Category: Saturday

  • Whither safe schooling in Nigeria?

    Whither safe schooling in Nigeria?

    Despite their declarations in 2014 and 2015, and the agreement that there is need for policy makers and the would be authorities to ensure the protection of schooling and the education of our children and wards, it is safe to say that the Nigerian State is indeed miles apart from implementing either of the Safe Schools Initiative and the Safe Schools Declaration.

    Following the disturbing kidnap of girl students at the Chibok Girl’s Secondary School, Chibok by members of the terrorist group, Boko Haram, and the outrage such an act generated all over the world, policy makers all over the world came together to figure out how best to ensure that children at schools are physically and psychologically protected from all sorts of attacks.

    Since then, there has been countless attacks against students particularly those within the NorthWest and NorthEast regions of the country. Nigerians will in anguish remember the numerous attacks on the various schools in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa states in which over 3,500 children were alleged to have been abducted. Perhaps, seeking to emulate Boko Haram these new breed of terrorists have added attacks on schools to their activities seeking to embarrass the government in a manner similar to how the Chibok saga much embarrassed the Goodluck Jonathan administration.

    Even recently, the Federal Capital Territory had to close all schools after it had received intelligence reports that terrorists were planning attacks on a number of schools within its region, this was immediately followed by Nasarawa State which owing to its proximity to the FCT did not want to be taken unawares by these terrorists.

    One cannot imagine the trauma that has been visited upon these students , their teachers and parents, even in such events where these children have been returned, there are tales of horror as to what these children did go through in the hands of their captors, with many getting dissuaded from further attending school. On another hand in other states like Zamfara, schools were shut for over eight months, this again puts the education of these children on hold , stymieing their academic progress.

    These are thus enough reasons for the authorities be it at the Federal, State and Local Government levels to give enough attention to the Safe Schools processes.

    As schools are set to resume there ought to be a convergence of policies between the various authorities, the security agencies and the various communities towards ensuring that these schools and their wards within are protected.

    Read Also: Schooling In Tears: How herdsmen crises paralysed basic education in Benue (1)

    There is need for these authorities together with the various institutions and agencies to critically identify issues and factors that may hamper its implementation. Factors such as lack of funding, scarce logistics, poor equipment and the issue of under policing can be identified as such critical factors.

    Again, the apparent collapse of security and the spread of these violent attacks from the NorthEast region to the Northwest and now the North Central has also hampered one of the key policy initiatives which is to move students from regions of high risk areas to schools within safer parts.

    Another component of the safe school initiative is the ensuring that children and wards displaced and are found in internally displaced camps continue to receive quality access to education despite their present predicament, I cannot ascertain for now if this major component of the Safe School Initiative is been implemented as a majority of stories received makes immense reference to the poor states of these camps, how the government intends to implement such a component in such poor states leaves much questions to be answered .

    Last of these components is the initiation of the such safe school models in 10 schools each in the three most devastated states affected by the insurgent attacks, this too has largely not been implemented owing to issues such as funding, this is despite the budgeting of funds for its implementation, For example in 2021, the National Assembly earmarked over $20 million for its implementation funding proposed and budgeted for the initiative in February, 2021. Only to find out that the funds were never domiciled in the Ministry for Education which ought to have primacy over such funds in which together with the various states would have employed such funds to tackle the issue, prompting Senator Ahmed Lawan, the Senate President to declare that such an initiative was programmed to fail.

    One cannot disagree with the Senate President and even if one wants to disagree the continuous attacks on schools in the North gives vent to such an assertion, this indeed is very sad.

    With Nigeria having about 11 million pupils out of school, it is enough to say that we are already tinkering with fire amidst dry gun powder should we pay no heed to the issue of safe schooling . It is akin to leaving these children behind , children who’s only crime is their desire to get an education, its about time we sit up!

  • Leadership, culture and democracy

    Leadership, culture and democracy

    The   British  Queen’s death ,  after  70   year’s   on the throne ,  the  smooth , seamless ,  ascension  ,  and  succession  to  the monarchy  by  her son as King Charles  III  ,  has left the world  dazed  by   the  pomp and pageantry   of her transition and left other nations wondering at what a commentator  called  ‘ the dignity of silence ‘  at her mourning  , especially  at  Edinburgh  , Scotland   . Technology brought the  funeral  to our various homes  globally  , and made us watchers at  least  ,  if not   outright mourners like the  miles’ long queue of morose   somber people  ,  who thronged to watch her funeral  as she laid  in state preparatory  to her burial on September 19 . To  me  however ,  it  is an opportunity  look at the concept  of democracy which  she presided  over for 70  years  in the   UK and draw a comparison with democracies without monarchies    like France which  killed its aristocracy and elites in the French Revolution  of 1789 , Russia which  killed its Czar  or king in the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917 and Nigeria which the British  made a nation  by   force  ,   selfish and   blind   administrative     convenience  in the   amalgamation  of   the North and South   of  Nigeria  in  1914 . Of  course this is  an excursion into  history and the road   map   or  evolution  of the political  culture at work in the nations mentioned and hope fully  we  should  learn  why  the British  loved their  nations  so much  and gave   rise   to   the well  known political   cliché that says  ‘  with the Queen  in Buckingham Palace  every Briton  sleeps  well  on his  bed ‘‘ Which  should be the same even now that the UK has  a king . After  all  , the old  and long awaited saying that  ‘ the Queen is dead , long live the King ‘  has been  consummated so majestically  before  our eyes in the making of King Charles 111  ,   the  old ,  , , but overly  prepared ,  very long king – in- the making ,  and  now   the oldest king  in history    to ascend   to  the British   throne .

    Before dealing  with today’s   let topic     however , me briefly congratulate   my   club  , the Yoruba Tennis Club which turned 96 on September 15  2023 ,  as it was founded on that day in 1926 . The  anniversary called ‘ 95 plus I ‘ was celebrated in grand style ,  led by the Club’s Chairman Chief Jide Damazio , the Onigege Wura of Lagos and  former Secretary of  Lagos titled  Chiefs . A  lecture  on social  clubs and social  cohesion  was given  on September 15 by the Vice  Presidential  candidate of the APC  Senator Kashim Shetima  Mustapha  , who  I christened KSM during the question and answer  session . It   was a well  delivered lecture and of course a master politician  and genius at  his trade   was at work  in marketing the Muslim Muslim ticket . In addition,  he tackled  the   two   questions   asked  him   brilliantly  and effectively . A retired judge and YTC member  Milord  Suyi Olateru Olagbegi  asked why the APC had  not delivered in  two  terms  , the restructuring it promised in its campaign and manifesto .  Senator   KSM promised  to deliver on that if elected in 2023  with the Jagaban  as president  .Incidentally  His Lordship’s   father  was one of Nigeria’s   traditional   rulers   who  received  the  now deceased Queen Elizabeth’s 11  when   she visited Nigeria in 1956 .  I  asked why Nigerians  are being subjected to the exploitation  of  political colonialism by Nigerian politicians  now that we  have  been  independent   since  1960 .  He    replied  brilliantly   that the issue is one of leadership and it is up to Nigerians to  wisely     elect    people like  him and  the  Jagaban  to  the presidency in  the  2023  presidential election   to  get  the right  leadership  to stop exploitation  of Nigerians by politicians .I agree  totally with  that and wish  the APC   Muslim Muslim    ticket  a grand success on that score in the   coming  2023  presidential elections .

