It is always a thing of joy when an economy is growing and performing as planned and the dividends of democracy, hard work and diligence are consumed as and when due in any nation in any part of the world. Hard work and growth galvanise wealth and its enjoyment, usage and distribution. However, it is in the management of wealth and who has it, when, and how, that the problem of corruption arises to throw spanner in the works for even the best planned economy, again, in any part of the world. Today we look at the way and manner corruption has bedevilled the political, and economic management of some nations in recent times and, how it has in turn, taxed the leadership styles of such leaders in such a way as to threaten the political stability and security of their nations. These nations are Turkey, Brazil and Nigeria which are rich or well off in terms of economic bounties, endowment and natural resources and Central African Republic – CAR- a poor nation whose mismanagement by its leaders has turned it into a failed state, whose leader on Thursday was asked in a meeting in another nation, namely Chad, to resign for sanity to return to the CAR. In the last few days and weeks, the leaders of these nations have been in the news with the cross of corruption dangling around their necks like a modern, proverbial sword of Damocles. In Turkey a rattled but powerful PM Reccep Tayyip Erdogan sacked 350 police bosses in many Turkish cities for the way and manner they have brought corruption charges against and arrested sons of his ministers leading to the resignation of three of such minsters – with one of them saying on his way out of office, that the PM too should resign. In Brazil, President Dilmar Rousseff had to assure FIFA President Sepp Blatter that Brazil’s stadia will be ready for the World Cup this year, whereas protests and city riots in 2013 over corruption and inequalities in the Brazilian nation had stalled construction of stadia and sports facilities needed for the World Cup in Brazil this year. Nigeria presents a different scenario amongst the nations being considered here. The Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan is unrattled or unfazed by corruption charges especially those concerning the Aviation Minister who was also reported to have changed her credentials several times over on the internet this week, in response to accusations that she did not attend a school in the US which said it never offered the Accounting degree in her credentials. Indeed the Nigerian President said he is a good example of how anyone can reach the top in Nigeria as all that is needed is education. He also emphasised that those calling themselves’ progressives’ in Nigeria qualify for the tag because they are criticising him and he is not bothered by that as the economy is on course. CAR too provides a different kettle of fish in terms of political mismanagement and injustice leading to anarchy arising from religious violence. The Interim President who was forced to resign at a conference of neighboring states in Chad was the first Muslim president in a nation where 50% of the population are Christians and only 15 % are Muslims. Already over one million people have been displaced in that nation with many Nigerians sent packing home by the crisis. These then are just the tip of the ice bag of the quagmire these nations and their leaders face in their battles with the stigma or reality of the cancer of corruption in their polity. It is necessary to now dilate on how they have reached the sorry pass that is now rocking their various political and economic systems. In Turkey’s case the PM – Reccep Tayyip Erdogan – is confident that the police are using corruption charges to smear the integrity of his government and has ignored calls for his own resignation. He surely has cause to be that confident because his party the Justice and Development Party- AKP – has won three elections back to back and he is preparing to be nominated for the more senior position of President of Turkey having exhausted his constitutional term as PM. He however should not be too confident on that score as he has stepped on a few powerful toes in the way he has used his sweeping mandates at the polls . Indeed what has emboldened Erdogan is that he has emasculated the army which is the guarantor of Turkey’s secularity under its constitution handed down by founder Kemak Ataturk in 1923. Under Erdogan’s three terms many generals in the Turkish army have been tried and jailed for plotting coups. Erdogan had the support of a religious leader now in exile in the US as well as that of the police in rounding up military officers and trying them for treason and jailing such officers. Now the religious leader and the police are at loggerheads with Erdogan and it can not be business as usual in Turkey’s volatile politics. This is because the army is lurking and licking its wounds at the hands of Erdogan but bidding its time to strike with the sword of secularity. Will these corruption charges or saga be the death knell of the hitherto success story of the Erdogan- AKP era that had an Islamist party that used the power of elections to successfully handcuff Turkey’s military into a toothless bull dog, afraid to re-enact its time honoured duty of using coups to protect Turkey’s secularity? Surely time will tell, and very soon too, if you ask me. In Brazil, FIFA’s Sepp Blatter said he cried foul over Brazil’s state of preparations for the 2014 World Cup because he said Brazil had more time than any previous host to prepare for the tournament. In addition Brazil is to host the 2016 Olympics and it is both competitions that have brought out the anger in Brazilian youths about corruption and quality of life in Brazil. At the last Confederation Cup in Brazil last year, which was expected to be a test-run for this year’s World Cup, there were protests at the venues and stadia in Brazil. On being interviewed, Brazilian protesters complained of the high costs of the construction sites and the level of corruption in Sports administration in Brazil. A well known Brazilian soccer star called one of the bosses of the Brazilian soccer administration a thief. The protesters also accused the government of presiding over high transport costs and long hours for poor Brazilians in commuting to and from work while executing fantastically expensive stadia projects in the midst of dismal poverty. Luckily Brazilians have a president they can vouch for in terms of integrity and honesty and she has pushed through the Parliament reforms and palliative measures to fund infrastructure, transportation and education from and beyond. President Dilmar Yousseff has also assured FIFA that soccer is the main sports of Brazilians and that the Brazilian Stadia will be ready for the 2014 World Cup. Although I am not a Brazilian I urge Brazilians to believe their president and give her time to clean up the mess in their soccer stable as soccer is one of the high revenue earners for the Brazilian economy all over Europe as at this point in time. Nigeria’s fight against corruption has been an endemic and half hearted one. Right now many Nigerians feel that the fact that the president has not sacked his Aviation Minister is sufficient proof that the fight against corruption has derailed totally. In effect then the Nigerian President reminds one of Frederick the Great of Russia who once told a visitor to his palace – My people and I have reached an understanding which satisfies us both. They are to say what they like and I am to do as I wish. That seems to be the attitude of the Jonathan Administration on corruption and that is a great pity indeed given its reverberating effect on the political stability and security of a great nation like Nigeria.
Category: Dayo Sobowale
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2013 Person of the Year-Between Putin, Obasanjo and Snowden
It is always a fascinating challenge to me to pick my man of the year for any year, not to talk of a difficult year like 2013, with its superstitious albatross of the no 13 being an unlucky number. Superstition aside, however, 2013 has lived up to its billing of being an entirely nasty year and one that most people in Nigeria, South Sudan and the Phillippines would wish good riddance and goodbye to bad rubbish. All the same, the simple chore for us here is to sift through the year’s massive luggage of political and socio economic actions and inactions to pick a person, who has in 2013, influenced world events for good or bad. Unbelievably, it has not been that difficult for me to pick a 2013 ‘person of the year’ – and this is particularly true of my choice of Russia’s Vladmir Putin as the first in my pick of the trio I have listed above. The Russian strongman was always in my sight through out the year, in the way he ‘outsmarted‘ the US in diplomacy and world politics, even long before Forbes Magazine picked him as the most powerful man in the world in 2013. Edward Snowden was an ambivalent choice, albeit a durable one, in terms of the massive size of his revelations on US Surveillance of friends and foes alike, and their importance to the management of information, communication and global governance, in all ramifications. The former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo was a late comer to my list, as he wrote his famous letter ‘Before it is too late‘ to Nigeria’s incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan in December 2013. All the same, President Goodluck’s response and his charge that the former President had breached National Security and was whipping up ethnic hatred against his government earned Obasanjo the accolade of ‘Man of the Year‘ for his bravery, candor and patriotism which even Jonathan did not question in his apologetic response to OBJ ‘s letter. Let me state that I have picked my persons of the year with a great sense of responsibility and concern for world peace, order and prosperity. I have been guided by the same principles used by Time Magazine which yearly identified those it said have influenced the world‘ for good or bad‘ in the year of their choice. This year the Magazine picked Pope Francis for his concern for the poor. It also picked as runner up Edward Snowden and next Edith Windsor, a long term gay activist for her activism in actualising equal rights for gays in the US and I am nauseated by such choice. But then the magazine was keeping to its time honoured tenets and traditions. When I remember that Iran’s Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini was selected as Man of the Year by Time in spite of the Iran Hostage Crisis in Teheran, and before that even Adolf Hitler had the honor, then I concede the right of the Magazine to live up to its values and criteria, no matter the conflicting cultural values or concerns of its overall global readership. Let me now go about endorsing my choice of Russia’s President Vladmir Putin, Nigeria’s former President Olusegun Obasanjo and American Spy Whistle blower Edward Snowden as my ‘three in one‘ Person of the year for 2013. I start with Vladmir Putin, by commending him and Russia under him, in returning the diplomacy to a bi- polar world, by seizing the initiative in the management and conduct of world diplomacy from the US. This was especially true in the way Putin used the overthrow of Gaddafi in Libya as the benchmark to stop the use of ‘no flying zone‘ at the UN Security Council in any Middle East nation affected by the Arab Spring and street revolutions that dislodged tyrannical rulers in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen and Libya. The No flying Zone was used to cripple Gaddafi by the US and its EU allies, which obtained a UN Security Council resolution in this regard. Over Syria, Russia led China in the Security Council in putting down its foot that the UN could not intervene in anyway to save or fight the Assad regime fighting for its life in Damascus and Russia had its way. Even the face saving limited strike by the Americans was abandoned for the dubious policy of destruction of weapons of chemical weapons. Over Syria, Russia showed that it had a better grasp of modern diplomacy than the Obama administration and the EU, and while a Cold War could not be said to have resurrected, it was obvious that the US was no longer calling the shots on world order and power, the way it was acting when Obama made his Cairo Speech that set Egypt up on the wrong path to democracy- now with the benefit of hindsight. As at this week the Muslim Brotherhood that won the presidential elections in Egypt, in the wake of the Arab Spring, has been declared a terrorist organisation by the army backed government in Egypt, while its popularly elected president- Mohammed Morsi has been charged with treason. Yet a blood thirsty tyrant like Bashar Assad has been kept in power by all means because Russia wants the US to know that it is no longer calling the shots