Category: Capital Market

  • Jaiz Bank raises dividends by 25% as profit grows by 68.5%

    Jaiz Bank raises dividends by 25% as profit grows by 68.5%

    Nigeria’s premier and largest non-interest bank, Jaiz Bank Plc has increased dividend payable to shareholders by 25 per cent after the alternative bank grew net profit by 68.5 per cent.

    In a regulatory filing at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), the board of Jaiz Bank recommended payment of a dividend per share of 5 kobo for the 2022 business year, totaling N1.727 billion.

    The bank had paid a dividend per share of 4 kobo for the 2021 business year. The new dividend becomes payable on June 14, 2023 to all shareholders on the register of the bank by the close of business in June 1, 2023.

    Key extracts of the audited report and accounts for the period ended December 31, 2022 released at the NGX showed double-digit growths across key performance indicators, underlining improvements in incomes and profitability.

    The 12-month report showed that gross earnings rose by 29.4 per cent from N25.84 billion in 2021 to N33.43 billion in 2022. Profit before tax grew by 59.5 per cent from N4.16 billion in 2021 to N6.63 billion in 2022. With tax writeback of N248.54 million in 2022, net profit, grew by 68.5 per cent from N4.08 billion in 2021 to N6.88 billion in 2022. Earnings per share increased by 39.13 per cent to 19.2 kobo in 2022 as against 13.8 kobo in 2021. The issued share capital of the bank had increased from 29.46 billion shares in 2021 to 34.54 billion shares.

    The balance sheet of the bank also expanded by more than one-third with total assets rising by 35.6 per cent to N378.82 billion in 2022 as against N279.27 billion in 2021. Total equity funds also increased from N24.31 billion to N29.80 billion.

    Underlying ratios showed a generally positive outlook with the bank’s net income margin (NIM) improving from 7.86 per cent in 2021 to 8.29 per cent in 2022. Cost-to-income ratio improved from 75.49 per cent in 2022 to 70.51 per cent. Return on total assets increased from 1.49 per cent to 1.75 per cent. Return on equity also grew from 17.11 per cent in 2021 to 22.25 per cent in 2022. While capital adequacy dropped from 23.66 per cent to 19.50 per cent, liquidity improved from 29.78 per cent to 38.50 per cent.

    Managing Director, Jaiz Bank Plc, Dr Sirajo Salisu said the 2022 result was a testimony that Islamic finance is increasingly gaining acceptance in Nigeria with Jaiz Bank leading the market with bouquet of value-adding products and services.

    He noted that the bank has continued to make outstanding progress despite the headwinds, including the fluctuating currency rate and the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war on the entire world.

    According to him, the bank has consistently delivered remarkable results in the last four years, which clearly is a reaffirmation of its continuous growth trajectory, being the leader in Nigeria’s non-interest banking space.

    Jaiz Bank has projected gross earnings of N9.78 billion for the first three months of 2023 as the management of the bank indicated that it would sustain impressive profit margins while driving top-line performance.

    The three-month forecast for the period ending March 31, 2023 estimated that pre and post-tax profits would be N1.40 billion and N1.26 billion. This implies a pre-tax profit margin of 14.3 per cent and net profit margin of 12.9 per cent, within the top-bracket of the industry margins.

    Jaiz Bank has already secured shareholders’ approvals to raise not less than N150 billion in new capital through Sukuk issuance and to implement a holding company structure that will see the bank engaging in other ancillary financial services.

    Jaiz Bank’s planned N150 billion Sukuk will be the largest non-interest bond issuance in the Nigerian capital market.

    Shareholders have also mandated the board of directors to take all necessary steps and transactions that would enable the bank to achieve its short to long-term growth objectives as well as greater competitiveness. These steps and transactions may include acquisitions, new investments, restructuring; expansion, capital raising and other business arrangements that enhance the bank’s growth trajectory.

  • Global Spectrum delists from NGX

    Global Spectrum delists from NGX

    The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) has delisted the issued share capital of Global Spectrum Energy Services (GSES) Plc.

    The was sequel to application by GSES for voluntary delisting.

    The Board of Directors of GSES had last year secured shareholders’ approval to seek voluntary delisting of the company’s shares from the NGX, barely five years after it was listed.