    Read Also: Leadership, opportunities and performance

    Now ,  let us go back to the topic  of the day .Most  Nigerians of my age are products of British  colonialism and hold the British Royal family in high esteem which is what  you  can call colonial  mentality . It does  not however make us inferior to the Britons and indeed I would say that  many Nigerians  in all walks  of life are better educated than the average Briton . Our  problem  in making our environment safe and beneficial  like the British is our lack of  honest leadership . Again I hold the  British  responsible in terms of the extravagant and crude amalgamation of 1914 . I would  however not wish that the Queen  should ‘ die in excruciating pain’ like a  female  Nigerian  professor based in the US did  on the Internet  because Britain supported Biafra in the Nigerian  civil war . In addition I hold  the military  and its intervention in the Nigerian politics and democracy  responsible  for   turning Nigeria    from  the well  known path  of Parliamentary  democracy  to the American presidential  system  which is a winner  takes all that concentrates  too much  power in the executive  ,   in its system  of checks and balances .Britain  still  practices its  parliamentary  democracy even  with its monarchical constitution and  the PM governs while the monarchy rules . Parliament however  is supreme and the PM  governs as Liz Truss promised to do ,  as a  conservative . The British  cabinet system makes the PM  only primus  inter pares   in the cabinet .That   explains why  Boris Johnson  can retreat to the back  benches in Parliament  and wait to be called  up to power later like  his hero  Winston Churchill once   did  , only  to be called up  again to  be the UK’s most successful  war PM in  the Second World War from 1939  to 1945 . To me Parliamentary  democracy offers better chances for equity , accountability ,  leadership  integrity  and transparency  than  the presidential system  which is expensive , exploitative and repressive  as a  democracy  and is the bane of our democracy as it is today . It  has made our democracy  not only a journey  too far but a futile  and  unending  perennial ‘work  in progress’ .

    With  regard  to France and its Revolution of 1789  , it is obvious  that when Republican  France is compared with the British monarchy ,    France  looks  like an orphan . The French  Revolution killed kings and princes of France  but Napoleon  Bonaparte   created his own dynastic  monarchy almost  immediately and  France  has been  longing  for  royal  splendor since . That explains why the tenure of its presidency was once seven years a term till  it was reduced to  two ,  five – year  terms recently . The  French  Palaces of the sun kings of France are still there without their landlords and are  now occupied by elected democrats but the French  remember them with nostalgia.  Especially  with the long reign  of the now dead British  Queen  and her succession by her son as  king  . Certainly  , history  has taught  the French ,  with the evolution of their  brand  of democracy  a harsh    lesson ,   that you can not eat  your cake  historically  ,  and still  have it .

    On  Russia ,  it is a pity that  the nation which  used to be the USSR after the Bolshevik   revolution of 1917 has invaded Ukraine which  the invader Putin insists is an integral part of Russia . If  the  USSR had  not disintegrated under  Gorbachev in 1991 into its 15  component states ,   one could have called the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine  an implosion . But  now  it is a Russian explosion that has unwittingly united western Europe against a common enemy that Russia under Putin  has become to the EU . This   is   with Russia using oil  as a war weapon against an EU that seeks  to  castrate Russia with economic sanctions . More  dangerously  for the west led  by the US , the Americans are sponsoring Ukraine with billions  of funds while claiming not to be at war with Russia . It is a western illusion   that the Russian leader  will never accommodate or condone . Ukraine  has  a brave leader in the mould of Boris Johnson’s war  hero Winston Churchill . But  Putin  is not Hitler and the theater of war is in the heart of Europe not in    far   places   like  Alamein or Egypt . The  drums  of the third  world war  are waiting  to be sounded sooner than later on the shores  of the  world’s   most economically   advanced continent  . The  omens are dire  , indeed .

  • Professor Diji Aina on factionalism,  economic parasitism and state fragility (2)

    Professor Diji Aina on factionalism, economic parasitism and state fragility (2)

    For the humanistic scholar and thinker, man is the be-all and end-all of existence. Only that which is material, that which can be seen, heard, touched, tasted, smelled and felt is real. The spiritual is thus mere fantasy and thus no more than the creation of the fertility of the human imagination. This is perhaps what Marxists mean when they describe consciousness as a creation and reflection of matter and not vice-versa. Of course, not all radical academics are of the humanistic philosophical persuasion. Thus, the late Marxist political scientist, Professor Aaron Gana, for instance, started his Convocation lecture at the University of Jos with the famous declaration, “Let me start this lecture with two apologies. One is that because I am a “Jesus person” I am giving this lecture in Jesus name (Amen). My apology here is to those who might be offended by this declaration”. In giving this apology, Professor Gana obviously had in mind not only those who were not of a Christian religious persuasion but even more so those who are of a humanistic, materialistic, disposition particularly in an academic environment.

    Many humanistic thinkers reject the notion that man is essentially and fundamentally flawed as a result of sin and thus hopelessly and helplessly in need of a savior and redeemer to reconcile him to God and salvage him from an innate disposition to evil leading to eternal damnation. ‘I am the captain of my soul and the master of my destiny’ is the enduring credo of the humanistic ideologue. For him, man is a perfect creation with no spiritual flaws. If so, however, how then do we explain the evil we can see all around us transcending social classes, levels of educational attainment, socio-economic status as well as across all categorizations of nations – developing, underdeveloped or developed? The humanist has no answer to the problem of prevalent and persistent evil in human nature and society. Is it any wonder then that such humanist ‘saviours’ of man as Lenin, Stalin or Mao Tse Tung, for example, did not flinch from slaughtering large numbers of people in striving to salvage society and promote what they perceive as the common good of mankind in their respective societies even though the means towards the achievement of their goals were manifestly evil?

    Like Professor Gana, Professor Diji Aina comes across in his inaugural lecture under focus here as essentially a ‘Jesus person’. Thus, for him, factionalism has its roots in the inherent spiritually flawed nature of man that predisposes the individual to pervasive selfishness and self-centeredness thus fostering negative and dysfunctional factionalism across diverse sectors of society. As he put it, “The implication of the foregoing is that factionalism is the outward manifestation of a sinful (rebellious) heart, covetousness and of fallen humanity…In the biblical context, factions are outcomes of rebellious acts and are often created via subtle persuasion to upturn natural order and events. In Genesis 3:1-6, the serpent, portrayed as “more crafty than man” asked, “Did God really say you must not eat from any tree in the garden?” From this spiritual analytic paradigm, Professor Aina concludes that “The moral lesson here is that it is only by allowing the indwelling Holy Spirit that we can have eternal peace, one that propels cooperative rather than degenerative spirit that results in factions and its attendant consequences of conflict and violence”.

    After a detailed and exhaustive excursion into the manifestations of factionalism in Nigeria right from the colonial era through to the first, second, aborted third and now fourth Republic, Professor Aina posits that “It was not until the advent of crude oil as a major, national, income-earning source that the personal lust over state resources became so evident. Hitherto, it had been shrouded in a regional, economic interest-driven struggle for the political soul of the nation”. It is instructive in this regard that in the first republic, the most progressive, rapidly modernizing and prosperous part of the country, the Western Region, was the most affected by a fierce destructive factionalism within the ruling party, the Action Group, that split the party down the middle, fostered the massive rigging of regional elections, degenerated into widespread anarchic violence that ultimately resulted in the January, 1966 coup and the collapse of democratic rule only six years after independence.

    Although the military was initially welcomed by large sections of the populace as a redeeming political Messiah which intervened to save the country from the misrule and venality of the politicians, it took little time before the intervening military itself became the victims of divisive organizational factionalism that deepened ethno-regional mistrust, bred widespread instability and severely threatened the country’s cohesion and continued existence. As Professor Aina pungently and lucidly put it, “Resources accruable from crude oil are largely administered by those who are located outside the terrain of crude oil exploitation thereby creating factions and struggle for control. This resulted in separatist agitations, which eventually led to recurring military coups and transition governments in what Oyediran and others documented as “Transition Without End”.

    Read Also: Professor Diji Aina on factionalism, Economic Parasitism and State Fragility (1)

    Professor Aina continues by depicting the linkage among militarism, crude oil, economic parasitism of the elite and state fragility. In his words, “Military insurgency and counter-insurgency took the odious dimension, not only truncating the development of civilian rule but the destruction of the socio-political and economic fabric of the nation. Corruption became ubiquitous, evil and malignant. Even the clergy that once served as distant echo of “voice of reason” got engulfed in the greasing of palms and monetary inducement to gain public endorsement…Nigeria is evidently at crossroads. As I have documented in a number of publications, and as many other scholars have confirmed, the factions have multiplied, metamorphosed and transmogrified becoming malignant and inimical to national progress. They have left in their wake multifaceted fragmentations that have resulted in over one million people killed in just 30 months of a civil war and scores of other people most recently in the Niger-Delta insurgency and an international terror-induced hydra-headed insurgency known as Boko Haram”.