on world politics and diplomacy and that is the handiwork of only one man –Russia’s President Vladmir Putin. On the global cultural plain, the US and its US allies have been putting pressure on Russia over its stringent anti -gay laws, but the Russians under Putin have not relented. The US has gone on to nominate well known gays to its Olympic Committees on the Olympics slated for Russia, but that can only annoy the Russians more. This can only boost Putin’s credentials at home as standing up for Russian values in the wake of wild American liberalism and cultural imposition and intimidation. On this score Putin and Russia have the support of most African nations, who in spite of religious differences, are united in their fight against gay rights and gay marriages and have made laws to that effect. Lastly, Russia has given asylum to the US most wanted man Edward Snowden and there is nothing the US can do about it. Indeed it is like holding the American by the balls, as European media release intermittently, evidence of the US National Security Agency bugging friendly EU citizens like Germany and Spain and millions of their citizens. The US has been put on a lower moral pedestal in the way it has carried out its surveillance in apparent contempt for human rights and privacy and that is good for Putin and Russia whose human rights records have always been ridiculed by the West. In Edward Snowden’s Xmas message from his asylum in Russia he mentioned the book 1984 By George Orwell which I read at a time when one thought 1984 would never come. Now its gone. 1984 was about life in the former Soviet Union when Russian citizens had their lives watched by the Russian communist government and the book was quite popular then. Snowden said his revelations were spurred by the gory details of 1984 continued by the American government under Obama. Definitely the US government 2013 global surveillance surpassed the rich imagination of even George Orwell who wrote 1984 and that is very bad for the sovereign reputation of a leading global power like the US in the comity of nations. Again, one must commend Russia for giving refuge to a wanted man like Edward Snowden and again give kudos to Vladmir Putin. Next we consider Olusegun Obasanjo, the former Nigerian Head of State’s credentials for this award. That he is charged with threatening ‘National Security ‘by the nation’s Commander in Chief means he has spoken correctly on a most nagging issue and boldly too. For security is an open sore for the Nigerian security authorities, and not only the president. Even the Pope at the Vatican during Xmas 2013 mentioned Nigeria and asked the whole world to pray for Nigeria. Was the Pope breaching our security? Definitely not. Obasanjo has spoken out of deep concern and he remains relevant in Nigeria’s politics as the APC, the expected Salvation Army Nigeria’s politics in 2015 went to greet him even after his letter to the president. Obasanjo’s letter was not a cry of wolf where there was none. It was not a false alarm. It was a letter saying that no leader should go to sleep while there was fire on his thatched roof. Whether OBJ was in a position to build a house with corrugated iron when he lived there, as he did, rather than leave a thatched roof, is not the issue. The issue is that the president, the incumbent can not afford a wink while there is fire on a thatched roof on a house in his care. Nobody, but OBJ’s sense of patriotism has called him into an action – an action that he himself admitted could jeorpadise his personal security as under Abacha. That was a risk above the call of duty or self righteousness regardless of the language or manner of delivery of the letter For that clarion call OBJ like Putin has my kudos, again as a Person of the Year for 2013. Lastly, I wrestle with my choice of Edward Snowden, the ultimate whistle blower as part of this trinity of the Person of the Year 2013. Under normal circumstances, and in any nation and clime, Snowden should be condemned to death for revealing state secrets and thereby threatening state security. This, indeed was what the US had in mind in asking for his repatriation first from Hong Kong, a strong US ally and later Russia a member of the UN Security Council like the US. The response of both nations is now history and both negative. That Time Magazine almost made Snowden its Person of the Year, for good or bad, means the US is not sure what to make of Snowden, who in his Xmas message said that he felt that all that the US needed for information from anybody was to ask and not to spy on them. Yet the US values human rights and that goes with respect for privacy and truth. Snowden is a product of both and the US government after him cannot deny both or him. So Snowden to me has become the Galileo of the Information Age in 2013. Just as the Catholic Church intimidated Galileo, the Astrology sage into refuting the Copernicus theory that the world is round and not flat and that it revolves on its axis, the US Administration is pursuing Snowden for damaging revelation on equally damaging and unexpected surveillance of nations and their citizens. For daring to draw the line in the use of the Computer and Communications and using his technical skills to prod a sleeping world to an apparent misuse of power and technology, Edward Snowden has my commendation and endorsement as a Person of the Year for 2013.
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Mandela’s legacy, Obasanjo and Jonathan
Tomorrow in S/Africa , Madiba Nelsonn Mandela , whose body has been lying in state in the Government Building in Pretoria for three days will be buried in his home town. This week 91 heads of state attended a memorial service for the former president of S/Africa as if the UN General Assembly has shifted base to S/Africa to honour the man who served a prison term of 27 years in defiance of the system of apartheid that discriminated against the majority blacks of S/Africa for decades.This was before former President de Klerk called a truce and released the world’s most famous prisoner from prison in 1990. Mandela went on to become S/Africa’s first elected black president in 1994 and refused to serve a second term after his single 5 – year term ended in 1999. This was a man who could have been life president of his nation for the asking but instead he stepped aside to give the younger generation an opportunity to prove their mettle at political leadership. With a single act of denial Mandela showed African leaders that it is not mandatory to cling tenaciously to office and that it is more honorable to quit while the ovation is loudest. For Mandela the ovation was louder out of office and loudest at his Memorial Service this week. Today I pay tribute as a Nigerian to Nelson Mandela and it is not an easy task for me .This is because I have a lot of admiration for the great S/African leader whose body will be interred tomorrow and I hope I will be able to do justice now to my self given undertaking. In truth, I acknowledge that Mandela’s life, sacrifice and leadership evoked in people emotions of guts, courage, defiance and a dogged commitment to principles in the face of overwhelming odds. To many Africans and even to the whole world, as President Barak Obama attested at the Mandela Memorial Service this week, Mandela inspired a global audience to stand up for human rights and dignity without counting the costs, no matter the odds. Today I salute Nelson Mandela, the tall man with the winsome grin, the dancing, arms shuffling S/African leader with the trade mark three piece suits as president. Later, in retirement, Mandela wowed the world with the famous, flowery Philipino shirt which he wore and with which he gave joy and pleasure to the people of the world in the way he carried himself, as if 27 years of incarceration on Robben Island was an ordinary event – when indeed the world is yet to recover from the incredibility and amazement of his surviving such long punishment , even as he makes his final journey to immortality tomorrow . In William Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar Mark Anthony said that ‘ the evil that men do lives after them, the good is oft interred with their bones ‘. Mark Anthony might have been speaking of Mandela in Ancient Rome although in different terms as he mourned the great but fallen Julius Caesar in the great Roman Empire then. For unlike Julius Caesar Mandela’s good deeds lives after him while his lapses are easily forgotten. But then, Rome was at the center of the civilised world and this week, and God willing tomorrow, the world will stand in awesome salute of respect and love as Mandela’s body descends for ever into his hallowed grave. As Mandela returns to Mother Earth tomorrow he goes with the fanfare, pomp and pagaeantry reserved for the Emperors of Ancient Rome in those days of yore. For in life as in death, Nelson Mandela bestrode our world like a Collosus just as Caesar was said to have done in his time. Indeed Mandela was our modern Ceasar who represented human dignity, honour and respect and we must thank him profusely for coming this way and leaving us with such pleasant memories of his sojourn of 95 years, albeit with 27 of them in prison, in our midst. We take consolation however in the fact that the spirit of Nelson Mandela like that of ‘Johnny Walker at 120, keeps matching on’ and this time not only globally but very much so in Nigeria. Last week I invoked the spirit of forgiveness and tolerance inherent in Mandela’s life to prevail on ASUU and the FGN to end the strike in our universities and it is nice to see that this week, the two have resolved their differences and signed an agreement which means that studies can resume in our universities. We thank the two bodies for their positive response and resolution of the crisis and wish them the best in their future endeavors. My concern today however is with regard to correspondence between two Nigerian leaders who attended the Mandela funeral but came back at loggerheads from the event. The two are former President Olusegun Obasanjo and incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan. I do not think their disagreements started at the funeral. If so, they will not be alone in that as S/Africans seized the opportunity of the Mandela Funeral to give their President Jacob Zuma a piece of their mind by booing him before an audience that included 91 heads of state. Obviously Zuma must belong to that category of leaders that US President Barak Obama castigated at the funeral for praising Mandela publicly while not emulating his virtues of forgiveness and tolerance in their leadership style at home. More embarrassing for the S/African authorities was the fact that a sign interpreter who was prominently working alongside heads of state as they made speeches at the Memorial was said not to be qualified for the job and has gone missing since the assignment, as the S/African authorities are said to be looking for him. Which sadly showed the state of porous security and corruption in S/Africa and coming with the booes for the S/African president, clearly showed that the ANC government in power in that nation needs to put its house in order urgently, now that the holding presence of Nelson Mandela on the masses is gone. In Nigeria again the spirit of Mandela was manifest in a letter written by former President Olusegun Obasanjo to President Goodluck Jonathan titled ‘Before it is too late‘. The letter as its title said was a desperate call by an equally desperately concerned former head of state to a sitting president that the ship of state is desperately floating rudderless towards a dangerous rock. Given tha OBJ said he was ready to die for what he has said and that he will speak the truth no matter whose ox is gored in the interest of the nation, you could call the letter his’ last testament‘. Also since the letter made gross accusations against the president in his handlingof the PDP crisis, his giving presidential reception to a murderer and using facilities by Abacha’s goons to train security personnel perhaps for the same purpose Abacha used them, then you could label the letter a’ suicide’ note. OBJ’s letter portrayed the president as a serial denier of his intention to contest the 2015 election and the former president said the incumbent president has failed in his imporimportant role in the five dimensions of presidential power that he identified. These are as party leader, as political leader of the nation, as head of government, as chief security officer of Nigeria and as Commander in Chief of the Armed forces of Nigeria. These indictment included the fact that the president was hobnobbing with a drug baron in the ruling party in Ogun State who had an extradition order on his head from the US, a fact he claimed had been ignored by the PDP overall leader. Of course it is easy to tell off the former president for washing the dirty linen of his