaving the dirtiest of rooms for Mr Mugabe. For at least a week after breathing his last, the former vice president had virtually every public figure singing his praise, hailing his good qualities and his accomplishments. It was not in mere adherence to the age-old practice of not speaking ill of the dead. Nigeria’s serving and retired leaders recalled he was a man of learning, with degrees in five fields, one of which architecture in which he took a doctorate. Dr Ekwueme’s mourners waxed lyrical on the subject of his cucumber-coolness and loyalty, pointing out that never did he betray his boss, President Shehu Shagari, with whom he served from 1979 to 1983 before the Buhari coup sacked them. Everyone sang of his patriotism, calling him a frontline nationalist. They said he was a firm believer in the unity of the country, and that he gave Nigeria the six geopolitical zones, an original restructuring masterstroke, that has stuck to this day, based on the principle of fair distribution of the nation’s resources. Many remembered that Dr Ekwueme was a man of peace, a few that he was also well-travelled, exposed and informed.

    Some said he left a pair of shoes too big to fill, and that his demise is a monumental loss to the country. The leadership of Ndigbo said Dr Ekwueme was a great leader of his people and an inspiration.

    Dr Ekwueme was probably a lot more than has been said of him, but it is about time Nigerians began to interrogate the sincerity of his mourners. From the picture they painted of him, Dr Ekwueme was probably one of the best presidents Nigeria never had, to borrow from the late Dim Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu, who coined the phrase back in the 80s while mourning Chief Obafemi Awolowo. But if they saw that much good and promise in him, why was he denied the presidency of the country? He was clearly a better candidate when he ran against former president Olusegun Obasanjo in 1999 at the primary stages of that election. Yet, he lost to the Owu chief, who went to on rule the country for eight years, and was also reported to be having some designs for another term before that ill-begotten project collapsed ignominiously.

    Ndigbo are now saying Dr Ekwueme was a rallying point in their zone, but how much have they learned from the master, and how much have they put to good use in their region? Are Ndigbo united in the true sense of the word? Do they really understand what regional unity means?

    Praising Dr Ekwueme in death and in such glowing terms brings to mind the typical Nigerian pastime of reserving their best for the funeral. The life of the average Nigerian is pretty much colourless until he dies. Then newspaper pages after pages and lengths of TV and radio airtime are bought up to announce his transition and interment. Finally, he appears in the most glittering casket money can buy, and is finally lowered to earth amid the loudest of party music, the best of food and the best of company on this side of the divide. How he lived or suffered before death is usually immaterial. It marks the hypocrisy of our time.

    How many in politics, and among those praising him today, are willing to emulate Dr Ekwueme? How many will play politics the way Dr Ekwueme played it? Though, hobbled with age, he remained with the Peoples Democratic Party, which he was credited with founding. In his home state Anambra, he supported Governor Willie Obiano’s reelection bid on the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) platform even though his daughter was a Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) deputy governorship candidate in the same election in the state. Responding to a reporter’s question, Dr Ekwueme would later say his daughter was old enough to take her own decisions. Such wisdom, such maturity, such openness.

    Dr  Ekwueme left a lot to love, Mr Mugabe a lot to regret.  Surely, mourners have a lot to ponder, don’t they?

  • Setting the markers

    Gernot Rohr is ambitious. He wants to make the Super Eagles the fairytale team of the Russia 2018 World Cup by fielding young boys who will fight to the death during matches. Today, Nigeria is going to the Mundial with the youngest set of players whose average age is 24 years and nine months. A team for the future, but do we have the culture of allowing any group to blossom after the Mundial? Don’t remind me of the failed promises by NFF and the Federal Government with our U-17 World Cup winning Golden Eaglets squads since 1985.

    The Franco-German manager has introduced new systems into our football, which explains why developed football countries excel at big competitions. Friendly matches aren’t just organised on the pages of newspapers and media online platforms. Gone are the days when names of countries were dropped. If a match is to be played, our football chieftains have learned how not to squeal the bean.

    Contracts for friendly games are kept under wraps. Rules for sealing them are kept secret. We won’t be shocked if some of the countries being bandied get to play the Eagles before the Mundial, if they are not in Nigeria’s group. NFF men and their scouts have learned this time not to suggest countries, such as Jamaica, Azerbaijan, Republic of Benin, Sierra Leone, Gabon, Maldova and foreign clubs, with due respect to them as likely opponents for friendlies.

    Not many people believed the game against Argentina would take place, especially when the talk centred on whether Lionel Messi will play or not. Nigeria’s emphatic 4-2 victory over Argentina still resonates in the media, with Nigerians dreaming of better outings at the Mundial. If Nigeria is placed in Argentina’s group, for instance, many Nigerians won’t flinch in putting their cash on the Eagles for an encore victory. Our players will go into the game with great confidence. The Argentines, this time, will be playing with caution, knowing what happened in Russia last month.

    These markers en route the World Cup in Russia explain why better organised countries don’t rebuild with every World Cup appearance, irrespective of their performance. The biggest marker is Rohr’s revelation that no injured player would be taken to Russia, irrespective of such a player’s status in the team. The tactician has told his players desirous of another World Cup appearance to ensure they are injury-free. Rohr can talk like this after seeing his young boys recover from a two-goal deficit to run the rule over the Argentines in Russia last month.

    Rohr’s cordial relationship with his employers is the secret tool for his success. The synergy between the two parties, especially in the settlement of his entitlements, has stabilised the team, with the players having no reason to be recalcitrant. Rohr serves as the team’s chief spokesman, of course, after meeting with the players on what they expect from the federation.

    Rohr doesn’t hide anything he does with the players and the federation’s chieftains.  This has eliminated rumours or baseless suggestions which divide the players and the coaches instead of uniting them. Both parties have met in Moscow to decide Rohr’s plans for the Mundial. The media aren’t anxious to second guess what was discussed because such uninformed stories affect their platforms, when the news eventually breaks.