    The lecturer documents the pervasive and persistent factionalization of political parties and groups in the current fourth republic since 1999, the deepening of corrupt elite enrichment through access to state power, rampant political vagrancy of the polite elite from one party to the other in desperate quest for platforms to contest for public office with scant regard for fidelity to party ideology, philosophy or principles. Just as intra-party factionalism was partly responsible for the loss of the PDP’s control of power at the centre to the emergent APC in 2015, no sooner had the new party assumed office than it became bogged down with fragmentation and factionalism leading not only to organizational immobility but also competing cabals in government resulting in state paralysis on diverse fronts.

    According to the author, “Assessing the new ruling party, (APC), as more or less a replica of the former ruling party (PDP), Schineider (2015), dubbed the APC as “an opportunistic coalition of interests.” In  the scenario that ended the seventh assembly, “cross carpeting”, which was the buzzword of of the politics of the 1960s was replaced with “defection”. All it took to decamp or defect in Nigeria’s puerile political ecology was to feel shortchanged in the sharing of the national cake at any point time”. As the countdown to next year’s elections continues, the political elite in control of state power persist in behaving like economic vampires, sucking the resources that should be the lifeblood of providing for the wellbeing of the generality of the people, and rendering the state even more fragile as manifested by pervasive criminality, kidnapping, banditry, rape, incompetent economic management and the contestation of the very sovereignty of the state by criminal gangs and terroristic elements.

    Even then, with the evidently increasing autonomy of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and the intensification of the utilization of technology to enhance the credibility and transparency of the electoral process, the electorate may increasingly begin to more effectively utilize the power of the ballot to effect positive change in the efficacy and quality of governance in the country.

    Although Professor Aina proposes no less than ten recommendations to deal with and minimize the dysfunctional effects of degenerative factionalism in society, I will conclude by citing only one of these because it brings us right back to the spiritual underpinning of his lecture, with which we began the second part of this review. In his words, “The political society should be re-oriented towards cooperative and competitive rather than degenerative factionalism. This can be achieved if there is a deliberate effort/program towards minimizing crass materialism in the national psyche of the citizenry, using the East Asian “tiger” and Scandinavian countries’ experiences as benchmarks. I call for a return to primitive godliness, a lifestyle that aligns with the biblical aphorism “righteousness exalts a nation, sin is a reproach”. Factionalism is rooted in self and sin”.

     

     

  • PDP: What next from Wike’s stable?

    PDP: What next from Wike’s stable?

    The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has finally announced a campaign team ahead of the 2023 presidential election. It appointed Akwa Ibom State Governor Udom Emmanuel as the Chairman of its Presidential Campaign Council (PCC), while Sokoto State Governor Aminu Tambuwal was named Director-General of the party’s National Campaign Management Committee (NCMC). Both men will be leading the campaign with the aim of getting former Vice President Atiku Abubakar elected as the President of Nigeria.

    But Sentry, like many other concerned Nigerians, is wondering what the next line of action would be from the stable of Governor Nyesom Wike of Rivers State. It is as if the opposition party had called the bluff of the Rivers State helmsman by going ahead to unveil a campaign team. Sentry also gathered that the decision of the party to keep Senator Iyorchia Ayu in office as National Chairman remains unacceptable to Wike and his men. A source even revealed that the governor vowed not to have anything to do with Atiku’s campaign if Ayu remains in office.

    Read Also: The genesis of the Atiku/Wike face-off

    All members of the council are scheduled to be inaugurated on Wednesday, September 28 at the International Conference Centre In Abuja. While Wike was named a member of the council that had Governor Seyi Makinde as vice chairman, South, Sentry observed that no other notable ally of the Governor made the list. “The party has decided to move on with or without Wike. What we should now wait for is the next line of action of the Rivers State governor. He is still hell bent on having Ayu removed as chairman ahead of the 2023 presidential election, in the interest of equity and fairness within the party,” a party leader told Sentry on Friday.

    The absence of Wike’s men is very conspicuous and Sentry is not the only one wondering why as many people within and outside the party are already talking about it. The appointments were contained in a release signed by the party’s National Organising Secretary, Umar Bature, on Thursday. Governor Emmanuel, who is chairing the PDP Presidential Campaign Council, will be supported by Makinde and Bauchi State Governor Bala Mohammed. In all, the PDP Presidential Campaign Council is comprised of 326 people; including the Presidential Candidate, Atiku Abubakar; his running mate Governor, Ifeanyi Okowa; the National Chairman, Iyorchia Ayu, and the officials mentioned above.

    In addition, the party’s Board of Trustee Chairman, Senator Adolphus Wabba; former Vice President, Namadi Sambo, and the party’s governors; including Wike, were all named members of the council.

    On the party’s National Campaign Management Committee, Governor Tambuwal, the DG, will be supported by four deputies. Former Cross River State Governor Liyel Imoke is the Deputy Director-General, Operations; Professor Adewale Oladipo is the Deputy DG, Administration; Daar Communications Chairman Raymond Dokpesi is Deputy DG, Technical and Systems, while former Enugu State Governor Okwesilieze Nwodo is the Deputy DG, Research and Strategy. Also, Adeyemi Moyegun was named the Administrative Secretary of the council.

  • Drama of 2023 electioneering

    Drama of 2023 electioneering

    Electoral fever has gripped many politicians. The contagious symptom is manifesting among the key players – and their lieutenants – as the hour for the kick-off of the campaigns draws nearer. Politicians are learning fast that the road to the seat of power is bumpy and tortuous. They have begun to understand that it is usually laced with trends and bends, turns and thorns.

    But while all politics is local, all politicians are not of same content and intent. Some people are in the race to genuinely serve. Those are the people who see politics as a vocation. Many others are in it to plunder. They see politics as a career. They generate the tension that engulfs the country as campaigns gather momentum. Their activities cause apprehension.

    The prevailing political scenario has thrown up such a development, which is not likely to fizzle out until next February when winners of the various contests will savour victory and the losers will lick their wounds.

    To those who face the reality, politics is a big headache. It is also a big business. In Nigeria, elections create uncertainties; they often plunge the players into nightmares.

    Ahead of any election in this country, an artificial economic recovery becomes imperative. A common feature of the electoral economy is the increase in spending by the political class.

    During the electioneering season, stakeholders become very busy. Posters are printed. Musicians are hired to release partisan songs. Campaign grounds are rented. Transporters get busier. Food vendors become richer. Producers of campaign uniforms and other souvenirs smile to the bank. In some towns and cities, armed robbers and sundry criminals retreat. Key players in that fiendish sector temporarily gain employment with some politicians until the end of the election season.

    Collective attention is currently focused on 2023. What will next year bring? Who succeeds President Muhammadu Buhari? Which first-term governors and lawmakers will lose their seats? What are the issues that will shape the contests? What are the possible scenarios? These questions are begging for answers. But, predictably, voting may not be influenced by these factors in many constituencies.

    Voters’ behaviour across the six regions is not likely to be the same due to some intervening variables. Poverty, ethnicity, illiteracy and religion will play significant roles in the attitude of the electorate towards many candidates in the five-layer polls.

    Globally, politics is characterised by strife and rancour. The antagonism is said to be normal. There is ego war; there is seasonal bitterness. Joining the fray means opening a file of your life to the public for scrutiny. Gossips are the periodic pastime associated with electioneering in the country. Nigerians peddle rumours in beer parlours, at newspaper stands, on local football pitches, in commercial buses, and at village squares.

    The electorate is sometimes misinformed at those arenas. Prophets of doom and boom spring up at all fronts to predict victories and failures. They will not be held responsible if the predictions – often based on conjectures – come true or not. In fact, some candidates will visit soothsayers, marabouts and other predictors who play god and claim to know the future.

    Candidates are at the receiving end of character assassination. They are upset by image malignancy. It is getting worse, owing to the massive use and abuse of the social media. How many abusers can candidates take to court for defamation?