ruling party in public which this time he has really gone out of his way to do. Even one can tell OBJ that in accepting that he fought and worked hard for those he wanted to succeed him he had opened another can of worms on tampering with the electoral process in Nigeria. Having said that however this missile from the Nigerian leader again showed his bravery and candor in the best spirit of Nelson Mandela , who respected OBJ immensely for Nigeria’s contribution to the anti apartheid struggle during his tenure as a military president and admired him for his courage in telling Abacha off and going to prison for that. Now OBJ in this his ‘testament ‘recalled that he was in prison in Yola where he was sharing facilities with inmates of an asylum nearby during his incarceration by Abacha and wondered what change of status was worse than that for a former head of state . Since OBJ himself is not a saint on the Nigerian political scene, having been twice president with 20 years in between a military and a civilian president when he served for 8 years, I am sure a lot of people will tell him that those who leave in glass houses should not throw stones. But that is for another day as here today we pay tribute to Nelson Mandela who was also a great friend of the former Nigerian president. We can therefore safely speculate that perhaps Mandela’s death opened OBJ’s eyes to Jonathan’s many iniquities and denials like Apostle Saul’s eyes were open on the way to persecute Christians in Damascus. Now OBJ has decided to make a clean breast of the mistrust and misdemeanor of his protege and in the process has opened a can of worms on the security and politics of Nigeria. Surely Nigeria’s politics has been given a big jolt by the OBJ letter and whether you like it or not, it cannot be business as usual. For OBJ has blown a whistle with a loud crescendo and the dogs of war in Nigerian politics cannot wait to make a kill. Like Tony Enahoro reportedly said in 1958 as he moved for Nigeria’s independence in Parliament – This is the beginning of a chain of events the end of which no man can predict. To me really, the OBJ letter is fighting for the soul of the Nigerian state and as he himself said – in a bloody fight no one knows whose blood will be shed last. So for now, we can say – every body for himself, God for us all. Amen.
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Mandates, strikes and negotiations
THE Federal government’s threat to sack striking members of ASUU and the digging in , of members of the union , in distributing food stuffs to its members in anticipation of government sack, are two sides of the same coin to me. Both are extreme actions just as alarming as the Boko Haram invasion of Maiduguri that had the Governor of the state wailing that no matter what, Boko Haram will not succeed in driving the people of Borno out of their land. It is my candid opinion that both the Federal government and ASUU want Nigerians to lament like the Borno state governor, before they realise that they are not at war, but are expected to oversee and manage university education in Nigeria, no matter the odds in their way in making a success of that assignment. The FGN and ASUU have no mandate to close down the University system in Nigeria for what ever reason .It follows therefore that Government’s insistence that it had deposited 200bn naira for ASUU in the CBN and ASUU’s food distribution to its members as if in anticipation of a long drought in Nigeria cannot hold water. Why I think along this line is what I intend to say here today, no matter whose horse is gored. I start with a conceptual analysis of mandates , strikes and negotiations with regard to both government and ASUU and proceed to draw conclusions in the light of the performance of both in the Nigerian context. Let me state that I have assumed that both antagonists have lost sight of the clear and ordinary meaning of these terms, or else they would not have reached the present unbelievable impasse and socially debilitating imbroglio. This is inspite of the ivory tower erudition, knowledge and expertise available to ASUU on one side, and the huge resources and experience in terms of helicopter view and huge responsibility expected of government in ensuring that the future of Nigerian youths and education are not derailed by any group of people in Nigeria. On mandates , the responsibilities of both parties are clear. The Federal government has the political mandate to rule Nigeria according to its rules and regulations, as stated in the Nigerian constitution. It is the FGN’s mandate to maintain stability and law and order and to prepare an enabling environment for all institutions to thrive and achieve the objectives for which they were set up. It is the contention of ASUU that the FGN has failed in its mandate to provide the enabling environment for members of ASUU to teach in the universities. But then what is the mandate of ASUU? The mandate of ASUU, as with that of any industrial union , is to look after the interests and welfare of its members . The union went on strike because it accused the FGN of not living up to its mandate of providing infrastructure for the lecturers to teach in a conducive environment in the universities. But then a conducive environment is relative and while certain provisions and conditions are basic, the enabling environment depends on the resources available to government as expected of any employer. No where in the world will employees dictate the type and quality of facilities the employer must provide for them to perform their functions. Similarly if employees see that their employer has the means to provide the wherewithal for them to function optimally, but is indulgent on wasteful spending on other non productive ventures, they can proceed to call the employer to order through a strike as ASUU has done to the FGN. Yet a strike is an instrument of negotiation to call employers to order within a given period. When a strike is ad infinitum then it becomes a weapon of war of attrition, as it is being used by ASUU for now. In European history it was Attila the Hun on invading the ancient Roman Empire who famously said that – ‘ there where I have passed, the grass will not grow again’. I hope this is not the motto of ASUU on university education in Nigeria given their fight to finish approach to their demands on the Federal government and the insistence to be paid arrears before resuming. Similarly I hope the FGN is not being advised by modern Attilas who do not give a dime about university education in Nigeria as they got their appointments in Nigeria because they went to the best universities overseas. Such government advisers should be reminded that ASUU has better qualified products in its ranks who went to ivy league universities overseas and there was no need for the apparent contempt and arrogance with which these government officials have handled negotiations with ASUU on the present impasse. It is my candid opinion that both government and ASUU should always leave opportunities for negotiations open and unending. This is to allow for new ways at looking at issues and reolving them instead of issuing deadlines and ultimatums which lead to confrontations , and recriminations. This is especially necessary as ASUU is fighting for the future of our youths which is entwined in such youths getting the best education in our universities here in Nigeria rather than overseas. The FGN too has to be seen as living up to its mandate and willing to fund education. A nation whose legislators are about the highest paid in the world becomes a laughing stock of the international community when its universities are shut for years, because those teaching there are on strike because they dont have facilities to teach their students. That really is a massive shame on all Nigerians and not only the FGN. Perhaps a story on an ancient feud can still move either the government and ASUU to resume negotiations and open the universities for teaching of students as expected. It is the story of Sultan Saladin the Muslim ruler of the Middle East during the Middle Ages who resisted European Christian warriors and Kings sent by the Pope during the Crusades to capture the Holy sites in the bible in the area . Richard the Lion Heart was a prominent English king who had several battles with Saladin and both grew to respect each other’s fighting skills and prowess. According to the story, Richard had an illness peculiar to the area and could not lead his men against Saladin who asked captured soldiers of Richard where their leader was. On being told he was sick Saladin sent medicine to his foe who took it in good faith, in spite of the forebodings of his aides, and was healed and the two leaders continued their gallant battles, now the legend of history . Both government and ASUU leaders have a lesson to learn from this story in terms of trust and mutual respect. These are the basic basis of negotiations both ancient and modern . In addition, the leaders of Boko Haram should be reminded of the gallantry and heroism of Saladin who cured a Christian king with whom he was at war. Boko Haram’s burning of churches and mosques and the slaughtering of human beings is against every thing, especially the peace that Islam stands for, and should be condemned by all right thinking people all over the world. More importantly it is necessary to remind actors on the industrial relations divide of this ASUU strike that no nation enjoys stability while it youths are idle and unemployed because of crisis in its teaching or education sector. The US, UK and Western Europe from where our present crop of leaders got their glittering array of degrees that have landed them their plomb jobs placed a premium on education and devoted a massive chunk of their state financial resources to develop their universities. That is why we have today the high technologies and communications facilities that have improved the lot of mankind globally today. These nations did not cut corners to give edication to their youths and they never had the sort of money Nigerian leaders are managing and mismanaging today at the expense of the larger Nigerian society especially our youths who are willy nilly the future of this great nation. Without mincing words the way out is for the FGN to review the sack order in the interest of the Nigerian students and undergraduates. For ASUU it should pull back from the brink and ask its members to resume work while it negotiates the payment of arrears. Industrial relations is always work in progress and gains should be gradual and beneficial to all parties and not treated like a once and for all bounty of war. Anything short of this is like saying like the French– apres moi la deluge –which is, after me, destruction- to which I say – God forbid As this piece was ending the news of the death of the great Nelson Mandela broke and old as he was at 95 the news broke the heart of millions all over the world and not only in S.Africa. We mourn Mandela but we shall find time later to pay homage to the global symbol of freedom, dignity and accomodation. For now we urge the FGN and ASUU to pay tribute to Mandela’s memory and Nigeria’s immense contribution against apartheid which led to Mandela’s freedom from Robben Island after 27 years of incarceration. Mandela suffered in prison but came out of it unembitterd. He drew his enemies to himself in reconciliation and did not keep his friends far behind. His life and leadership was a lesson in perpetual negotiation and accommodation that created the beautiful rainbow nation that has survived him. ASUU and the FGN can raise their act to a higher positive level by borrowing a leaf from the book of the departed icon of human dignity and accommodation. It is not too much of an act to follow. Even in Nigeria. Amen
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Global politics, agriculture and transportation
Aside the realignment of political forces on the Nigerian political terrain inherent in the defection of five governors from the ruling PDP into the nascent APC, two issues on the Lagos state style of governance engaged my attention and time this last week. The first was the way the state under its Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola is handling the issue of achieving its set goal of food security through the strategies and plans of its Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives. The second was the focussed determination of the Governor to keep traffic flowing in the Lagos Metropolis for the comfort of its citizenry. In stark terms and clear words the State Governor told a gathering of Lagos State Traffic Management Authority – LASTMA personnel, executives and stakeholders that if they have to choose between booking a traffic offender and obstructing the flow of traffic, they should let the offender go and let the Lagos traffic flow like water at all times.