    The NGX at the weekend confirmed the delisting, stating that the entire issued share capital of the company had been delisted in line with the voluntary delisting request.

    Authorities at the NGX had earlier approved the voluntary delisting, after efforts to convince the company to remain on the Exchange failed.

    The delisting was a major turnabout for GSES, which had premised its listing in 2017 on its ambitious expansion plans aimed at tapping the huge untapped opportunities in its specialised area of operation.

    GSES is one of the indigenous offshore support vessel companies operating in the marine security and GSES had in 2017 listed its total outstanding issued share capital of 800 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at N5 per share.

    The shares were listed by way of introduction. The listing added N4 billion to the total market capitalisation at the Exchange and had further deepened the exposure of the market to the midstream and upstream oil and gas sectors.

    The special window of listing by introduction allows companies without previous initial public offerings to list their shares while retaining opportunity to float initial public offering (IPO).

    GSES was incorporated in 2006 as an integrated oil and gas servicing company. The company’s operations span many oil and gas producing areas in West Africa. The company’s services include complimentary maritime security, logistics, energy and engineering

  • United Capital posts N2.82b in Q1

    United Capital posts N2.82b in Q1

    United Capital Plc recorded a modest growth of five per cent in its bottom-line in the first quarter of this year as 62 per cent growth in operating expenses moderated the impact of a considerable growth in turnover.

    Key extracts of the interim report and accounts for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 showed that gross earnings rose by 27 per cent to N5.34 billion in first quarter 2023 compared with N4.21 billion recorded in comparable period of 2022.

    Net operating income rose by 39 per cent from N3.55 billion in first quarter 2022 to N4.94 billion in first quarter 2023.

    However, operating expenses jumped by 62 per cent to N2.66 billion in first quarter 2023 as against N1.64 billion in first quarter 2022. Profit before tax thus improved by five per cent from N2.69 billion to N2.82 billion. Profit after tax also increased by six per cent to N2.44 billion in first quarter 2023 as against N2.31 billion in first quarter 2022.

    The company’s total assets increased by 21 per cent to N727.55 billion by March 2023 compared with N601.92 billion recorded by the 2022 year end. Total liabilities also rose by 23 per cent from N568.93 billion in December 2022 to N700.85 billion by March 2023. Shareholders’fund however declined by 19 per cent from N32.99 billion in December 2022 to N26.71 billion in March 2023.

    Group Chief Executive Officer, United Capital Plc, Mr. Peter Ashade, said the company had to cope with economic peculiarities associated with election years.

    He noted that the company recorded positive growth across top and bottom line earnings during the first quarter, despite elevated cost of doing business and volatile financial markets globally in addition to a heated political landscape among other uncertainties in the domestic economy.

    “Our business diversification strategy which we have pursued concertedly since 2019, and prudent risk management practice is yielding desired results in line with our long-term vision, sustaining our earnings growth, protecting investors’ assets, and strengthening our business model to withstand macroeconomic shocks in the harsh operating environment which continues to present a challenge for policymakers globally.

    “Our business outlook and projections for the year remains positive and we are laser-focused on creating new business opportunities, improving our value propositions to meet our clients’ needs, and capturing optimal economic value to deliver decent returns to shareholders,” Ashade said.

    United Capital had recently paid N9 billion as cash dividends to shareholders for the 2022 business year. At the annual general meeting at Transcorp Hilton Hotel, Abuja, shareholders approved the distribution of a dividend per share of N1.50 for the 2022 business year.

    The audited report of the company for the year ended December 31, 2022 had shown a 13 per cent increase in profit before tax to N13.50 billion. Gross earnings rose by 49 per cent to N26.90 billion while total assets grew by 33 per cent to N601.92 billion.

    Addressing the shareholders, Chairman, United Capital Plc, Prof. Chika Mordi, said despite the macroeconomic pressures of 2022, United Capital reported an outstanding financial performance with the group’s Return on Average Equity (RoAE) one of the highest among listed financial services institutions.

    He said the performance of the group signified solid growth in the overall profitability of the group and its subsidiary businesses.

    “We are confident in our ability to deliver consistent superior returns as we have put in place appropriate strategies to respond to possible scenarios that the year 2023 could throw at us,” Mordi said.