    Personalities are elevated over issues. Unlike in the First and Second Republics, ideology is now a non-issue. A political party should be an association of people united by similarity of ideas. The First Republic parties – Action Group (AG), National Council of Nigerian Citizens (NCNC) and Northern Peoples Congress (NPC) – were different. At least, the National Party of Nigeria (NPN) was different from the Unity Party of Nigeria (UPN) in the Second Republic. Indeed, Third Republic’s Social Democratic Party (SDP) was different from the National Republican Convention (NRC). But, what is the difference between today’s All Progressives Congress (APC) and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) today?

    Defections were common, but serial defectors were not many during the saner era. Today, it is possible for a politician to traverse three political parties in a year on the grounds of freedom of association and assembly. It smacks of political harlotry.

    Many of those in the PDP last year have defected to the APC today. Some APC gladiators have also defected to the PDP shortly after governorship and parliamentary primaries. In the spate of three months, a former governor, who is currently a senator, traversed the APC, the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) and PDP. As they jump ship, they are accompanied by gullible supporters. The goal is personal survival. Each time a party receives a defector into its fold, they treat him as a big fish. It is laughable.

    While Nigerians were fascinated by manifestos in the past, they no longer rely on promises by politicians before they choose who will govern them on poll day. Some critics argue that people are used to deceit by politicians.

    Also, since candidates are only within reach when they are looking for votes, hungry, poverty stricken and angry citizens seemed to have converted election time to an opportunity to struggle for the crumbs falling off the table of privileged leaders.

    While the late sage, Chief Obafemi Awolowo, Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe, Sir Ahmadu Bello, Mallam Aminu Kano and other founding fathers attracted mass following based on their quality of politics and reputation, many latter-day politicians only seek to retain support through financial inducement.

    In the circumstance, senior citizens are seized by nostalgia. In their times, they vetted political parties, party leaders, aspirants and candidates before giving their endorsement. They took ownership of political parties and, indeed, the political process at the levels of cells, units, wards and local governments, brimming with loyalty and pride of political association. They were always eager to pay their dues.

    Read Also: Agenda for 2023 and beyond

    They volunteered as vote canvassers. Their expectation, particularly in the Southwest, was the fulfilment of the promise of “Freedom for All, Life More Abundant.” Poll-confident and politically conscious Southwest believed in the Four Cardinal Points of UPN in the Second Republic: Free Education, Free Medical Services, Full Employment and Integrated Rural Development. It was a model for development that made the region to soar ahead of other zones.

    Politics should be for service. Ironically, political involvement is now, more or less, perceived as employment. Idle and restless youths become thugs hired by politicians to wreak havoc on opponents, and hangers-on anticipate petty, ad hoc political appointments after elections.

    Vote buying or dibo k’o se’be (vote and cook), which is now a phenomenon, was not rampant in previous dispensations. The polity has been turned upside down by the antics of vote traders who sell and buy votes, unconscious of the fact that they are polluting the polity by selling their conscience and promoting bad governance.

    More pathetic is the political behaviour of youths who wallow in ignorance. Youths of today do not mirror the youths of pre-independence era and immediate independence period who learnt at the feet of wise, credible elders. They cannot be acknowledged for any initiation and communication of values. The youth activists of the 1950s played notable roles in the foundational politics. Many of them were not found wanting. They were not in pursuit of money.

    Activism became a training ground for future leadership. Youths and students’ organisations fought military regimes. But, following the factionalisation of the National Association of Nigerians Students (NANS), youth bodies have not been the same. Can society expect any meaningful thing from the disarticulated students’ organisations that now compete with politicians in their quest for private wealth accumulation? Many youths are gullible and fickle-minded. They lack the skills to make informed or rational choices. They are active on the social media, no doubt. But, they lack the understanding of history and the imperative of the national question: the etiology of the Nigerian political mess, the lopsided distribution of power, the flawed unitary system masquerading as federalism, the decayed and dictatorial constitution, and circumstances that warranted the push for unity in diversity.

    It is noted that more youths have registered to vote in next year’s poll. But many of them may end up voting without a proper focus. It is predicted that many youths will vote due to peer pressure. While they are understandably lovers of entertainment and sports, many of them need political education, sensitisation and enlightenment to vote wisely.

    No doubt, politics was rough in those early days too. But it is incontrovertible that the men of the old order were much more credible. Their motivation for entering politics was not primitive wealth accumulation. The current monetisation of politics, as further shown by the payment of millions of naira for nomination forms, is highly condemnable. Political participation becomes an investment, and politicians, as investors, would want to garner returns. The implication is that they may be eager to recoup when power lands in their palms.

    The huge financial involvement is a factor in political desperation and electoral fraud. Yet, the apprehension has now been increased because the chances of malpractices have been reduced due to the gradual recourse to electronic voting.

    Things are changing. Politicians are bound to make hard adjustments to the new voting schedules. In the past, there was a line of demarcation between those who played politics of virtue, who were in the majority, and a few master riggers, who were targets of spontaneous and popular revolt. In this dispensation, university teachers who served as ad hoc electoral officers were involved in malpractices, an ignoble act that was unimaginable in the sixties, eighties and nineties. It is gratifying that those involved paid dearly for their infractions.

    The moment of propaganda is now here.

    Sweet talkers arouse, incite and manufacture falsehoods, taking with them the naïve on the perfidious journey. Some flag bearers are contesting only on the social media, where influencers peddle rumours and falsehoods.

    Already, one million fake voters have been detected by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). The fate of contestants for double positions of president and senators are being determined by the court. Smaller parties on INEC register are dwarfed by bigger platforms. APC is battling with defection of aggrieved chieftains in some states. The PDP is contending with a bigger trouble, a tall hurdle to scale: the “Ayu Must Go” importunity.

    This season’s electioneering is full of drama, humour, surprises, suspense and disappointments.

    Despite all the intrigues, many candidates are still bubbling with hope, the elixir of life, that 2023 will usher in a new era. Political events in the next few months will determine the reality or mirage of that hope.

  • From ‘Hope’93 to ‘Boy with no shoes’ to…?

    From ‘Hope’93 to ‘Boy with no shoes’ to…?

    Nigeria and the world are eagerly awaiting the dawn of September 28, the date the country’s electoral commission, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) officially designated as the start of official political campaigns for the next general elections. The history of political campaigns since independence in Nigeria has been a mixed bag. There are records of persuasively memorable campaigns, tribal/religious  rhetoric, hope-raising campaigns and sheer party slogan-bandying campaigns.

    Political campaign periods are meant for political parties and their candidates to influence through legally approved means the different voting demographics with their policies and programmes if elected. It is interesting to note that two major elections were recently concluded in two continents, Europe and Africa. The United Kingdom just had the Tory Party elect the third female Prime Minister, Liz Truss while Kenyan William Ruto just got inaugurated as the fifth President in Kenya.

    If Nigeria is to look over the two countries of UK and Kenya, there are lessons. A Liz Truss and her closest rival, Rishi Sunak presented their policy projections and visions to the Conservative party faithfuls and at the end, the people chose Liz Truss. In Kenya on the other hand,  it was a very intense campaign as the race for the presidency was a seeming battle of political dynasties versus the ‘hustler’ as the now President Ruto chose to define himself.

    A President Ruto won the hearts of Kenyans through his campaigns.  He was able to defeat Raila Odinga who was on a fifth attempt at becoming president. It was even more intriguing that Ruto’s Principal, Uhuru Kenyatta supported his perennial political opponent, an Odinga. Their political rivalry dates back to their two parents in a post –independent  Kenya. Obviously, a President Ruto must have run a very convincing campaign to have swayed  the votes of a people that had been ardent supporters of the two political dynasties.

    Are there lessons for Nigerian candidates at all levels? I think so. Campaigns are not a conversation with your constituency or fans, it is more about the candidate and political party’s ability to win over the undecided voter. How a political party and their campaign organizations plan their campaigns determine to a large extent, their success or failure in an elections.

    A post political parties seeming efforts at introducing their candidates to the public has been neither here nor there. There might have been a bit of carefulness not to flout the law but in about two weeks, the whistle would be blown for political campaigns to start. The world is waiting and Nigerians is expecting that the campaigns would be in line with the global best practices where candidates put their best feet forward and give the totality of their vision to the people.

