Category: Saturday

  • Elections, women and politics

    Elections, women and politics

    As  the  2023  presidential   election campaigns took   off in Nigeria   this week ,  it is time to focus on issues to be discussed as well as the political  actors on the national stage competing for power . This cannot be done in a vacuum  or in isolation because Nigeria as a nation ,  is a very important sovereign citizen of the international community or the comity of nations . A  comparative analysis is therefore  desirable to not only enjoy the topic or the discussion  ,but to help us have an insight into our fate   or future as a nation   after this 2023 presidential elections .

    Already  no less a person than our  own OBJ , a former head of state has played the role of ‘ a prophet of doom  ‘   as it were  ,and flew the kite that if religious leaders do not play their role well in preaching the truth ,  politicians will  destroy  the nation . That  is typical OBJ   . He  says  his mind and Abacha almost  killed him for that but he became president instead later  and governed for two  presidential terms of eight  years . Definitely  , from or by experience  , he knows what he is saying and Nigerians should listen because dismissing him as shouting wolf when there is none  will   amount to going to sleep in a thatched house when the roof is  on  fire . We  should  no wait to be accused  later of closing the stable  doors after the horses have bolted .

    In  other not to be hoodwinked or  bamboozled by election promises which  are the sweet  stuff of campaign  ,   especially   in Nigeria ,  we look at   two leaders on the world stage who are women  and who  have just won power to  govern in their  different political  systems . It is apparent that there is no woman in power in Nigeria but  that does not mean that Nigerian  women are in any way inferior to these  foreign  women . At  least Nigerian women  know they  are women and real  ones  at that  .   Well  educated ,  and  comparatively   brilliant  and  competitive  in all disciplines with women any where in the world .    Unlike  a US Supreme Court  woman   judge  candidate who was scared to define the word ‘ woman’ in the way we understand the word ,  in this our part of the world .

    We  take a look at the  two newest women PMs in  both Britain and Italy   as well  as European  and American  political  and cultural values  .  The  choice of the two nations is predicated on  their history  and their religious and political  pedigree as nations . Britain had an Empire and was a colonial  power which colonized Nigeria till 1960 when we became a Republic . Italy was the base of the Ancient Roman Empire which still fascinates politicians and scholars  till  now and is the origin of the Roman Catholic  Church  which ruled the civilized world at a time when the Church was the state . We  look at the emergence of these women leaders and compare the issues that brought them to power with those in Nigeria and of course the nations of the EU   as well  as the US  ,  with  which  the nations mentioned here have a close  relationship if not affinity .

    Read Also; Leadership, culture and democracy

    In  Britain Liz Truss succeeded Boris Johnson as PM and was the last Minister the Queen received as PM before her demise and fantastic funeral . Giogia Melone became the PM of Italy this week when her Party Brothers of Italy won  the largest chunk of votes to form a coalition in which Melone is expected to be Italy’s  first woman PM . The two  women  have some thing in common . They  are  both conservatives . In European terms that means they  are pro family ,church and are against  abortion , migration and are anti Islam  because of terrorism and its importation without integration into Europe . Consequent  upon Brexit , Britain is outside of EU  control but the values of these two  conservative women that brought them to power conflict  with what the EU has stated as European values . These  EU  values   are pro –immigration , pro abortion , promotion and respect for LGBTQ rights and the right of individuals to determine their sex and gendre . Even  the words man , he , woman , and she are about to be eliminated in their vocabulary to be replaced by gender neutral terms  in   the  EU  and  American lexicon  under  the present US  government   and in majority  of EU  nations  .That  explained why the US Supreme Court judge was unable to define a woman  or call herself one . Meloni  especially has been  demonized as extremist and a danger to the LGBTQ community in Italy but she is in power and   is  expected to move Italy in the direction  of her campaign promises . That  should please  her  supporters immensely and should  pain those campaigning  for same sex marriage and LGBTQ  rights which  incidentally includes the Catholic Church based in the Basilica in Rome Italy  and is led by Pope  Francis  from Argentina which  recently  legalized same sex marriage .

    In  Nigeria which started its  presidential   campaigns this week   all   these  issues  are not  political   issues . The issues are different . The  presidential  candidate of the PDP set  the ball  rolling when he said at his campaign launch that the Buhari government  has failed , that Nigeria is in  confusion  and that our federalism is suspect and not genuine  .  That  is the tip  of the iceberg . The  issues of insecurity , mass migration from North to South ,kidnapping , armed Fulani herdsmen terrorism , Boko  Haram terrorism and the insurgency in the East ,  are issues that any presidential contestant must  offer credible  solutions to be able  to win power and rule Nigeria after the 2023 presidential elections .Nevertheless,  the PDP candidate has a credibility obstacle  to overcome ,  having been in power as VP before and was an active political  supporter of the PDP government of the Jonathan Administration that was  accused of the same  inadequacies he has laid  at the doorstep of the Buhari Administartion . Surely the saying is apt here  that those who live in glass houses should  not throw stones or they will  be ridiculed as the pot calling the kettle black . Nigerians are wiser this  time around .

    On  another note the election of Giorgia Meloni  in  Italy showed  that in politics especially at  election time , culture  matters . That  observation is applicable to politics anywhere in the world and not only Italy but including Nigeria . Meloni   and    her coalition partners were regarded as homophobic and  promoters of hatred against strangers and they lost elections one after the other . At the end  of the day the elections  showed  the  main dictum of democracy and that is that the minority   must have its say but the majority must  have its way , no matter how long that is . In  modern politics  Italy’s election of its first woman PM has  shown that nobody except  the electorate at election time can stop an idea, whose time has come .I  presume the Nigeria electorate has taken judicious note  of that  as the  camapaigns  now begin .

  • Campaigns: The roundtable conversation begins…

    Campaigns: The roundtable conversation begins…

    It long last, the D-day for electioneering campaigns for all registered political parties, the 28th of September has come and with it the doors are now open for parties and their candidates to tell the different voting demographics why they must be their choice. The expectation from Nigerians is that the political parties and their candidates must come with clarity, must depart from the old order as politics like most things in life is dynamic.

    Leadership is serious business. Development of countries is dependent on the type of leaders that can see beyond self. It is a service to the people that must be grounded in a patriotic zeal that is focused on the welfare of the people and development.  The democratic system of government is all about the people and campaign messages must not be ambiguous. The people here is without tags; no race, no tribe, no class, no age, no gender, no creed, simply the people!

    Since independence in 1960, leaders have come, some leaders have died but the people will always be here for generations with all the global changes and innovations. The people are often very observant as leaders come and go. Records are kept and each leader often has an opportunity to view his or her report sheet of performance. This is where it gets interesting, more often than not, those that offer themselves for leadership realize that they are writing their names in the sands of time and as such each action matters.

    So the documentation of a leader’s introduction to the people in a democracy often starts with the campaigns. At the realm of political party politics, the run up to the party primaries marks the introduction of candidates to the party delegates that vote at party primaries to get the party candidates.

    The start of campaigns marks the beginning of the conversation that unites the candidates and the different voting demographics.  The winner of elections in any country with free and fair electoral processes is always the candidate whose sincere conversations with the people who are the mandate givers best resonates with their realities.

    Since the end of party primaries and the nomination of the different candidates,  Nigerians have been expectantly awaiting for this period of campaigns and now that the die is cast,  all eyes are on the political parties and their candidates.

    Given the kind of presidential system Nigeria runs where the center seems to have humongous power that almost tilt towards feudalism, people tend to focus too much on the presidential candidates forgetting that the legislative arm of government is equally important and must attract the same attention for the democratic process to be strong and viable. It is the business of the political parties to work towards getting as many seats at the legislative branch as possible given the complimentary roles of the legislature  during campaigns.

    The Roundtable Conversation has observed that most of the political parties do not understand that campaign period is a pre-arranged strategy which is aimed at influencing the decision-making   process within each voting demographic. All the voting demographics have different demands even if there are basic expectations of all the groups.

    The Roundtable conversation from the benefit of hindsight has noticed that most political parties do not truly understand the nuances of pulling off successful campaigns. That is why it seems that there is too much personality war between the supporters of most of the candidates. Democracy is a government of the people, by the people and for the people. The political party that sees the value of this definition would eventually understand the psyche of the mandate givers in any democracy.

    The people of Nigeria are traumatized already. What with the economic situation, the insecurity, the double digit inflation, the unemployment and under-employment rates, the food insecurity and a plummeting currency in the global market. The people are in need of solutions and not the cliché political propaganda by political parties wishing just to grab power for its own sake.  For the Presidential candidates for instance, the three major candidates, Asiwaju Ahmed Tinubu, Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi are all well known to the Nigerian voters. Even though all three have held executive positions since the return of civilian democracy in 1999, vying for the number one job is a whole new kettle of fish. Thhey must each be realistically convincing.

