Category: Saturday

  • Rivers: Tonye Cole carries his cross

    Rivers: Tonye Cole carries his cross

    If what Sentry is hearing about the Rivers State chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) is anything to go by, then the governorship candidate of the party for the 2023 elections, Tonye Cole, is no longer sleeping with his two eyes closed. Simply put, the man has decided to carry his cross.

    Feelers from the candidate’s camp indicate he has been worried about the defection of prominent chieftains of the party to the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

    Read Also; Crisis brews in Rivers APC as Dawari George dumps Amaechi 

    Chief Dawari George, a former commissioner, dumped APC during the week. Earlier, another bigwig, Golden Chioma, bade the party farewell in similar manner.

    These developments sent shock waves through Cole’s camp and got the APC candidate really worried. “Our principal is worried and he is not resting on his oars to stem the tide of defections. Currently, he is going round to talk to aggrieved party leaders and members irrespective of their faction. He has realized that he has a good opportunity to unite everybody, and he wants to do just that,” a close ally told Sentry on Friday.

    It was also gathered that Cole, as part of efforts to ensure his house is in order ahead of the election, is making overtures to Senator Magnus Abe and other APC chieftains in his faction. Will he succeed with his moves? Time will tell.

  • Kuje Prison Attack: It’s about time we break the pattern (1)

    Kuje Prison Attack: It’s about time we break the pattern (1)

    No serious country would have watched the news about the attacks on the Kuje Custodial Centre and not feel a tinge of shame. No nation would watch the news and not ask questions about how a rag tag army of misguided religious zealots stormed a prison located within the Federal Capital Territory and then go on to have a field day by releasing their comrades who were held in that same centre. Any nation that does otherwise has no business existing and perhaps should need another bout of colonialism.

    Such occurrence remains a blight on the security architecture of the nation and calls to question not only the effectiveness of the security architecture but also the efficiency of those who manage such architecture as well as the integrity of such architecture. The Kuje prison attack is one attack too many and is slowly helping to demystify the nation’s approach to security as presently witnessed.

    The question then should be where do we go from here ? Who should bear the brunt for the laxity witnessed before, during and after the attack? Which heads should obviously roll for such a national shame that has made us the laughing stock of the comity of nations? If Kuje could fall in so short a time and with little or no resistance by members of the security personnel found there is it not possible that such could be replicated in other areas of immense import to the Nigerian nation? With airports , schools, shopping malls, embassies military barracks and bases lying at the mercy of these terrorists?  It may be that we have been running on a wrong road and may very much need to break such a pattern!

    Read Also; TIMELINE: Prisons breaks, attacks in Nigeria

    President Muhammadu Buhari while breaking protocol to visit the centre following the attack just before he headed to Senegal lamented on the failure of our intelligence services to help detect, plan and foil the attack. Had the intelligence units being up and doing they would have marshaled the resources adequately needed to repel such an attack, probably nip it in the bud before the bandits arrived in Kuje. While understanding that the war against terrorism is much of an asymmetric war and thus puts conventional intelligence gathering under much strain, there is still the fact that for such an attack to have occurred in the FCT, there must have been a build up and coordinated movements of men ,materials and arms between their bases and Abuja, how our security agencies with such intelligence failed to nip this in the bud before these terrorists struck is indeed alarming. Now the DSS has come out to say that they got such notice of an impending attack and passed it to the “necessary authorities” The question is who did the SSS pass the information to ? Did the institution feel that it was enough to have passed such to the leadership of Kuje prisons only? Was the National Security Adviser briefed? If he wasn’t then we need to ask why? If he was then we ask what steps did he take to prevent all of this from happening.

    Again, what sort of policy sees the remanding of terrorists in one single facility?  I mean what kind of security text books or manuals are these guys reading or implementing? What sort of security architecture accommodates these kind of criminals in one shared space where they can easily have access to each other?