    He outlined that in addition to its outstanding financial performance, United Capital’s subsidiaries individually recorded significant milestones during the year.

    “The investment bank acted as joint issuing house to Dangote Industries Limited (DIL)’s $1 billion bond issuance, the largest bond issuance in the Nigerian debt capital market by a corporate entity. Its asset management subsidiary won the award for the fastest growing investment management company in Nigeria at the 2022 International Finance Awards and remains among the top three fund managers in Nigeria. The Trustees business cemented its industry leadership as the number one trustee business in Nigeria in terms of funds under management (FUM) and its consumer finance business disbursed over 130,000 loans totalling N21 billion,” Mordi said.

  • UBA Group grows profit by 38% to N61.4b in 3 months

    UBA Group grows profit by 38% to N61.4b in 3 months

    United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc started the new business year on a strong note with significant growths in all major income lines in the first three months of the year.

    Key extracts of the interim report and accounts of the UBA Group for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023, released at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), indicated that gross earnings rose by 47.5 per cent from N183.9 billion in first quarter 2022 to N271.2 billion in first quarter 2023. Interest Income, which stood at N125.9 billion as at March 2022, grew by 53.4 per cent to N191.9 billion by March 2023. Operating income rose by 39.6 per cent to N175.7 billion as against N125.9 billion. Profit before tax  rose by 38.2 per cent to N61.4 billion in first quarter 2023 compared with N44.5 billion recorded in the first quarter 2022. After taxes, net profit increased from N41.5 billion to N53.6 billion, an increase of 29.1 per cent.

    Group Managing Director, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Mr. Oliver Alawuba, explained that despite the high inflationary, and challenging global environment, UBA was able to leverage the uptick in interest rates and improved digital offerings, in growing funded and non-funded income.

    He said the growth in pre-tax profit was exciting, as it has helped to drive increased returns to shareholders, with a 22.6 per cent Return on Average Equity (ROAE) compared to 19.7 per cent recorded in December 2022.

    “We have continued to record improved gains in our customer acquisition and retention strategies across our countries of presence, evident in the 10.5 per cent growth in customer deposits to N8.6 trillion from N7.8 trillion at the end of 2022. This has enabled the group drive increased loan growth and interest income, with loans to customers at N3.6 trillion, representing a year-to-date increase of five per cent.

    “For 2023, we remain committed to improving the group’s performance as we strategically position our entities to take advantage of emerging developments within their jurisdictions and across the globe. We will continue to deliver excellent rewards to our stakeholders,” Alawuba said.

    Executive Director, Finance and Risk, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Ugo Nwaghodoh, said first quarter performance demonstrated the group’s resilience and commitment towards delivering value and enhancing the confidence of its customers, stakeholders and the wider public notwithstanding the competitive landscape and current global trend in the industry.

    According to him, the impressive performance of UBA Group in first quarter 2023 was hinged on its continuous improvement and growth in gross earnings and balance sheet size as total assets grew by 4.6 per cent to N11.4 trillion in March 2023 from N10.9 trillion last December.

    “The growth in gross earnings is on the strength of increase in both interest income and non-interest income while growth in total asset is attributable to increased deposits due to aggressive deposit mobilisation drive that resulted in a 10.5 per cent growth in customer deposit in the first quarter,” Nwaghodoh said.

  • Nigeria warns against Italy’s blacklisted firms

    Nigeria warns against Italy’s blacklisted firms

     Nigeria’s apex capital market regulator, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has warned the public against patronising firms blacklisted by Italy’s securities regulator, Commissione Nazionale per le Soecieta’ e la Borsa (CONSOB).

    CONSOB had blacklisted five additional e-commerce websites for offering unauthorised and fraudulent financial services.

    The blacklisted websites included CMS or capmarketstrategy.io, Bitsterzio, Invest Atlas, Ether-Arena Limited and Ether-Arena Limited operating under veneab.co.

    CONSOB had ordered Internet Service Providers (ISP) operating in Italy to block public access to the blacklisted websites and called on prospective investors to adopt the greatest diligence in making investment choices.

    CONSOB advised investors that common sense behaviors are essential to safeguarding one’s savings, including checking the registration status or otherwise of such e-commerce websites.