    As for speculations about the players likely to be invited to the camp, it isn’t an issue anymore. Rather, the talk is about how to strengthen the weak areas in the squad, with some names being bandied as replacements. I expect shockers from Nigeria’s final 22-man squad to Russia. Some big players will lose their jerseys to younger and better ones. But, this won’t rock the boat because those dropped will accept their fate with equanimity.

    The outcome of mock draws held before the real one on Friday threw up several possibilities, with Nigeria’s likely opponents from South America being Argentina or Uruguay. Many Africans haven’t forgotten how Luis Suarez held a goal-bound shot on the goal line from a goalmouth melee. Suarez was red carded. But the Ghanaians lost the vital penalty, which ended their South Africa 2010 World Cup dream.

    Pundits would cherish a Nigeria versus Argentina rematch, with the star actor being Lionel Messi, who missed the 4-2 whiplash by the Nigerians. Many are waiting to see if Messi’s absence was responsible for the defeat. The Argentines are bad customers, although they are bad starters in big competitions. My worry in the four mock draws held was with the countries from Asia and Europe. The Europeans say they are scared of Nigeria. But this is another in the series of mind games, if you consider how thorough they are with big matches. I dread the Europeans because most of our players ply their trade in Europe. They must have started compiling data on the strength and weaknesses, which they will exploit when the chips are down.

    It will be election year in 2018. We have a good team that could become the first African team to play in the semi-finals, with what we have seen the players exhibit. If the permutations are right, how do we intend to build on what we are expecting? This question is pertinent because every four years produces a new NFF board without resolving the reason for the change.

    The World Cup is serious business, considering the fact that we are going to get $2.5 million for being among the 32 countries expected at the Mundial next year. If we exit at the second round, like we have done in our last five appearances, FIFA will pay Nigeria $10 million. This $12.5 million doesn’t include earnings from the gates, television rights etc, which come with such big tournaments. We should also not lose sight of the benefits to our players who do well in the competition. Austin Okocha became the richest player in French Ligue Un after the France ’98 World Cup. Need I elaborate on Okocha’s pedigree in the game?

     

    Basketball’s November 30 deadline

     

    I wasn’t expecting a shift in positions from either party in the election quagmire. Each side has its merits, making it imperative for the authorities of the game (FIBA) to rule, now that peace talks have been deadlocked.

    The Nigeria Olympic Committee (NOC) chiefs should face the fact they bungled the entire electoral process. If NOC men had applied the rules properly, it would have been easy to resolve the matter, with loser embracing the winner for the good of the game. NOC has since the death of Raheem Adejumo become the rag sheet of the Sports Ministry simply because those who came after Adejumo were government officials who enjoy spending government cash instead of exploiting the marketing windows which  the international Olympic Committee (IOC) uses to make the Olympic Games, one of the world’s most glamorous events.

    Indeed, the two men anchoring the factions know their onions in the game, but it is good that a neutral body’s verdict would show the new direction for elections and the growth of basketball in Nigeria. FIBA gave us the chance to resolve our matter in spite of the underlining currents from powers that be who should ordinarily be doing what FIBA would do soon.

    FIBA men know the problem. The annoying thing is that they may just send one of their secretarial official to handle the new election. The junior official will be treated as a king. I won’t be surprised if attempts are made to get this FIBA man to visit the Senate President, the Vice President and, perhaps, President Muhammadu Buhari. This is the problem with our administrators. They like to be led by the nose.

    FIBA chiefs have an idea of what they want to do if we fail to reach an amicable resolution. It will be sad if FIBA appoints outsiders to run the game for us as its rules state. The November 30 deadline is enough time for the minister to decide using the acceptable parameters for conducting elections. One fact is clear. If Nigeria did the right thing at the last elections, FIBA would have recognised the new body without setting the November 30 deadline.

    Every facet of the game is business – from the billboards inside the halls, the equipment, floors of the courts, scoreboard, changing plates, television rights and the coverage of the matches e.t.c. They will generate revenue to improve the game. The Americans have built their basketball around schools. It is at the nursery level that the basics can be taught. We need to take sports to kids. This can only happen if we have schools that produce games masters and mistresses who know the fundamentals of games.

  • Diarchy, security and decency

    A Zimbabwean News item during the week stated clearly that the honeymoon with the new regime that replaced former President Robert Mugabe was over because the new cabinet was made up of soldiers who helped displace Mugabe in the coup, and war veterans who had served Mugabe diligently for 37 years and that really nothing has changed. In the lexicon of politics a government made up of a mixture of the military and politicians is called a diarchy . That really is what the new president of Zimbabwe has done and I am not surprised as I have predicted recently that Zimbabwe’s democracy will continue its gerontocracy under Mugabe’s successor and that this will be ratified in next year’s elections. Now a diarchy is in place and to me that too is predictable and is a sign of political pragmatism and foresight on the part of the new leadership in Zimbabwe. Ostensibly the objective is to keep at bay the dogs of war in the army who have tasted power and now know the superior power of the barrel of the gun over the ballot box.

    Again I say Diarchy as a political challenge or reality is not peculiar to Zimbabwe. It was mooted in Nigeria before by no less a person than the first president of Nigeria the pragmatic Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe who was shouted down then, even though his motive was to pacify the military, which had tasted the blood of power in the first coup of January 1966 and the counter coup of July the same year. Together the two bloody coups have shaped the politics and the practice of democracy in Nigera ever since whether you talk of civilian or military government, as they follow one another in our turbulent and topsy turvy brand of democracy.

    Another story in the media this week was about a disbursement of $40m to a cousin of the last Nigerian president from a vote of the office of the National Security Adviser of $1.2bn approved by the former president for security issues. This is pure nepotism and a misuse of public funds if proven in open court eventually. But it is just the tip of the ice bag when compared with the $ 2.8bn approved to prosecute the war against the terror of Boko Haram ravaging our North East but converted or diverted for campaign purposes by the last administration to win the 2015 presidential elections which it lost. That electoral loss blew up the can of worms in the face of the new administration and indeed in the face of all right thinking Nigerians. The NSA has been in detention ever since and even though he had been granted bail he has not been released. This again violates the rule of law but then this again is political reality. that the gravity of the issue transcends the fine points of law and reverberates solidly in the very delicate realm of state security which is sacrosanct, I presume in such matters . This then is the real face of the diarchy inherent in Nigeria’s brand of democracy.