Given the merger of APC and PDP mentioned earlier, an immediate media analysis of the political spread, strength and national power of the two major political parties in Nigeria has 18 states for the ruling PDP, 16 for the APC, one for APGA in Anambra and one for the Labor Party in Ondo State. If you do a mental arithmetic that the governors of Jigawa and Niger State did not append their signature to the APC merger because they would rather wait till the new year, together with the EFCC investigations or harassment of the Jigawa governor’s sons for money laundering, you may safely add two states to APC’S 16 to get 18. In addition, if you recall that Ondo’s Labor Party is closer to APC and is indeed in its catchment area, then you can give APC 19 states out of 36 nationwide. That is really over 50 per cent of the states in Nigeria and that is before the 2015 elections. Indeed the PDP scribe in reacting to the merger of the New PDP and APC seemed to be accepting defeat before the elections when he said that the defectors would come back to the party after the 2015 elections and the PDP would welcome them with open arms.Which means that the PDP has given up on its defectors while acknowledging their strength and its loss in electoral and voting prospects in these governors’ states.
However it is with regard to the Anambra State elections on which a supplementary election is slated for today that I want to make some observations. After this I will go back to how Lagos State is tackling agriculture and transportation with focussed innovation and commitment.
Almost all parties that took part in the Anambra State elections last Saturday admitted that it was and shoddily organised and that INEC officials performed below expectations in terms of availability of materials on time and on integrity. Post election, however Anambra State outgoing Governor Peter Obi, whose party APGA won the elections said that his government only prevented the other parties that wanted to rig from doing so and that if the elections were held ten times over APGA would still win. Which is not surprising given the fact that no less a person than the President of the Republic came to Anambra to campagn surprisingly not for the PDP but for the return of Obi’s APGA successor. The President even announced that he was not going to Commonwealth Heads of Governments Meeting – CHOGM – in Sri LANKA because of the Anambra state guber elections. Since this was after the President’s pilgrimage to Jerusalem during which he was very much in the company of the sole APGA governor in Nigeria, it is not difficult to guess why personal loyalty has taken pre eminence over party loyalty. This is because even as the PDP, the President’s party was announcing that it will take part in the supplementary elections today, its candidate at the elections who could not find his name and that of members of his family on the ballot last Saturday, was calling for fresh elections like the other parties that contested last Saturday’s Anambra state guber polls. Which shows that the Anambra state elections has just jump the usual and expected post election razzmatazz and rig marole peculiar to Nigeria’s elections. These invariably end up in legal gymnastics at the law courts where lawyers and judges determine who wins elections in a blantant usurpation of the rights of voters who in a free and fair election in a genuine democracy should choose the winner the ballot box as at last Saturday in Anambra State.
As elections in Anambra State were making a mockery of democracy in Nigeria, the two events I attended in Lagos State this week provided a silver lining in the cloudy horizon of Nigeria’s murky electoral politics, first in agriculture and secondly in transportation. An army, it was often famously said in ancient times, marches on its belly. In modern times however, so also do states, and nation -states, and no state in Nigeria knows and aims at achieving this more than the present BRF Administration through its Ministry of Agriculture under the leadership of its permanent Secretary Dr Bashorun.
I got a rare insight of the lagos State food security strategy when I attended a retreat organised by the Favorites Club of Lagos under its flamboyant president and the State Commissioner for Home Affairs, Prince Oyin Danmole in Badagry last weekend. The theme of the retreat was – ‘Social Clubs and Economic Empowerment‘. The State Ministry of Agriculture’s Permanent Secretary-PS-led a team of the Ministry’s Directors on a presemtation on Agriculture in Lagos State but it was the PS himself who was the high priest and
high pitch salesman of the State’s people oriented approach to agriculture. This strategy has the sole aim of making Lagos State feed its awesomely large population from within the state in all aspects of food availabilty, production and sufficiency. More importatntly the state is asking anyone who cares to come and have a stake in the ‘food basket’ project as investors because it knows it cannot go it alone. Which is like asking Lagosians to come and get wealth and prosperity on a platter of gold by investing in Agriculture with the state providing the infrastructure and helping out with the needed credit and facilities for potential investors and stake holders. To me that was unbelievable and almost un Nigerian but then, when we went to the Songhai farm project and I ate an harvested sweet corn, uncooked and so delicious, I knew something great was happening in Lagos state. When I saw Nigerian youths on training on the farm on the YES- Youth Empowerment Scheme – then I conceded that there is still hope for Nigeria in terms of meaningful economic planning and development, starting with the way Lagos State government is tackling food security pragmatically and heads on for positive, socio economic transformation of society and the environment in Lagos State.
The state’s transportation strategy has been no less proactive than that in agriculture. I was at a ceremony at which the state governor inducted volunteers from a certain social niche like social clubs and professional bodies as Special Traffic Mayors -STMs. More importantly the State government made sure that LASTMA personnel and officials were present at the ceremony. Before that day my opinion of Lastma and its officials was that of overzealous and crooked street and highway officials bent on ruinning the business land scape of Lagos through daily extortion of road users and business vehicles for one traffic violation or the other. Such bad eggs in LASTMA – including the one caught on video soliciting for bribe mentioned by the governor who said his dismissal was a fait accompli even though he was still on the run-will certainly sit up knowing that STWs are on the prowl and can identify them if they are involved in corrupt practices . The way the governor showed his commitment to flowing traffic left no one in doubt that he knows the importance of transportation to the growth of trade and commerce and political stability of Lagos state and the entire Nigerian nation.
It is necessary to look again at what Lagos state has done, from an historical and global perspective. In Egypt where the government is clamping down on protests on the streets and in the universities because it deposedthe elected government of President Mohammed Morsi, a government had been brought down before by food riots in Cairo and the major cities in Egypt. This was the regime of Anwar Sadat who brokered peace with Israel. Sadat himself was assassinated by a soldier who was a member of the Islamic Brotherhood which resurfaced recently to win Egypt’s first free elections in history. Before Sadat was assassinated his regime was unpopular because of the high prices of bread, the staple food of Egyptians.
Since Sadat was a dictator he repressed the food riots until an assassin caught up with him. That clearly illustrates the importance and relevance of food security to political stability in any political system.
Similarly in Brazil during the last FIFA organised Confederation Cup won by Brazil there were riots in many cities in that nation as the competition approached and during its duration. The protesters were agitating that even though they love soccer their standard of living did not reflect that of citizens of a nation hosting the Confederation Cup not to talk of the World Cup which Brazil is hosting next year and the Olympics which it is hosting in 2016. Which meant all the hard work Brazil’s former President Lula da Silva did to secure hosting rights for Brazil would have come to nought because the Brazilian government did not carry its people along while gunning for the highly prestigious sports
hosting rights for their pleasure while they suffer in the midst of plenty. Really what did the protesters ask for? They complained of long hours – about 4hours- in commuting to work daily to and fro, high food prices, poor infrastructure and high education costs. The Brazilian government has reacted favourably and has committed a certain percentage of its new oil revenues to education and infrastructure especially transportation. But really the Brazilian government not need to wait for street riots before looking after the welfare of its people by carrying them along government plans to entertain them as well as look after their welfare. May be the Brazilians need to borrow a leaf from the Lagos State book on agriculture and transportation that I narrated before Perhaps Lagos State can offer a helping hand to our Brazilian brothers especially as they and our Governor have a mutual love of the lovely game of soccer . That will certainly be a pleasure and yet another people and export- oriented approach following on the clear success in agriculture and transportation in Lagos State, here in Obodo Nigeria.