    SEC cautioned Nigerian investing public that the e-commerce websites were not registered by Nigeria and the financial services offered by these e-commerce websites were also not authorised by the SEC.

    “In view of the above, the general public is hereby warned that any person dealing with the above mentioned e-commerce websites is doing so at his or her own risk,” SEC stated

  • Stakeholders brainstorm on capital market reforms

    Stakeholders brainstorm on capital market reforms

    Capital market regulators, operators and other stakeholders are scheduled to meet this Wednesday to brainstorm on the implementation of the Revised Capital Market Master Plan, which aims at repositioning the market for global competitiveness.

    The Capital Market Committee (CMC) – an industry-wide consultative body, will hold its first meeting in the year through Zoom.

    The CMC comprises members of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), representatives of capital market operators and trade groups and other stakeholders. It was primarily established to serve as a medium for the exchange of ideas among market stakeholders as well as an avenue for providing feedback to the SEC on how to address challenges, improve market operations and enhance the regulatory framework.

    “During the meeting, issues bordering on implementation of the Revised Capital Market Master Plan, implementation of the fintech roadmap, the commodities trading ecosystem roadmap as well as other salient matters relating to the capital market and the economy would be discussed,” SEC stated at the weekend.

    SEC launched the Revised Capital Market Master Plan (CMMP) last November. The masterplan serves as a blueprint to harness opportunities to better position the capital market as the engine of economic growth and development.

    The SEC had previously implemented many initiatives under the 10-year Capital Market Master Plan, which was designed to reposition the  capital market as an attractive investment destination and a critical facilitator of capital formation for the accelerated growth and development of the economy.

    Some of the initiatives that had been implemented included direct cash settlement, regularisation of multiple subscriptions, dematerialisation of share certificates, and the introduction of the e-dividend management system.

    SEC noted that recent initiatives have helped in promoting transparency, protecting investors and enhancing market confidence, while also ensuring that only fit and proper persons are allowed to operate in the capital market.

    According to the Commission, the objectives of the masterplan are in agreement with the Federal Government’s economic strategy, focused on deepening the capital market and encouraging a private sector-led economy to drive inclusive growth.

  • Global Spectrum Energy Services finalises delisting from NGX

    Global Spectrum Energy Services finalises delisting from NGX

    The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) has suspended trading in the shares of Global Spectrum Energy Services (GSES) Plc, preparatory to the delisting of the company from the NGX.

    The Board of Directors of GSES had last year secured shareholders’ approval to seek voluntary delisting of the company’s shares from the NGX, barely five years after it was listed.

    The NGX stated that the suspension of trading in the shares of the company was to prevent trading in the shares “in preparation for the delisting of the securities of the company” from the NGX.

    Authorities at the NGX had earlier approved the voluntary delisting, after efforts to convince the company to remain on the Exchange failed.

    The delisting is a major turnabout for GSES, which had premised its listing in 2017 on its ambitious expansion plans aimed at tapping the huge untapped opportunities in its specialised area of operation.

    Shareholders of Global Spectrum had in 2022 approved a special resolution authorising the board of directors to seek voluntary delisting from the NGX.

    GSES is one of the ndigenous offshore support vessel companies operating in the marine security and GSES had in 2017 listed its total outstanding issued share capital of 800 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at N5 per share. The shares were listed by way of introduction. The listing added N4 billion to the total market capitalisation at the Exchange and had further deepened the exposure of the market to the midstream and upstream oil and gas sectors.

    The special window of listing by introduction allows companies without previous initial public offerings to list their shares while retaining opportunity to float initial public offering (IPO).

    GSES was incorporated in 2006 as an integrated oil and gas servicing company. The company’s operations span many oil and gas producing areas in West Africa. The company’s services include complimentary maritime security, logistics, energy and engineering.

  • Nigerian equities lose N675b as selloffs continue

    Nigerian equities lose N675b as selloffs continue

    Nigerian equities opened the second quarter with a net loss of N675 billion in the first week as investors sought to monetise capital gains and realign their portfolios.

    Benchmark indices at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) showed average decline of 2.28 per cent at the weekend, equivalent to net capital depreciation of N675 billion. The selloff shaved the average year-to-date return for Nigerian equities to 3.40 per cent.