    Anyway civilian regimes in Nigeria have always had military officers as incumbent NSAs for the simple reason that they feel safe that one of the military can sniff a coup and nip it in the bud faster and more safely than any non military staff including even the Police. Indeed the revelations from the ordeal of the NSA of the last Administration shows where the power in our political system is and who calls the shots, albeit at the behest of the president of the Republic. So is Nigeria a diarchy like Nnamdi Azikiwe suggested or the new Zimbabwean president is executing? Your guess is as good as mine.

    Let me go further to unlikely arenas or states of the emergence of diarchy as a political governance contrivance to illustrate a point I hold dear. This is the view that the essence of government is to guarantee a decent existence or living for the citizens of an elected government, regardless of the ideology at play or the composition of the government of the day. I do this by taking a peep at the Administration of US President Donald Trump and his use of nuclear attack against North Korea and I look back at Britain’s Parliamentary democracy in the Premiership of Harold Wilson who was the UK PM from 1964 – 1970 and 1974 – 1976.

    I look critically at the US media portrayal of Donald Trump as incapable of giving orders to US military commanders to use nuclear weapons because they- the Media – doubt his mental capability and stability in this regard. Yet, as Commander In Chief of the American armed forces Trump has the powers alone to do this and his commanders must obey his orders or face court martial for treason which can cost them their lives and ruin their military careers. History has it that when Harry Truman, the US President during World War 2 dropped the Hydrogen bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, he ordered immediate use of the bomb on a week end even though those who told him of the bomb wanted to wait till Monday. Yet Truman was a God fearing Sunday School teacher who dotted on his two daughters. Nobody has queried his sanity ever since as the Japanese Emperor surrendered immediately when told of the horrors of the bombs on the two unlucky Japanese towns.

    Now Donald Trump faces a real threat from a North Korean leader that this week claimed his nation has perfected missiles that will reach the entire length and breath of the US and the media is doubting the mental capacity of their president to issue defensive or attacking orders. That to me is a recipe for anarchy or chaos if not outright treason. Indeed in the realm of ideological considerations it is an apology for diarchy or an invitation for it, but I really cannot see that happening in the US.

    • Continued online
  • Jonathan finally accepts responsibility for PDP defeat

    Jonathan finally accepts responsibility for PDP defeat

    After many months of soreness and agony over the horrible defeat suffered by the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in the 2015 presidential election, former president Goodluck Jonathan on Wednesday finally accepted full responsibility. His argument, not to say its central logic, was syllogistically simple enough: he led the party into battle, and it suffered defeat, therefore, he was responsible. To be fair to him, he had hinted on many occasions that the buck stopped with him, whether of the financial shenanigans that overwhelmed his presidency and for which he is being blamed, or of the electoral debacle that still pains him. But this was really the first time he would put the attribution for his party’s electoral woes in very precise and indeed elegant and candidly self-incriminating language.

    Dr Jonathan made his public confession when he received Olabode George’s PDP chairmanship campaign team in his country home at Otuoke, Bayelsa State. Hear the former president: “Whether I like it or not, I must take responsibility for the defeat because I led the party to the election. The only thing that will make me to sleep well is to ensure that the PDP comes back to power.” It was sensible and democratic of the former president to immediately concede defeat in that election; but it would have been even more profound of him to almost immediately accept responsibility for that defeat. In statements after statements, many of them obviously no better than hemming and hawing, he had repeatedly prevaricated on the centrality of his role in that debacle. Last Wednesday, however, he felt the obligation to come clean.

    At the meeting between him and Mr George’s effervescent but increasingly dispirited campaign team, Dr Jonathan was not quoted as delving into the nitty-gritty of that debacle, let alone providing details of just what he did or didn’t do that led to that defeat. Was it his poor handling of the economy, particularly the unfettered corrupt practices many of his subordinates allegedly engaged in? Or was it the more potent argument that he ought not to have run for a second term because it looked to many, particularly from the North, like a third term? Perhaps, one day, he would find the humility and candour to again address the composition of that ignoble defeat, one of a few of such electoral losses in Africa, and certainly the first in Nigeria.

    It is not clear, however, why Dr Jonathan should still continue to feel personally burdened by that loss, for the party was bound to lose a major election one of these days anyway, nor why he should be reluctant to come clean, accept the adversity that confronted him, and lead his party to a proper and adequate absolution. He was a far better democrat than his predecessors, notwithstanding his inexplicable attacks on newspaper distribution in the build-up to the last general elections, and a far better consensus builder and team player than his successor, notwithstanding his depressing and condemnable irresoluteness. As the years pass, and the shortcomings of his successors are magnified by their abysmal lack of appreciation of democratic tenets, Dr Jonathan has begun to smell of roses. It would, therefore, not have been out of place for him to really and substantially come clean, once and for all.

    Even though it is a testament to the former president’s reluctance to provide the kind of leadership a defeated party needs that some of his party leaders and chairmanship aspirants still consult the Oracle of Owu, ex-president Olusegun Obasanjo, he is in fact best placed to champion the cause of the opposition party rather than encourage it to engage in the recidivism party leaders have embraced and turned into an art. One of those recidivist tendencies is the party’s inexplicable and indefensible zoning politics. Mr George is incensed by the PDP’s zoning politics, even though he himself is grossly mistaken and chimerical. Others have huffed and puffed over the zoning formula which they denounce and laud in equal measure for its dangerous imprecision and terrifying political obfuscations. The zoning formula has in fact seemed to morph so much that it is unclear whether party leaders themselves can tell if the formula is ethical or diabolical.