    Read Also: Tinubu as fit as a fiddle, says Alake

    The most effective political campaign is that which sends the most impactful, realistic and profound messages to the different voting demographics. Democracy is the government of the people by the people and for the people. By implication therefore, the people must see themselves or their hopes realizable  in voting in any candidate. If government’s main trust is the welfare of the people, they will seek out the candidate whose pedigree and campaign messages point towards a better welfare for the people.

    The campaign message of late MKO Abiola was built around HOPE ’93. That was a very apt message given what Nigeria had gone through under the military with all the coups and counter coups that left the people in a state of despair and pessimism. Every living human revels in the hope that tomorrow would be better than today and for a fatalistic nation like Nigeria, the builder of hope would logically be trusted. A late MKO Abiola won resoundingly across the nation and spectacularly defeated his opponent, late Bashir Tofa in Kano, his home state.

    The people of Nigeria identified with an MKO Abiola long before he ran for President. That helped but an Abiola was not just a regular Nigerian, he was a global citizen whose sense of humour and humanity resonated with many. It was not about his tribe or his religion. It was about his personality. He was a man much loved across Nigeria. He had no borders in his pre-election personality, he did not need too much introduction but chose to build on the trust and love people had for him. He had banked  on an image of a humanist and a man whose background did not influence his outlook on life. Even though from a very humble background, he rose to become a global citizen but yet was grounded and accessible.

    In 2011, a Goodluck Jonathan ran on the ‘boy with no shoes’ rhetoric. The people identified with his narrative having risen from a humble beginning to a deputy governor, governor, Vice President and then on his way to the Presidency.  The former President had no resounding message but was buoyed by the ovation from his party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) the political party  that used the advantage of incumbency. There was no verve to his campaign. It was no surprise that he lost the 2015 election to the All Progressive Congress (APC) Mohammed Buhari who is serving out his second term.

    So in the Nigerian political environment, there has been the good, the bad and the ugly political campaigns. For a country with political parties with no clearcut political ideologies on which the voting demographics can rely, campaigns can be tricky to say the least. The global political dynamics have changed and the voter awareness more now than it has ever been. The internet has brought with it a lot of innovations and created different levels of socio-political relationships.

    There is an  upsurge in youth participation in political processes even if they are not yet fully integrated into the mainstream in significant numbers.  Tnere is today the internet and the power of social communications and engagements. Suddenly, it is no longer the exclusive of parents to come home and tell the children the stories of what happened on the political podiums and meetings, today, almost every youth has all the details on their palms and the distance has been shortened between the fingers and their electronic gadgets.

    So invariably, the campaigns that would appeal to the youths who are more cosmopolitan would be different. The young people do not rely on tribes or religion, the tech world has just one identity and the youths are not bordered about the parochial and mundane issues that politicians have used for long to divide the people. Any campaign that sends any message that isolates or divides might be ineffective.

    The twenty first century has been described as the year of the women, the gender rights activism has been on a high. More countries have opened the political space to more women through constitutional reforms. The closest to Nigeria is Kenya that has just sworn in 7 women governors, up from three in 2017, 29 women were elected to the National assembly, up from 23 in 2017 and seven deputy governors in a country of less than sixty million as against Nigeria’s more than two hundred million people.

    A close look at the Nigerian political parties shows that not many women are on the ballots of the different political parties.  There is no female presidential candidate, only one woman got the nomination of the APC to contest for governorship in Adamawa state. There is no female Vice Presidential candidate in all three major political parties. There is no woman elected as chairman of any of the political party. In fact, the Roundtable Conversation has followed the congresses and primaries of all the political parties and has pointed the exclusion out repeatedly.

    Women form a great percentage of the voting bloc in most democracies and Nigeria is no different. The Roundtable has challenged the political parties to use this platform to say their programmes for women and in the coming weeks would be putting them on the hot seat. Women across the country are waiting to hear of real policy issues that would deviate from the regular tokenism that candidates in the past mouthed. The die is cast and the campaign period is an excellent opportunity to bare the policies and programmes that would resonate.

    Women are the most mobile humans because marriages often determine where they live or which additional citizenships or religion they eventually take on. So a campaign rhetoric that divides on the basis of religion or tribe might be a miss rather than a hit.  The women have a myriad of concerns; insecurity, health, education, poverty, illiteracy, child-marriage, maternal-child mortality etc.

    Any campaign that fails to clearly and unambiguously address their programmes that can address these concerns can forget the next election. The women are wiser now. Technology is helping to spread the gender justice message through orthodox and social media. This voting block is the most loyal and consistent.

    The retirees and working class in Nigeria have been on edge of the precipice with inflation and food insecurity. Most of them have their Permanent Voter Cards (PVC) and are ready to listen to concrete plans to address their fears and revive their hopes. The unemployed are almost tipping over and have their eyes focused on the candidates that would ease the burden of existence.

    The coming election would be like no other in the history of Nigeria. But make no mistakes about it, the Presidency is the elephant in the room but the reality is that the totality of the executive and legislative arms when elected drive democracy at all levels. Candidates and their political parties must be clear and precise about their plans the moment the whistle is blown.

    The dialogue continues…

  • 2023: These many ‘million man’ marches

    2023: These many ‘million man’ marches

    Last month, a coalition of about 50 support groups, announced a plan to hold a two-million-man march in solidarity with a presidential candidate and his running mate in the capital city of a state in the South-South zone.

    The organizers vowed to ‘shut down’ the host city with supporters of the presidential candidate who, they claimed, were eagerly waiting for the campaign train to come to their city.

    It would not be the first time such a grand plan would be mooted. In fact, a few weeks earlier, another group had announced and hosted a ‘one-million man march’ in another part of the country.

    While some social media commentators doubted the rally attracted such a number of people, many wondered what the population of the host city itself was and asked if the organizers planned to invite participants from all over the country.

    Read Also: El-Rufai: planned 2 million man-march for Obi in Kaduna a pipe dream

    The day for the much publicized rally came and alas, only a scanty crowd of less than 3,000 people took part in the march, a far cry from the two-million proposed.

    Just like it happened weeks earlier in a North-Central state where the organizers were disappointed with the motley crowd that graced their proposed million man rally, the campaigners learnt the hard way that mobilizing people for political rally is not a tea party.

    Similar not-too-impressive million man marches played out in other cities like Owerri, Abakaliki and Abeokuta with the turn out disappointing not only observers but the organizers.

    After the Abeokuta rally, Sentry gathered that some committed young members of the movement questioned the mobilization strategies of their leaders as they forced the organizers to admit to the obvious failure of the rally. It was even gathered that the angry youngsters accused their leaders of deceiving them and vowed not to be part of such rallies again.

    But it appears these ‘million man marchers’ aren’t about to accept the folly in their approach to political campaign ahead of the 2023 presidential election.

    Or is it that some pecuniary gains are involved in their endless marches that are usually more than not scanty at the end of the day? Anyway, even the organizers of one of such rallies have had to admit failure after another flopped march when they said “though the turnout wasn’t as expected, we were able to show that there is nothing resilience cannot do.”

  • PDP’s house of chaos

    PDP’s house of chaos

    Addicted to crises, main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) is licking its self-inflicted wounds. Its leadership appears to be in disarray, aptly enveloped in self-deception and troubled by lack of fidelity to its cherished values.

    It is a big, national party with tentacles across the nooks and crannies of the country. Its structures are formidable. The PDP is not an ideological party. But it is always motivated by its intention to capture power, even by foul means, in the past. Today, although its national chairman and presidential candidate are perceived as democrats, many party men and women are not convinced that the PDP now has the capacity to retain a national outlook because of the composition of its national leadership.

    The bone of contention, as they have argued, is that the two key decision makers – the national chairman and presidential flag bearer – are from the same geo-political zone, the North. Other zones suspect monopolisation of power and consequential exclusion. The result is the worsening disunity within the fold.