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How elections create legitimacy
As Nigerians go to the polls today to elect their legislators it is necessary to dwell on the issue of legitimacy again as I have done in recent past in the hope that this time around Nigerians will not vote in vain as in the last three elections of 1999, 2003 and 2007 in our great country. Legitimacy is the legal authority for power of rulers or political leaders. In a democracy, elections are the main rituals for elected leaders to obtain legitimacy. The more transparent the democratic process especially in terms of free and fair elections the better the quality of legitimacy and respect for any political system in the comity of nations and vice versa. Especially nowadays when democracy is the fashionable and ascendant ideology after the collapse of the defunct USSR under Mikhail Gorbachev’s policy of glasnost and perestroika which focused on openness and transparency in government. By the way a birthday concert was held last Wednesday for Gorbachev’s 80th birthday in London’s Albert Hall at which a prize named ‘The man who changed the world’ named after Gorbachev, who was the last head of state of the defunct Soviet Union which collapsed in massive street demonstrations similar to the on going ones in the Arab world, in 1991.
There is no gainsaying that in Nigeria the 2011 elections and campaigns have generated more interest and excitement amongst the competing contestants and the political parties than among the electorate which is supposed to vote the contestants for power into office.The reason for the apathy and apparent suspicion of the Nigerian electorate is both historical and sociological. Elections have rarely been free and fair in Nigeria and a political culture has evolved around the pattern of a prostrate electorate acquiescing with the results of a manifestly rigged election in the hope that this time around the crumbs from the table of power of the new or renewed government will be more generous than hitherto. This has made rigged elections acceptable as a way of life, albeit a bitter pill to swallow, so that the business of governance can go on as usual in all tiers of government in the name of our unique democracy.
The difference this time around however is that those organizing the elections have promised that the electorate will not be shortchanged in terms of rigging and that the elections will be free and fair. I hold four centers of power in the electoral process responsible for this promise based on the crucial role of their antecedents predecessors in earlier elections in this nation. These centers of power or institutions are the Presidency, the Police, INEC and the judiciary. The Presidency, Police and INEC are largely credible in my estimation of their preparations but I can not honestly say the same of the judiciary and I will explain.
The President of the Republic who is a contestant has gone out of his way to say that people should not rig, but just vote for him and I believe him for the simple reason that no incumbent seeking reelection has ever said that in this nation before. Some of his supporters say he is suffering from inexperience and naivety and that he has shot himself in the leg for disowning the time tested weapon of re -election in our unique brand of democracy. All the same I believe this incumbent president and presidential contestant.
The Police Inspector General has moved Police State Commissioners unexpectedly out of their domain to new places for the duration of the elections and I believe these movements will stem the tide of rigging somewhat. Although the ACN has called for his removal over events in the South East I doubt if that is possible for this 2011 elections. Also the fact that the INEC Chairman has called on the SSS to help monitor INEC staff at polling booths nationwide to ensure they follow the electoral process to the letter shows that INEC will not cover up for its erring officials as has been its modus operandi in the past .
It is with the judiciary sadly that I see the Achilles heel of our latest electoral odyssey of great expectations for a free and fair election starting today. The leadership of the Nigerian judiciary as at the start of this election is a divided house. The Chief Justice of Nigeria has a petition against him on corruption from a colleague the President of the Federal Court of Appeal who has also refused promotion to the Supreme Court. The two are the leading lights of the temple of justice in Nigeria and are expected to deploy judges to handle election petitions arising from the elections starting from today Nobody has spoken so far of their being removed or suspended for conflict of or divided interest so as not to rock the boat of the electoral process which is bound to hit a judicial rock sooner than later with such litigious captains in charge.
Yet, the judiciary is the vehicle expected to give legitimacy to our electoral process. It is expected to adjudicate in electoral disputes and its high priests in the temples of justice at all tiers of government are to swear in elected officials according to our constitution. The law says he who comes to equity must come with clean hands but I do not think that is applicable to the Nigerian judiciary at the beginning of these 2011 elections and the consequences and prospects of that are quite grim to contemplate for now. In judicial terms one can only hope for the best and prepare for the worst in terms of justice in our electoral system this time around.
Nevertheless , every cloud has its silver lining and our 2011 elections can not be an exception. Nigerians like all electorates globally have an opportunity that come once in four years to elect their leaders. Fortunately or otherwise we are doing this at a time when the Arabs of the Middle East have taken to the streets to throw out their leaders for corruption, dictatorship, autocracy and decades of misrule. The street demonstrators have found sympathy with the leaders of the democratic world led by the US, and EU nations namely France and Britain. Indeed at the EU and NATO Conference on Libya attended by US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton this week it was resolved that Libya’s dictator Muammar Gaddafi had lost all legitimacy to rule his people and should just go. This is in spite of the UN resolution which is the mandate of the Coalition, saying explicitly that the Coalition forces are in Libya to provide a no fly zone over that country and are not there for regime change.
Since then no less a person than US President Barak Obama has said in a state broadcast in the US that living Gaddafi in charge after Coalition intervention makes Libya a dangerous place for world peace. Obama stressed that it is the duty of the international community to protect unarmed Libyans against Gaddafi but it is the responsibility of Libyans themselves to determine the manner of his exit. Both David Cameron the UK ‘s PM and Obama have stressed that UN resolution restraint not withstanding, they will not rule out giving arms to Libyan rebels to dislodge Gaddafi. Which means the die is cast for the Libyan leader and his days are very numbered since he cannot match the fire power, experience, military skills and technology of the Coalition out to save his people whom he called rats and varmins at the start of the Libyan uprising.
In terms of our own elections and the choice of who to vote for we can learn something from the reasons and causes of the fury of the Middle East masses against their dictators and political leaders. From Tunisia to Egypt to Saudi Arabia to Yemen to Bahrain to Libya and now to Syria the ruling elites and families have been in power for too long and have remained insensitive to the economic needs and yearnings of their people. Instead they used the police and a highly motivated quasi- military security apparatus to monitor their people; to cut them to size and jail any dissident without trial while using torture with impunity as a form of deterrence against any opposition. This was the situation in Tunisia under Ben Ali for 24 years; in Mubarak’s Egypt for 32 years; in Saleh’s Yemen for 32 years to date; for decades to date under the ruling House of Saud in Saudi Arabia; and in the 41 years of late Haffez Assad dynasty and his son who has been in office after succeeding his father 11 years ago .So the fury that drove the Arab masses into their streets and squares which the dictators built for celebrations consisted of corruption, nepotism, tyranny, high handedness, aloofness, and lack of respect for democratic values generally.
To me then the virtues we should look for in choosing who to vote for in these 2011 elections are the opposite of what led the Arabs to revolt so massively against their leaders in the on going street revolution convulsing the Middle East as we know it today. Which means that Nigerians should from today vote for leaders who hate and do not practice corruption and nepotism ;leaders who have respect for democratic values of the rule of law ,accountability and transparency; leaders who are responsive to the wishes of those who elected them.
We can of course add the Nigerian flavor by pointing out or reminding ourselves and our political contestants of our present needs and problems which could lead to street democracy and demonstrations like those in the Middle East if they are not attended to by the elected leaders in the elections starting today. These are rampant lack of electricity for good quality of life and for growth of industries leading to unemployment and redundancies; lack of security of life and property in our cities and villages; poor health facilities; poor and dangerous roads and infrastructure generally. Since election times are times of great promises by power seekers and great expectations by the electorate we ask Nigerians to vote wisely and pick new leaders who will be responsive to their needs as promised during campaigns. For now at least electing our leaders through the ballot box is infinitely better and less rowdy than the ongoing massive street democracy of the Arab world.
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Technology, the Military and Disasters
The typhoon that hit the Philippines so cruelly this week has shown in stark terms that the war between man and nature is far from over. It has also shown that even though technology can identify disasters like typhoons as well as their deadly speed- which was 310 km per hour in the Philipines typhoon – no technology can as yet predict the level and volume of human and physical disasters to follow. That was what made the Philippino disaster so gruesome and awesome to beholdand its fury brought to a global audience suck in by the unique majesty and brilliance of information technology and the unique ubiquity of the internet. Global empathy was instant and profuse and whilst one wept at the sight of nature making nonsense of humanity with impunity, right before our eyes, the US military
shown like a million stars in the gallant way its cargo planes brought desperately needed relief materials and succor to the far flung areas of the Phillippines devastated by this highly destructive typhoon. From the bottom of my heart I say ‘ God bless America’ for that and I really mean that, no matter what I may have written about the US of recent especially with regard to its policy on Syria.