    Amidst the furore of allegations and counter-allegations of hidden presidential ambitions, which has seen the caretaker chairman, Ahmed Makarfi, accused of harbouring venomous ambition, zoning has since moved like a yo-yo from mere zoning to what is, for want of better word, described as ‘micro-zoning’, and again back to zoning. In acknowledgement of the near invincibility of President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC), the PDP has zoned its presidential position to the North, believing that only a fellow northerner could stand the chance of unhorsing the implacable Buhari. And in consonance with that belief, the vice presidency was then zoned to the South. But while the presidential position has in general retained its zoning integrity, the vice presidential position has oscillated between being zoned to the South to being zoned, as many now speculate, to the Southwest. This new zoning arrangement, it is suggested, led to the refusal of party leaders to ‘micro-zone’ the chairmanship position to the Southwest so that the party could present a perfect zoning counterpoise to the APC’s presidential ticket.

    The APC zoning arrangement, which is likely to be carried into the next presidential election if party leaders can forge the reconciliation necessary to reunite the fractious party, consists of ‘micro-zoning’ the presidential ticket to the Northwest/Southwest combination, and zoning the ticket in general to the North/South combination. It is unimaginative that the PDP would rather adopt this sort of ‘micro-zoning’ and general zoning arrangements simply to make their ticket almost indistinguishable from the APC’s. Why the PDP thinks that that peculiar zoning arrangement stands them in good stead, assuming a better stead was not needed, is hard to fathom. The PDP must of course spread its positions and offices, but there is nothing binding them to conventional wisdom on the infuriating and vexatious scale they seem to idolise.

    It was hoped that Dr Jonathan, having learnt huge lessons from his lack of foresightedness when he presided over the affairs of Nigeria and his party, would summon the intellect and discipline to gently nudge his party away from the unproductive conservatism (not ideological) of conventional wisdom. But because it seemed apparent that the electoral debacle he suffered two years ago could not be entirely divorced from his unprincipled flouting of the party’s zoning arrangement, he has been wary of embracing a radical overhaul of both the operational structure and ideology of the party. Given his years in power and the many sensible things he said in those heady years of PDP rule, though they warred against his policies, it is fair to say that the former president seems to possess the instinct of a change agent and a decent president.

    Concerning the matter at hand in the PDP, Dr Jonathan cannot claim not to be alert to the right but uncharted direction he should coax his unwilling party to take. It is time for them to first atone for their misrule, a part of which the ex-president himself bears the blame, and then secondly to rebuild their party on a more solid, ethical and ideological foundation. For decades, they have been reluctant to make this sacrifice. If despite his education, standing and experience Dr Jonathan still can’t inspire this profoundly existential change in a party that looks up to him for leadership, then he would have once again proved that the gap between his thought and action, which war continuously against each other in his mind, is more disturbingly real and also uncomplimentary to his image than first imagined.

    For now, the PDP has opted for the simplistic approach of cloning the ruling party’s zoning formula. It is not clear whether this would bring about the political nirvana they have been dreaming of since 2015 when they suffered that excruciating electoral blow. Their impatience, not to say their impractical politics, may yet be their undoing in the next election. Should that happen, Dr Jonathan will bear a disproportionate part of the blame for not attempting the radical transformation, if not rebirth, that would stand the party in good stead with the electorate. It is apparently far easier to be conservative and conventional; but it is far more rewarding, though probably dangerous, to shift paradigm and change template. In 2019, if care is not taken, the PDP will learn the hard way how not to fear change.

  • Gerontocracy, Mugabe and politics

    There is no doubt that the biggest news on the world stage this week was the resignation of Zimbabwe’s 93 year old president Robert Mugabe, who for the 37 years he was in office, seized his nations’ democracy and turned it into a menacing gerontocracy which only collapsed when his succession plan for his wife to replace him backfired and the army gave him the marching orders. But even then, the Zimbabwean army commanders were careful not to call their intervention a military coup, because that was no longer politically correct or fashionable in the comity of nations especially in the western world led by the US, Britain and the EU. Yet these nations, especially former colonist of Zimbabwe, Britain would have turned a blind eye to anything that removed Mugabe from office including any coup or insurgency, because the Zimbabwean leader was a constant and long bone in the neck of the British establishment because of the way he seized lands and farms from the Zimbabwean white settlers who looked up to Britain for support and deliverance from the clutches of Mugabe who insisted the land belong to the black citizens of Zimbabwe no matter the colour of the developers of such land.

    But Mugabe at his exit this week was a disgrace and a lesson in the sad and negative end of the saying that ‘an actor quits when the ovation is loudest’. In addition and quite pathetically his rambling speech this week on global media in which he promised to address his party’s rally in a few weeks’ time when everyone else in this world knew his time was up was vintage display of a quotation in Shakespeare’s drama.‘ As You Like It, in which the seven stages of a man’s life was described and the last was described thus -‘The last scene of all that ends this eventful history, is second childishness and mere oblivion, sans eyes, sans teeth, sans everything.’ That really was how Mugabe looked and sounded as he shuffled papers and spoke in that rambling tone that made a mockery of the leader that led his nation from independence but left it in great poverty and economic decay with 95 percent of his people unemployed such that even his party was so fed up it threatened him with impeachment even in his old age, if he did not resign. He eventually resigned this week and his people broke into jubilation aired for so long by western media especially CNN for the rather selfish reason that they never saw anything good in Mugabe from the beginning and never wished him well because he stood up to Britain the US and the West bravely while in office.  Zimbabweans loved his audacity in this regard and applauded him all the way for almost four decades until he fell from grace last week because of his love for his wife called Grace who schemed shamelessly to succeed her husband and unwittingly hastened his fall from grace to grass just this week.