    Few weeks to the kick-off of campaigns for next year’s general election, the post-presidential primary crisis remains unresolved. Now, the divided house wobbles along the campaign path to the anticipated poll. Instead of upholding the truth, PDP is busy chasing shadows.

    The party has passed through many phases of leadership crisis. But the current conflict is overwhelming. It is a serious challenge that has made the party static, unable to press forward or move backward.

    PDP younger elements are fighting the residual class of gerontocrats. The weapons are, lamentably, ethnicity. PDP is made up of diverse Nigerians. Nigeria is not one. It is made up of different regions. To forge unity and ensure cohesion, the founding fathers of the party subscribed to a formula, a sort of charter of equity.

    In their view, six positions are critical. They are: the president, vice president, Senate President, House of Representatives Speaker, Secretary to Government of the Federation, and national chairman. The founding fathers also reasoned that if the President or presidential candidate came from the South, the national chairman should automatically come from the North.

    But, for some reasons, the pact is being neglected. Therefore, the turmoil is expected. The turbulence may persist, unless party leaders demonstrate the courage to return to the vision of the party’s founding fathers.

    To douse tension in the fold, PDP resorted to a cosmetic leadership change two days ago. The decision was taken with reluctance. It was devoid of conviction. The Board of Trustees (BoT) chairman, Senator Walid Jibrin, who understands the clash of forces perfectly, stepped down. He was not the target of those championing emergency restructuring in the party.

    Jibrin, a committed party man, is a Northerner. A Southerner and former Senate President Adolphus Wabara was hurriedly asked to fill the vacant position. When the idea of BoT leadership change was being mooted, the party was divided on the approach. Only few party leaders, especially those who were working towards a particular answer, applauded the move. There was the belief that it was not the route to solve the lingering crisis. The generality of the party members were not thrilled by the hypocritical move.

    The reason is not far-fetched. The BoT appears to be a centre of influence. But, its chairman is not as powerful as the national chairman of the party. The BoT is largely an advisory organ with decorative powers. It can bark but it cannot bite deeply, unlike the chairman, who heads the National Executive Committee (NEC), the National Working Committee (NWC) and the National Caucus.

    Will the selection of Wabara as BoT chair man pacify Southern members pushing for equity and justice? It is doubtful.

    Wabara, who was also appointed as an adviser to the embattled National Chairman, Senator Iyorchia Ayu, is not a product of consensus. He is now identified with a particular tendency, to the consternation of the second camp, which is equally fighting for recognition and relevance in the party.

    Read Also; PDP crisis: Can Ayu survive the storm?

    Wabara is from Abia State, where key party leaders had rooted for a Southern presidency in the spirit of fairness. His governor, Dr. Okezie Ikpeazu, is an integral part of the South’s battle against marginalisation and alienation from the PDP.

    Will the governor now back down from the legitimate pursuit of fair play? Can Wabara exert influence on Ikpeazu? Does the emergence of Wabara as BoT chairman not even convey an impression of divide and rule at a time his kit and kin are resisting exclusion and alienation?

    Will the Southern Caucus of the PDP perceive his appointment as a condition for the restoration of a sense of belonging? In terms of mobilisation prowess, can Wabara match the aggrieved governors? Without the support of his zone, and the larger South bloc, can he make any impact?

    The PDP parades many old, experienced leaders. But how is their wisdom or experience robbing off on the platform during the protracted crisis?

    How effective is the platform’s conflict resolution mechanism at this trying period? Will the main opposition go into the campaigns as a divided house?

    The danger of allowing a crisis to fester in a political party is that reconciliation can become a herculean task. There can be reconciliation which pales into a theoretical truce. After a truce by warring gladiators, the healing process can take a longer time.

    The dark side of a protracted intra-party strife and rancour is that settlement may not herald real renewal of contact and confidence building after the war.

    Whenever the PDP crisis is over, there may be a need to also reconcile party chieftains who have freely used words against one another, especially Rivers Governor Nyesom Wike and former Niger Governor Babangida Aliyu, and Wike’s supporters and Sule Lamido, who have shifted the war to the media.

    Since the crisis broke out in the main opposition party after former Vice President Atiku Abubakar was picked as presidential candidate, the Southern Caucus has persisted in its demand for balance in the distribution of political offices. It is because they believe that the legacy of the PDP is the adoption of zoning as a core convention. Therefore, its breach is the cause of the conflict.

    Remarkably, crisis had erupted because powerful forces in the party had opposed power shift to the South, insisting that another Northerner should succeed President Muhammadu Buhari, who is a Northerner, in next year’s election.

    It smacks of gross insensitivity that these so-called powerful forces, including Generals who are dictating the tunes in blissful retirement, could give impetus to a party that has a national outlook to turn its back against the principle of unity in diversity.

    How should the South react to the scenario of power retention when it is being faced with the reality of 16 years rule by the North, if the PDP were to return to power?

    If PDP has lived to the vision of its founding fathers and the presidential candidate had been picked from the South, would the current imbroglio not have been averted?

    Yet, lack of proper engagement or communication has compounded the deep-seated rift. The opposition to rotation or zoning was being rationalised by the poor and unconvincing argument that PDP cannot recapture power, if a presidential candidate from the South is fielded for next year’s poll.

    As Atiku got the ticket, Ayu hailed Sokoto State Governor Aminu Tambuwal, who was asked to step down for him, describing him as the hero of the primary. It sent a wrong signal that there was a pre-determined agenda to strategically shove the South aside.

    The adamancy of anti-zoning forces has inadvertently boxed Nigeria into the North-South dichotomy. Although Atiku claims to be a unifier, his emergence as the party’s flag bearer does not seem to engender unity or cohesion, either in his troubled party or in the country.

    Also, what discussion took place between Atiku and Wike when the candidate visited him in his residence at Abuja? Was it true that Atiku conveyed the impression that Wike would be his running mate?

    Did Ayu promise to step down as chairman? What factors aided him to renege on his promise?

    Were the Southern governors and chieftains in the PDP underrated by their northern counterparts? Governor Ifeanyi Okowa did not go down well with his colleagues in the South?

    When Atiku unveiled Okowa as running mate, the former Vice President said he had picked a presidential material. Is that remark not infuriating to other chieftains from the South, particularly Wike, who may have misunderstood the initial discussions with him as a sort of assurance?

    The grouse of the Rivers State governor and his Oyo and Abia counterparts – Seyi Makinde and Ikpeazu – is that the constitution and tradition of the PDP stipulate that whenever the presidential standard bearer is from a bloc region, the national chairman must come from another region.

    Elder statesman Ayu, a founding chieftain of the PDP, who said he was present at the formative stage of the party when Wike, Makinde, Okezie and Enugu State Governor Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi were still kids, is conversant with the time-tested party convention and recruitment process.

    The eminent scholar and three-time minister had the tradition in mind when he promised to vacate the position of chairman, if a candidate was picked from the North.

    The crux of the matter is that Ayu has refused to keep his promise to step down, despite persistent calls on him to honour his promise.

    Based on the violation of the party culture of equity and justice, Wike has found justification for demarketing Atiku, saying that if a person cannot obey the constitution of his party, he may not be able to defend the constitution of the country after assuming political control.

    The agreement, which Wike and his group continue to emphasise, is that there should be a change of party leadership. This is a great lesson. Politicians may have to take a clue from the current discord and desist from making promises that will hunt them in the future.

    Ayu, it could be said, managed to survive the heat during the NEC meeting. A vote of confidence was passed on him. But, if PDP could reflect deeply, the party should have known that a 2014/2015 pattern of dissension is gradually emerging. Unless the party puts its house in order, perilous times are around the corner for it.

    The PDP was rocked by in-fighting and defections in 2015. It also failed to achieve its vision of ruling for the next 60 years. The children of 1999 are now challenging their prodigal fathers to a duel. Atiku needs a new style, weapon and strategy to engage the troublesome younger elements who are insisting on principle. At this time, the PDP cannot afford a major defection. It is risky.

    But if Ayu surrenders, it may not be the end of the matter. A mini-convention for the choice of a new chairman before the general election is not feasible. If he is succeeded by the deputy national chairman from the North, it will not meet the expectation of the Southern agitators. The feud will escalate.