Let us put emotions aside now and look today at the good, the bad and the ugly side of the Phillipines disaster and the reaction of its government , and the international community. We shall also appreciaite the satellite TV stations whose reporters brought the carnage wrought by nature to us all in our living rooms and places of work. The role of the military in Egypt where the imprisoned former President Mohammed Morsi has issued a letter through his lawyer telling Egyptians that Egypt will never regain stability unless the rule of the military that removed him from office is terminated by the Egyptian people. Which is like a call to arms. This call will be examined along side the news that the Russians are talking with the Egyptian military on many issues including the sale of arms. Which means that in diplomacy as in life itself, nature abhors a vacuum given the fact that the US recently stopped arms sale of F16 fighter jets to Egypt in protest at the military coup in Egypt. We finally examine the implications for Nigeria of the US designationg Boko Haram and Ansaru militant groups as foreign terrorist organisations and thereby blocking all US financial transactions with them.
Again, I doff my hat to the US military’s humanitarian intervention in the Phillipines to save lives, although given the US military’s pedigree in logistics and movement of men and material, one should not be that surprised. I once read a case study from Havard University detailing how the US navy moved men and materiel to Saudi Arabia during the first Gulf War involving coalition of 15 nations mustered for the war by the UN and US President George Bush Snr and it was the greatest movement of personnel and equipment in history at that time. This time speed and size were also in dire need and the US military responded in kind. A war ship was moved towards the Phillipines to enable navy helicopters deliver relief materials faster and in greater quantities . The US military has shown its human face in saving lives and human dignity by its reaction to the typhoon in the Phillipines and it is a face of mercy and kindness which is scarcely associated with the same military that the Pakistanis and Afgans will forever associate with drone strikes and missile attacks. More importantly the US has shown the Philippino people that it is a friend in need while China which promised half a million dollars but increased that to $1.6m has shown that the typhoon disaster has not built bridges over territorial disputes it has with the Phillipines .And that really shows the Chinese in poor light in terms of humanity and that is really a pity.
In addition some Philippines news media have criticised their President Aquino and government for not reacting fast enough and I think that was unfair given the fury and speed of the Typhoon which was said to be the fastest and largest on land unlike Katrina that landed on water. This is because there is no way any human capacity can spontaineously meet such a massive challenge of nature and the Philippines leadership is no exception . In addition when CNN’s seasoned reporter Amanpour was interviewing a Phillipino Minister immediately the disaster struck she was asking questions about corruption in the Phillipines which I thought was uncalled for at that stage and I am happy that that trend of coverage was abruptly ended by the well respected network . It was replaced by the stories of professional CNN reporters who betrayed no emotions as they narrated and showed moving episodes and faces of those grieving for their loved ones . I salute the devotion to duty of these reporters but I do not think some bit of emotion to show at least that they are not drained of it or, are, at least not enjoying the tragic spectacle, would have been out of place .
In Egypt however the face of the military which has seized power and is preparing its Commander in Chief to contest in the next presidential elections is anything but inviting or humanitarian given the challenge posed by Egypt’s deposed but democratically elected President Mohammed Morsi. There was no natural disater in Egypt this week but the politics, events and demonstrations of the last few months have claimed almost as many lives as the typhoon in the Phillipines. Now the military have lifted emergency rule but the elected president is on trial and has called for a jihad to remove the military which deposed him from power and is trying him in court.
The problem in Egypt is a ding dong battle between democracy and the miltary and the miltary are winning . The Americans were supposed to check mate them but they looked elsewhere instead and even refused to recognise a coup in plain sight. Instead they scuttled an arms deal involving high tech F 16 war planes . But the Egyptian military dont need war planes to disperse demonstrators. They need batons and tear gas, tanks and masks and they have them in abundance in Cairo. In addition I am sure that the Russians will provide any way the equivalent of F16 jets to the Egyptian military. The deal will surely be consummated before the US comes back from the diversion created by China and Russia over Iran’s nuclear sanctions talks and change of attitudeby its new leader at the last UN General Assembly. However by the time the Iran sanctions talks collapse ,as it will soon do, it will be clear that the Americans have been sold another dummy as in Syria . By that time however the Russians would have put their feet in the door firmly at least to sell high tech jets to the Egypptian military and dig in as they have done with Assad in Syria.
Lastly the immediate effect of the categorisation of Boko Haram and Ansaru as foreign terror groups to the US is to freeze the accounts of these groups and those associated with them. It also means that it is not only the Nigerian army that is fighting them. More importantly it may mean that the US may send drones to Nigeria. That then takes the war on terrorism to a new dimension in Nigerian terms. Which to me shows that the Boko Haram threat has been handled with kid gloves by Nigeria and the US has taken the fight out of our hands. What then are we having the big , well trained military at our disposal for ? Even though some time ago the Nigerian president asked the US not to do what it has just done, I have no doubt in my mind that it pays some vested interests in our security apparatus to internationalise the Boko Haram menace and they have surely succeeded. How the army or the military will react to this Americanisation of the Boko Haram threat will define the success or failure of the Nigerian state in the months to come.
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Changing cultures, transparency and development
Edward Snowden , the American whistle blower on spying was like a traitor when the news broke on the internet that he had exposed intelligence on the US government spying on its allies. Last week however there was serious talk that he was being considered for the Nobel prize for transparency. In Europe , the EU court ruled this week, that Africans asking for asylum in Europe on grounds of persecution in nations where gay marriages and homosexuality are banned, can be considered for asylum in Europe. In Nigeria, at long last , the president of the Republic finally met with University teachers who have been on strike for four months , asking that funds be provided to make infrastructure available to teach in the nation’s university environment for which the Coordinating Minister of Finance had earlier said the striking lecturers were asking for the moon. In Italy the Catholic Pope Francis called a conference on what he called modern slavery including child labor and prostitution to save the world’s poor and fight global poverty. In similar mood the World Bank and the EU pledged $8bn in aid to develop the Sahel from where Al Qada and Boko Haram have sprung to threaten the political stability of not only Nigeria but the entire ECOWAS sub region and indeed Africa as a continent.
The news items and issues I have highlighted today look interesting and innocuous enough, but they are deceptively so, as they concern matters that I have labeled as ‘changing cultures’ but which are in reality – culture shocks – that are highly polemical as my analysis will show. Let us first dwell on the amazing and unbelievable situations that these news items have thrown up at least this week alone . In Britain , the security chiefs of Britain’s spy industry were summoned to open questioning by Parliament and these were the bosses of M5 , MI6 and GHCQ, powerful institutions which have been the stuff of James Bond and other spy films that one once thought that such institutions were the stuff of fiction and do not really exist. Again, who could have thought that the same EU providing money for African nations to fight a security threat in the Sahel they don’t see yet, let alone appreciate, is also giving asylum to African gays and lesbians who are just aberrants against the way of life and culture of the people amongst which they live? Also who could have thought that a president – whose wife went to S Korea to receive an honorary degree whilst the universities in her husband’s nation were closed on strike by lecturers-could have compunction and decide to talk directly to the striking lecturers that the nations funds minister had earlier branded as unreasonable? Similarly, one had been used to Catholic Popes living in Palaces in the Vatican and being chosen as, ’the best dressed’ men in the world, but now we have the pleasant and humane surprise of a Pope planning how to stop children and prostitutes drifting into a life of crime, drugs and terrorism. Really it is a new day and dawn in terms of the changing cultures of our times and the expectations and import of that for world peace, security and economic development. Yet as we will soon see, it is not all that glitters that is gold.
Let us start our journey again by looking at the cold facts of the issues raised today and see the lessons to learn to improve our world and ease the tensions of international relations and diplomacy .First the downside of the Snowden revelations is that it has endangered international relations and introduced conflict and suspicion amongst friends and allies spying on each others citizens and institutions not to talk of incumbent leaders. But as one of the spy bosses told British parliamentarians, spying involves getting information from other nations that they may not want to give and protecting information that are vital to national interests and security.
The comforting side is that Snowden or not, both the British and American legislatures were impressed with the response of their spy bosses to the questions prompted by the Snowden revelations and that was apparent in the hushed reverence with which the spy bosses were treated, in spite of the hullaballoo that accompanied their summons to the two legislatures. Which shows again that where security is concerned, transparency has a limited flight of fancy and accountability, and that is a lesson indeed for developing nations adopting democracy hook, line and sinker as the panacea or solution to every problem of governance, economic management and environmental equilibrium in the real world.
In effect then, the Snowden revelations have blown the cover of Western intelligence and spy bosses but the governments are adopting a response strategy of crisis management that I have called ‘dog does not eat dog’ – which is another way of allowing sleeping dogs to lie in the overall security interest of all friends, stakeholders and parties concerned. That to me is a sensible response to an embarrassing intelligence quagmire that Snowden willfully created to bring the security roof down albeit unsuccessfully in the western hemisphere.
I shall take the three issues of asylum for gays fleeing homosexuality ban in Africa, the EU and World Bank fund to develop the Sahel and the Pope’s devotion to help children and prostitutes escape modern slavery as he put it, together. Again the issues that bind the three developments together are cultural and humanitarian with a tinge of ethnocentrism and urgent security need. I see ethnocentrism in the European court ruling in a case brought from Holland on Africans alleging persecution on account of being gays. Though the European Court has ruled that such Africans can be considered for asylum which is binding on all EU nations, the court also asserted that the existence of a ban is not sufficient ground for granting asylum as evidence of persecution has to be shown. Which is what brings in the issue of ethnocentrism. The EU Court has deemed European culture superior to those of nations like Nigeria and Uganda where homosexuality is banned, and that is a sociological blunder as no culture is really superior to the other. Indeed the implementation of the ban in the nations concerned is not a problem as that is the African way of life. The implication of the EU ruling is to provide cheap opportunities for those Africans fleeing from other problems to cash in on the persecution proviso when indeed they cannot really stand up to be counted on their sexual disposition in such societies.