    The presidency of any country especially the most populous black nation on earth at this time of chaotic economic circumstances is not a walk in the park. It is a very challenging job and the campaign that would effectively give any of them the people’s mandate might not be as easy as most people assume.

    Read Also; 2023: Safety, security tips as campaign begins

    Setting up campaign councils of hundreds or thousands of people might not be the magic wand, making promises at campaign grounds might not impress the people given their past experiences with past political leaders. The people would be looking beyond rhetoric, they would want to hear how the candidates understand their pains,  they want to hear the reasons to be hopeful for a better tomorrow.

    In conversations, the communication is always multi-dimensional, there is always a spirit that pervades, that of listening, respect and expectations. Campaigns are not meant to be a superiority contest. It is meant for pure communications aimed at re-affirming or being convinced about the personality and capacity of candidates. The campaign teams that are able to connect with the people in a seeming conversational way would carry the day. A conversation in any language is as expository as it is informative and at the end each participant goes with some valuable information.

    The conversation Nigerian women for instance want to engage in as the campaigns gather steam is the difference any candidate intends to make to the status quo in the country. If the Kenyan electorate for instance were just given the opportunity to elect seven governors, an additional four women from three that were elected in 2017, what is any candidate either at the executive or legislative angle going to make for a change to come to Nigeria seeing that women are the most loyal party members and the most consistent voters but often marginalized?

    The Nigerian women have been disproportionately affected by insecurity given thepoverty,  abductions and killings either of men or women. The women are the widows and the victims of abductions, rapes and the poverty in the land. They might need convincing answers from candidates and their Spokespersons. The Nigerian women are some of the least represented in parliament across the globe. The Nigerian political parties are controlled by men who have the financial power. Governors monopolize power. Which president can bring the change women want ?

    Nigeria is high on the global terrorism index, which candidates have a realistic roadmap to making it a safe country where children can travel with grandparents or parents and be safe? Which candidate can address those issues that are scaring away investors and tourists and making companies relocate to the neighbouring countries for business? Which candidates have realistic education and health policies?

    The campaign team that appreciates the conversation value of campaigns would be the one to engage more with everyone with no divisive tendencies  of whipping up primordial sentiments that are divisive like religion and tribe in the Nigerian state. Political campaign period is like the unearthing of the inner core of candidates and their vision.

    A recently elected Kenyan William Ruto had a riveting campaign he titled, ‘Every Hustle Matters’. He campaigned in a way that most Kenyans saw their daily hustles in his life story and instinctively connected with his promises having risen from grass to grace. The implication of any word put out by candidates or their media handlers is huge in an election year. Global political dynamics keeps changing and the political party and candidates that understand fully the essence of leadership and its connection to the people often win the popular sentiments and trust.

    There has been a huge trust deficit between the people and successive leaderships in the country at all levels. The winning candidate must through credible strategic marketing be able to retain and win more supporters because in the real sense, campaigns are meant to win more people to a candidate’s side based on how convincing the wooing is.

    The average Nigerian voter has for long believed  that most politicians are up to no good due to disappoints in the past based on failed promises. The onus is therefore on campaign handlers to rebuild that trust in the minds of voters. Politics runs on hope. The best candidate is the one that understands the value of hope especially in a country at the edge of the precipice in almost all facets of national life.

    Unlike in the past when voter apathy was rife, today, especially with the internet, the political awareness has increased so much that many voters have come to appreciate their roles in the selection of their leaders. The increased voter registration and advocacy by civil society organizations for citizen participation have all been very effective in galvanizing Nigerians to do their civic duty come election day.

    The Conversations during this campaign must not be toxic at any level because the people want soothing words, it must not be divisive because the people eagerly desire a healing unity in a polarized nation. The candidates and their media handlers must lead by example because blaming supporters for any toxicity would not help any candidate.  The die is cast, the team that can woo its way with good and realistic policies might just carry the day in 2023 all things being equal.

    The dialogue continues… 

  • Beyond lamentations

    Beyond lamentations

    The sheer splendor and grandeur that characterized activities marking her burial ceremonies reflected the opulence and effortless glamour of her life as royalty for over seven decades. I speak of no other than the just departed Queen Elizabeth 11 of England. She was born great by luck of birth although she magnified the prestige and fame conferred by her royal heritage through a personal charm, modesty and grace that have been widely acknowledged across the world at her passing. Although the immense wealth of the royal family prominently advertised during the burial sharply reinforces in the public consciousness the sharp contrast between the stupendous riches of a microscopic few and the want and deprivation of the vast majority of humanity in our current capitalist epoch, the late Queen was obviously deeply adored by millions of her country men and women across class stratifications. They thronged various venues of the monarch’s lying in state waiting for hours to pay tribute to her memory.

    Many have perhaps inevitably made reference to the linkage between the opulence of the ruling classes of the west and the mass poverty of the underdeveloped regions of the world largely as a result of the historical ravages of the slave trade, colonial imperialism and continuing neo-colonial exploitation. The Queen is seen by many as symbolizing these historical crimes as monarch of a Britain that once wielded colonial suzerainty over large swathes of mankind. In his ‘Communist Manifesto’, Karl Marx, paid glowing tribute to the inherent capacities of capitalism through profit-driven continuous and unceasing improvement in and development of society’s means of production to create wealth beyond what could ever be contemplated under preceding modes of production – communalism, slavery and feudalism. Capitalism has surely not disappointed in this regard as it has created by its prodigious productive capacities the conditions for the abolition of poverty on earth. Yet, growing affluence in a part of the globe continues to be accompanied by increasing poverty and inequality in other parts.

    Professor John Holloway in his 2010 luminous revolutionary book, ‘Crack Capitalism’ vents his frustration on the avoidable contradictions of capitalism when he writes, “Break. We want to break the world as it is. A world of injustice, of war, of violence, of discrimination, of Gaza and Guantanamo. A world of billionaires and a billion people who live and die in hunger. A world in which humanity is annihilating itself, massacring non-human forms of life, destroying the conditions of its own existence. A world ruled by money, ruled by capital. A world of frustration, of wasted potential…We want to create a different world. We protest, of course we protest. We protest against the war, we protest against the growing use of torture in the world, we protest against the turning of all life into a commodity to be bought and sold, we protest against the inhuman treatment of immigrants, we protest against the destruction of the world in the interests of profit”.

    A Nigerian professor teaching in the United States was vicious and vehement in denouncing the queen and her legacy wishing her excruciating pain even as the world awaited the formal announcement of her passing. One of the reasons for the professor’s fury at the queen was what she described as the monarch’s responsibility for the perceived ‘genocide’ against her people, the Igbos, during the Nigerian civil war. This is a superficial and hollow analysis of the war and the role of Britain in the tragedy. Surely, the former colonial overlord could not have been expected to support the breakup of the ex-colony fashioned after its Lugardian image. What were the remote and immediate causes of the war? Could the tragedy have been averted? Did Colonel Odumegwu Ojwuku and other secessionist leaders unjustifiably lead their people into a war for which they were so obviously ill-prepared particularly in terms of military capability and preparedness? In any case, the queen reigns. She does not rule and could not be personally held responsible credibly for the actions of a government in effective control of power and policy.

    But then, Britain’s colonial territories including Nigeria were conquered, acquired and ruled in the name of the queen. The monarchy itself participated in and profited from the depredations of the slave trade while even conferring knighthoods on notorious slave traders. Walter Rodney in his immortal ‘How Europe Underdeveloped Africa’ has documented meticulously how Africa’s current pitiable socio-economic and political deformity and mal-development is deeply rooted in the continent’s historical encounter with imperialism via the slave trade, colonialism and the prevailing neo-colonialism that grew out of these historical atrocities. It is estimated that the population loss to Africa as a result of the slave trade was most likely to the tune of 159 million people in addition to the physical destruction of properties and infrastructure, psychological demoralization, technological incapacitation and dysfunctional perversion of pre-colonial economies to serve colonial interests.

    Expatiating on Rodney’s insights, the late Professor Bade Onimode writes, “These horrendous losses from slavery bled African countries so terribly that by the time of the next European onslaught in the form of colonial invasion, Africa was already prostrate. It had almost lost the will to fight after some 425 years of continuous slave raids, physical destruction, depopulation, technological de-mobilization and the most unimaginable destitution in human history. It was this thoroughly dispossessed, paralyzed and traumatized Africa that was forcibly incorporated into the international capitalist economy from about 1850 on the basis of extreme inequality”. But some have wondered why Africa was so weak that she could not contain and even defeat the colonial intrusion.

