Category: Sunday

  • Subjugating subsidy scam? (Part 2)

    Subjugating subsidy scam? (Part 2)

    It is likely that virtually any discourse, debate or dialogue going on within Nigeria’s socio-economic and political contexts presently centres on the big elephant in the room – oil subsidy. This is a matter that affects the life of all Nigerians due to the multi-dimensional effects of gasoline (petrol) on the populace. The removal of oil subsidy touches on transportation, food, clothing, housing, logistics that will dictate and determine prices of goods and services within the economy, cost of governance, etc. It is both intriguing and interesting to consider certain facts, of recent, oozing out of the oil industry that are mind boggling. For instance, how do you juxtapose the present impasse on the sudden removal of oil subsidy with the recent discovery of the real rate of consumption? It has been unearthed that the supposed daily consumption of gasoline before the Tinubu’s administration’s recent withdrawal of subsidy was guesstimated at 69 million litres per day. However, in just one week, the daily consumption has ‘dwindled or dipped’ to 13 million litres per day! Poser: pray, where ‘went’ the 56 million litres? This depicts and displays the pervading cantankerous corruption inherent in the country’s oil industry spanning years? If our oil industry is likened to a human being suffering from this level of horrendous hemorrhage, she would have long been dead, buried and forgotten!

    It is high time followers (citizens) adjusted to new normal even as fuel queues have disappeared and gasoline consumption has drastically gone down, in towns and cities, nationwide. In essence, a household possessing five cars may need to reduce to two. This columnist is aware that much needs to be done to enhance our transportation system in our cities and towns to make it efficient and effective. In essence, the federal and state governments should prioritize proactive development of infrastructure, particularly investing more in roads, rails and water transportation; the latter specifically in our riverine areas. For instance, why should some citizens not travel or ferry their goods from Lagos to Ayetoro (Ondo), Warri or Calabar or Port Harcourt by water rather than by road? Someone once told this columnist that it takes less than one hour to traverse by water from Lagos to Warri, Delta State exploiting modern boats. Is that not worth exploiting since it is time saving and might be simultaneously economical? 

    Refineries: Read, Reflect and Respond

    Imagine these headlines from 2017 till 2023, and no litre of refined products from our government owned refineries:  “NNPC is intensifying efforts toward rehabilitation of refineries” – Ibe Kachikwu (December 2017)

    “FG begins rehabilitation of Port Harcourt Refineries” – Maikanti Baru (March 2019)

    “NNPC will begin full rehabilitation of Nigeria’s refineries by 2020″ – Mele Kyari

    “The sum of $5.8 billion was spent on rehabilitation of refineries between 2015 and 2020” – NNPC

    “Mele Kyari, Maikanti Baru spent $19 billion on Refineries Maintenance in 8 years” (8th June 2023)

    Dear esteemed readers: If you are a business man or woman reading and reflecting on the above lines, what will be your response? It is not just the immediate administration of Muhammad Buhari that was culpable but governments before it. Should we be investing impudently humongous amount of fund in seeming drain pipes referred to as refineries which are producing no refined oil? Will it not be sagacious to think in line with the tinkering of American business mogul and investor, Abigail Johnson, who once opined: “returns matter a lot. It’s our capital.” It is weird and worrisome that workers are being paid for services bereft of output or outcome: no return or value for money! Yours sincerely was a guest on TVC News Breakfast on Wednesday 31st May 2023. Fielding questions from one of the anchors regarding our irritating refineries, without minding whose ox is gored, I retorted rationally:

    “Our refineries should work, but I don’t know the magic wand the new government will put into our refineries to work … for the past 8 years of the Buhari’s administration, it is like you are putting in something and you are not getting anything out which any business man will not do; and with President Tinubu there as a financial engineer, I don’t think he will invest in such kind of moribund enterprise … Really while should we be producing crude, for crying out loud … year in year out, and carrying our crude out to a nation like Singapore that is not producing oil to refine … and bring back to us, and milking our economy? The present government should set a time frame to stop this oddity… it is a shame (sic)!” – John Ekundayo, TVC News Breakfast @ Wednesday 31st May 2023 (available on YouTube).

    In addition, the House of Representatives Ad Hoc Committee on the state of refineries in Nigeria, to the chagrin of its members, discovered that after expending a humongous amount of N11.349 trillion to rehabilitate the nation’s refineries, apart from the fact that none is functioning, there were duplication of projects and double payments! Is that not tantamount to double tragedy for a country with a bleeding economy seemingly reeling on the verge of collapse? In surmising the matters relating to the ailing refineries, President Tinubu should within the wink of an eye set up a high-powered committee to be headed by the Vice President, Senator Kashim Shettima, to initiate and negotiate the selling off of the moribund refineries. This is the sagacious strategic step in arresting further hemorrhage of the economy whilst at the same time giving incentives to investors to invest in more refineries. Reforms promised should commence with the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA), etc. Moreover, the government should, acting within her acclaimed actionable plans of intervention (quoting presidential spokesman, Mr. Dele Alake), set a specific timeframe for prohibition of ferrying our crude oil outside Nigeria for refining. This timeframe should be made known for all Nigerians so that the followers can track the transparency and good intention of the government in this matter. Going this route will ensue, enlist and enhance the trust of the followers (citizens) in governance.

    Tangible and Timely Interventions

    It is a good development that there is an on-going parley of labour with the federal government. The President and his men had also interfaced with the marketers soliciting for their cooperation in the matter of subsidy removal and in a win-win situation; the NNPC is no longer the sole importer of refined oil as marketers can join the fray as well! This is cheering!! It is remarkable that President Bola Tinubu met with all the Governors, first his party’s and then all of them together in pushing for their support; there was a consensus or unanimity in siding with oil subsidy removal. The next parley between the labour unions (the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC)) comes up on 19th June 2023. Expectedly, the government team would be coming to the table with its offerings on what was tagged as interventions rather than palliatives, according to Mr. Dele Alake, spokesman on behalf of the team. Will the government earn the trust of the followers in justifiably dispensing the accrued savings from the oil subsidy removal into tangible and distinguishable deliverables in healthcare, infrastructure, education and power? This columnist will desire that a certain portion be applied proactively to agribusiness development countrywide as a means of diversifying the economy and enhancing our country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which will ultimately shore up the value of the local currency – Naira. Will more of the followers be engaged in economic ventures thus lowering the exacerbating unemployment rate through these interventions? Will the attendant expending of the resources garner from removal of oil subsidy impact positively in moving up the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) overtime, thus shoring up the value of the Naira? Over all, will the proposed interventions, when unveiled, meet with the expectations of the citizens in cushioning the current hardship encountered by them? It is interesting to note that two states – Kwara and Edo – have made a move in reducing working days from five to three within the week. Is this a productive move even though less money will be expended by workers in coming to the office while freeing up plenty of time for the workers? However, will the public service encumbrances allow for productivity of these public servants as it should? It is high time civil service rules were relaxed to allow government workers to be involved in productive ventures other than agro-allied. The extant rule is atavistic and archaic in this regard!

    Concluding Comments

    “The biggest risk of all is not taking one.” — Mellody Hobson, American business woman.

    President Bola Tinubu, sounding surefooted in his demeanour in his inauguration speech at Eagle Square coupled with events that followed days after, has exhibited and exemplified with candour that his administration will not just be kicking the can down the road but actually picking the can into the dustbin once and for all unlike previous administrations taking cognizance of knotty issues relating to oil subsidy removal. It is imperative on the part of the federal government to both ensure transparency and build citizens’ trust. One way to achieve this is to separate the gains from the subsidy removal into a separate or dedicated account with appropriate name tag, such as Subsidy Reinvestment Fund. The details of money going into the fund and how it is expended should be given monthly and widely published as well. Moreover, there should be proper application of monitoring, evaluation, accountability and learning (MEAL) systems to track the progress in order to ensure and enhance value is delivered for money expended. Experts in this area of development should be involved in the strategy execution in order to ensure that tangible outcomes dovetail to real and discernible impacts, over time. There should be a consensus between the federal and state governments the specific programmes and projects to channel this fund into that will impact followers within the polity. These social intervention programmes and projects should be published periodically state by state with detailed locations for MEAL and peer review purposes. Will the government be able to take the bull by the horns in disposing off the rotting refineries that are akin to horrendous hemorrhage knowing that in the words of Mellody Hobson, American business woman, and Chairman, of Starbucks: “the biggest risk of all is not taking one”. The coming weeks will depict the distinguishing stuff, if any, of Tinubuism – strategic leadership style of Tinubu to issues relating to governance of Nigeria. We are flowing and following along as courageous exemplary followers. Feedback to issues raised here is welcome and will be highly appreciated.