    In my view there is nothing wrong in having a gerontocracy which really is a rule of old men invariably over 60 years of age. The concept was attributed to Plato ,the Greek philosopher who taught that the old should lead because of their wisdom and the young should learn at their feet. It was the ruling philosophy of the city of Sparta the rival of Athens in Greek history. The Spartans were reputed for strict discipline and obedience and my favorite recollection of them was with regard to the story of King Leonidas and his 300 men who laid down their live in obedience to the maxim of Sparta that their army never returns home as losers but conquerors. At the Pass of Thermoplyae according to Greek legend Leonidas and his 300 men fought valiantly against a much bigger Persian army and perished but Leonidas sent a message to Sparta’s ruling gerontocracy recorded in history beautifully thus –‘All ye that passeth by, go ye tell the Spartans, that we here lie in absolute obedience to their orders’. That was a positive way of remembering obedience and loyalty in a gerontocratic political system. The other example in terms of policy formulation in Greek history was not that endearing. This was the postulation that the eighty year old leaders would ask the seventies to decide which of the sixties should retire. That was not quite enticing to me but one could see its sign on the gerontocracy that Mugabe ran which had as leaders, old guards of the Patriotic Front which fought the guerilla war that ousted Ian Smith about forty years ago and have been at the helm of affairs ever since and now beyond even Mugabe’s exit. This is because the man sworn in this week to succeed Mugabe, Emmerson Mnangagwa, is over 70 and had been serving the Patriotic Front since he was a teenager and grew up through the ranks in the security apparatus that beat up Mugabe’s opponents constantly, loyally and furiously till he too became Mugabe’s Vice President. But his luck ran out when Grace Mugabe attempted to upstage him as Mugabe’s heir and he had to flee for dear life till the army struck, forced Mugabe to abdicate as it were, and brought Mnangagwa back as president. So in Zimbabwe today Mugabe may be gone but power still resides where it has always been in terms of a disrupted succession which the army has rectified and you can bet that this would be legitimized and elongated further in the 2018 elections.

    • Continued online
  • Clap for Enyeama

    Colin Udoh isn’t a flippant journalist. Udoh is a stickler for details. An engineer, his passion for sports is remarkable. He is an unrepentant supporter of Manchester United FC of England. Besides, he follows the domestic game with almost equal measure. Did I hear you say ‘so what about Udoh?’ Udoh deserves all the accolades because in picking his better half, he chose a former Nigerian woman football icon, former Miss Mercy Akide, to explain how adept he is in sport.

    Mercy Akide stands tall in terms of her feats in soccer, like the late Rashidi Yekini for Super Eagles. In 2001, she was named the first African Woman Footballer of the Year, and was a 1999 and 2004 FIFA World All-Star. She has played for Nigeria in three FIFA Women’s World Cups and also helped Nigeria’s Super Falcons to three African Women Championships (AWC) titles  – 1998, 2000 and 2002. In November 2004, she married football journalist Colin Udoh in her home town of Port Harcourt. In 2005, she was named by FIFA as one of its 15 Ambassadors for Women Football.  I digress!

    Udoh cherishes exclusives. And so, when he wrote on a platform that Vincent Enyeama won’t return to the Super Eagles, I shouted ‘’Eureka.’’  Udoh was so sure of this statement that he asked those who cared to read the message to exchange it for cash at a bank. So, the dust of Enyeama’s likely return to the Eagles for the Russia 2018 World Cup has been blown away.

    Besides, Enyeama has shown that he is a man of his word, having told us repeatedly that he is through with Nigeria’s international matches. The World Cup no longer motivates Enyeama. He was at the 2002 Mundial in Japan, South Africa in 2010 and Brazil in 2014. He has taken part in the Confederations Cup for national teams, so what is left for him? I’m sure Enyeama doesn’t want to be like others who came out of retirement to represent Nigeria, only to leave with ignominy.

    It is good that Enyeama has confirmed his absence with ample time for the coaches to search for better goalkeepers. Goalkeepers are as good as their defences. Gernot Rohr should train his players to mark their opponents as soon as they lose possession of the ball. Goalkeepers Ikechukwu Ezenwa, Daniel Akpeyi and Francis Uzoho have shown the potential to be better players if told what to do during matches. Argentina, for example, isn’t losing sleep over the fact that their first choice goalkeeper, Romero, is a bench warmer at Manchester United. The Argentine coach didn’t consider it a problem when he fielded the reserve against Nigeria in Russia; friendlies are meant to correct flaws noticed in a team.

    Perhaps Rohr should get us the best goalkeeper trainer, like Clemens Westerhof did shortly before USA ’94 World Cup, when he couldn’t decide who was Nigeria’s best. The trainer picked Peter Rufai ahead of others and Westerhof respected the trainer’s judgment. Westerhof wasn’t comfortable with Rufai’s cult hero status with the fans. The Dutch wanted to be the king and didn’t want to share that with any player. Chants of ‘’Dodo Mayana’’  from the fans each time the team arrived on the pitch irritated Westerhof.

    History has an uncanny way of repeating itself. In 1998, Nigeria qualified for the World Cup, with one game to spare, under the tutelage of the white witchdoctor, Philipe Troussier. Troussier, a Frenchman, built a new squad that reduced the number of our established stars, using the 3-5-2 formation. Troussier’s new formation effectively knocked off those stars in the twilight of their careers. Rather than allow Troussier lead the team to the Mundial, a former loquacious sports minister kicked the Frenchman out on spurious grounds that the players wanted to play the 4-4-2 formation that won Nigeria gold at the Atlanta’96 Olympics and our historic outing at the USA’94 World Cup. A case of the student picking his teacher for the parents, only in Nigeria can this happen, largely because of the fixation on how the team should look, without considering the fact that many of the players would have lost form since their emergence as stars. With Troussier out, the players opted for journeyman Bora Milutinovic, who did their bidding, such that holidaying players, who wouldn’t have made Troussier’s squad, returned. Based on fixation, an admixture of those who excelled at the USA’94 World Cup and the Atlanta’96 Olympic Games would fetch us the World Cup. For those short-sighted people, especially the former minister, the Mundial has a long history of surprises, which humbled reigning champions.

    Of course, it took Adegboye Onigbinde to change things in the Eagles with the last game against England, no thanks to the government’s decision to drop some recalcitrant players, who misbehaved at the Mali 2002 Africa Cup of Nations. Enyeama’s refusal to rejoin the Eagles is the elixir the team needs to reinvent its formations for the good of the game.