    With more than two decliners for every advancer, sectoral analysis showed nearly market-wide negative sentiment amid slowdown in momentum of activities.

    The All Share Index (ASI)- the common value-based index that tracks all share prices at the NGX, dropped from its week’s opening index of 54,232.34 points to close weekend at 52,994.13 points. Aggregate market capitalisation of all quoted equities also declined from the week’s opening value of N29.544 trillion to close the week at N28.869 trillion, representing a loss of N675 billion.

    The momentum of activities also slowed down with a total turnover of 1.054 billion shares worth N10.050 billion in 16,155 deals during the four-day trading week compared with a total of 2.071 billion shares valued at N17.562 billion traded in 17,917 deals two weeks ago.

    The financial services sector remained atop activity chart with 630.378 million shares valued at N5.438 billion traded in 7,705 deals; thus contributing 59.83 per cent and 54.11 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The conglomerates sector followed with 248.074 million shares worth N394.370 million in 812 deals while the oil and gas sector placed third with a turnover of 70.921 million shares worth N1.345 billion in 1,452 deals.

    The three most active stocks were Transnational Corporation Plc, United Bank for Africa Plc and Fidelity Bank Plc, which altogether accounted for 498.527 million shares worth N2.118 billion in 1,862 deals, contributing 47.32 per cent and 21.07 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value.     

    All sectoral indices closed negative with the exception of the NGX Insurance Index, which rose by 2.19 per cent. The NGX 30 Index, which tracks 30 largest quoted companies, posted average loss of 2.21 per cent. The NGX Banking Index dropped by 1.05 per cent. The NGX Consumer Goods Index declined by 0.62 per cent. The NGX Oil and Gas Index dipped by 0.11 per cent while the NGX Industrial Goods Index slipped by 0.04 per cent.

    The NGX Pension Index, which tracks stocks that meet guidelines for investment of pension funds, dropped by 1.64 per cent while the NGX Lotus Islamic Index, which tracks stocks that meet Islamic finance rules, depreciated by 1.38 per cent.

    There were 37 losers against 16 gainers last week compared with 37 gainers and 30 losers recorded in the previous week. Eterna recorded the highest loss, in percentage terms, with a drop of 19.12 per cent to close at N5.50 per share. Multiverse Mining and Exploration followed with a loss of 18.83 per cent to close at N2.63. Associated Bus Company declined by 16.22 per cent to close at 31 kobo. Royal Exchange dropped by 15.38 per cent to close at 66 kobo. UAC of Nigeria lost 10.99 per cent to close at N8.50 while Airtel Africa declined by 10 per cent to close at N1, 331.10 per share.

    On the positive side, Nigerian Aviation Handling Company led the gainers with a gain of 20.99 per cent to close at N9.80. AXA Mansard Insurance followed with a gain of 15.79 per cent to close at N2.20. CWG rose by 14.94 per cent to close at N1 per share. Linkage Assurance appreciated by 11.63 per cent to close at 48 kobo.

    LASACO Assurance added 9.09 per cent to close at N1.20 while Mutual Benefits Assurance rallied 6.25 per cent to close at 34 kobo per share.

    Most analysts remained cautious about the outlook for the stock market.

    Analysts at Afrinvest Securities said they expected “the bearish performance to be sustained on the back of weak investors’ sentiment”.

    Analysts at Cordros Securities said they expected investors to rebalance their portfolios based on assessment of 2022 corporate earnings and movement of yields in the fixed-income market.

  • Tekedia Capital seeks investors for startups in Africa

    Tekedia Capital seeks investors for startups in Africa

    Fortune is about to smile on businesses operating within Africa’s continent as as a US-based venture capital firm, Tekedia Capital, has launched a new syndicate funding cycle to attract individuals and organisations to co-invest in early-stage tech startups across the world. 

    This is to advance the spirit of entrepreneurial capitalism through the creation of viable funding opportunities to deepen economic growth and advance local communities across Africa.

    The Tekedia Capital Syndicate investment cycle, which will end on May 8, 2023, seeks to pool funds from investing entities to upscale the business activities of promising African-based tech firms irrespective of the sectors they operate in. 