    Yet, if Ayu is succeeded by the deputy national chairman from the South, Taofeek Arapaja, who is the candidate of Governor Makinde and a supporter of Wike, it means intra-party power has shifted to the children who were not privy to the establishment of the PDP in 1998/1999.

    At a time the PDP should be on the firing line, it is dissipating much energy on crisis, an ill-will that blows none of its gladiators any good.

    Genuine reconciliation, based on the principle of concessions, consensus, give and take, and sacrifice, is required in the PDP for the party to frontally confront the 2023 challenge.

  • Professor Diji Aina on factionalism, Economic Parasitism and State Fragility (1)

    Professor Diji Aina on factionalism, Economic Parasitism and State Fragility (1)

    Although his inaugural lecture interestingly delivered on the ninth day of March in the ninth year of his promotion to the rank of professor at the Babcock University some six years ago in 2016, Professor Diji Aina’s dissection of the phenomenon of factionalism, economic parasitism and state fragility with particular reference to Africa and Nigeria specifically is one of the most exhaustive and insightful searchlights on the subject that I have read. The issues raised in the lecture are ever so refreshingly relevant to the push and pull of communal life in diverse polities across time and space. Titled ‘Factionalism, Economic Vampires and the Fragile State’, the discourse analyses diverse forms of cooperative and thus healthy factionalism as well as competitive, conflict-laden and thus dysfunctional  factionalism in polities ranging from South Korea, Eastern Europe and Latin America, Western Europe, the United States of America and of course Africa.

    Although some scholars have an essentially atomistic view of man as an isolated individual fundamentally preoccupied with the selfish pursuit particularly of his existential material interest at the expense of others, the philosophical basis of the ‘economic man’ of capitalist society, man is basically a social or political animal in Aristotelian terms whose life can only be meaningful in his relationship with other fellow homo sapiens. The imperative of living in society since man is not created to live a Robinson Crusoe-type of self-reliant existence makes the interaction of individuals with others in society inevitable essentially through the formation of groups which may be economic, religious, cultural, military, professional, educational, ethnic, leisure-related or, of course, political in nature.

    The political association in the form of the political party in democratic polities’ is perhaps the pre-eminent group in society since it competes with other like groups for the control of state power and the legitimate authority to coordinate and allocate values as well as determine, in the formulation of the political scientist, Harold Lasswell, who gets what, when and how in the societal distribution of resources even though he is criticized for not paying sufficient attention to the production of those resources as well as how much goes to the constitutive classes of society.

    Stressing the inevitability of factionalism in organized society, Professor Aina notes that the phenomenon “is an integral part of the political process whether in corporate political settings, autocracy or democracy. Party politics globally has served only as a tool of factional strategy in order to achieve political power. In other words, party politics depended on factionalism because the goal of party politics has been about access to power, the route to economic resources”. He sheds further light on the concept of factionalism stating that “Whereas in the cooperative and competitive typologies, the State is strengthened; in the degenerative model, the fragility of the state is seriously highlighted. For instance, factionalism contributed to political paralysis of the Soviet Union in the late 1970s, delayed Gorbachev’s political reforms in the 1980s, made the prospect of Obama’s last two years dull, and created an ugly scenario in 2015 in Nigeria’s national politics, thereby stultifying the change mantra”.

    Incidentally, for the first phase of governance in post-colonial Africa, the fractious character of democratic politics as captured by Professor Aina’s conception of factionalism bred a distrust for liberal democracy with some of the modernization theorists such as Samuel Huntington at the time in the early 60s and 70s,  perceiving and promoting the military, for instance, with its supposed organizational attributes of discipline, efficiency, primacy on order, hierarchy and promptness as a modernizing agent through what was described as ‘developmental dictatorship’. It was this same kind of rationalization that sought to justify the rash of military, one-party and one-man dictatorships across Africa at the time that was perceived as more suited for the attainment of Africa’s desired rapid development than the rancorous debates, noisy disputations, intra-party disputes and inter-party conflicts and protracted legislative deliberations characteristic of liberal democracy, a scenario vividly captured by Professor Aina’s conception of factionalism, which was seen as unduly distracting and obstructive of accelerated transformation in underdeveloped societies needing fast-paced transformation.

    It took bitter experience for African and other underdeveloped countries to see that imposing the peace and seeming order of the graveyard on a polity in the quest for development, rather than being a sure and speedy route to development, bred pervasive corruption, drove grievance, dissension and faction underground, inevitably nurtured political persecution, oppression and pernicious human rights abuse while worsening instability and deepening underdevelopment. In Nigeria since 1999, for instance, the most intense forms of intra-party disputations, political disagreements, poor governance, degenerative violence, unbridled corruption among other perverse manifestations of the political process have not tempted Nigerians to desire a return to military or any other form of dictatorship. Sometimes chaotic factionalism is increasingly being seen as an integral part of political contestation in a free and plural society and society must incrementally and systematically develop the capacity to manage such within the prism of democratic culture, institutions and processes.

    Illustrated throughout Professsor Aina’s lecture is the thesis that “Factions are ubiquitous aspects of life. From the Caudillos of Latin America where, according to Lewis (2006) strong colorful personalities impose their will on the people through the “hyper-presidential” system to political paralysis leading to Mikhail Gorbachev reform politics of the 1980s in the defunct Soviet Union to the gridlock cum divided government of the United States, factions have either strengthened or weakened the state”. But while relatively strong institutions as well as restraining moral or cultural values have been able to help contain the dysfunctional and disruptive consequences of governmental gridlock or democratic decay in advanced democracies such as Donald Trump’s America or Boris Johnson’s United Kingdom, factionalism has had more devastating and destructive consequences in underdeveloped polities like Nigeria.

    As Professor Aina explains, “Unlike in the United States where the political system is confronted by a gridlock and a divided government arising from multiplicity of interest groups and policy options, the Nigerian space is perforated by rampaging economic vampires, predatory elite gangs and a disoriented civic populace whose mind is sold to a complex web of patrons”. The economic parasitism of the political elite described by the professor as ‘rampaging political vampires’ is thus the key explanatory variable that links extreme and divisive factional contestations in Nigeria to state fragility and debilitating underdevelopment.

    As he pungently makes the point, “The concept of vampire is mythological. It conveys the idea of an entity or being whose goal is sucking out the life essence (i.e. blood or life sustaining fluid) of other living beings. In this lecture, we use economic vampires to represent all agents of the State and non-State actors who fuel factional flames and fan the embers of degenerative politics with the ultimate goal of preying on the economy. They come as political and economic entrepreneurs, multi-national corporation actors as well as other entities and persons whose apotheosis is putting profit ahead of all other goals and to the exclusion of ethical and moral considerations”.   In the concluding part of this essay, we will relate Professor Aina’s ideas to the character of politics, paralysis of governance, decay of values, heightened state fragility and developmental degeneracy in Nigeria’s fourth Republic with particular attention on the forthcoming general elections.

  • LASU-NIIA: Glimmers of hope

    LASU-NIIA: Glimmers of hope

    It is all too rare for good or hopeful news to emanate from our public tertiary institution system at this time. The decrepit facilities including lecture halls, libraries, hostels and laboratories, demotivated lecturers, disoriented and often distracted students and the chronic underfunding that lies at the root of most of these challenges in these institution are too well known. What is baffling is the seeming sheer arrogance, criminal indifference, inexplicable paralysis of will and so obvious cluelessness of successive governments in dealing decisively and creatively with the debilitating, multifarious crises of tertiary education in Nigeria. It is not a peculiar problem of the President Muhammadu Buhari administration as a shamelessly hypocritical opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) would seek, for instance, to portray the persisting 7-month old ongoing strike by the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) as if it was any less clueless and inept in handling the problems confronting the sector in its 16 years in power at the centre.