    • John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com
  • No to ‘novice’ ministers

    No to ‘novice’ ministers

    I remembered two of the many profound thoughts my former editor at The Punch, Mr Gbemiga Ogunleye shared in some past discussions when I read the report of the former Minister of Education, Mallam Adamu Adamu admitting that he only had a superficial knowledge of the Education sector when he was appointed in 2015.

    When we discussed some long-serving staff complaining of not being considered for some key appointments, Ogunleye noted that there is a difference between being qualified for a position and being competent to perform the role.

    The aggrieved staff, he said should not expect to get appointed just because they have been long in the service of the company. If they don’t have the required competence, they should be grateful they are still retained.

    The second point which is more relevant for the focus of this column is about how to compensate family members or people close to you when you are in a position to either hire or appoint people for vacant positions.

    While there may be nothing wrong in hiring one’s relatives the organisation one head, he said it’s wrong to give them positions they may not be competent for.

    For example, if you are the Managing Director of a bank and your brother is a good cleaner, don’t make him an Assistant Manager, make him or her the head of the cleaners at most.

    He will definitely not be able to perform the managerial role of a banker, but he or she will do better heading the cleaners.

    Considering the various requirements for appointing ministers, including the constitutional requirements and political considerations the President has to balance, it’s definitely not easy ensuring that all the ministries are manned by persons who are very knowledgeable about each sector.

    The federal cabinet is supposed to be composed of at least one minister each from the 36 states of the federation and the federal capital city, Abuja. Beyond competence, there are various interests to be considered and persons to be compensated for their roles in the election, while some ministries are regarded as more ‘juicy’ and prominent.

    It’s indeed tough for the President to decide who should be the right fit for any of the ministries, but as much as possible, the ministries should be manned by experienced and knowledgeable persons.

    Adamu is not the only minister who got appointed into ministries they didn’t know much about the issues they are supposed to superintend over. He should be commended for owning up. According to him, he was busy recommending suitable persons for appointment as ministers when he was appointed to a ministry he knew little or nothing about.

    Even when he suggested his replacement and that of others for the second term, President Muhammadu Buhari preferred to retain them. The Education Ministry is too strategic to have been experimented with as President Buhari opted to do considering that he would have been spoiled for choice if he wanted to have a minister with sufficient or relevant experience in the education sector.

    Based on the profiles of ministerial nominees, the public usually assumes who should be named for which ministries, but as usual, the assigned portfolios usually come as a surprise, except in a few cases like the Ministry of Health and Justice.

    While some appointees, as we have seen in the present and past cabinets have performed well in ministries they had no experience in the sector before, it’s better to appoint ministers based on their relevant academic and professional experience.

    There is no point in appointing ministers who have to start seeking experts to advise them on how to run the ministries they are assigned as Adamu had to do. How does the novice minister know if the advice he or she is given is the right one or not? It’s so easy for some civil servants to take advantage of the ignorance of ministers who only have a superficial knowledge of what they are supposed to do as has been the case.

    As we get ready for the new administration, President Bola Tinubu should do his best to ensure that we have the right persons manning the ministries and other positions.

  • 30 years gone!

    30 years gone!

    • June 12: the good, the bad and the ugly

    It is incredible that it is already 30 years since the June 12, 1993 presidential election that the then self-styled President, General Ibrahim Babangida, annulled. It is incredible. Whenever I remember the June 12 struggle, it is as if I am watching a movie. It is incredible that what transpired in Nigeria that culminated in the crisis could ever have happened in a country that was supposed to be the ‘Giant of Africa’. And only 30 years before. While the script was playing out, I kept asking myself if this was for real because it is the kind of thing that happens when a country has leaders who, like the proverbial greedy fly, would always follow dead bodies to the grave. Africa has a surfeit of such flies that eventually get interred with the bones.

    Thirty years since June 12, 1993, we need to tell and retell the story of that unforgettable experience, especially as most of our children did not have the benefit of the study of History between 2007 and 2019. We must keep stressing the importance of History because even the developed nations don’t joke with the subject. You must know where you are coming from so as to be able to chart the appropriate way to where you are going. Although the immediate past President Muhammadu Buhari reversed the ban in 2019 and restored History as a stand-alone subject in our schools, enough harm had been done. I felt sufficiently embarrassed when some years ago, a student in Ikenne, Ogun State, the home town of the Late Chief Obafemi Awolowo, was asked whether he knew Chief Awolowo. He said no; that the only Obafemi he knew was Obafemi Martins! This is how potentially damaging the deleting of History from our curriculum could be.

    Babangida began the June 12 shenanigans. When he came to power on August 27, 1985, he came with infectious smiles that swept Nigerians off their feet. The Buhari/Idiagbon regime that he overthrew had started to show traces of intolerance and dictatorship. It introduced some draconian measures, including the infamous Decree 4 of 1984 which punished journalists for non-patronising reports, and another decree which took effect retroactively, leading to the execution for drug trafficking, of three Nigerians, Bernard Ogedengbe (29), Bartholomew Azubike Owoh (26) and Lawal Ojuolape (30).

    So, when Babangida and Co. came, they were well received by Nigerians who heaved a sigh of relief that an end had finally come to the Buhari/Idiagbon dictatorship which itself sacked the Second Republic administration of Alhaji Shehu Shagari on December 31, 1983.

    Babangida legalised the Social Democratic Party (SDP) and National Republican Convention (NRC) in 1989 and asked Nigerians to queue behind either. Parliamentary election went ahead as planned in 1992 with Option A4 voting process. SDP won majorities in both houses of the National Assembly. It was the presidential election that later became problematic, thus fuelling speculation that what IBB, as Babangida is popularly called, wanted if he must leave power was at worst dyarchical system of government that he would head. It was in the process of arriving at ‘wuruwuru’ to this answer that Babangida kept on banning and unbanning politicians until the June 12, 1993 election was held.

    The election, won by the Late Bashorun Moshood Kashimawo Abiola of the SDP went peacefully contrary to the expectation of Babangida and some of his fellow sit-tight officers. Like the 2023 presidential election, the election was won on a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Abiola and his vice presidential candidate, Babagana Kingibe, defeated Alhaji Bashir Tofa and his vice, Sylvester Ugoh of the NRC with about 2.3million votes even though the results had not been formally declared when Babangida came on national television bouncing like someone possessed and high on something, to confirm that he had annulled the election.

    This was an election which both local and foreign observers had declared the freest and fairest in Nigeria’s history. It was peaceful too because the politicians and Nigerians generally had started seeing the handwriting on the wall that Babangida was not prepared to go. So they comported themselves so as not to give the dictator an opportunity to stay beyond his self-appointed August 26, 1993 exit date.

    That was the beginning of the June 12 crisis that shook the country to its very foundation.

    What gladdens my heart however was the fact that Nigerians gave it to the military adventurists. Even when they gave themselves exit dates that they thought would never come, they were not honourable enough to honour their own words when the self-imposed dates came. They wanted to sit tight like their counterparts in other parts of Africa and the rest of the Third World. But, trust Nigerians, they gave them a good fight for their bullets.

    When the heat became too much for the gap-toothed General, he hurriedly ‘stepped aside’, as he called it, despite his initial grandstanding that he would not be stampeded out of power. Anyone who saw his confused state on August 26, 1993 would know that he left in a hurry, unprepared. We all saw on television how he was prevented from returning to his seat as president immediately after he had told the world that he was ‘stepping aside’.

    And, as if to bring his ‘prophecy’ of ‘stepping aside’ to come to pass, IBB attempted to return to power twice, in 2006 and 2010 when he collected the presidential nomination forms of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) but saw his chances were low on both occasions and withdrew.

    But Babangida did not leave without putting in place a contraption that he called Interim National Government (ING) headed by Chief Ernest Shonekan, an Egba man from Abeokuta, Abiola’s home town, to pacify the Yoruba that at least one of their own had been given power. But the Yoruba did not see Shonekan as Abiola; so, it was like; if it was not Abiola, it cannot be the same as Abiola. Shonekan did not enjoy the office one bit as protests resumed, especially in the southwest, with people insisting that the June 12, 1993 election results be validated.