On the massive $8bn aid to the Sahel , I see the hand of the World Bank boss Jim Yong Kim at play . This new Group MD of the World Bank has committed himself and the global bank to poverty alleviation by 2030 and is pursuing that goal. He deserves commendation for bringing the EU on board. The EU is contributing $ 6.75 bn – 5bn euros and the World Bank, $1.5bn . But, again, the EU is investing in its security as it knows that the Sahel has been the new home of militant terrorism especially Al Qada that fled Afghanistan only to show up in Islamic Maghreb and North Africa and has resurrected in Boko Haram in Nigeria’s North East and lately the Syrian crisis.
That was why France had to intervene militarily in Mali to stop the invasion of that nation when ECOWAS was getting too slow to act. The rationale for the World Bank and EU aid is to provide infrastructure, jobs and security for the nations bordering the north of west Africa which is called the Sahel in the hope that that would reduce ready recruits for Al Qada from the jobless, roaming and idle millions of Africans youths looking for ways to make ends meet and make a future for themselves. By strengthening the Sahel economically and sustaining its growth the EU hopes to reduce terrorism targeted at the European mainland by Al Qada and militant groups recruiting African youths effortlessly by giving them training and ammunition to disrupt the stability of African nations in the Sahel on religious grounds and excuses. That really is a promising venture and one expects the EU and World Bank to have enough monitoring skills to ensure that the funds are used for the desired purposes and not high jacked for selfish ends by politicians and thieving bureaucrats very active in the Sahel environment.
It is in such light that I look at the never too late intervention of the Nigerian president in the ASUU strike and pray that it is concluded positively and the students return to their schools.
Inevitably such idle students have drifted to prostitution, drugs, terrorism and crime from which the EU, World Bank, and the Pope are trying to help out. One expects this president not to yield to pressure from the owners of the private universities who think they cannot prosper except they kill the public universities by making sure that they encourage government to starve them of funds. It is not in the interest of such private universities as the environment will be so charged that sooner than later they too will not function on security grounds. That is the stark truth to face on the urgent need to resuscitate university education in Nigeria in the best interest of the future and security of our nation. What is good for the goose should surely be sauce for the gander.
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Power, business and politics
The influential and well known Forbes Magazine has released its annual list of the rich and mighty of the world and as a Nigerian I am proud that Nigeria’s Business mogul, Alhaji Dangote at No 41 on the list, is the most powerful man in Africa . I am sure that the self – effacing Nigerian business man who made Dangote Sugar and Dangote Cement household consumer products in Nigeria will be very amused by the categorization which puts his assets at $16.1 bn .This really should have made him the richest man in Africa and not the most, as even in Nigeria he himself will be the first to admit that he is not the most powerful, not to talk of Africa.
The list has the first four most powerful persons in the world as Russia’s President Vladmir Putin who displaced US President Barak Obama to second place, with China’s President Xi Ping in third and Pope Francis, leader of the Catholic Church, as fourth. It is my contention today that Forbes erred in categorizing our Dangote as the most powerful man in Africa and should have categorized him as the richest and most socially responsible African, given his public spirited philantrophy which marks him out as a rare fish in the murky waters of African politics and business; not to talk of the corrupt cesspool in Nigeria from where somehow and some what, Dangote has been successful to raise his head and those of his many businesses above water and shine globally like a million stars. I go on to tell the publishers of Forbes Magazine that in Nigeria the most powerful man is the occupant of Aso Rock, our presidential palace and it does not matter whether he comes from Sokoto or Kano or from the creeks of the Niger Delta or even Abeokuta or Minna the two towns to have produced two former heads of state in this nation to date. The incumbent at Aso Rock wields enormous power in Nigeria and that is what the 2015 elections is about to confirm and that does not mean the situation is right or wrong . It is plain reality and political pragmatism which the highly influential Forbes magazine has ignored to put extravagant search light instead on a hard working Nigerian providing jobs and opportunites for millions of Nigerians regardless of their race, tribe or religion by assessing him on the wrong criterion of political power.
Today however I comment on the first four most powerful men in the world and show why and how they deserve such honor, and my reservations, if any, on the categorization. I then sneak in some observations on the announcement by the President Uhuru Kenyatta of Kenya that he has opened a web site for Kenyans to send information directly to him on corruption and corrupt officials in Kenya. Of course I will attempt a comparison with Nigeria in the light of Oduah gate and the Nigerian government’s approach to the fight against corruption.
On the honor of being the most powerful man in the world, let me first of all congratulate the Russian president, especially for displacing the American president from the No1 slot. I say this with all seriousness because no one has worked harder than the judo black belt Russian to hold on to power by all and any means and restore Soviet pride now ably replaced by Russian diplomatic power and now acknowledged globally by this Forbes Magazine recognition. In similar vein, no one has been more assiduous than the current US president and administration in ensuring that the US loses its premiere position or that of its president as the most powerful man in the world and the reasons are there to see even though they appear lost in plain sight in Washington. To me the Syrian crisis and Obama’s handling of it after blowing hot and cold, torpedoed the US president from the most powerful man in the world and ceded it to Russia, the nation that held the US by the balls and backed the butcher of Damascus to the hilt in spite of the use of chemical weapons which the US said several times it had evidence of its use, but could not muster the will topunish the culprit nation-Syria. Instead, Russia under Putin put its feet down behind Syria and outsmarted US foreign policy by floating a bait of chemical weapons destruction which the US swallowed blindly and forgot its pursuit of limited strike for the use of chemical weapons on its own people by the Assad Regime holed up in Damascus.
The US diplomatic blunder in Syria has given a global boost of recognition to President Putin which can only magnify his hold on power and boost his popularity at home, while making life more difficult for opposition Russian leaders who have been encouraged to challenge Putin’s leadership in the last parliamentary and presidential elections at US instigation and offer to provide local support and international monitoring of violations of human rights by the Putin regime. This categorization of Putin as the most powerful man in the world makes his position in Russia unassailable as this has boosted the ego, pride and patriotism of Russians that now has returned to its pre eminent position as a rival to the US as in the Cold War era of the Soviet Union. Certainly the US loss of prestige in this Forbes categorization is Russia and Putin’s gain indeed.
With regard to China’s President occupying the position of the third most powerful man in the world I see that as a very temporary situation indeed. In a couple of years I see the Chinese leader occupying the No 1 slot as the most powerful man in the world. I see him overtaking the US president who in a year’s time would have become a lame duck president and who right now is battling with even his allies to explain why the US National Security Authority has been bugging the leaders of friendly sovereign states – especially Germany as revealed by the Snowden files being published at random by the European press. Again, as if adding salt to injury the US
Treasury Department in its latest report this week queried the manner and direction of economic growth of Germany based on exports and said that it is not good for EU growth which really was in bad taste at least in terms of timing. On its own, in terms of global diplomacy China has been a consistent ally of Russia in foiling US attempts to act on Syria and is also the largest buyer of US treasuries. Given new Snowden files revelation that the US asked Japan to help it spy on China and Japan refused, there is no limit to how low US prestige will plummet over the Snowden spy revelations especially with China. For now China is busy making new friends with low interest infrastructure loans in Africa especially Nigeria at a time when developing nations are shying away from IMF loans and its never ending repayment arrangements and socially destructive conditionalities. Yet China is a communist nation de facto and de jure, with one million Communist Party of China card carrying members, lording it over a billion Chinese people. For now China holds five year party conferences to review party and government programs and changes its leaders once in 10 years and that creates stability according to Chinese leaders. Which really is contentious but it depends on the type of democracy you want or hanker after and its objectives and values.
With regard to the fourth most powerful man in the world, Pope Francis, there is not much to say other than that he is certainly very different from his predecessor Pope Benedict xvi the first Pope in 600 years to abdicate. Benedict XVI fought cultural wars against gays and lesbians, abortion and insisted that the Catholic church must resist such’ fashions of the times‘ and remain loyal to its dogmas. But the church under him was plagued with the stigma of charges of child abuse by priests and massive compensation by the church to avert embarrassing trials. Pope Francis has come in to highlight the plight of the poor and the care of prisoners like
Francis of Assisi before him. In addition Pope Francis seems to be asking for reprieve for gays and a need for married priests which may roughen some nerves in Africa on cultural grounds. Yet the Pope commands a lot of respect and love as his first act on being made pope was to ask the multitude to pray for him. I have no doubt that he has the intellectual fibre to carry the millions of the world’s Catholics with him but he certainly needs prayers on gay rights and same sex marriage in Africa where the Catholic Church is growing fastest, globally.
Lastly President Uhuru Kenyatta’s web site on corruption is a step in the right direction but Kenya should learn to respect cctv footage first to combat crime, terrorism and corruption. This week two security operatives were sacked and jailed for looting during the West gate Mall nightmare in Nairobi. But instead of Kenyan authorities acting swiftly on the clear cctv footage, they first asked the press how it got the information and ominously on the use of unauthorized information. That certainly will deter people from visiting the Kenyan president’s web site to give information on corruption as no one wants to enter a powerful security booby trap.