    Rather, the crisis of higher education in postcolonial Nigeria is largely a function of the venality, lack of vision, patriotism and capacity of a decadent, incompetent and hopelessly indolent ruling class comprising functionaries of diverse governments and parties across time. Unfortunately, the ranks of Nigerian academia itself including the higher echelon of university administration in the public sector, is also hobbled by the same industrial-scale corruption, inefficiency and ineffectiveness that characterize the ruling class as a whole not excluding substantial sections of the all too often hypocritical media elite I must hasten to add. But then, this piece is not about the gloom around tertiary education especially public universities in Nigeria but rather focuses on a glimmer of hope as regards the bright future that can be for this sector as indicated by a recent seemingly trivial but really significant event.

    Recently, graduate and final year students of foreign policy from the Department of Political Science of the Lagos State University (LASU), undertook a field study visit to the Nigerian Institute of International Affairs (NIIA), Victoria Island, Lagos, where they interacted with the specialists of the reputable research institute on various aspects of Nigeria and Africa’s foreign policy and the dynamics of international relations in general. The initiative I am told was necessitated by the need to expose the students to the foreign policy formulation process and is part of an evolving culture at LASU of encouraging its researchers, lecturers and students to engage productively with ministries, agencies, industries and other institutions through brainstorming, cross-fertilization of ideas, enriching the learning process and fostering greater synergy between theory and relevant practice.

    This initiative surely would not have been possible if the Lagos State government-owned LASU had also been on strike like the federal and some state universities across the country. It is all too easy to forget now that LASU once used to be a hot bed of rabid and rancid, militant academic unionism which, coupled with rampant cultism, moral depravity, frequent strikes among other ills made the institution’s academic and social environment anarchic and chaotic. Sanity has, however, been gradually restored to the institution and normalcy regained over the last few years, a situation that I am told has been substantially improved upon by the incumbent Vice-Chancellor, Professor Mrs. Ibiyemi-Olatunji Bello, within her short duration in office thus far. This is indeed not surprising as, before her current appointment, Professor Bello had previously served at various times as Deputy Vice Chancellor and Acting Vice Chancellor and had been a key Actor in the gradual restoration of normalcy to LASU with a predictable academic calendar for the school and the continuing systematic enhancement of its institutional prestige.

    When I asked an academic at the school what the social and academic climate looked like now, he was optimistic and upbeat. “Staff morale is high. Salaries are paid not later than 22nd or 23rd of every month. Outstanding promotions have mostly been effected and current promotions are routinely done accordingly. Members of staff are encouraged to go on their annual vacations and undertake sabbaticals. If you visit the university, you will see numerous ongoing structures at various stages construction springing up. The credit goes not just to the VC but also to the governor, Mr. Babajide Sanwo-Olu, who obviously accords high priority to the accelerated transformation of the institution”.

    The study visit by students of LASU to the NIIA was evidently a function of the cooperative, collegial spirit prevalent in the institution. It is significant that the team was led by Professor Kayode Soremekun, a former Vice Chancellor of the Federal University, Oye-Ekiti (FUOYE) and a renowned scholar in politics and international relations with specialization in the domestic and global politics of the oil industry. He was accompanied by Dr. Abdul-Wasi Moshood, an accomplished political scientist who has published extensively in the areas of international relations, peace, conflict and governance issues. Of course, the inter-institutional collaboration would not have been possible without the support of the Head of the Department of Political Science, Dr. Paul Sewa-Thoevetin, a well- regarded authority on development and governance issues, as well as the Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences, Professor Omobitan Olufunsho Abayomi, who obtained his M.Sc and PhD degrees from the University of Vienna, Austria and was a co-winner along with Professor Adeniyi Harrison also of LASU of the Y2020 Tertiary Education Trust Fund (TETFund) national research fund.

    Incidentally, this column has a number of times interrogated the often provocative ideas of the rhythmical journalistic prose stylist and engaging international relations scholar, Dr. Dapo Thomas, whose authoritative work, ‘The Political Economy of Nigeria-United States Relations’ was published in 2018. LASU no doubt reflects the depth of talent and expertise that still abound in Nigeria’s university system despite the myriad challenges confronting tertiary education in the country. But then, would the NIIA have been an attractive institution for students of Nigerian universities to undertake a study visit to just a few years ago? The answer is a categorical no. But under its new Director-General, Professor Eghosa Osaghae, the country’s premier and most prestigious foreign policy research and formulation think-tank, has undergone a veritable organizational and intellectual renaissance.

    In the 1970s, 1980s and early 1990s, the famous main auditorium of the NIIA was the venue for the delivery of critical public lectures and the hosting of diverse symposia, conferences and colloquia that vigorously dissected national issues and proffered creative and insightful solutions. I recall, for instance, a lecture titled ‘Religion and National Integration’ delivered at the NIIA by the former Prime Minister of the Sudan, Al Sadiq El-Madhi, sometime in 2001. It foresees and addresses many of what have become intractable religious problems in Nigeria and other parts of Africa today. If his call on the west at the time not to equate westernization with human civilization and not to adopt a superior disposition to other religions and cultures, would we have avoided one of the backlashes such as the diverse forms of Islamic extremism? El-Mahdi in that lecture called on the West to make three adjustments: “To recognize that its civilization is indebted to others. A point made by Martin Bernal in his book, Black Athena, and by Montgomery Watt in his book, ,The Influence of Islamic civilization on Medieval Europe. To recognize that other cultures have a valuable contribution to make. To accept the fact that as other cultures borrow from the West, they will do so voluntarily and in terms acceptable to them”.

    Once again, under the watch of Professor Osaghae, one of Africa’s most distinguished and widely published political scientists who lectured at the University of Ibadan for several years, a former Vice-Chancellor of Nigeria’s premier private university, Igbinedion University, Okada, and Visiting Emeka Anyaoku Chair of Commonwealth Studies at the University of London for 2013/2014, the NIIA has bounced back as a boiling cauldron of intellectual versatility and robust public discourse on national issues and foreign policy. Earlier this year, to cite just one instance, the NIIA collaborated with the Federal Ministry of Youth and Sports Development to organize the first ever conference on Sports Diplomacy as a driver of Nigeria’s foreign policy agenda for Africa, highlighting the power of sports to promote peace and positive change in the world.

    Incidentally, on the day the LASU students visited the NIIA, the institution’s interns and senior interns were having their seminar and group debate on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Some of the visiting students were assembled into two groups and offered their perspectives on the issue to the admiration of the management and staff of the NIIA as regards their impressive acquaintance with current and international affairs. Addressing the visiting students, the Research Fellow, Division of Strategic and Security Studies of the NIIA, Dr. Sunday Olubejide, explained the dialectical relationship between a country’s foreign policy and the dynamic interaction of domestic and external factors in international relations.

    It is a measure of the depth of the NIIA’s human resource base that renowned Professor of Comparative Politics and International Relations, Professor Femi Otubanjo, who taught for several years at the University of Ibadan and is a respected authority on foreign policy, is a Senior Fellow at the Institute and the students ought to know that they were indeed privileged to interact with such a profound and experienced mind. Perhaps noticing the assorted and sophisticated phones that many of the students carried, Professor Otunbanjo advised them that the phones were not just useful for engaging in conversations or indulging in entertainment but that they were indeed veritable storehouses of valuable information and vast mobile libraries. Reinforcing this, Professor Osaghae stressed the need for the students to read and study widely beyond their recommended texts in class while also acquainting themselves with the works of leading authorities in their fields.

    However dismal the situation may appear, there are so many brilliant minds still doing quality and productive work in our higher institutions and research institutes across the country. They are the ones producing the brilliant minds who then travel out of the country to perform exceptionally in post-graduate and other professional studies abroad. A few years ago, this writer stumbled across a six-volume collection of the academic essays of Professor Eghosa Osaghae published in various reputable political science journals between 1986 and 2010 at a bookshop here in Lagos. Although, it made a heavy dent on the pocket, I did not hesitate to acquire the veritable treasure trove which is an invaluable part of my modest library today. This is an example of the uncommon brilliance and industry of many a Nigerian academic. Surely, they deserve their reward right here on earth and government has a responsibility to create the requisite environment and provide the motivation for their talents to flower and flourish for the benefit of accelerated national development. The LASU-NIIA example suggests that there is indeed hope for a thriving intellectual enterprise in Nigeria.