    By November 17, 1993, barely three months after the ING was inaugurated, General Sani Abacha who had been waiting in the wings shoved it aside and assumed power  as head of state.  Still, this did not stop the June 12 protests. People, including policemen were killed, major markets, shops, banks and other businesses were shut while looters broke into several shops. June 12 it was that made Nigerians know how powerful the National Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG) was, with its then leader, Frank Kokori, calling the shots and shutting down the country several times in its show of solidarity with the June 12 cause.

    This was the situation in the country, particularly in the southwest, for months. Nigeria was literally grounded.

    Abacha was eventually taken out of the equation by death, the ultimate leveller, on June 8, 1998, and buried same day according to Muslim tradition. The fact that no autopsy was performed on him as well as the fact that Abiola himself died about a month later, precisely on July 7, 1998, fuelled speculation that they may both have been assassinated as a way out of the June 12 logjam. Other prominent Nigerians, including Kudirat Abiola, Abiola’s wife; Pa Alfred Rewane, a major financier of the struggle, were killed by agents of the Abacha government.

    Students in tertiary institutions, workers, despite the betrayal by the then leadership of the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC), and virtually every segment of the society participated in the struggle. Prominent individuals, including military generals who believed in the cause of the June 12 struggle joined forces with civilians to push the military out of power. Some of these, including Nobel laureate Prof. Wole Soyinka, the incumbent President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the late Rear Admiral Ndubuisi Kanu, Gen. Alani Akinrinade, Kokori, the Late Pa Rewane, Chief Ayo Adebanjo, Chief Ayo Opadokun, Prof Bolaji Akinyemi, Dr Kayode Fayemi, among others, came together to form the National Democratic Coalition (NADECO), which became a thorn in the flesh of the military. Some members of the coalition were arrested; others fled into exile. A guerilla radio station, Radio Kudirat, came handy for the project.

    The media also stood behind the people but paid a huge price for their stance. Babangida banned The Punch, National Concord and The Guardian for over one year, over the struggle. Other vocal media outfits suffered a similar fate. When Abacha came, he, in his desperate move to legitimise his government de-proscribed them only to ban them again when he saw they were not ready to renounce their position on June 12.

    The military taught the Nigerian press underground journalism as they banned and unbanned the critical private newspapers and chased the vibrant magazines out of town. I remember how we suddenly metamorphosed from being publisher of The Punch to publisher of an emergency magazine, and later producer of ‘Write-On’ exercise books in order to stay afloat.  I had told the story of my little contribution to the struggle last Sunday on this page and I feel privileged to have been part of that struggle. It was indeed an experience.

    Sadly, no government listened to Nigerians’ cries for recognition of June 12 as a watershed in the country’s history, at least not until the immediate past President Muhammadu Buhari did in 2018. Buhari it was, who in that year said from 2019, Democracy Day should be marked on June 12 every year in honour of Abiola, instead of May 29 that the military finally handed over. He awarded the business mogul the highest national honour, the Grand Commander of the Federal Republic (GCFR) and Kingibe, as well as the late human rights activist, Chief Gani Fawehinmi, the second highest national honour, the Grand Commander of the Order of the Niger (GCON). He also declared the day work-free.

    Unfortunately, the way things are in the country today, we can only mark, not celebrate the 30th anniversary of June 12 tomorrow. It is an occasion for sober reflections, especially on the part of those of us who witnessed or participated in the watershed one way or the other. Those who read me last Sunday must have understood the reason I expressed regret that majorly, it is those with little or no value to our democratic struggle that hijacked the democratic space as soon as we drove away the soldiers.

    They would also understand why I referred to President Tinubu as ‘omo oninkan’ (the child of the owner). He was a dogged NADECO fighter. He knew we had to send the military away from government houses so we can have a better Nigeria. Having paid such a huge price that he and other patriotic Nigerians paid for this democracy, he cannot afford to fail. Ceteris paribus.

  • Southeast and IPOB’s sit-at-home order

    Southeast and IPOB’s sit-at-home order

    The Southeast is still engaged in a titanic battle with the Monday sit-at-home order first issued by the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) in August 2021. Few know how the battle will end, or who will win, considering how long the bloody test of wills has lasted. It is unclear to many outside the region who the backbones of the order for the self-immolating weekly protest are: IPOB or the faceless ‘unknown gunmen’; or perhaps they are just opposite side of the same coin. Both militant groups have continued to pass the buck. But giddy with the November 2021 Anambra governorship poll triumph, and being an economist who is not ignorant of the unbearable cost of the sit-at-home civil action designed to pressure the federal government to release detained IPOB leader Nnamdi Kanu, Charles Soludo ordered an end to the protest. He tabled before Anambrarians the enormous opportunity cost of the protest and argued that the state, nay the Southeast where the protest holds sway, could not afford the loss. Thrice between December 2021 and mid-2022, the governor tried to lift the siege but failed, for the people were more fearful of the lawless gunmen than the timid and sometimes frustrated law enforcement agencies.

    Governor Peter Mbah of Enugu State is the latest to try to arrest IPOB’s civil action. Though the separatist group had sometime last year suspended the action, renegade members, including the Nigerian-Finish member of the IPOB leadership, Simon Ekpa, have done their worst to sustain it with brutal enforcement. The governor had on June 1 ordered businesses and schools and offices to open on Mondays starting from June 5 in defiance of the IPOB order. Those who defy the state’s directive would have their premises shut, the governor threatened. On June 5, the governor and his men went round Enugu to monitor compliance and later announced that they were satisfied with the people’s response. Sixty percent compliance, he enthused, was not a bad outcome. Other reports, however, disputed the governor’s measurement. The compliance level was dismal, said other sources. The governor’s order and threat were a dismal failure, they chorused. This column cannot independently verify whose report is more believable; but judging from the governor’s plaintive comment, compliance was less than satisfactory.

    There is no confusion about the relevance of the IPOB civil action. It is counterproductive. It undermines civil authority, bleeds the economy of the Southeast, and promotes dissension within the polity. Prof. Soludo computes the economic loss to the Southeast zone consequent upon the civil action to be about N19.6bn. It is not clear whether it is an exaggeration or understatement. But the loss to the region is indisputably in the billions of naira. If wealth is not being created, poverty is being fostered. So too is migration to other more peaceful zones, leading to the export of investment capital to other places. It is unlikely indigenes of the zone lack an understanding of the economic and social losses consequent upon the sit-at-home action. They understand the damage the losses occasion, but are perhaps too fearful to summon the courage to end it.

    Two reasons explain the difficulty of ending the IPOB action, and both speak to Nigeria’s constitutional weakness and the failure of the Southeast elite, perhaps in equal measure. The sit-at-home action is a terrible indictment of the regional approach to law and order as well as the failure of leadership. Take the constitution, for example. Had Nigeria been operating economic federalism, where states earn their keep and pay taxes to the central government, they would recognise that without revenue from a central pool in Abuja, their states would starve. The undue reliance on revenue allocation from federal pool has promoted economic indolence, if not profligacy, in states. More importantly, the prolongation of the IPOB action is a reflection of the laxity and outright failure of the Southeast elite to control, mediate and modulate political activities as well as disaffection and alienation in their region. IPOB militancy did not develop into a monster overnight, and there is no proof, given their perspectives on national issues, that the zone’s leaders are even convinced of the folly and illogic of the militant group. Having indirectly justified IPOB’s objectives perhaps because of the alleged unfairness of Nigeria’s constitutional arrangement, they have now found it difficult to curb the excesses of the group. If they had the wisdom to foresee the consequences of IPOB’ militancy on their economy, especially the staggering revenue losses, perhaps the elite would not be too eager to shoot themselves in the foot. They gave free rein to IPOB; they must now find the courage and the wisdom to end militancy in their region should they not receive help from Abuja in terms of constitutional rearrangement or the amicable resolution of the Kanu conundrum.

    Governors Soludo and Mbah have demonstrated their willingness to finally grapple with the Monday sit-at-home nonsense and bring to an end the region’s economic bleeding. They have solicited the cooperation of the federal government to cobble a solution. The former president Muhammadu Buhari did not lend them an ear. Perhaps the new helmsman in Abuja will. But the Southeast elite must themselves demonstrate uncommon sagacity and responsibility in tackling the crisis. Releasing Mr Kanu and bringing the case against him to an end may not be as difficult as taming the hotheaded young man who had played into the hands of the federal government by his excesses and incendiary rhetoric. Prof Soludo wishes to stand surety for Mr Kanu; but the last man who did, Senator Enyinnaya Abaribe, got his fingers burnt. Could Mr Kanu, upon whose release the Southeast elite anchor peace in the region and an end to the sit-at-home order, really be tamed? Indeed, has the Southeast got its politics right, as indeed Governors Soludo, Imo’s Hope Uzodinma, and former Ebonyi helmsman Dave Umahi feared?