It is similar to the situation on our own Oduahgate when government‘s first reaction was to find out who the whistle blower was instead of swooping on the NCAA with security operatives. In the interim in spite of the daily revelations the Minister travelled to Israel to meet the president on pilgrimage and to sign an aviation treaty. Meanwhile the National Assembly Committee on the matter was quarelling that the Minster had refused to meet it as requested for over 10 times which really is a grave charge if true. On my part I
think the Minister should be given her day in the National Assembly when she returns from her Israeli trip. Who knows what spiritual transformation she could have undergone to make her explain the reasons for the armored car purchases. Certainly if Saul could be transformed on the way to Damascus a similar thing could happen to our besieged Minister as Israel is not far from Syria. The danger however is that modern Damascus is under fire and going to Abuja may seem the same to this Minister. Which really, under the circumstances is a great pity indeed.
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Leaders charting new paths and deals
Today I deal with personalities as I take on the topic of the day. The aim is to show how the personalities, reputations and even utterances of certain leaders precede them in what they do or say, in or out of office. We take on global leaders, incumbents in position of power including those widely regarded as opposition leaders, alternative leaders, or leaders in waiting in their various political systems or sub regions on the actions and news concerning them in the last one week.
We focus on first on Nigeria ‘s APC leader Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and the business lecture delivered on his behalf by the Governor of Oyo State Senator Abiola Ajimobi on the topic – Nigeria: Charting a New Path to National Rebirth, last Wednesday at the 70th Anniversary of Nigeria’s premier social club, the Island Club. We then take a look at US President Barak Obama’s legacy project Obamacare and the challenges facing it when its web site collapsed as people tried to access it and the socio- economic impact of that development on Obama’s legacy as the first US president to initiate such a massive Health Care project in the US. Next we consider the views of Nobel Laureate Aung San Su Kyii of Burma that Burma’s dictatorial constitution has to be changed before she can ever hope to be president. We also examine the US bugging of the phone of German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the insistence of the German Iron lady that the US must be called to order in spite of the very close ties between both nations.
We go back to the Island Club 70th Anniversary lecture of Asiwaju Bola Tinubu whose announced topic was Nigeria : Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow until Senator Abiola Ajimobi announced the n topic’s theme as – Nigeria: Charting A New Path to National Rebirth, a title which also determined the topic of this column today. Naturally one would expect the Asiwaju, as Nigeria’s virtual and foremost opposition leader to do justice to the announced topic given his well known devotion and dedication to analyzing Nigeria’s political and historical problems as a pragmatic and respected participant observer of the growth and development of the Nigerian nation state. But Asiwaju switched the topic and praised the Island Club to high heavens before dissecting and analyzing the nation’s history and growth or descent to decay, in his usual vivid and enticing style reminiscent of the witty anecdotes in his book – Financialism – Water From An Empty Well; How the financial system drains the economy, co authored with former US Consul, Brian Browne.
According to Asiwaju – ‘Drawing its members from innovative and creative segments of society, Island Club was from the start set to be great …Though older than Nigeria, the Club still shines. Unfortunately the glow of Nigeria has turned to dross ; the nation is a gem obscured by the grime of venal and menial leadership.‘ Actually in adopting the new title as his theme, one could again expect at the lecture the usual tirade of an opposition leader against a present political leadership that he has scant respect for, which perhaps would have made the lecture boring. But that was not to be, and that was due to the genius of Asiwaju’s representative who delivered the lecture with such humorous and witty jokes such that there was not a dull moment throughout the business lecture. Senator Abiola Ajimobi showed at the lecture what Former Minister of Sports Chief Akinyele meant when representing former head of State IBB at a similar function he said – ‘when you have seen the hand of the tiger, you have seen the tiger’ . The Oyo State Governor was in his element in terms excellent service delivery in the way and manner he presented his leader’s paper. His jokes had the audience reeling with laughter most of the time. His assertion during the Question and Answer Session, anchored by me, that he was speaking for himself on the answers but was sure that his views and that of Asiwaju would coincide on most matters because they have been together for so long, earned him and his leader the respect and attention of a captive audience at the lecture.
The witty Oyo state governor set the ball rolling with the funny story of how he came to be chosen by the Asiwaju to represent him at the lecture. At a meeting in Abuja, he said, Asiwaju wanted to show his APC colleagues that he was fully fit after his knee surgery so he asked the governors to join him in a 100 meter dash with the proviso that the last man would represent him at the Island Club lecture – and while Asiwaju came first he Senator Ajimobi came last and that why he was in Lagos. In addition he told his wildly cheering and laughing audience that he was selected because he was the oldest of the APC governors who were members of Island club – and there was no way the result of the race could have been different.
Humor aside, the contents of the lecture were brilliant, decisive and vintage Asiwaju. I will illustrate with some juicy comments and quotes . Asiwaju lamented in the lecture thus – ‘And where does Nigeria stand today? Today we loiter on the road of confusion because we are guided by leaders who themselves need guidance. The dream of a robust and great nation hood has been deferred . Nigeria now limps and pleads for crutches to help it, just to stand.’ On the proposed National Dialogue which he called a Greek gift on his return from surgery Asiwaju noted – ‘Yes we need to talk. I remain an ardent supporter of the call for a national conference that is sovereign and open to all . That is the only route out of the woods. We must bring Nigeria back on the path of true federalism. A stage managed affair scripted and monitored to achieve the narrow political aims of narrow political minds in Abuja will do nothing but whet confusions appetite . Anything short of a Sovereign National will be like trying to apply a bandage to a tornado ‘. On manufacturing Asiwaju noted that – No populous nation ever reached prosperity without a vibrant manufacturing sector. It is this sector that is the mainstay of urban employment, just as farming is the main stay of rural jobs. However our manufacturing sector shrinks under the policies of the present government. As it shrinks so do the job opportunities of that vast army of city dwellers‘
On security, Asiwaju noted that the present administration said it has the situation under control. ‘If this is control he concluded,‘ I dread to see how lack of control looks. In Boko Haram, the nation faces its largest challenge since the civil war. In conclusion the APC leader lamented painfully –‘We live in a land that is ours but is ruled by a government that does not belong to the people because it does not like them. Nigerians want democratic governance, economic development, broad prosperity, justice, equality, moral purpose and human dignity. At that point, he concluded the state of the nation can be a state in which we are all proud and in which we can live as a free people‘
Surely it is such sentiments that Asiwaju has highlighted to drive Nigeria forward from premises of the Island club that has motivated the other world leaders we are focusing on today albeit in a different context. Obamacare is about more Americans getting heath care access and insurance in the richest nation on earth where such favors are absent . President Obama has made this the flagship achievement of his administration and Congress has approved it. Yet at the last dialogue on expanding the US debt ceiling, the Republicans wanted to make it a bait for discussion and scuttling it and Obama put his foot down that the deal had been done and that was why he was elected for two terms and Obama care was not to be debated. Now the website for accessing Obamacare by an enthusiastic millions of potential beneficiaries has led to a crash but Obama is not fazed. He has acknowledged the problem and has announced that the best IT brains in the world have been assembled to sort out the problem and keep Obama care afloat by all means. That is how leaders should behave as they are not expected to sleep on their watch and see their legacies derailed either by design, unintended results, sheer sabotage or outright enmity and lack of goodwill as in the issues surrounding ObamaCare and its implementation in the US.
The same dilemma faced Burma’s Opposition leader over a law directed at preventing her personally from becoming president of her nation . This is a law that bars women with sons for foreigners from becoming president of Burma. Suu Kyi has two sons for a Briton who died while she was in prison. The law was put in place when Suu Kyi was in detention after the Military prevented her from claiming the victory in the presidential election she won in that nation before. Now the Military government through her role and intervention is getting global recognition for moving towards democracy, but has not removed the vile law and Suu Kyi is not ready to buy that and is crying foul. She is also alerting a gullible world that the dictatorship in Burma while seeming to move towards democracy on the surface, is still a wolf in sheep’s clothing, until it amends the obnoxious part of Burma’s constitution concerning her. Again, the Burmese Nobel Laureate has spoken boldly no matter whose ox is gored especially as the amendment concerns her and not with standing the fact that the military in Burma still has total control of the constitution and any intended amendment. Again a global leader has shown bravery in drawing attention to a human right flaw in the face of great personal danger and I cannot but doff my hat to her.
Similarly German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s insistence that the US and Germany must reestablish the trust in their relations over the bugging of her phone is brave, timely and correct.The US has denied as expected and has assured Germany that this never and would not happen ever. Yet the US is feverishly looking for the US security contractor whistle blower that Russia has given asylum somewhere in Russia. It was interesting seeing the German Chancellor fretting with her hand phone while seated by US President Barak Obama at a previous state function on CNN. One was left wondering what could have been going on in the US president’s mind in the light of Angela Merkel’s phone being bugged as now revealed. Anyway, the German leader has shown the US that even though their two nations may be close allies and Germany may be a junior military ally of the US and in NATO, such bugging of friendly leaders is indecent and is not to be tolerated. Which is like saying clearly that even amongst friends ‘your freedom ends where my nose begins’. Which, again is fine by me, no matter the security or diplomatic closeness, protocols or camaderie of all parties involved.