    This is in a bid to leverage the firm’s extensive grassroots connections to enhance the process of building tech unicorns out of Africa.

    Speaking on the launch of the new funding cycle, Prof. Ndubuisi Ekekwe, the Chairman of Tekedia Capital, noted that there is a dire need to support early-stage tech companies across the African continent.

    “Economic projections about Africa indicate that the continent is on the path to economic ascension due to the innovation and ingenuity of young people. This is made evident as recent developments reveal that the African continent is experiencing a Cambrian moment where tech-anchored startups are rapidly re-wiring markets, leading to transformations in industrial sectors. 

    “It is against this backdrop that we at Tekedia Capital support these companies, and are inviting interested persons, organisations, and governments to co-invest through our syndicate funds in these tech companies. Here, we are funding future economic empires for shared prosperity in Africa,” he said.

    Tekedia Capital is a leading Pan-African venture syndicate company that is passionate about funding the foundations of the next African economy. 

    This is evident as the firm has invested millions of dollars in multiple tech companies like Touch and Pay (the team behind Lagos State Cowry Card), Mintyn, OurPass, Mecho Autotech, Kladot, and Bitmama.

  • Why Forex trading is challenging for newcomers

    Why Forex trading is challenging for newcomers

    By Olumide Adesina

    Trading is a challenging industry, and the majority of newcomers lose money. In fact, a banner about the proportion of traders who lose money must be displayed on the websites of many forex brokers in Europe.

    These figures are actually not at all small. They might even be frightful to look at. Therefore, we will examine some of the most common explanations for why more than 90% of novice traders lose money in trading in this piece.

    The majority of forex dealers mistakenly believe that their mistakes are fundamental and make them repeatedly. I’ve listed these mistakes below; if you stay away from them and embrace the reality of forex trading, you can succeed and succeed big.

    Let’s start by examining the most typical mistakes.

    Buying achievement

    There are a lot of vendors in the forex market who will guarantee you untold riches in exchange for a few hundred dollars and sell you a useless course with no track record. Guess what?

    The overwhelming majority are worthless, have no actual track record (a hypothetical one is not worth the paper it is written on as it is done in hindsight knowing the closing prices), and depend on exaggerated advertising and lies to prey on the reader’s greed and naivete.

    . Making use of inefficient tools

    Fibonacci and the Elliott wave are these instruments’ two rulers. Both people believe that markets are logical, yet this is not true.

    If they were, there wouldn’t be a market because everyone would be aware of the price beforehand, as any student in a classroom knows. Because it is founded on human ideas and because people DON’T reason logically or in accordance with scientific theories, a market is what it is.

    Trading days

    The time frame is too condensed. There is always randomness in short-term volatility, and it is impossible to forecast support and resistance within a few hours or a day. Why not just toss a coin?

    Have you ever seen a day trader with a proven track record of success over the long term? – I haven’t either, so please let me know if you do.

    • A lack of self-assurance and self-control

    Even successful traders can fall short of this – To assist you trade through periods of losses, you must have unwavering faith in your system, and seek regulated forex brokers.

    The majority of traders are unable to perform this, which is the hardest aspect of trading.

    Working diligently and smart is the key to success, and doing so will pay off handsomely. Accept the fact that you must create a mindset to deal with an entity that is all-powerful; the market price is correct, so only you can be incorrect.

    Accept this truth and learn to trade it.

    It will occasionally make you look foolish, but if you recognize its power, abide by its guidelines, and consider trading as an odds game, you can succeed and succeed handsomely.

    Most dealers lose because they are foolish, greedy, stupid, or even all three at once in search of a quick buck.

    Get in the proper frame of mind, work hard, know who you are, and comprehend the market. They have unreasonably high standards.

    Believe me, becoming a consistently profitable trader requires a lot of work and ego-crushing losses.

    Although there are many ways to shorten the learning curve, there is no way to totally avoid it. Some inexperienced traders make the error of believing that they must never experience losses in order to be successful. As a result, they put too much pressure on themselves and become angry whenever a trade doesn’t go their way.

    You must acknowledge that you will suffer losses if you want to escape their fate. You will go through drawdowns and losing streaks, which will undoubtedly make you feel awful.

    Adesina,a financial analyst writes from Lagos.