  • NLC’s Ajaero deplores insult: what impudence!

    NLC’s Ajaero deplores insult: what impudence!

    Joe Ajaero, the Nigeria Labour Congress (NC), is shockingly unable to see the contradictions in fighting for workers’ interest and prosecuting the cause of the Labour Party (LP) in the same breath. He won’t see the contradictions until the union implodes. Reacting to accusations that NLC was fighting the cause of LP and thus politicising the union, not minding that some members of the union belong to other political parties, Mr Ajaero doubled down and dismissively described the objections against his leadership style as an insult to the NLC. Clearly, a showdown between the government and the union leadership looms sometime in the future.

    Mr Ajaero had said: “We determine what happens in the Labour Party. Who is Labour Party or its candidate that will be telling us what to do? What we are doing now, has it not been consistent with what has been done on the issue of fuel subsidy from the past?  Even when the Labour Party presidential candidate was talking about fuel subsidy removal, although the mode maybe different, we said if you do it, you will hear from us…We have an era that we are entering: era of politics, and we will not shy away. The Nigeria Labour Congress will be involved in politics. We are already involved in politics. NLC has a political party: the Labour Party, and LP participated in the recent elections… Nigeria must exist before we practise our unionism. Anybody, who emerges as the president of Nigeria will work with us, and the rights and privileges of the workers must be guaranteed. The current wage system, casualisation policy, and outsourcing are anti-worker; with such policies, we can’t be our brothers’ keepers.”

    Ignore his arrogance for a moment. It is of course not true that at the moment the NLC determines what happens in the LP. The union may have tasted power and seen what such power can do, but Mr Ajaero’s assumptions are illogical and impossible to defend. By his admission of the indistinguishability of the NLC and LP, not to talk of their incestuous relationship, he is of course inviting and taunting the federal government to treat the union as an opposition party. The NLC president is unwise. As this column has maintained, just when should the government see the demands of the NLC as strictly for the interest of workers, and when does the government see the union’s negotiational intransigence as not for the LP in its bid to undermine the ruling party and compromise its electoral misfortune? The question is not whether a showdown between the union/LP and the federal government would occur; the question is when the presumption that everyone in NLC perforce belongs to LP would end.

  • For Tinubu, an 11th commandment

    For Tinubu, an 11th commandment

    • Thou shalt not fail

    Despite all odds, despite almost insurmountable hurdles, even despite negative prophecies and predictions, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu was sworn in as the 16th President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Federal Republic of Nigeria on May 29. The occasion, since 1999, usually reminds me of May 29, 1999, when Nigeria returned to civil rule after 16 years of military interregnum. I remember the high hopes we had as Nigerians on that day when General Olusegun Obasanjo was handed the baton of leadership by General Abdulsalami Abubakar.

    I remember how I celebrated the occasion in one of the canteens somewhere, I think, at Ola Ayinde Street in Ikeja, Lagos, where I had gone for a sumptuous meal that I washed down with a cold bottle of Big Stout, my favourite drink then. Thank God, today, I have left that ‘Egypt’! On my way to Canaan. I had thought the occasion called for celebration.

    But that is not where I am going.

    If anyone had told me then that where we are today is where we would be 24 years after, I would tell the person that he did not know what he was saying. For years, I had continued to wonder how before our elders’ very eyes the country has been moving from grace to grass since independence. But no more, especially as before my own very eyes too, I have seen how dearth of good leadership has progressively deprived us of the dividend of democracy that we fought hard to get.

    It is sad that this is where we are 24 years after returning our soldiers to their barracks. The price we paid for this democracy. Tinubu, the price! The price!!

    Is it newspaper houses that were shut down as part of the fallout of the June 12 protests that we want to talk about? In some cases for over one year with the then military authorities not having any feeling for how the affected journalists and other workers in those organisations would eat and take care of their other obligations? Many were imprisoned without trial and some of them never came out as they went in. I guess those of us who served at the top editorial positions of The Punch were lucky, despite the fact that we were unarguably one of the most vociferous critics of military rule and whatever they stood for during the June 12 struggle.

    Bola Bolawole that I succeeded as editor of The Punch was locked up in his office for three days while I spent a night at the Shangisha office of the secret police, plus a weekend (three nights actually)somewhere in the Ikeja Police Command where the then commissioner of police (COP Legal) ensured I had the best care pending the time I was granted bail by a court in Ikeja where the COP (Legal) took me to, knowing full well that I would eventually be granted bail because, as he told me, there was no charge that could stand against me. But he had to take me to court to convince his bosses that he had taken some action against me.

    If Bolawole and I were so lucky, not so Chris Mammah, deputy editor of The Punch then. Mammah was detained for weeks. Those who knew the role of The Punch then would agree that what Bolawole and I underwent was a mere slap on the wrist considering what the military junta considered as our crime (I mean the paper’s crime) and also what befell some of our other colleagues who had more terrible experiences. Some did not live to tell the story.

    The struggle consumed many people, prominent and not so prominent. It consumed many businesses, including Concord Group of Newspapers and other companies owned by the man at the centre of the June 12 protests, Bashorun Moshood Kashimawo Abiola.

    However, it is unfortunate that many of those who fought for democracy in Nigeria beat a retreat after returning to civil rule in 1999, leaving those who do not know the tribal marks of democracy to be enjoying what former governor of Oyo State, the Late Abiola Ajimobi described as the ‘mudun mudun’. What, for instance did a man like David Mark contribute to democracy to make him senator from 1999 to 2019 (20 years) out of which he was senate president for eight years (2007 to 2015)? What were Bukola Saraki’s contributions to the democratic struggle that made him governor for eight years, senator for eight years and senate president four years? It is high time people who know the value of democracy beyond coming to ‘chop’ began to take more interest in politics in this country. Gold ought to be sold only to those who know its value.

    Part of the reason we are in deep shit today is because many of those who have found themselves in strategic political positions since 1999 cannot appreciate what those who fought for democracy went through. The fact of the matter is that what came up as a Third Force in the last general elections, the Labour Party that is; was able to make significant incursion despite being a new comer in the country’s political process because of serial bad governance that seems to have led the country to its present sorry pass. This is the exact reason the party has been able to find favour among the youths, home and abroad. Many of our youths who are outside the country found themselves wherever they are not because they like it but because they have lost hope that anything good can come out of the present political class.

    Read Also: Tinubu’s emergence, will of God – APC Chieftain

    And they have their reason, especially when we compare the economic indices where Nigeria was even in 1999 when we resumed civil rule, to what they are today. Where do we start to talk about the degeneracy? From basic foodstuffs to simple electronics, fuel price, electricity tariff, automobiles, unemployment, insecurity, name it. We have lost a lot of ground. We now wear the crown of poverty capital of the world. In this kind of situation, it is difficult to blame the youths for seeking an alternative to the political parties and politicians that they see as being responsible for their hopelessness.

    This is one strong reason Tinubu must be ready to roll up his sleeves. There is a lot to do to fix Nigeria that is in a shambles right now.

    The president must realise that he is probably the second president since 1999 (after Chief Olusegun Obasanjo) that participated somewhat in the democratic struggles that saw the military eventually retreating to their barracks. (Not a few would argue though, that Obasanjo’s contribution to the struggle had ‘K-leg’ because while he wanted the military to go, he was not interested in Abiola being given his mandate). The rest, from former President Umaru Yar’Adua, to Goodluck Jonathan to Muhammadu Buhari, only came to ‘chop’ after the table had been set. So, they could not have understood what it meant to be in the trenches in the country during the struggle, or what it meant to be hounded into exile because of one’s role in the democratic struggle. By extension, therefore, they may not understand why democracy must deliver dividend to Nigerians.

    But those who participated actively in the struggle knew it was not just about returning the military to the barracks, but to entrench a democratic culture in the country to accelerate growth and development. To give Nigerians value for their votes.

    It would be disastrous if Tinubu fails, especially coming immediately after the Buhari disappointment. I remember the high hopes Nigerians had on Buhari in 2014/2015 which popularised slogans like ‘sai Baba’  and ‘Changi’ that eventually brought about the inglorious end of the then ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). By 2019 when Buhari was seeking reelection, the stridency of both slogans had started diminishing. As a matter of fact, none of the political parties talked about or wanted to be identified with the word change in the last general elections because the word had been abused by the Buhari team. Tempting as it is, the word ‘change’ was avoided like the plague during the political campaign because no one wanted to be identified with a jaded word or slogan.