    Read Also: Queen; ‘Uninterrupted Responsibility’ to Nigerian shareholders

    Professor Onimode argues that it was the industrial revolution, which started in England at about 1750 that reversed the hitherto near- technological parity between Europe and Africa as well as other parts of the world pointing out that “Like Asia  and Latin America (and the USA before them), Africa lost the colonial wars not only because of the superior fire-power of the colonial invaders, but because 425 years of slavery had left the continent pathetically paralyzed and bleeding in every vein. What was remarkable, therefore, was not that Africa was subjugated, but that she could muster the strength and resilience to resist the colonial predators so fiercely and for so long”. In the debate between scholars who perceived colonialism in Africa as a mere episode and those who saw the phenomenon as epochal in its consequences for the continent, the latter appear to have been proved right.

    Let’s take the enduring political implications of the colonial intrusion as an example. One of the admirable features of the British political system, for instance, is the distinction between the elected government which effectively rules and the monarchy which only wields symbolic and nominal power. There was a natural evolution over time from the absolute and dictatorial monarchism in Britain to the contemporary constitutional monarchical democracy in which real power resides in elected institutions while the monarchy lends its historic prestige, age-long ethos and traditional authority to strengthen the legitimacy and stability of the state. Before the advent of colonialism, there were relatively well developed traditional political systems in the diverse kingdoms and empires that made up pre-colonial Nigeria. Many of these such as the Yoruba pre-colonial states had in-built systems of checks and balances that helped prevent absolute tyranny and maintain a modicum of democracy no matter how tentative and indirect. These pre-colonial political institutions such as in Benin, Oyo, Ile-Ife, Itsekiri, Ijebu-Ode, Sokoto, Kano, Igala-land, the Tiv among several others enjoyed profound reverence and respect among their people.

    But what was the colonial imprint on these evolving pre-colonial political institutions? According to Dr. Nse Etim Akpan, “One of the greatest disadvantages of the system was the damage it did to the traditional authorities who were subject to the checks and balances and other necessary safeguards. But the indirect rule system destroyed these checks and created new powers for the chiefs who abdicated their traditional roles, thus a democratic traditional system became an autocratic one”. In the East where the people were not accustomed to control by traditional rulers and governance was based on families, clans and age grades, the colonialists created warrant chiefs, which were dysfunctional, unacceptable to the people and the experiment was a colossal disaster. Would the content, direction and character of Africa’s pre-colonial patterns of governance and state formation as well as consolidation not been far different and probably more effective and productive without the colonial intrusion?

    In his book, ‘The Black Man’s Burden: Africa and the Curse of the Nation-State’, the late Basil Davidson, lamented that the natural evolution of pre-colonial traditional political systems and patterns of state formation and consolidation were aborted by colonialism and imported political institutions of the colonial power imposed on the continent as if Africa had no worthwhile political governance systems prior to colonialism. This may be at the root of what continues to be a crisis of governance in post-colonial Africa with neither various forms of liberal democracy nor diversities of dictatorship being effective vehicles for accelerated development and meaningful progress. Referring to what he described as a system of ‘dual authority’ in Nigeria with the co-existence of elected governments at various levels and monarchical traditional authorities, Professor Richard Sklar wonders if the deep cultural roots of the latter and the historical prestige they enjoy among their people cannot be tapped as a source of legitimation for elected authorities and the democratic process.

    But that seems too late in the day. Although a few highly revered monarchs can still be found, much of the reverence and prestige of the traditional institutions has been eroded by the same moral degeneracy and venality characteristic of virtually every aspect of life in pre-colonial Africa. Africa’s gaze must be to the future and not the past. Neither does it serve much useful purpose lamenting the depredations of slavery, colonialism and neo-colonialism when the continent has attained political independence for over six decades now and indigenous African rulers have perhaps been even more corrupt and oppressive than the colonial overlords with the consequent deepening of underdevelopment on the continent.

    Our post-independence history has also shown that there can be no magical short cut to genuine liberation and development through illusory revolution or deceptive military messiahs. The only viable path open to Africa is to strengthen and deepen the practice of democracy through which governments can increasingly become more accountable, governments more transparent and the leadership more patriotic, visionary and competent. Progressive forces and parties must strive to ensure that the capacity of the democratic process to produce leaders who can think creatively outside the box and conceptualize as well as implement policies that can help break the chains of dependency and underdevelopment in Africa is systematically enhanced.

  • 2023: Lucky Akpabio girds his loins

    2023: Lucky Akpabio girds his loins

    It is no longer news that the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) listed Senator Godswill Akpabio, former governor of Akwa Ibom State, as the All Progressives Congress (APC) senatorial candidate for Akwa Ibom Northwest in its final list of presidential and national assembly candidates for the 2023 general elections.

    What is now news is the lucky senator’s resolve and efforts to ensure that his name is never removed again for any reason.

    Akpabio, a former Minister of Niger Delta Affairs, had contested the APC presidential primary. However, he withdrew for eventual winner Bola Tinubu on the day of the exercise and returned home to Akwa Ibom to seek the senatorial ticket which he won amidst controversies.

    Since then his candidature has been in question. But respite came his way when a Federal High Court in Abuja last week ordered the electoral commission to recognise him as APC flagbearer.

    Read Also; Lawan and Akpabio as albatross 

    In his judgment, Justice Emeka Nwite faulted INEC’s non-recognition of the former minister; maintaining that the electoral umpire “is bound by the provisions of Section 29 (3) of the Electoral Act to publish only the personal particulars of the candidate of the first plaintiff for the Akwa-Iborn North/West Senatorial District elections in the person of the second plaintiff (Akpabio) as received from the first plaintiff”.

    Now, Akpabio is determined to keep his name on INEC’s roster so he can participate in the senatorial election. On the other hand, his rival is unwilling to let go. Sentry gathered that Deputy Inspector-General of Police, Mr. Udom Ekpoudom (retd.), has vowed that in spite of the court judgment, he will not relinquish the ticket to Akpabio or anyone, no matter the pressure on him.

    To this end, it was gathered that the retired Police boss may be heading to the appellate court to get Akpabio’s name off the list before the election.

    Not to be beaten to the game is also getting ready for the looming legal battle. “We know they will appeal the judgement and we are ready for them. These people don’t have the interest of the party in their heart. They will do anything to distract the party at this crucial time. But Akpabio is up to the task,” an aide to the former Minister said.

    Sentry gathered that Akpabio and his camp are already assembling a team of legal luminaries to prosecute the planned appeal. Don’t forget that INEC made it clear that Akpabio’s inclusion on the list is as a result of the court order.

    It remains to be seen if Ekpoudom’s appeal will make or mar Akpabio’s quest to return to the hallowed chamber of the National Assembly in 2023.

  • PDP: Averting an evocative elegy from within

    PDP: Averting an evocative elegy from within

    Politicians are fond of making mistakes. This is not totally out of place. As human beings, they are susceptible to errors: to err is human, to forgive is divine. But politicians often fail to learn from their past to avoid falling into same pitfalls.

    More often than not, they present themselves as incurable optimists. They exude confidence in the face of looming danger. The reason, people claim, is that 24 hours is a long time in politics. This might explain why the political class comprises players who delight in taking risks. They expect to make changes within a period that ordinary folks would consider too short for rational, in-depth perusal of ideas and events to arrive at a logical solution.

    Factors that make a politician to take a given course of action at sunrise may change before noon. Then, the wide departure is rationalised. Before sunset, a new calculus may displace previous line of thought. Yet, everything is justified.

    All politics, without mincing words, is crisis-ridden. The very nature and character of politics induce conflict. Either in inter-party politicking or intra-party scheming, the elements are the same: competition, antagonism, strife and rancour. In the final analysis, politics is a war of sorts.

    The towering factor is the supremacy of interest. Without ambition, politicians would call it a day. But projecting personal wish alone smacks of narrowness and egocentricity.

    There is a demarcation between personal and collective interest, although the two need to align. In that slippery field, personal ambition may be decorated in the garb of group aspiration. Individual interest, when it collides with collective interest, pales into a particularistic agenda. It becomes an intolerable threat. If the delicate balance between individual intention and group aspiration is mismanaged, the party risks a political disaster.

    That was why the indomitable Obafemi Awolowo counselled that it is wise for individuals not to elevate personal interest above group interest. His admonition is that if the personal interest of an ambitious politician collapses, an accommodation can be found for him within the larger, collective interest of the group. The implication is that the platform, group or party should survive first before it can be useful to individual members.

    How is the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) taking the ageless advice of the late sage?

    The party is locked, not only in a battle of relevance, but also of survival. It gazes at 2023 as a divided house. Perilous times may be around the corner for the party. The discordant tunes within the fold are lapsing into a whimpering elegy.

    The platform has become a pitiable sight. Its rivals – the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and Labour Party (LP), which a serial defector and deserter from the fold, Peter Obi, has simply borrowed as a platform, and more or less mushroom parties, like NNPP and SDP – have not struck. But the PDP is bleeding. The haemorrhage is due to the injury it sustained from frequent attacks by internal rival leaders.