     

    World Cup sharing formula

     

    In past editions, our players held us hostage at the World Cup over allowances and, most times, unbelievable demands before key matches. The players used such forum to blackmail NFF chiefs. No one has been jailed so far for misappropriating cash meant for the team.

    At France ’98 World Cup, the players got $15,000 upfront before confronting Denmark in the second round. They thought they could stroll through the Danes, especially when the quarter-finals game would have been against Argentina. Most Nigerians felt the Eagles would beat the Danes. A very popular newspaper was not on the stands the morning after the game because it had done a comprehensive package on the game between Nigeria and Brazil, which never held. The Danes whipped us 4-1. I have not stopped asking why players, who got paid at every stage of the competition, would be making incredible demands beyond what is recommended.

    If the France incident was a fiasco, what happened in Brazil in 2014 was laughable because we could have beaten the French if we were focused on the game. And I’m sure the players and officials would have earned more than what they got. What happened in France would have been avoided, if we hadn’t treated the players’ and coaches’ refusal to board the FIFA-chartered jet to Brazil for the 2013 Confederations Cup with kid gloves. Those who led the revolt in 2002 in Mali were stopped from participating at the Mundial in Japan.

    It is good that the sharing formula for the Mundial in Russia has been discussed, with the decisions sent to the Federal Government for approval. I hope the players and coaches were properly briefed about the government’s TSA. I also hope they know that FIFA’s cash comes months after the Mundial.

    I have been waiting to read what they would be paid as match winning bonuses, for drawn games and for daily allowances. We need to know how perennial attendees at the Mundial do theirs without rancour. Nigeria should never be the laughing stock at the Mundial, simply because of some unruly players and officials. Most times, these protests come before difficult games, giving the impression that the players and coaches know that such matches have been lost even before the kick-off.

     

    Nigeria 50th in the world?

     

    I really don’t know how the points for the monthly rankings are allocated to countries. Tips thrown in the public domain seem to be contradictory, especially this latest edition concerning the Super Eagles.

    Ordinarily, Nigeria’s 4-2 victory over Argentina should give our team enough points to lift us above the eighth position in Africa, to say the least. In fact, we have played against some the countries atop us and finished unscathed. We beat others. Nigeria is going to the Mundial unbeaten from a group where three countries that were eliminated were previous winners of the Africa Cup of Nations. Indeed, Nigeria whipped the defending African champions Indomitable Lions of Cameroon 4-0 in Uyo and drew 1-1 against the Cameroonians in Yaounde.

    I wonder where we would have been if Argentina had beaten Nigeria by the same margin. 50th after our unbeaten status going to the Mundial, raises many posers. It puts Nigeria in bad stead ahead of the draws in Russia on December 1.

    While FIFA puts Nigeria at 50, the parallel organisers of the monthly ranking, the World Football Elo Ratings, put Nigeria at 41, with a point haul of 1,691, as against the paltry 671.07 that FIFA gave us.

    The highly subjective ranking formula will confound even the best mathematician.  The formula is based on multiple factors that are summed up as P = M x I x T x C.

    M states whether the match is won, lost or drawn. A win fetches three points. A drawn match has a point and a loss fetches zero.

    This is multiplied by I, which stands for the importance of the match. A World Cup qualifying match is given the value of 2.5 as against 1.0 for a friendly match. So, Nigeria’s win over Malawi, for instance, will be 3 multiplied by 2.5, which should fetch seven points.

    In the ranking formula, the item T stands for the relative strength of the opposition. The pertinent question is, whether the item “T’’ had no bearing when a Nigerian side ranked 41st pummelled the fourth ranked Argentina in Russia earlier this month.

    According to FIFA, “the strength of the opponents is based on the formula: 200 – the ranking position of the opponents.

    “As an exception to this formula, the team at the top of the ranking is always assigned the value 200 and the teams ranked 150th and below are assigned a minimum value of 50. The ranking position is taken from the opponents’ ranking in the most recently published FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking.”

    So, the points obtained from the match are multiplied by the importance of the match and then the strength of the opposition and the continent involved.

  • Revolutions, history and leadership

    Anniversaries are occasions  for reminiscences on the past, good  or bad. That  really is the stuff of history.This  first  week  of November 2017 therefore,  in the light of events and anniversaries that fall  due, in my view,  is a  bounteous  harvest of history,  both  ancient  and modern. First,  the Russian revolution of 1917  that  created the world’s first  Marxist  state was  a hundred years  old this week.  But   there  was  not much to celebrate  in  Putin’s  Russia,  even  though  the world  had learned  a lot   in the  100  years, since  the death   of  Lenin, the leader  of that revolution. In  the new  world  since that Marxist  Revolution, a  church  called – The  Church on the Blood-  has been  built  in  Russia  on the spot  where  the family of the Russian Czar Nicholas 11  was  buried after that royal  family  was butchered by the Bolsheviks and their  bodies mutilated  100  years  ago.  Those who  built  that church have  called  the Bolshevik  Revolution a foreign  interference in Russian  affairs  as the Revolutionaries  were brought in from Germany  which   was  at war  with  the Russian  Empire then. Such  people   are  obviously   sniggering at those in the US now  talking of  Russian hacking  of  US  2016  presidential  elections which, exactly    one year   ago  on November  7 2017,  brought  in the  volatile,  bombastic and very  politically   incorrect    presidency   of the highly  irrepressive  Donald  Trump. Again  I say,  this    is the stuff  of history.