    Rather than take heed of the early warning signals, Buhari’s handlers started attacking those calling their attention to the fact that their government rating in the eye of the public had started declining; they continued to bask in the old glory. They charged at genuine critics like hungry lions. By the time they realised their mistake, it was too late. It was no use sending clothes to Omoye because Omoye had already walked to the market naked. The belief in Yoruba land is that once a mad person gets to the market, his madness becomes irreversible.

    That the All Progressives Congress (APC) still won the 2023 presidential election was in spite of Buhari because in the 2015 election, it was not just about the then President Jonathan leaving, it was a case of Nigerians throwing away the baby with the bath water. Meaning the PDP must go down with him. But the scenario was different in 2023 election because Nigerians were still able to reason that the APC presidential candidate in the election was a man with pedigree. They were still able to retain their faculty and bring into remembrance the good things that Tinubu did as governor of Lagos State between 1999 and 2007. They continue to see his imprints on the pace of development that has continued in Lagos unabated, especially since 1999, making Lagos the state to beat in the country.

    This and a host of other factors made the APC governors stood with Tinubu, particularly those from the north, through thick and thin, and in spite of the numerous land mines placed on his way to power, until victory was assured.

    The truth is; Nigeria is hungry for development. This country is hungry for transformation. Nigerians who stood by Tinubu and handed him victory at the polls want him to come and replicate what he did in Lagos (that is still manifesting) at the national level.

    So, you can see what I mean when I said Tinubu has no option than to succeed. He seems to me the last of the old breed politicians that Nigerians, particularly the youths are likely to be prepared to tolerate. If he gets it right, then there is hope that something good can still come out of their Nazareth. Then there is hope that those waiting in the wings to sneak into the seat of power will know without being told, that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock. But if he doesn’t, then the vestiges of the old breed must get ready to retire from the political scene. But he has to be tactical in his reaction to the fallout of the subsidy removal.

    With Tinubu now in power, it is like ‘omo oninkan de’ (the son of the owner has arrived) which should translate into public good because, as a true child of the owner, he should understand the intricacies and nuisances of the democracy that he symbolises. He has the experience, the exposure, the academic qualification, the street wisdom and all, to see him through. No rational person would ever have the once-in-a-lifetime opportunity that he now has that would fritter it.

    For Bola Ahmed Tinubu, there is an 11th commandment: thou shalt not fail. There is no other option, but this. So help him God.

  • Bola Tinubu era begins

    Bola Tinubu era begins

    More than three decades after he first plunged into politics as a senator, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, 71, has finally met his destiny. Perhaps he sensed it early enough that he would be president one day; or perhaps the thought first crossed his mind when he was Lagos governor. Whatever the real story, and assuming he remembers with certainty when the thought first came to him, he had since forged ahead undaunted by griefs and setbacks, ignoring every provocation and suffering, and enduring all kinds of slander. He takes office tomorrow exuding a heart of steel, tried and tested by time and history, and unencumbered by cabals and all kinds of political hostage takers. But his fortitude and preparation will come under extreme stress tests and scrutiny in the months and years ahead, for he is playing on a different turf now. As a brilliant accountant and administrator, he had meandered through tasks fearsome and cumbersome enough to drain a man’s soul or pulverise an ordinary leader, and had endured punishment and vendetta from opponents and sworn enemies with unusual tenacity and equanimity. And either because of these qualities or because he was born into it, he has also grown to become one of Nigeria’s most controversial but highly sought-after political strategists, a man with an intuitive and unerringly canny capacity for sound choices, a man with a keen sense of smell for unobtrusive agenda unconstrained by age or science.

    President Tinubu’s fortitude is matched only by his confidence and optimism. As the era bearing his name begins tomorrow, he will reflect on his past battles in order to determine which factors made him overcome adversities. Perhaps those factors could still serve him well in the many bruising battles ahead. Notwithstanding, he is not a stranger to political battles; for his nature and chequered background have imbued him with matchless capacity to confront danger and not flinch. Lagos prepared him well, and after his governorship years, as his vision and ambition took on Pterodactyl wings, he acquired more oomph battling his way through the gauntlet of cantankerous and envious giants of the Southwest, through the hostile and unappeasable All Progressives Congress (APC) intraparty intrigues and wars, and now eventually landing smack in the middle of Aso Villa, Abuja, thereby breaking the mould of leadership succession along the way. He is the first social and management scientist to take office, the first politician since the civil war who was neither a soldier nor sponsored by a military cabal, and the first man to be elected against formidable intraparty and media opposition.

    But neither his preparation, which was unmatched by his opponents in the presidential poll, nor his hardiness, which is yet to be surpassed by any of his political contemporaries, guarantees the success of his administration. His predecessor left the economy burdened by debts and misdirection, especially with various factions of the cabal running riot with bewildering last-minute schemes and stratagems. And the country itself has never been more divided in every sphere. Even after winning the poll by an undisputed margin, his opponents have sought to delegitimise the victory with audacious lies, sabotage and rebellion encouraged strangely but not unsurprisingly by a few influential south-western leaders, retired military and civilian. President Tinubu is accustomed to swimming against the tide, but he will find this peculiar tide bequeathed his administration daunting and corrosive, and he will be tested like no other Nigerian leader has been, no, not since the civil war ended in 1970. He will rely on his leadership character to make a difference, but he will soon discover that making a success of his administration will require skills subliminally in excess of his famed ability for economic management and political strategy.

    Great leaders are rare these days. Most leaders are leaders only in name: they come cheap, armed only by their passion to rule, and with hardly any other endowment. Often ignorant of the metaphysics of leadership, they are fixated only on physical development and other mundane issues. President Tinubu’s governorship of Lagos probably reminds him of both the insubstantiality of power and the intangible essence of leadership that differentiate great leadership from ordinary leadership. He has rarely spoken about this, and has so far not attempted to explain why he outlasted his Class of 1999 governorship contemporaries. He was perhaps the most outspoken and audacious of them, and was targeted for destruction; yet, he survived. Since vacating the governorship mansion, and before winning the presidency, he had hardly put any foot wrong. Indeed, with minor exceptions, and despite betrayal by some of his protégés, not to talk of the bitter hatred his opponents showed towards him, he has flourished. Nineteenth century German Chancellor, Otto von Bismarck, pondered this subject and concluded that “The statesman’s task is to hear God’s footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past.” It is not clear that as governor, President Tinubu took that lesson to heart or understood its subtle and hugely significant meaning. But, judging from his achievements, he seemed to appreciate that Bismarckian essence. Now, he must unequivocally treasure that credo.

    Read Also: Now that Ashiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is no longer President – Elect

    In addition to tackling smouldering divisions and comprehensively rejigging education and health, not to mention restructuring the police and security agencies, he must demonstrate a full grasp of the intangibles of power and leadership. The first few months will be intense; but when he reaches cruising altitude, he must inescapably turn his attention to those sublime policies and programmes capable of changing the society in ways that make revisionism difficult. During his tenure, his goal must be that when the curtain is drawn on his presidency, the lives of Nigerians must have been changed in unmistakable and fundamental ways for the better. Beyond laurels from sporting, culinary and other mundane competitions, he must give Nigerians reason to believe in themselves and be proud of their country and identity. He must, therefore, manage and defang the antipathy to his leadership emanating from one or two regions. He must also find humour in the constant heckles he will be subjected to, heckles that seek to irritate him and bait his shibboleths. Fortunately for him, the three geopolitical zones of the North favour him and demonstrated it with their votes, while his few but vociferous opponents from the Southwest, who will remain unamenable to reason or logic for the duration of his presidency, have little or no clout. And finally he must sponsor fundamental changes in leadership recruitment nationally and at all levels to preclude, as Lagos discovered to its dismay in the last governorship poll with LP candidate Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour, inexperienced, unprepared and starry-eyed individuals from assuming sensitive leadership positions.