    A key factor in winning and losing the 2015 poll by the APC and PDP was unity, or lack of it. The bond of unity in APC was strong. A disunited ruling party in 2015 faced a serious predicament on poll day. In the eight years that followed, PDP became a struggling party at the national level, aptly left in the cold.

    APC, LP and other parties have their challenges. No political party is insulated from crisis. But why other parties are employing wisdom to resolve their differences, PDP has shifted its imbroglio from its Wadata House national secretariat in Abuja to the media.

    In some African countries, the main opposition parties are in a vantage position to galvanise other smaller parties for a strategic onslaught against the ruling party. But, 24-year-old PDP is handicapped. It is not an ideological party. Its leadership is weakened by disagreements. About six months to general election, its attention is diverted by a curious war of attrition.

    The leadership of PDP is disputed. The national chairman, Dr. Iyorchia Ayu, was properly elected. But, today, he is not a symbol of unity and cohesion. He is swimming in a somewhat legitimacy crisis.

    A group in the party is up in arms against the Third Republic Senate President. It may not be without justification. The group cannot be dismissed with a wave of the hand. It has national outlook. It has members from the six geo-political zones. Although Rivers State Governor Nyesom Wike is said to be the visionary, two Generals – Jonah Jang, a former military and civilian governor, and Bode George, also a former military governor – are the spokesmen.

    Party chieftains like Professor Jerry Gana, Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde, his Enugu counterpart, Dr. Okezie Ikpeazu, former Governors Ayo Fayose (Ekiti), Donald Duke (Cross River), Olusegun Mimiko (Ondo), Ibrahim Dankwambo (Gombe), Chief Dan Orbih, and former Attorney General and Justice Minister Mohammed Adokie – are roaring.

    Was there a power sharing arrangement in the PDP? How did the party respond to zoning and power sharing in the past? Is it the tradition of the party that a region should appropriate all major positions?

    PDP is a big party. It claims to have tentacles in the nooks and crannies of the vast and diverse country. Therefore, should the skewed distribution not provoke uproar?

    The cracks on the wall are a manifestation of resistance to the monopolisation and personalisation of party power and a battle against marginalisation, alienation and exclusion.

    The baseline was the presidential primary. There were two opposing views. The first was zoning to the South, supported by the reality that a Northerner, Muhammadu Buhari, will be completing his two terms of eight years on May 29, next year.

    The second view was that the ticket should be thrown open to all zones, an idea that was alien to PDP. The second view was upheld. However, there was a proviso. It was agreed that if the presidential candidate was picked from the North, the national chairman should go to the South. The unwritten pact was breached, according to the Wike/George/Jang/Gana group.

    After weeks of protests, the Wike forces decided to threaten the party with a partial withdrawal. The chieftains sent a strong message to the presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, that unless Ayu resigns, they would not be part of the PDP Presidential Campaign Council.

    Read Also; Atiku vs Wike: will Ayu go?

    The campaign council, even at its embryonic stage, was a casualty of the crisis. It could not take off at the right time, following the division in the party. By the time Atiku and Ayu decided to set it up, its composition, instead of allaying the fears of the aggrieved chieftains, worsened the suspicion.

    The picture of lopsidedness, inequality and injustice stares the protesters in the face. Since those against the present leadership composition cut across the regions, their struggle cannot be labelled with ethnic coloration. Their grouse is that the three key positions – presidential standard bearer, national chairman and national campaign director – are from one bloc zone, the North.

    The battle line was drawn. But, Atiku, who is used to political wars and who had studied how his former boss, President Olusegun Obasanjo, had maintained a defiant attitude during intra-party wars, dismissed the protesters. Full of bravado, the former Vice President fired back at stalwarts barking at him, saying Ayu would not go. He maintained that if the chairman is to leave, the PDP constitution should be strictly followed.

    Many believe that Atiku is right. The constitution cannot be set aside. But, others believe that he is unrealistic because in the past, chairmen had been deposed in the party and new ones selected, in the interest of the peace.

    But Ayu’s case appears complicated. Although he is being shielded by Atiku as he is being protected by the constitution, he is at the centre of the controversy that may ultimately spell doom for the party. He is now perceived by the protesters, not only as a divisive and destabilising factor, but also as an obstacle to cohesion to be removed.

    Atiku and Ayu are combative. They are prepared for a showdown. The only concession being proposed by Atiku/Ayu camp is that the chairman can only abdicate after next year’s election. This is infuriating to Wike and his supporters, who are not likely to quit the party.

    But, what is the value of stalwarts who refuse to defect, but decide to stay on in the party to subvert or undermine its effort to bounce back at the national level? Their refusal to participate in the campaign underscores their lack of commitment to the electoral project of the standard bearer.

    What can political parties learn from this scenario? It is dangerous to underrate any active and key player in a party, for whatever reason. Also, it is important that party leaders should restrict themselves to making only promises they have the moral strength to fulfil.

    Predictably, the PDP presidential flag bearer was to come from the North, following the controversial annulment of zoning. Party leaders were troubled by their conscience, which has become an open wound. Yet, truth, which could have healed it, disappeared.

    To pacify the South, Ayu promised to resign, if a northerner was picked. As the crisis rages, the chairman has not denied making the promise to voluntarily quit. But, as the Wike camp suggested, there is shortage of courage, although honour and integrity seem to be at stake.

    Jang, a retired Air Commodore, captured what he described as a messy presidential primary and Ayu’s role at the divisive convention. He likened the chairman to a referee who helped one of his sides to score a goal and then blew the whistle. What was concealed surfaced and blew in the face of the party. Ayu, while hailing Sokoto State Governor Aminu Tambuwal for heeding the Generals’ advice to step down for Atiku, described him as the hero of the shadow poll. Does that mean those who lost out or who became victims of last minute tricks at the primary were villains?

    Although Atiku crossed the primary hurdle, PDP subsequently ran into turbulence. Tension seized the party as attention shifted to the choice of a running mate. Again, political parties should now bear in mind that the choice of the presidential candidate is not less tedious than that of his running mate.

    Having lost the first slot, it may have been that Wike eyed the second fiddle, or was glad when there were indications that he would be chosen. The calculation changed overnight as the searchlight was said to have been beamed on temperament. Yet, when he was sidelined, the undiplomatic remark by Atiku that he opted for Delta State Governor Ifeanyi Okowa because he possesses presidential attributes infuriated Wike and his supporters.

    Ironically, Okowa had hosted the Southern governors’ meeting in Asaba, where the key resolution was power shift to the South. Did he betray his colleagues? It is debatable.

    Neither has Ayu’s management of the crisis reflected a depth of experience and gerontocratic wisdom. A hurriedly packaged vote of confidence in Ayu by the polarised National Executive Committee (NEC) and the sudden appointment of former Senate President Adolphus Wabara from the South as the Board of Trustees (BoT) chairman have failed to produce the desired results.

    Ayu is confronted by ethical and moral issue. A father figure should have called his people to explain to them in a sober, persuasive, convincing and logical manner why he could no longer keep his promise to step down. In reaction to criticism by the ‘Ayu Must Go’ campaigners, the chairman arrogantly dismissed their agitation as the antics of latter-day power brokers in PDP; those he said were kids when he and other founding fathers were labouring to put the party in shape.

    Wike returned the insult, describing Ayu and his co-travellers as prodigal fathers. Echoing him, George, a former Deputy National Chairman, said elders should know that “the young shall grow”.

    If a lad like Governor Makinde insists that Ayu’s ouster is an irreducible condition for peace, unity and cohesion, should party elders not come down from their vantage positions to objectively liaise with him?

    Can the PDP afford to keep in its fold “rebellious” children ceaselessly crying for justice? Can the party expel them for decrying lack of equity? The latter will be suicidal. Is keeping Ayu in office more important than eliciting the trust, cooperation and solidarity of anti-Ayu forces?

    It is another tying period for the PDP. Atiku and Ayu are insisting on party constitution that never anticipated the current challenges; a document that is failing to unite the party. The party is not tapping from past experience. How did the party resolve this kind of problem in the past? Wike and his men appear to be calling for resolution through other conventional means, through consensus and in an atmosphere of give and take.

    If the constitution is followed, the Deputy National Chairman (North) should replace Ayu, if the national chairman steps aside. But, a constitution outlives its usefulness if it cannot guarantee equity, justice and peace in any organisation or country. Is that not why there are hues and cries about the flawed 1999 Constitution of Nigeria that has consistently violated the principle of federalism?

    The PDP is also boxed into a tight corner by time constraints. The party cannot organise a new convention to replace Ayu. That option may unleash fresh crisis. The focus is now the campaign, which is an important element of electioneering.