    Yet,   not all revolutions,  now   and   past    are  bloody  and  turbulent  as the Russian  Revolution  of 1917.  In  Saudi  Arabia  a  royal  revolution  is going on  now  in the fight a against  corruption  led  by 31  year  old  Crown  Prince Mohammed  bin  Salman   son  of incumbent King  Salman. Over 210  princes and  individuals  have  been incarcerated at a posh  hotel   in  Saudi  Arabia  with  the Attorney  General  claiming they have embezzled over    $100bn.  Given  the  notorious  fact  that those  who  steal  our  public funds  here  in  Nigeria  buy properties in Doha , Dubai  in  the Middle  East, this  means that there is no safe  haven for  long,  for those who think  that  stolen  money  is safe in the Middle  East,  given  the Saudi  Crown  Prince  assault  on his uncles and  kinsmen  in the new  revolutionary  battle,  amongst  the ruling  House  and class  in  Saudi  Arabia, to put its royal  house  in order. .

     

    Similarly  and  especially  in the UK, another  revolution of  the sexes  is going  on  which  I call   a War  of the sexes.   It   is one   that   UK  PM  Theresa  May  has dubbed the fight for ‘respect‘ by the  female    sex  in the now  much  amplified   and     highly    westernized  fight against  sexual  harassment.  I  call  it  Aikin  Mata  in  Hausa  which  means – Women  At  Arms,  the title  of a  drama  play  that I   took  part in at  the  Great  Ife,   years  ago. In   the play  Aikin  Mata, the  women  folk  in the community  sex – starved their  husbands  to  make a point and the husbands  found that uncomfortable  in terms of  fulfilling their  roles  as husbands  and played   ball   to  stop  the sexual  harassment  of the ladies. Now  in the US  and  the western world,  the  ball  is now in the court  of the ladies who  have gone hysterical  and   very    historical  in exposing   men   who  mad passes at them in their  work  places  in the past and the governments in that  part of the world are listening and  are punishing those randy  men  involved in such  episodes. Indeed  a politician in  Ireland  on  hearing some whiff  of his suggested  involvement in  the media,  committed suicide rather than face the opprobrium of sexual  harassment  and it was left  to  his  bereaved family  to lament post humously    that  he  was  not  given a chance  to defend  himself  as required  by law  or  the simplest  form of natural  justice.  To  me, sexual  equality  is  the fight  to make women  have the  same rights as men but  that  doesn’t mean  women  should  not be attracted to  men and vice versa.  In  calling it respect  Theresa  May  has opened  a new frontier of sexual  interaction and  relationship which  puts men  on the defensive and that too is a form  of sexual  harassment  or  discrimination.  Could she have said it because she is a woman?  Your  guess  is as good  as  mine and  your  answer  is  probably  dependent  on your  sex. Which  shows  clearly   how absurd  and disruptive this  so called   war  of ‘respect ‘  for ladies  have become.

    Let  us now go  back  to the  Russian  Revolution of  1917, hundred  years ago and  the effect of that on contemporary  and comparative  world politics. To  lead  us in this direction is BBC’s  Steve Rosenberg’s  historical  and educative analysis  titled ‘In  the shadow  of  Red  October ‘   on   the internet,  in which  he revisited 4  Russian  cities  namely  St  Petersburg, Moscow, Yekaterinburg  and  Khabarovsk   to  see  the effect  of  the Russian  Revolution. Rosenberg’s  analysis  is a master piece  in putting  historical  events in perspective and context  and making the lessons of history clear  and lucid.  I love it,  even as I confess   to  being emotional   and   obsessed  with the facts and  nitty  grrity   of    historical  exposures  and   hard  facts on play  in it  .Rosenberg  pointed  out that the Great  October Socialist  Revolution  as it became known – actually  took place on 7 November. But  in  1917 Russia was  using  a different calendar from  the West according to which the date was  October 25.

    In   present day Russia, it surfaced  that  the present  Russian  government has  tried  to distance itself  from  a Russian event  that was bloody  and violent  in bringing down  the Romanov dynasty that had ruled Russia for five centuries  and died when Czar Nicholas’  brother refused  the request of the Bolsheviks  to succeed  him. According to Bishop   Yevgeny  of the  Urais, – ‘ the Czar’s   killers  saw themselves   as gods.  This  sickness  of the mind became the fever   of the 20th  century‘.

     

    • Continued online
  • Why Eagles will shine

    I like Gernot Rohr’s style of running the Super Eagles; it reminds me of the days when coach Adegboye Onigbinde was in charge of the team. Both men have a fatherly disposition towards their players; this has helped in attaining high standards.  Suddenly, the usual clashes between NFF chieftains and the coach are gone – no quarrels over delayed or outstanding entitlements for the team; all the parties agree with what they are told, with no player daring to break the rule, unlike in the past where coaches prompted the players to cry for their entitlements.

    That favourite word, ‘mafia’, has been expunged from our football jokes or is it lexicon. Yet, nothing has really changed – entitlements are delayed, most times payments for games are not done immediately. But the business of winning games has continued; the players give their best. With managers such as Rohr and Onigbinde, there is nothing like a strike or a protest. Don’t remind me of the Eagles’ shameful act in Namibia in 2013, and at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil. Isn’t it clear to everyone the source of the shameful  protests?

    Like Onigbinde, Rohr has a subtle way of stamping his authority over his players without making a fuss about it. I was extremely impressed when Rohr dropped John Mikel Obi from last Friday’s dead rubber game against Algeria. Mikel arrived late to the camp in Morocco. Rohr welcomed him without referring to his late arrival. But when it was time to wield the stick, by not fielding him against the Algerians, Rohr told reporters he wanted to give others a chance. But Mikel knows better.

    I hope Rohr’s subtle message wasn’t lost on Mikel. As the captain, Mikel should be the first person in camp. He should usher others in. He should lead by example. It is interesting to note that the players were miffed when Victor Moses arrived very late to camp before the Zambia game. And it showed in the way the team played, with Moses unable to strike the rhythm and balance that his skills bring to the team’s style. The coach held his ace, preferring to warn everyone. So, when Mikel crossed the line, he got a shocker. Truth be told, no player is indispensable. Was anyone shocked that Mikel was outstanding against the Argentines? It was a wake-up call for the team’s captain.