    Tomorrow is President Bola Tinubu’s day, the beginning of a new era of leadership unfettered by menacing powers and the deathly and iniquitous throwback cultures of the ancien regime. He will be his own man. Last Thursday he was bestowed the country’s highest honour, Grand Commander of the Federal Republic (GCFR). If he has not already reflected on how far he has come, let him take a few hours before inauguration to ponder his life’s trajectory. It is okay if he lies prostrate on the floor of his bedroom for an hour or two in total submission before God who has helped him stay true to his ideals, who has made him triumph over enemies, and who has gifted him this day. He played his part by developing himself, making friends, reaching out to his enemies, and showing courage and strength in the face of odds potent enough to break a dozen gifted men at once. But in the end, he must come to the conclusion that God prospered his politics and gave him the throne. He will encounter many highs and lows as he goes along, and some of his friends will desert him. He must make new friends. And as he tries to navigate between hostile and hugely competitive global powers, some of which are implacably far-right, and others populist, he must remember that his country is behind him, regardless of the unmitigated criticisms and animosity from his political or regional opponents.

    In all this, President Tinubu will find solace in the God who has helped him get so far. But that solace is indefinable, unfathomable. It comes only from a place of deep silence, where a president must learn, like other great leaders, to walk in the woods to await direction and instruction from the maker of the universe; woods where, in the words of Chancellor Bismarck, a leader must struggle to hear God’s footsteps and take hold of His coattails as He marches past. The new president’s advisers, if he assembles the right and selfless crowd, will do their best to proffer advice to the limit of their knowledge and ability; but it is God who gives infallible directions. President Tinubu has been tried and tested like no other politician in the past eight years, with venom powerful enough to deflate and ruin him, not to say lure him to respond in kind to his detractors and traducers: hate for hate, and pettiness for pettiness. Instead, he has chosen to allow his victory deliver the message of hope, tolerance and accommodation. It is the ultimate and archetypal revenge. The test he has endured for many years and the lessons he has learnt should ultimately stand him in good stead. In a manner of speaking, he has been weighed and not found wanting. He will be coronated tomorrow as the first Nigerian leader not to be sponsored or foisted upon the country. Indeed, seeing how expansively his vision has defied regional constraints, and ethnicity and religion, he always seemed from the outset larger than the constraining politics of Lagos and the Southwest. His political reflexes demonstrated this. Now, he must prove worthy of, and large enough for, Nigeria. 

      *First published May 28. Reproduced today because of production glitches that affected the last publication

  • The fuel subsidy imbroglio

    The fuel subsidy imbroglio

    There were probably other ways of carrying out the business of removing fuel subsidy. But on inauguration day last Monday, President Bola Tinubu took liberty with précis by suggesting that fuel subsidy was gone. That was not quite how it was rendered in his written speech. Here is what his speech contained regarding subsidy: “We commend the decision of the outgoing administration in phasing out the petrol subsidy regime which has increasingly favoured the rich more than the poor. Subsidy can no longer justify its ever-increasing costs in the wake of drying resources. We shall instead re-channel the funds into better investment in public infrastructure, education, health care and jobs that will materially improve the lives of millions.” Instead, he was emphatic that subsidy was gone, a statement interpreted as indicating that subsidy removal was with immediate effect.

    The spontaneous emergence of fuel queues was, therefore, predictable. Indeed, government officials, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited bosses, Vice President Kashim Shettima, and a host of others have continued to insist that subsidy had become untenable. The more forthright NNPC in fact brushed aside all misgivings and equivocations, and indicated that the removal was immediate. Queues have thus emerged at petrol stations, and fuel is selling for princely sums. A statement by the presidency at first even declined to give a commencement date for the subsidy removal. Had the president stuck to his speech without making a dramatic extempore addition, the controversy would have perhaps been redirected or mitigated altogether. From all indications, the president’s image makers have their work cut out for them in managing many more extempore remarks in the future. President Muhammadu Buhari rarely skied off-piste in his addresses, except when he indulged his bucolic sense of humour; but in his speeches, President Tinubu will ski off-piste regularly, indulging his expansive but perhaps more arcane sense of humour.

    Why the subsidy removal policy should become controversial is a curious byproduct of Nigeria’s indulgent past. Hardly anyone thinks it should not be removed. Indeed, nearly everyone agrees its total removal is long overdue. Subsidy had become a burden on the country, a needless and embarrassing and self-destructive load. However, the confusion came about because no one was sure what the effective date of commencement would be and what palliatives were needed to mitigate the effect on the poor and low income workers. As a matter of fact, a presidency statement released soon after th brouhaha broke out suggested that the president did not instruct the immediate commencement of the removal. But as other government officials doubled down over the removal, and a favourable consensus even seemed to be forming around government and presidency circles, the presidency itself began to dither. 

    The government was yet to settle down before the volatile issue of fuel subsidy broke out in a fiery storm. Had the administration settled down, and advisers and officials met over the contentious issue, the government would have developed probably the best method to break the subsidy mould and get the public’s buy-in. All said, one way or the other, the matter will be resolved, hopefully without scorching the reputations and confidence of NNPC officials or the image of the presidency. In some ways they will all learn on the job that public policy enunciation and implementation are not as straightforward as they look. Officials are right to be desperate about the country’s financial outlook; the previous administration procrastinated so perversely that it could do nothing in eight years but to kick the nuisance to the incoming administration. After borrowing tons and frittering away many more tons, the previous administration calmly walked away into the sunset and left its successor to pick up the pieces.

    Everyone in the new administration is now on tenterhooks, looking for ways to manage a testy situation which its predecessors could not grapple with since 2011. The crisis has finally come to a head; the buck can no longer be passed to someone else. It must be resolved. According to the NNPC boss, the federal government owes the national oil company an astronomical N2.8trn subsidy fund, while no subsidy bills have been paid since February 2022. Worse, added the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI), Nigeria frittered some N13.6trn on subsidy between 2005 and 2021. Wasteful spending has sadly grown much worse in the past two years. Even those who are not financial or oil experts also agree that the haemorrhaging of Nigeria’s public finance needed to be arrested urgently. Whether the country likes it or not, that bleeding will have to be stopped one way or the other. And it has to be much sooner rather than later.

    There will be a lot of grandstanding among stakeholders involved in the oil business, whether from the government, the unions, or the public. But whatever grandstanding anyone does, at a point along the way, they will realise that the nation is perching precariously on the edge of a financial cliff. They should not let it tip over. From all indications too, and especially having received this early baptism of fire, the new administration will begin to recognise that while a policy may be unimpeachable in substance and design, its execution must also receive as much scrupulous attention in order to mitigate its harmful effects or unintended consequences, especially a policy that had assumed the toga of decades-old addiction. Weaning an indulgent nation off the subsidy habit will take some doing.

    After a divisive election, from which the Tinubu government is still trying to catch its breath, assembling a cabinet has not been the cakewalk many expect. But once done, the country is likely to experience much better designed policies and an even suaver implementation culture. It is not clear how the administration will deal with the more hardline Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and the tamer Trade Union Congress (TUC), both of which own the bitter and contumelious Labour Party (LP), but sometime soon the government and the unions will inevitably come to blows. Until there is a separation between the unions and the LP, NLC activism will always be viewed interchangeably with political goals. The subsidy withdrawal crisis, if not expertly managed, may be the first shot in a bruising conflict between the unions and the administration. 

    PDP, LP and scorched-earth politics

    The courts have finally begun the task of sifting the grain from the chaff in determining who didn’t win the last presidential election. Both the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP), who were first and second runners-up respectively, insist they won. Obviously both couldn’t have won at the same time, despite their affinity for each other. But since the electoral umpire, INEC, declared the All Progressives Congress (APC) winner of the February 25th poll, both the PDP and LP have been engaged in possibly the most anti-democratic and inflammatory rhetoric ever. Their contempt for the electoral outcome is so severe that they do not seem averse to the total collapse of democracy in Nigeria in order to justify and expiate their losses. They have enunciated and vivified three scorched-earth measures to midwife that collapse.

    Firstly, they tried to instigate popular revolt all around the country, believing that their combined votes, some 13 million and more, somehow conferred on them the equivalence of victory and moral high ground. Their statistics doesn’t make any electoral or logical sense, especially seeing that it was not just the number of votes that produced the winner, but they enthusiastically sold that sleight of hand to the gullible public and hoped the unwary bought it. There were, however, few takers. Then, secondly, they threatened the president and the courts to keep the process of handover in abeyance until the courts had their say. Sadly, neither the 1999 Constitution nor the Electoral Act supports their argument; but they imperiously advocated it nevertheless. Yet, few paid heed to them.