    If Ayu steps down, either due to persuasion or pressure, it would be history repeating itself. It would imply that the eminent scholar, who had the honour of rising to stardom on three occasions as Senate President, three-time minister and national chairman, was fated to leave those prestigious positions without completing his tenure.

    As Senate President in the Third Republic, Ayu was impeached. Even, if he was not shoved aside by his colleagues, military intervention would still have aborted his tenure. As Minister of Education under the maximum ruler, the late Gen. Sani Abacha, he had an albatross in his troublesome Minister of State for Education, Wada Nasarawa (Nas), who refused to cooperate with him. Ayu later left the cabinet. In 1999, Obasanjo appointed him a minister. He was also removed.

    As chairman, is Ayu partaking in the curses rained on future chairmen of the PDP by the politically injured Chief Barnabas Gemade, who predicted that his successors would face the same tribulations? But the curse never affected the rugged soldier and medical doctor, Senator Ahmadu Ali. Will Ayu be as lucky? Will he survive the current heat?

    Yet, Ayu’s ouster may not restore peace, if a Southerner succeeds him. To restore peace, trust and confidence should be revived among the rank and file. There is a gulf, and as George pointed out, the national PDP may be polarised into the Northern PDP and Southern PDP.

    The beneficiary of resignation would be Deputy National Chairman (South) Taofeek Arapaja, a former Oyo State deputy governor, if Ayu agrees to vacate office. The Atiku/Ayu forces have the fear that Arapaja may be operating from Makinde’s armpit, the Oyo governor being a staunch supporter of Wike.

  • How much is NPFL worth?

    How much is NPFL worth?

    Sometimes this writer’s mind runs wild wondering if those who run our football clubs, its administration and the national body understand what it entails. At other times, one is puzzled over how our soccer administrators internalise what they see in saner climes with a view of reproducing them. Are they really cut out for the job or are they just loafers whose stock in trade is to flash their complimentary cards as our soccer body’s chieftains but not bothered about the enormous tasks that go with such offices? Will you blame them? Most times they are lackeys of mindless politicians who open the doors of our soccer to their lickspittles as rewards for their patronage.

    Our soccer is bereft of new ideas – largely because most people who administer the game see it as a status symbol and not as a platform to celebrate excellence. Their immediate target on being appointed is to aspire into international bodies and be seen junketing in several countries peddling influences without thinking about the dynamics of the game or how to influence the local league or what to bring back to our domestic game when they return home. For them, the estacodes, trips, and fancy tourism sightseeing adventures are worth more than the state of the football administration in Nigeria.

    The Nigerian league might just be one of the few leagues in the world not in tandem with the European league which serve as markers – and by extension a far cry from comparison. So, you ask which model is the Nigeria game taking after – if our boys can’t participate in – the European leagues’ transfer markets? The inter and intra clubs’ transfers in Europe are money spinners with both the clubs’ owners and the government waiting for its end in order to project for the next seasons. This is planning, a key index for growth, but which is missing here. In the elite league in England, that is the Premier League, the clubs spent £2.01 billion on the movement of players among the 20 teams and their counterparts in other parts of the world.

    Investors don’t need to dig deep to get figures which could challenge them to identify their goods or services with European clubs.  It was recently reported that Manchester United’s annual financial report shows that they spent £24.7million on getting rid of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and Ralf Rangnick over the last year. The club recorded a net loss of £115.5million for the financial year up to June 30, 2022, compared with £92.2million in 2021. It isn’t rocket science. Clubs routinely disclose their profit and loss sheets to the public. Of course, it helps the government to make regulatory deductions. No stories. With these figures, shareholders know the questions to ask management during Annual General Meetings (AGM) unlike in Nigeria where 80 per cent of the clubs are run with government cash. And as always Government cash is free money.

    According to a Daily Mail report penultimate Friday:” The Premier League have revealed champions Manchester City won a staggering £153million in prize money last season. Pep Guardiola’s men won their fourth title in five seasons in 2021-22 after a dramatic final day which saw them come from two goals down to beat Aston Villa and pip Liverpool to the crown.

    Read Also:  NPFL: Sports Minister parleys with Club Owners Association

    ”Finishing first saw City earn a UK merit payment – which is divided according to final league position – of nearly £34m as well as a further £7m internationally.

    These figures were released by those who run the league. No conflicts with the English FA chiefs who were too busy churning out new policies to reinvigorate the game in England. Those who run the league in England didn’t have to wait until eternity to divulge the figures of the transfer market – another key index for growth – transparency. No wonder a huge scramble by investors all over the world to have a bite of the cherry that the English game represents. Sponsorships and broadcast rights are the most significant channels of funding in soccer but can only be achieved when the leadership is transparent and accountable towards revenues generated from the private sector. However, in Nigeria, no one is asking questions about the competence of the ‘gladiators’ seeking to lead and run our football administration for the next four years. It’s amusing when someone talks about getting all the sponsorship and broadcasting rights yet the league remains the same – safe for the leadership of Remo Stars led by Kunle Soname.

    Of course, strict adherence to the club licensing rules would help energise the game to make it beautiful, once again. No successful country’s football is judged by a large number of foreign-based players in all their national teams but by the presence of home-grown talents who return to the grassroots to celebrate their feats which further emboldened aspiring ones at the grassroots to aspire for podium appearances.

    The grassroots is the foundation of a nation’s football. It is the nursery where talents are discovered, nurtured and exposed through competitions to the world. In fact, some countries monitor the talents as they move from nursery to stardom with a few others encouraging those interested to either embrace coaching or combine soccer with updating their knowledge by going to school. The dearth of talents in Nigeria can be traced to the absence of competitions to keep the boys and girls busy in their quest to reach the zenith of their careers.

    Without nurseries, coaching becomes a big problem since there won’t be a basis for them to ventilate their skills to the boys and girls. What most serious-minded countries do is to establish schools where coaches are discovered, trained and retrained on the new tricks of the game. They don’t wait until such coaches have retired from active soccer before recruiting them as coaches. All these components provide the kind of templates into which the future of such a country’s soccer is reviewed vigorously for the game’s good. How can I forget the regular income coming from allowing visitors, mostly supporters of the club tour the massive complexes for a fee truly reflect how excited these tourists are after the tour of the facilities? How about the pictures that they take which remind them of dream expeditions? Of course, the fantasy that they walked around places which they only saw on television?

    Of significant interest is the job opportunities existing in a properly administered domestic league starting with the 60 players per club in a league format of 20 teams, as we have it in the English Game. And to imagine that these Premier League clubs have cadet teams for the boys and a full retinue of girls across all cadre involved in weekly games like their senior men’s teams tells the level of job opportunities available in soccer for those who know what it entails.  Add this figure to the number of grounds men and women, caterers, ball boys, cleaners, drivers, doctors, nurses, laundry men and other ancillary staff who make things work for the clubs as a business. How about the people who hawk their wares outside the stadium on match days? Not forgetting those who sell the tickets, mufflers, the club’s jerseys and the volume of business which goes on before, during and after matches at home stadium in the adjoining centres?  Match days are always like a bazaar for those with businesses in the neighbourhood. With a jaded structure such as ours where officials are reluctant to embrace the tenets of club licensing, it would be extremely difficult for anyone to know the league’s worth. A league where players, coaches and ancillary are being owed wages close to six seasons makes it absolutely impossible to determine how is spent in the transfer periods.

    A league  where those being owed wages resort to self-help to get a chunk of what is theirs tells the story of helplessness for those who want to do genuine business with the league. No investor would engage its brands or services with a debt-ridden organisation that finds it difficult to pay its staff monthly.

  • Nigeria 2023 and the Tinubu question (1)

    Nigeria 2023 and the Tinubu question (1)

    As Nigeria marches into the 2023 general election year, it is quite important for opinion moulders to draw attention to a number of issues that should naturally determine who gets their vote at the end of the whole exercise, such attention will be on the perspective of such candidates; their antecedents, their fixation on key policy issues as well as their manifesto.

    Nigeria truly is in dire need of leadership, now this is not a dismissal of the Buhari years, far from it, I have always argued that even with a few challenges, the Buhari administration trumps all PDP administrations by a mile and half. The administration could have done better but then it still gave its best unlike what the umbrella party gifted Nigerians for 16 years.

    The kind of leadership the country needs now is one that will move it further the development cycle. It is the kind of leadership that will need to build on the numerous achievements of the Buhari administration as well as fix where the administration fared badly. Thus Nigeria walks down a  tight rope as anything other than what is been prescribed here may spell doom for the nation’s development as well as its stability. This is beyond quoting funny statistics and applying “container economy analysis” to every topic, beyond the skullduggery and the demagoguery presently witnessed from a particular candidate and his small horde of misguided supporters.