    Moses can win the African Footballer of the Year Award back-to-back, if he improves on his attitude towards national team assignments, irrespective of the fact that Chelsea FC of London pays his wages. After all, Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi still play with the same zeal for their countries, like they do for their clubs. Even if they must miss their country’s matches, an agreement is struck before such absence, most times for international matches, not key games. Indeed, Ronaldo and Messi have clauses on national team assignments and their club’s matches in the event of clashes.

    It was good that Messi missed Tuesday’s game in Russia, just as Nigeria couldn’t use some key players, such as Odion Ighalo, Ogenyi Onazi, Victor Moses, Moses Simon and Elderson Echiejile. Nigeria fought back from a two-goal deficit to beat the Argentines 4-2. With this setting, not a few Nigerians expected the Eagles to roll over the Argentines. When the Eagles were trailing by two goals, most people looked forward to a whitewash. But Rohr was calm on the bench, preferring to use his substitutes to reverse the trend.

    Rohr’s joker is his reliance on younger and fitter players. Today, the new-look defence is made up of Nigeria-born lads (Tyron Ebuehi, Leon Balogun, William Troost-Ekong, Ola Aina and Brian Idowu ), whose ages we are sure of. The World Cup is for the youth. This, perhaps, explains why ageing teams, such as Italy, Holland, Cote d’ Ivoire, etc, won’t be at the Russia 2018 World Cup. Countries that excel at the Mundial throw up new players with every edition. Unlike in the past where we always rebuilt the Eagles with every failure.

    With Rohr, it is certain that Nigeria will leave Russia a fulfilled side, ready to win the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games’ soccer gold medal, a reminiscence of Atlanta 1996. Nigeria’s debut at the Mundial in USA threw up many talented players; it was easy for Johannes Bonfrere to select his players, including those with World Cup experience, such as Austin Okocha, Sunday Oliseh, Uche Okechukwu, Daniel Amokachi and Emmanuel Amuneke, in the Atlanta ’96 Olympic Games squad.

    Rohr is toeing Clemens Westerhof’s path of rebuilding with younger players. The difference is that Westerhof took rookies, such as Daniel Amokachi, Finidi George, Uche Okechukwu, Friday Elaho, Benedict Iroha et al, from the domestic league to Europe to polish their skills. But the domestic league is dead, in spite of the innovations introduced by the League Management Company (LMC). It looks as if LMC chiefs are beating a dead horse. But they shouldn’t give up.

    Westerhof used 133 players in four years to get the team. But it is taking Rohr just 33 players to achieve the same results, largely because he has opted for Europe to get Nigeria-born boys who are already made. I won’t be surprised if Nigeria wins gold in Tokyo, depending on how we fare in Russia and what happens to Rohr.

    Yes, the Argentines were stunned. They conceded four goals and they are not blaming their loss on goalkeeping faults; they are not ruing the decision to keep their first choice goalkeeper, Romero, on the bench. So, what is all the noise about Daniel Akpeyi’s mistakes? Are friendlies not meant to expose the team’s weak links? What are the duties of the goalkeeper trainer and the coaches if not to correct the flaws noticed in their wards?

    Goalkeepers Ikechukwu Ezenwa and Daniel Akpeyi have shown us their flaws. Ezenwa has problems dealing with crosses like Vincent Enyeama (for those rooting for his return). Ezenwa concedes cheeky goals like Enyeama, for those who can recall the goals Enyeama conceded against the Kenyans at home and against Ethiopia, to mention a few matches. We need to give Rohr and Aloy Agu the opportunity to correct Ezenwa’s flaws instead of dumping him. Akpeyi is scared stiff. He is haunted by his past poor performances. He needs a psychologist to talk him out of those nightmarish outings to regain his confidence . Characteristically, Rohr hasn’t blamed Akpeyi for the two goals he conceded. I hope Rohr takes him back to his trainers to correct his mistakes.

    We cannot jettison Ezenwa and Akpeyi on the altar of mistakes and embrace Uzoho who we dumped in 2013. Uzoho was the third choice goalkeeper of World Cup winning Golden Eaglets in 2013. Uzoho is smelling like gold because Spanish side Deportivo de la Coruna has been grooming him since then. Have we bothered to groom Dele Alampasu who benched Uzoho in 2013? Why do we like finished products? If we must align with FIFA’s objectives of using the stars of age-grade teams to replace the ageing senior players, then, we need to invite Alampasu to fight for the goalkeeper’s shirt instead of wooing Enyeama out of retirement.

    Fielding Uzoho against the Argentines made him an international player, which is what Deportivo needs to give him a regular shirt in the La Liga. The Spanish side will promote Uzoho and bask in the euphoria that he is the first choice goalkeeper of a World Cup bound country – Nigeria, easily one of the best teams in Africa. Today, Leicester FC of England boasts of having eight World Cup-bound players, with Nigeria having three (Iheanacho, Ahmed Musa and Wilfred Ndidi) of them.

    Until recently, the Eagles’ defence had issues, especially with the wing backs, which have been fixed with the discovery of Idowu, Aina and Ebuehi. I feel Echiejile is a better wing back than Chigozie Awazim, who has been very inconsistent since the Rio 2016 Olympics. The quintuplet of Idowu, Aina, Ebuehi, Shehu and Echiejile can solve the wing back problem, excluding Awazim. Rohr’s decision to introduce Kenneth Omeruo as a substitute for Leon Balogun underscores why the players fight for him during matches. William Troost-Ekong stands tall in Eagles’ defence, but he needs to have a good substitute, which I think Rohr has found in Kevin Akpoguma, who  captained the German U-20 side to the World Cup.

    Rohr must be worried on how to organise his midfield and attack, with the way those fielded against Argentina played. Even those who missed the game would sit up, knowing they could lose their shirts, which is good for team cohesion. Odion Ighalo may lose his striker’s shirt if Iheanacho and Iwobi continue with their deft dribbles and seamless play upfront, which left the Argentine defenders sprawling on the turf.

    Imagine the audacious manner in which Iwobi played the ball between defender Mascheranro’s legs before scoring the fourth goal for Nigeria; sheer class, like the commentator rightly described the move.