    Finally, knowing full well how tenuous their legal suits and political arguments are, they had produced from their hats the rabbit of television coverage. But unable to prove in court that lack of television coverage would inhibit their suits, they have raked up old and populist measures that complement their incendiary logic of appealing to the emotions of the masses. In short, they have less faith in the efficacy of their legal submissions as much as they hope in the power of popular uprising triggered by biased, inciting and mocking coverage riding on the back of malicious reporting. Nothing has worked so far; and it does not appear anything will work for them. But they will persist in their subversion of the democratic process. Having never partaken of the decades-long struggle to enthrone democracy when the military held the reins of power, their determination to undermine a great good is fired by their disdain for noble democratic objectives to which they have retained neither emotional nor even commonsensical attachment.   

  • Now that Ashiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is no longer President – Elect

    Now that Ashiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is no longer President – Elect

    Sir, I wondered why anyone would want the President to first eat his words before any meaningful discussion!

    For all I know, the president’s inaugural speech included the  abolition of fuel subsidy.

    Should government continue to postpone the evil day, like for ever?

    Time to let go if the President is sure that it is in the best interest of the country.

    Who is subsidy benefiting anyway and how sustainable – the Nigerian workers who are getting poorer by the day,  or the Nigerian masses who continue to live below the poverty level?

    When the “Iron Lady”, Prime minister Margaret Thatcher of  Britain abolished home milk delivery, didn’t Britons call her the Milk Snatcher, but who among her successors had the efrontery to change it, if it was such a bad policy?

    The question I would like to ask the president is: what next in his anticipated reign of  Hope and Prosperity?

    Nigerians wait in total belief!

    JDKORODE

    Ilorin.

    At exactly 1pm, or thereabouts, on Monday 29 May 2023, against the lurid predictions of all the sharmans who claimed they heard from God, and the bishops – those gods of men – who turned their pulpits to campaign podiums prophesing inanities, not forgetting the myriad of ethnically motivated demonstrators everywhere in Abuja, all saying that Bola Ahmed Tinubu, winner of the 25 February, 2023 should/ would not be sworn in, the deed, indeed, happened, and the heavens did not fall, when the Chief Justice of Nigeria, His Lordship, Olukayode Ariwoola, GCON, performed the usual rights at an immensely graceful inauguration ceremony.

    Peradventure the new president did not know the enormity of the problems his predecessor bequeathed on him, this past one week in the Villa must have poignantly brought it home to him.

    Fortunately, however, it is like the bible had him in mind when it said in Tim 1:7: “For God did not give us a spirit of timidity, but a spirit of power, of love and of self-discipline”.

    Today, on the entire Nigerian political  landscape, that quote fits President Tinubu the most.

    See what he just did with fuel subsidy removal, which many of his predecessors could simply not dare.

    He has, equally, severally demonstrated this surefooteness during the last 32 years, on the Nigerian political spectrum, squaring up against all manner of political foes –  governments headede by those who believe they own Nigeria, as well as individuals – especially the oldies he has been roasting, politically, in local politics,since the beginning of the 4th Republic in 1999.

    We are, however, not here concerned with  power, simplicita, but with the power of love, which is what he now needs the most in navigating the quandary Nigeria has become.

    With his job so clearly cut out, I now return to my article of 30 April, 2023 captioned ‘The Immediate Task Before The President – Elect’, with a little, but very important addition.

    In the referenced article, I wrote inter alia:

    “Although it will be extremely difficult for President Buhari’s spokespersons, Femi Adesina, and Garba Shehu to admit it, given how adroitly the former argued to the contrary on television only this past week, Nigeria is in far dire straits than it was when President Buhari took office.

    Yes, the Nigerian economy was on its tetters – what with  corruption having become systemic and  insecurity ravaging every part of the country, there was still a lot to be said, unlike now, for inter -ethnic harmony in the country. Unfortunately, all that has been shattered. The post election crisis presently convulsing Nigeria has greatly exacerbated the challenges of a Nigerian diversity which was very badly managed by President Buhari.

    That, however, is not the essence of this article.  Rather, the purpose is to let the President – Elect know that he already has his job cut out for him.

    Surprising as it may sound, it is not about our economic or security circumstances, bad as they are.

    Rather, it is about President – Elect Tinubu, when inaugurated, to first of all, devote some quality time towards  ameliorating our present inter- ethnic realities which were badly aggravated by the recent elections.  The result is that  while Nigeria’s challenges before now were more about the economy, insecurity and corruption, today inter- personal, as well as inter – ethnic relations, have so plummeted that he, a man well known for his generosity of heart, must deploy all the channels at his disposal towards calming the waters, across board.

    Read Also: Legislative experiences great advantage for Tinubu, Shettima – Smart Adeyemi

    To do otherwise, in order to concentrate on other issues, will amount to pouring water on the back of a duck and, no matter how well meaning he may be, it will be difficult to see his good works fruitify as fast as they should.  Without a doubt, no Nigerian politician can rival him in the manner,  and rapidity, with which he reconciles with his estranged associates. Senators Musiliu Obanikoro, and my very good friend, Seye Ogunlewe, who are now solidly in his corner, are very good examples.

    It is that ability, and tact, he must now bring to bear on our current circumstances, even if some will ignorantly dub it needless appeasement.

    For me, underlying this plea is the fact that he will need the support of every inch of the country to make him the exemplar Head of state we all know he could be.

    The area Nigeria immediately needs his God – given talents the most will be for him to  begin the process of fundamentally re- ordering our social relations which the last eight years did everything to put asunder. This must go beyond politics, and should involve engaging directly with the Nigerian  people. This is where to begin, not minding the enormity of our challenges of insecurity, corruption and the, no doubt, very bad economy. Our inter- personal and inter – ethnic relations have already reached its nadir that not doing this could let matters degenerate further. As Nigeria stands today, things are so bad a mere spec, God forbid, can incinerate it all.

    Good enough the President – Elect has friends, associates, even mentees all over the country. But he must go beyond these associates. He should, indeed, deliberately cultivate the friendship of some of those who, before now, did not see eye to eye with him.

    This is how Nigerians, across ethnic  divides, will start to see his coming as a timely, even divine, provenance. And I trust him to fit the bill.

    As indicated earlier, Ashiwaju may choose to do this all  completely behind the shadows, far  from the klieg lights, especially given some of our unreflecting youth who may see such conciliatory efforts as a sign of weakness which will mean that they do not know the man at all.

    With the above as background, let me  now urge the President to task his relevant officers to identify issues that require his attention to resolve in this manner.

    I crave the president’s indulgence to mention the one matter I regard as most important and urgent.  This I shall urge him to put on the front burner of his reconciliatory efforts. Alhough efforts to de-legitimise the election that brought him to office have been largely Igbo – driven, I plead that, given his afore- mentioned gifts, he must find it in his heart to disregard, and forget all that and, dive straight into an issue whose resolution should have been during the last administration.

    Unlike the lack of political will which saw many of his predessesors fail to resolve the fuel subsidy crisis, which he has now finally put behind us, President Tinubu must, will all urgency, now resolve the Nnamdi Kanu matter.

    Though I have no idea of the security issues involved, Kanu’s matter, if left unresolved as early as possible, especially by a new president may, rather than earn him plaudits, become a great source of unease, if not embarrassment. While I cannot go into details of what I do not know, one thing I am sure about is that the government of President Tinubu cannot afford to be as remiss as to allow Nnamdi Kanu die in government custody.

    Only this past week,  his lawyer revealed that he needs surgery. What exactly cannot happen in the course of a surgery?

    Indeed, truth be told, did Kanu commit more grievous security breaches than those killers who accounted for most of the 63,000 Nigerians allegedly killed during the Buhari years? What of their financiers, mostly Northerners, who Attorney – General, Abubakar Malami told Nigerians would be prosecuted? In which court can we locate them, Mr Attorney – General of yesterday?

    The least we can  say here is that even though government is a continuum, the President should, under no circumstances, inherit other peoples’ grudge.

    For me, Kanu’s case, the minute he was set free by the apex court, but was not released by government, changed from a government affair to a personal one. President Tinubu needs not inherit anybody’s personal bile.

    Nigerians are not unaware of how Kanu urged the mob, over Radio, during the #EndSars crisis, to go and burn, not only  Lagos state properties, but specifically, those of Ashiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu – today’s president – whose TVC TV they, indeed, burnt down. However, showing him such unmerited mercy now, would put the President on an unassailable pedestal. Or didn’t the Holy Writ say in Romans 12:17: “Do not repay anyone evil for evil. Carefully consider what is right…”

    It will be a teaching moment for the entire Igbo nation.

    The President should, therefore, consider setting up a committee into which Ohanaeze Ndigbo, and the Southeast governors forum, can nominate some members.