    Of a truth, the four major candidates have the credentials to seek to become president, with Bola Tinubu, the APC candidate topping the list, closely followed by a Rabiu Kwakwanso , Atiku Abubakar and lastly my former Governor , Peter Obi. But like every election, only one candidate can be elected for a period of four years. I know a few will howl as well as intend to dismiss my ranking and choice of President, as a liberal, I welcome such angst and perhaps a debate over such and would urge those who feel otherwise to write their own!

    Read Also; It’s in Igbo’s best interest to support Tinubu

    What makes Tinubu thick? I will tell you, I first met Tinubu at a function he organized for activists with Alhaji Atiku Abubakar in 2007. This was when Atiku was been hounded by the Olusegun Obasanjo administration an administration in which  he was a sitting Vice President. Atiku could not even attend the event in Abuja as reports coming in then had it that his plane had been grounded in Owerri by the officers of the Department for State Security, DSS who were acting on orders from above.

    Tinubu  rose to the occasion and spent an hour or so campaigning or selling the Atiku candidacy while lampooning the near entrenchment of a dictatorship, matter of fact, Lagos State was the only state Atiku had nicked in that election, this was vintage Tinubu a man who had fought the Abacha regime as well as the Obasanjo administration when the latter sought to stymie the opposition and lead Nigeria as a garrison commander of sorts. This is a man who’s home was democracy’s refuge when the instruments of state were wrongly channeled to silence the opposition or political figures who refused to play ball. This is a man who was a bulwark to the victims of electoral thievery, particularly in the 2007 elections. This is a man who rallied round the opposition becoming its motor force and was instrumental in the formation of the All Progressives Congress, APC which went on to end the behemoth hold of the PDP at the centre.

    On the issue of governance, Tinubu stands as a colossus, haven demonstrated the laudatory example of fusing  innovative ideas into governance. Where other peer governors dawdled, Tinubu blazed the trail, delivering a number of firsts for the people of Lagos.

    Among such firsts include the Independent Power Project that now supplies 270

    MW to the National Grid as well as the massive electrification of 127 communities in Lagos, these were areas which had prior to his emergence as governor had never received electricity despite the state’s status as a former capital of the Federation.

    On the economic scope, Tinubu again demonstrated immense flair and verve by raising the state’s  internally generated revenue from a paltry sum of 600 million Naira to over 7bn, leapfrogging Lagos from the backwaters to becoming Africa’s fifth largest economy. Combining such with the right mix of

    Infrastructural drive as well as  attracting massive investments into the state which have helped transform the state into Nigeria’s most cosmopolitan area.

    In the healthcare sector, Senator Bola Tinubu’s tenure as helmsman of the state witnessed a couple of giant strides. Under his watch Lagos State witnessed the creation of a Hospital Services Commission which regularised the provision of healthcare services  as well as raised the standards of such services all over the state. It is also a fact that the Tinubu administration was the first to roll out a state ambulance management scheme as well as a free healthcare policy for children below the age of 16 and the elderly from the age of 65 years.

  • Oil, religion and climate

    Oil, religion and climate

    The  use of oil as a weapon of war by Russia against Europe  in retaliation for  economic sanctions against it for  invading Ukraine often reminds me of the Arab  oil embargo  against the US and Europe ,  for supporting Israel  especially after  the  1973 Yom Kippur war  in which  the Egyptian Army initially had the upper hand before its army  was surrounded in the Sinai desert   by the   Israeli  army  and  the Arabs lost   the war. Ever  since that time  Western Europe  and the  US  had  been  looking for alternative sources of energy outside oil  or fossil  oil  such  that   they would never endure the hardship and humiliation that the economic consequences of the oil embargo of the seventies inflicted direly on their economies . Global  warming was therefore an obvious excuse for saying that oil and its products and bye products were the  bad  reason for climate change and those who see the emergence of climate  mate  as a political issue on this score were branded as climate  denials .The  fact however  remains that geography  is changing as it has always done . Yet   most of the developed nations still  think and are acting as if man through elimination of fossil  fuel  or energy  can prevent climatic changes and calamities . I see  that as a gargantuan  fallacy for the simple reason that  man  has not been able yet ,  to fashion out an instrument and technology  that can contain and control  nature and that is the solid truth  , at least for now  , in this civilization we are  living   in .

    Today  I  want to use geopolitics to  illustrate my   point   of views  on the subject  of   the day . I  also  want to  show    the obvious connection  between climatology , the production of fossil  fuel and the subsequent impact of that  on man’s  economic race  for  survival and comfort which has led unwittingly to the emergence and usage of two words namely ‘ developed’  and ‘developing ‘ nations . Let  me initially   make some common or broad  geopolitical observations on the nature of economic development , its nature and locations as well  as the development and origins  of  religions   and  politics  along these  lines .

    Read Also; Leadership, culture and democracy

    First  , it   is  a fact  that  most  of the oil in this world is located in the Middle East  and Saudi Arabia , the largest oil producers and leader of OPEC is  located in the  Middle  East and is the leading Muslim  nation for Sunni Muslims . While another  oil rich  nation Iran leader of the world Shia Muslims is also one of the leading oil producers in the world .  On  the other hand during  colonization and slavery western nations like France , Britain and Holland  conquered colonial  lands like Nigeria  holding the bible in one hand and the gun in the other . At  the divestiture of the now buried  Queen Elizabeth 11 when  the globe in her custody  ,  one  of the crown   jewels   since coronation,   was retrieved at the  altar  it  was revealed that  she was given this as monarch to spread the word of Christ  around the world which  had been the goal of the defunct British Empire she once ruled over as the Commonwealth for 70  years . In Nigeria  it is a  hard  fact of life that the North is largely arid and mostly  in the Sahel and largely Muslim but Nigeria’s  oil is mostly  in the Niger Delta creeks mostly underdeveloped while oil money is being  used  to  develop  the North mostly  at the expense of the oil locations  where oil exploration  has led to massive  pollution and ecological  disasters . It  is also  a  grim fact of life that Fulani  herdsmen  are  Muslims looking for water to feed their  cattle not only in Nigeria but the whole of the North of ECOWAS  states and that  has led    to anxiety   of a looming   jihad against  coastal  capitals  that   are the commercial  heartthrob of W Africa like Lagos ,and Accra .

    It  is necessary  to acknowledge these plain facts and home truths to be able  to see the use of oil as weapon by the Arabs  led  by  Saudi Arabia  in the seventies  and now by Russia in the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine .It  also  explains  why in pursuing the elimination of fossil fuel the west shot itself in the leg when  it did not have an available and ready source of energy other than  fossil  fuel .The UAE special  envoy for climate change Sultan Al Jaber has warned that policies aimed  at divesting from hydrocarbons and fossil fuel  without alternatives are not only self defeating . He  concluded that  ‘they will undermine  energy  security , erode economic stability  and leave  less income  available  to  invest in the energy transition ‘  Luckily  Nigeria  seem  to be heeding this warning as we  are  not  in any mad rush to embark on any  climate change gymnastics because we  will just strangle  our oil based mono  economy  The  EU nations and the US are  feeling the effect  of playing god with the climate especially with  the Russian oil embargo against the west  although they are keeping a straight  face about  it  .

    In  Nigeria  however the preparation for the 2023 presidential  election has been overheated  with the adoption of a Muslim Muslim  ticket  by the APC . Yet  Nigeria’s  problems as highlighted before  are starring us in the face ,and it   is  suchproblems   that we should  ask  presidential  candidates of any party seeking the presidency to address instead  of asking  Nigerians to show  hostility towards the Muslim Muslim ticket .This  is  because we are a nation  largely composed of both Christians  and Muslims . The two  religions  however    did  not happen in a vacuum . The colonial masters came to Christianise and   evangelise   us  as  the return of the Queens  orb  has revealed but that is impossible  under King Charles 111 because Britain  is now a multicultural  society with  Muslims , and  Hindus       . Even  in Nigeria where they  succeeded to evangelise heavily  they  succeeded mainly in the south and sparsely in the North . This was because they fell  in love with  the Northern  Emirs   love of horses  and their grand    durbar  horse   riding parades   and  forgot  to tell  them   about the bible .Instead  they taught  them  how to ignore geography and climate  in  Nigeria which  made the North  sparsely populated and  to  govern by claiming  a false  narrative in giving the North higher  census figures than the South .  Thus giving them  political    power in spite  of geography  and warning  them  that they would lose power  and authority if true  census ever took place . If  you  look at the huge number of horses at the Queen’s  funeral   in the UK  recently  you  will  understand  what  I am  talking  about with  regard to the emergence of the political structure and culture that Britain  bequeathed Nigeria  colonially ,  simply  because of horses! .  Laughable  perhaps ,   but    geographically ,  climatically  not to talk of history ,    quite  correct .