    That way the President can, once and for all, finally settle this unnecessary conundrum which, if not now carefully handled, can bear very many ugly children.

  • Subjugating subsidy scam? (Part 1)

    Subjugating subsidy scam? (Part 1)

    “You must prepare the minds of Nigerians for difficult decisions … and you have to take corrective decisions … We talk about corruption, but corruption thrives on opportunities we create for people to be corrupt, and we need to shut up those opportunities …” Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, former Governor, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). “Nigeria has a fiscally challenging fuel subsidy regime… and provides subsidy for the sales of refined oil at the pump. At the end of 2011, a total of N1.73 trillion or US$11 billion equivalent was submitted as claims for subsidies by 143 marketers who were importing the product. These numbers seemed horrendously large … So, we decided to audit these claims … we audited about US$8.4 billion worth of claims and we found US$2.5 billion worth of fraud in these claims, i.e., many of these marketers claimed US$2.5 million fraudulently …(sic)” – Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, erstwhile Finance Minister of Nigeria.

    Growing up to adulthood, I began with hindsight to appreciate the conscientious and caring role played by my adorable mother, Mama Mary Aina Ekundayo, of blessed memory. In my appearance as a guest analyst on TVC News Breakfast, precisely on Wednesday, 31st May 2023, talking about oil subsidy, a recurring episode encountered during my childhood came to light. My mother would actually bathe for me whilst consciously and curiously paying attention to all parts of my body, especially my legs, knowing my childhood attachment to turning any object to football; in the process of which I had my legs patterned with injuries. Characteristically, my mother would bathe all parts of my body and scarcely touch my legs. Howbeit, in an instant when yours sincerely thought the old woman had done with bathing, she would thrust her fingers right on the spot of the festering sore, and I would yell! Oh, the pain at that instant!! She would caringly offer me a seemingly soothing lullaby to pacify me. Thereafter, she would dress my wound and in a matter of days, healing would take place!!! Looking back, without the apparent harsh approach, there is the possibility of my legs not functioning as it was created to be. Why commencing the “Followership Challenge” of this week with this episode? This anecdote is in sync with the subsidy impasse currently witnessed in the country. Should Mr. President make this part of his inaugural address on 29th May 2023 at Eagle Square, Abuja or postpone the impending evil day? Stated succinctly and saliently, he pontificated: “subsidy is gone!” This terse statement sent jitters down the spines of marketers and stakeholders in the oil industry. Simply and squarely stated, no more business as usual! Critical question, one of the anchors on TVC News Breakfast asked me: “Is the timing right?” My response was: “it is the most auspicious”. The same way, though painful but pertinent, that my caring mother treated my sore and secured healing for me in matters of a few days; the alternative is to ignore or pamper and have those legs amputated or malfunctioning. Looking back from the military era to all the civilian administration, it is high time, Nigerians took the bitter pill and kill the nagging malaise associated with oil subsidy funding which is tantamount to nothing but a scam, This, should be done once and for all in the interest of majority of Nigerians.

    Tinubu: Talking Tough?

    “The days ahead will, however, demand better understanding and cooperation from all sides, because leadership will require that we take tough and hard decisions so that our people and all Nigerian workers can live more abundantly,” – President Elect, Tinubu, message to Nigeria’s workers on May Day (before he was sworn in), Punch, 2nd May 2023

    Ab initio, all the leading three presidential candidates did campaign in favour of subsidy removal perceiving termination of further inflicting of wounds on the already bleeding economy of Nigeria. However, to discerning minds, President Bola Tinubu, gave a hint about his ‘leadership with no easy answers’ specifically on 1st May – Workers’ Day – when he saliently demanded a seeming fastening of seat belts by passengers as he pilots the plane of state in high altitude laced with looming cloudy storms. He pointedly pontificated to his potential passengers, then, of the need to prepare for tough and hard decisions that will, overtime, result in quality of life for workers, and by extension to Nigerians. This is in sync with the tinkering of the erstwhile Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, harping on the need to “prepare the minds of Nigerians for difficult decisions … and you (Tinubu) have to take corrective decisions (sic).” It is pertinent to recall that at my TVC News appearance, yours sincerely stressed the need to cushion the immediate impact on the average Nigerian of the removal of subsidy. The onus lies on the government to strategically come out with her own actionable plans laced with timelines. This should be clear and unambiguous as to what tangible measures for public servants as well as those in the private sectors. Mr. Dele Alake, one of the men and women on the negotiation table representing the government stated succinctly of the idea of subsidy removal by the Federal Government. The initial offering is inculcation of ‘interventions’ rather than palliatives, in comparison to the approach of past governments, on the matter of subsidy severing. What sort of intervention? How will that intervention take care of people who are not on the payroll of the governments – federal, states and local? In his own words, Mr. Dele Alake, speaking on behalf of the government team, stated inter alia: “Mr. President called for a meeting of the Government and the Labour … there would be interventions … we are not calling it palliatives … so that the impact on the poorest of the poor will be minimal.” (sic) Good thinking, it sounds? In clear and concise context, how will “the poorest of the poor” be identified and impacted to cushion the immediate hardship on these followers?

    Read Also: Kyari: subsidy removed to stop Nigeria from bankruptcy

    Sagacious Strategic Steps

    It is reassuring that the Federal Government had commenced talks with labour. How about the marketers? As at the time of going to the press, this columnist has not seen or read anything pertaining to that. Marketers are major stakeholders in this subsidy issue. Transparency should be core and crucial in the government dealing with all stakeholders particularly the ordinary man and woman on the street. To this end, there is the need to educate and enlighten followers of the nitty gritty of oil subsidy. There are still many followers within the context of Nigeria’s polity that are still ill-informed and ignorant as per the subject of subsidy, even among we elites, talk less of non-elites. Pertinent questions need to be asked and answered, such as: What is oil subsidy? Do we need to continue or cease funding subsidizing oil to citizens? Going down historical lanes, how much had been expended and to what benefits? How benefitting to the socio-economic and political well-being of Nigeria is funding subsidy? To this end, this column is proposing a Taskforce or Ad-hoc Committee on Oil Subsidy as a show of transparency and accountability on the part of the government. It would be recalled that the President in his in inaugural speech declared that henceforth after the end of the subsidy regime, funds hitherto expended on oil subsidy will be funneled to critical areas of the economy such as public infrastructures, education, health care and jobs for the teeming followers.

    Concluding Comments

    Conclusively, it is high time the Federal Government came out with succinct strategic actionable plans laced with human milk of kindness, that will seemingly or seamlessly be easy in operationalizing the removal of oil subsidy that many discerning Nigerians perceived as a stubborn scam perpetrated by certain corrupt government officials in cahoots with marketers to the detriment of the economic well-being of Nigeria. In two circulated video clips that have virtually gone viral on the social media, the duo of Sanusi Lamido Sanusi (former Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria) and Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala (erstwhile Minister of Finance) lampooned the retention of subsidy regime and advocated for its removal without blinking as failure to go this route may bleed the economy to death!

    In his own experience and encounter, Lamido was not mincing words talking about removal of subsidy when he equated the age long practice of funding subsidy as entrenching corruption. He stated inter alia, “… we talk about corruption, but corruption thrives on opportunities we create for people to be corrupt, and we need to shut up those opportunities …” Oil subsidy removal is a tangible tipping point in closing one of those nauseating taps of illicit flow. In her own submission, having overseen Nigeria finance portfolio under two presidents, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, painted a gory picture of the scam with just 143 marketers taking Nigeria by the jugular. She surmised the severity of the scam squarely thus: “Nigeria has a fiscally challenging fuel subsidy regime… and provides subsidy for the sales of refined oil at the pump. At the end of 2011, a total of 1.73 trillion Naira or 11 billion US Dollars equivalent was submitted as claims for subsidies by 143 marketers who were importing the product. These numbers seemed horrendously large … So, we decided to audit these claims … we audited about US$8.4 billion worth of claims and we found US$2.5 billion worth of fraud in these claims i.e., many of these marketers claimed US$2.5 million fraudulently …(sic)”Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, erstwhile Finance Minister of Nigeria. In the second part of this piece, attention will shift to matters dealing with production, refining, supply, marketing and governmental intervention expected by followers to cushion the immediate hardship on followers within the polity. Please, dear esteemed readers, do keep a date with the “Followership Challenge” next Sunday. Meanwhile, I treasure your valuable feedback on the way forward on the issue of oil subsidy. Thankful.

    •John Ekundayo, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com