    Anyway  ,  the  truth is that in Nigeria both  Christian and Muslim   religious   leaders  are in the race to convert each  other  adherents  .Evangelisation and the jihad have similar  goals . In  the past   when  there was violence we had crusades  and jihads fought out in the holy  lands of the Middle East  which   now  has the largest  deposits of oil being exploited by western  technology owned by Christian  nations . The Sokoto Caliphate  had its way  too   in   the  N  and   NW and Northern Emirs are Fulanis while their subjects are Hausas .Either  way since independence Nigerians  have cohabited tremendously  successfully  in spite  of religion  . There was a time when the  Nigerian soccer team  the  Red   Devils  and  later   Green  Eagles was   largely  made up of  Ibos , who  are Christians  and nobody  raised an eyebrow . Now that we are about to have a president and his vise from one  religion ,  is the time to show that even  though our faith matters , it cannot and should not divide us . All  we need is a level playing ground for  keen  political  competition and may the better team  that  will  govern Nigeria  justly  and wisely ,  prevail . Amen .

  • Steve Osuji, public discourse and 2023

    Steve Osuji, public discourse and 2023

    Given his oft-demonstrated intellectual and professional hollowness, Steve Osuji, does not see that he cannot credibly accuse his fellow journalists, who he perceives as writing in support of other presidential aspirants in the race for the 2023 presidency, as writing for monetary gratification while he wields his own pen with venom, hatred, intolerance and barely hidden ethnic jingoism on behalf of Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP) for altruistic reasons. The latest offering from the pen of Osuji is titled ‘Femi Fani-Kayode and Tinubu’s hollow strategists”. While ostensibly reacting to a recent characteristically pungent and exhaustive widely publicized piece by Chief Femi Fani-Kayode in defence of the candidacy of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, and why he stands far above his main contenders from other parties in terms of capacity to deliver as an elected President of Nigeria, Osuji descends to the gutter of cheap abuse and insults against those he describes as ‘Tinubu’s media strategists’.

    It does not appear evident to Osuji that he cannot plausibly be offering advice to Tinubu’s assumed strategists on how to market the APC presidential candidate and thus, ironically, defeat his own principal, Peter Obi, in the forthcoming elections. The intense anger and undisguised hostility with which he writes, suggest that those handling Tinubu’s campaign must be doing something right to the detriment of the chances of Obi and Osuji feels a need to attack and pull down these ‘strategists’ at all costs and by all means. Let us put aside for now the fact that Osuji does not even have the slightest inkling of the dynamics of the workings of Tinubu’s inner circle and most of those who constitute the critical members of his think tank.

    Osuji cannot even respond to Femi Fani-Kayode’s piece at the level of intellectualism, verifiable facts and logic.  He thus resorts to hurling invectives at the writer, questioning his motives and impugning his style of politics. He does not refute even one of the many factors adduced by Fani-Kayode to justify and rationalize Tinubu’s capacity and competence for the job. Rather, he berates Fani-Kayode for moving from one party to the other perhaps forgetting that his principal, Peter Obi, in his checkered political career has moved at various times from the PDP to the late Ikemba’s All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) back to the PDP and has presently landed on the shores of the Labour Party (LP) all in pursuit of personal ambition rather than the common good.

    Writers like Osuji  who try in futility to adorn Obi in the robes of a revolutionary out to change ‘the system’ do not tell us what would have happened had their candidate’s party, the PDP, won the 2019 elections in which he ran as Vice-Presidential candidate to Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. He would most likely have been in office today and planning for a second term tenure with his boss. Did Obi leave the PDP out of any differences in political philosophy or ideological convictions with members of that party? The answer is an emphatic no. He left the PDP when it dawned on him that his chances of winning at the presidential primaries were slim and there was even no assurance that he would be offered the Vice-Presidential slot this time around.

    The media offers a forum and platform for vigorous contestation of ideas, views and opinions. But while opinions are free, the fidelity to facts must always be held sacred by media professionals. Osuji names Mr. Dele Alake and Mr. Bayo Onanuga as members of Tinubu’s ‘media strategists’. These are very senior and experienced journalists who head different media Directorates of the Tinubu-Shettima Campaign Organization. Across the world, that is the role that leading, competent and successful journalists play during campaigns particularly in liberal democracies. It is thus no crime. In their roles in the campaign organization, Messrs. Alake and Onanuga are expected to market the strong points of their candidate while also pointing out the weaknesses, failings and demerits of opposing candidates. The two gentlemen have performed credibly in this regard without resorting to Osuji’s tactics of heaping insults, abuse and invectives, which is a great disservice to the journalism profession.

    Osuji names Mr. Sam Omatseye and I as other members of ‘Tinubu’s media strategists’. It is flattering but untrue. We do not hold any positions in the Asiwaju’s campaign structure and thus play no formal roles in the campaign. Similarly, he names Chief Dele Momodu as another of the ‘media strategists’ he is so obsessed with. The Publisher of the popular Ovation magazine has since debunked this falsehood. He was a presidential aspirant on the platform of the PDP and remains a member of that party till date. Osuji asserts that there was a strategic retreat organized by the Tinubu camp all with the aim of pulling down Obi and denigrating the Igbo. This is a figment of his fertile imagination. Osuji obviously overrates Obi’s political weight and relevance and thus fantasizes that the Tinubu campaign would devote time, energy and resources to the task of stopping Obi. The truth is that given the realities on ground, past experience of electioneering campaigns in Nigeria and the all too obvious structural deficiencies of the LP, Obi should be one of the least worries of the Tinubu camp even as the countdown to the formal commencement of campaigns begin.

    In his write up, Osuji demonstrates all the venom, hate, verbal violence, ethnic jingoism and intolerance that the ‘Obidients’ are known for. I incurred his wrath because I insisted in my column ‘Peter Obi, The Igbo and 2023’ that the sheer extremism of his supporters and the perverse passion with which the Igbo have embraced his candidacy may box Obi into a sectional corner and make his narrow chances in next year’s polls even slimmer. A regional candidate cannot win a presidential election in a complex polity like Nigeria where you need to build a pan-Nigeria consensus to win elections. Incidentally, Peter Obi himself has had cause at least on two occasions to call his supporters to order, urging them to focus on issues and leave the task of responding to his political opponents to him. Osuji appears to be ignorant of his principal’s plea in this regard.

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    Even though he made a vigorous defence of the Igbo as regards a perceived tendency to clannishness on their part and insisted that the competiveness and independent outlook of this ethnic group, which are responsible for their successes, are factors that can be valuable to Nigeria in her quest for rapid modernization, the great novelist, Chinua Achebe, was not blind to some excesses in the Igbo persona in his slim but powerful book, ‘The Trouble with Nigeria’. Writing on ‘The Igbo Problem’ in the book, Achebe stresses that “But this kind of success can carry a deadly penalty: the danger of hubris, over-weening pride and thoughtlessness, which invites envy and hatred; or even worse, which can obsess the mind with material success and dispose it to all kinds of crude showiness”.

    Achebe continued, “There is no doubt at all that there is a strand in contemporary Igbo behavior which can offend by its noisy exhibitionism and disregard for humility and quietness. If you walk into the crowded waiting-room at the Ikeja Airport on one of those days when all flights are delayed or cancelled ‘for operational reasons’ and you hear one man’s voice high over a subdued and despondent multitude the chances are he will be an Igbo man who ‘has made it’ and is desperate to be noticed and admired”.

    These words written nearly four decades ago by a great Igbo intellectual are no less true today but even more; this perceived disposition may make it difficult for the emergence of an Igbo President in a Nigeria in which a sustained democratic culture is being systematically institutionalized. This disposition that also manifests in aggressive Igbo expansionism outside Igbo land is largely responsible for the problems that the Igbo often have with indigenous groups not only in Lagos but even in Abuja, Port Harcourt or Kano and outside the country in South Africa or Dubai.

    Osuji avers that my ‘Agatu’ grandparents in Kogi State were still probably still going about clad in leaves in the 1920s and 1930s when the likes of Sir Louis Odumegwu Ojukwu was investing in Apapa Wharf and old Ikoyi. I am unconcerned about the underlying insult. It is more a reflection of Osuji’s character and sense of decency. But I pity this senior journalist who does not know that the Agatu belong to the Idoma ethnic extraction in Benue State. I am of the ‘Okun’, Yoruba-speaking part of Kogi State. In my piece, which set Osuji’s blood boiling, I stressed that not even the Yoruba-Speaking non-indigenous, residents of Lagos make the claim that Lagos is a no-man’s land as members of his ethnic group routinely and insultingly do. Sir Louis Odumegwu Ojukwu was able, like other notable Igbos, to invest massively in Lagos because they were warmly received, accommodated and given a receptive climate to invest by the indigenes. Can the Yoruba or even members of other ethnic groups be given the same opportunities across the South-East? The answer is all too obvious.

    Let me here quote extensively from a lecture titled ‘The Igboman in the Political Economy of the Fourth Republic’ delivered to the Imo Forum in Abuja in May, 1999, by the renowned Professor of Finance, Professor Green Onyekaba Nwankwo. According to this reputable scholar, “As long as he continues to migrate, settle and invest massively to develop his resident state without bothering, seeking or asking for reciprocal deals from residents of other states, so long will the Igbo man’s home state remain denuded, undeveloped and unattractive for settlement and investment. Has the Igbo man, for instance, ever paused to ask and find out how many other Nigerians – non Igbos – reside in the Igbo states? Has he ever poised to wonder why the few who “manage” to reside perch as birds ready to flee at any time? Has he ever wondered why the few who reside scarcely invest in real estate and/or contribute to the development of Igbo land?”

    Professor Green Nwankwo continues, “As long as the Igboman continues to sink money to reclaim swamps and clear forests, construct shopping malls, sky scrappers and posh houses in his resident states while gullies and erosion continue to  sap and wash away roads and destroy the environment in his home states, so long will he continue to be marginalized as life chances elude him in his home state…As long as he does not really invest to develop his home state and as long as he fails really to attract federal presence in his home state, so long will foreigners shun investment in the home states; and so long will real development continue to elude the Igbo in his home state”.

    Is it not even preposterous that Steve Osuji will dare to attempt to tutor a man like Mr. Dele Alake on the rudiments of political strategy? Does he know that Mr. Alake and Mr. Tunji Bello along with Mr. Segun Babatope were some of the key strategists around the late Chief MKO Abiola and were also veterans of the struggle to actualize the annulled June 12, 1993, mandate of Abiola? Is he aware that Mr. Alake is a veteran strategist of several successful elections since the commencement of this dispensation in 1999 in addition to his deft and expert management of the Information and Strategy portfolio in Lagos State for eight years between 1999 and 2007?

    Osuji pays fraudulent and hypocritical lip service to MKO to score cheap debating points. But how many Igbo states voted for Abiola in the historic June 12 election? He wonders why Tinubu has not a set up a foundation to pursue worthy causes. How many of such foundations has Peter Obi established? In any case, is he aware of Senator (Mrs) Oluremi Tinubu’s New Era Foundation and how much good it has done for youth from across the country? Is he ignorant of Mrs Tinubu’s contributions to sickle cell research in Nigeria?

    All over the country, diverse individuals and groups are setting up campaign organizations mostly at their own cost to help achieve electoral victory for Tinubu next year. Most of them are doing this in gratitude for how much impact he has made in their lives over time. How many lives have Obi touched over the years and how many people has he mentored to achieve success in life as leaders in their own right as Tinubu has done?

  • The league’s arrested development

    The league’s arrested development

    The European leagues across the board have similarities which give teeth to the fact that templates are universal and not respectful of clubs or personalities. Not so in Nigeria. Man-know-man is the bane of everything in the country. Otherwise, the things the Europeans do seamlessly can easily be done here except for the fact those employed in critical aspects of our daily lives are upstarts -not qualified to perform such roles.

    The world stood still last week as doctors battled to save the life of a Cadiz fan in medical distress at the stands during a game. The match was held for one hour with all concerns targeted at the fan recovering from his very critical situation. The game didn’t resume at anyone’s whims and caprices until the fan regained consciousness and was taken to the hospital for further treatment. The game eventually ended 4-0 to Barcelona but the result wasn’t the most important thing the safety of the fan.

    Medical facilities needed to save his life were top notch with the personnel to rated, interestingly provided by the two teams on the pitch and the host club’s medical facilities. The doctors battling to save the life of the unconscious fan didn’t lack anything. They didn’t need to call the hospital for an ambulance nor did they need to get anyone to provide enough gas filled with oxygen. They could easily have done an operation right on the host team’s premises if that was what the dying fan needed to regain consciousness. Players from both sides looked on in concern and Cadiz goalkeeper Conan Ledesma could be seen sprinting across the pitch with a defibrillator towards the incident. Everyone understood the situation and you could tell they had a level of information on how to react to all situations even beyond the game of football.

    The movement of the fan from the stadium to the hospital was brisk largely because La  Liga had an official hospital which took care of such emergencies without necessarily asking the fan or his relations to pay deposits or sureties as it would have happened in Nigeria, largely because those who run our leagues are serial debtors. Of course, such facilities don’t exist in our league. Such essential aspects of the league which could affect anyone in the stadium don’t form part of what should be prioritised by our league organisers.

    The security personnel took charge, first by condoning the place to give enough room for movement of the medical crew as they reached out for other things needed. Only those who had medical functions or roles to do there could be seen shuttling. Don’t remind me about what would have happened if that fan was inside any stadium in Nigeria. What stood as a sore thumb was the presence of a structured medical system which allowed everyone to save the fan without further risks. No buck passing. The system provided for such emergencies.

    No acts of sabotage. Everyone’s role was specified. No overlaps. The hospital’s personnel knew what was coming to them since the medical teams in the stadium kept in touch with their counterparts in the designated hospital about everything they did. What struck me was that bills for such emergencies were borne by the organisers of the league. Possibly under the health insurance schemes.

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    The future doesn’t look bright for the beautiful game if the same characters are allowed to run the operations of the league. A league without an official television rights holder is a circus, which should not be taken seriously. Such leagues obviously cannot produce national team players since they wouldn’t want their careers truncated through the organisers’ ineptitude. A league without title sponsors has no business with the corporate world – it has unwittingly become a commercial failure. A league without an official insurance company for the clubs, coaches, and players can best be likened to celebrating mediocrity.

    A domestic league without a regimented calendar can’t produce new stars, since they only know when the season begins without knowing when it would end.  We have in Nigeria, a league season without end, hence such contraptions as abridged leagues or regional league competition, as a few purists are advocating for. How does anyone expect the league to produce new talents for the Super Eagles when the competition only starts when the organisers are pressurised to do so?

    Our league organisers should use this period to get all the clubs to clear their debts, with a firm warning not to register any team with outstanding for the new season. It doesn’t matter if only six teams comply with the directive. It leaves room for the eligible ones in the lower cadre to get promoted. This idea of glossing over the rules enshrined in the league’s constitution won’t make the game run here as a business, even though state governors use their teams to settle their lackeys.

    In trying to remodel the local league, our organisers embarked on several trips to different European nations carrying with them their lickspittles instead of critical stakeholders who would be using the models directly. The so-called knowledge acquired by those lickspittles who have no direct bearing on the operations of the league is lost, making those dropped from such trips less knowledgeable and a potential threat to the league’s operations.

    To justify such jamboree trips, the organisers ensured that those foreigners came into the country to see how we make a mockery of league organisation here. These foreigners come here to meet a new set of people who are directly involved in the daily activities of the league but who never made the trips to their countries. They immediately knew our problems but would rather allow us to take them through what they would be exposed to. It didn’t take a second thought for them to write us off as unserious when they returned to their countries. It is the reason all the trips to Europe by our organisers and their lackeys have not rubbed off on the game’s administration. Let alone its development. What we have is an arrested development setting where the undertakers have refused to vacate their positions for more knowledgeable people to take charge.

    Our league organisers were in European countries (names withheld), how has that affected the Nigerian league? How much of what obtains in the European leagues do we have here? Our organisers belong to several committees in WAFU, CAF, and FIFA, what can they point at as things they have brought back home? We still have players wearing nameless shirts during matches. We still have match officials using slates with instructions written with chalks to make substitutions in the course of matches. Referees’ safety is in the hands of the clubs, yet we want the league to be attractive. How would we have a good league when most of the pitches are easily soaked in rain with other despicable, good enough for cattle grazing?

    A top football man in Nigeria confronted this writer with the theory of what the league runs with, insisting that the organisers chose the English or was it the Spanish model? He wasn’t sure. It explained clearly the tardy handling of the domestic game’s administration here. This writer confronted another soccer chief to explain how the game is run here without representation on the board as we have in other climes. Our football board isn’t represented by a club owner whereas the game itself is about association football nurtured by the clubs in the 774 Local Government Areas (LGAs) in the country.

    A situation where the game’s hierarchy in Nigeria meets and the clubs have no genuine representation is unacceptable. Those who threw into this mess should correct the flaw. When the contraption they forced on us started, its chairman wasn’t allowed to participate in the NFF meetings. In this dispensation, the so-called head now runs things in the federation.

    One rule different interpretations. Rules are drawn at the whims and caprices of a privileged few. Little wonder the league began without the body’s congress and it doesn’t matter. What is sacrosanct is the game is being played irrespective of oddities.