    Finally, the fact that these terrorists had a field day and could with ease move within the correctional facility and release their comrades goes to show that the Nigerian security architecture is saturated with fifth columnists and persons sympathetic to certain causes both domestic and foreign  that seek to much undermine the territorial integrity of Nigeria. When President Goodluck Jonathan cried out while he was president that Boko Haram has infiltrated his government and had recruited their acolytes into the government then and security agencies,many of us thought that it was merely his incompetence  that was speaking. Today, while still not taking anything away from such incompetence, recent events suggest such a statement to be true.

    While we await the comprehensive report as ordered by President Buhari, it is important to draw the attention to our authorities to the glaring fact that whatever pattern presently being used by the security outfits of our nation in its bid to tackle insecurity is not effectively working and there is indeed dire need for a rejigging!

    With the continuous news of kidnaps and attacks which have led to the loss of lives of our citizens and the reduced confidence in the ability of our security agencies to effectively protect the lives and properties of the citizenry, the present authorities need no auguries to know such.

  • Politics, geography and security

    Politics, geography and security

    Human  values , perceptions and expectations globally are changing dramatically ,  basically  because the world  because of the internet and information technology has become a  ‘ global village’ . The  little  hand phone has become a mine of  information and knowledge  such that  someone once said that  knowledge has become democratized in a way  that even  universities  and professors have  no exclusive  monopoly  as before,  over their many  disciplines and  subjects . To  me it is a withering of geography as we know it physically or the disappearance of national borders and boundaries  that use to control  migrations and immigrations globally . That  perspective is the engine room of our discussion today .

    In   Nigeria the choice of presidential  candidates has shown the importance and relevance of both geography and religion  in a  multiethnic and multicultural nation like  ours which,  because of a strive for equity and fairness in the distribution of the national wealth and largesse, . cannot afford  to  ignore  its geopolitical  zones and spread . Yet  it   is often forgotten in making  national  appointments and  acknowledging our diversity that values in these various geographical zones vary not only in terms of the six zones as we know them territorially  but also in terms of  the people  and tribes in the constituent  entities and nations in each zone . Thus making choices on geographical or  religious grounds is just  the tip of the iceberg  in arriving or achieving a national  concensus or  understanding  on who is or not a fair choice in leading the nation as President or Vice  President  .  This   is because though  geography  matters  it comes a close second to culture in fusing a nation because values in various tribes and ethnic groups prevail over anything else in political  leadership and expectations .

    Today  however we look at human  values in various  settings with the above topic  in mind .  We  examine the issue of  security in Nigeria especially  with  the  attack  on the Kuje prison facility  near  Abuja  and the visit of the president to the prison thereafter .  We    examine   a rare  security  alarm   by both  the US  and UK  security  outfits   on the danger  posed   to  global  security   by the Chinese  government under the   leadership of the Chinese Communist Party .  We  look at how mendacity is decimating the cabinet system  in Britain’s Parliamentary democracy under the collapsing leadership of  PM  Boris Johnson .  We wonder why Nigerians think that a Nigerian  politician like Peter Obi  a political  light weight  nationally ,    can replicate  what happened  some time in France and Ukraine’s presidential elections ,   in the coming 2023 presidential  elections in Nigeria .

    Read Also: Politics, religion and 2023

    According  to reports the Nigerian  president visited Kuje prison  after the attack  on the facility   and  complained about the security lapse that  led to the attack  and flew  out  to an international conference  immediately  .This  was after a convoy that  was going to the president’s  hometown of  Daura  preparatory  to Sallah  celebrations was attacked   by  some   terrorists . It  is my view that the president should be careful  in that the terrorists  seem  to know how to infiltrate our state security  network . Reportedly in Kuje  , Boko Haram came  to release their  leaders confined there and reportedly they freed them .  These  same terrorists have links with those involved in the  recent Kaduna train attacks  and they still  hold hostages  while asking that their leaders in prison should be freed and from all  indications they seem to know where their leaders are being kept .Which  showed that they have inside information on the security  of their leaders . That  is dangerous  for the security of the nation and the president should  just  fix the loopholes in our security apparatus on his return from the international  conference and after Sallah  , if  not before .As     the saying   goes  -‘  a  stitch  in time saves nine    and   life   has   no duplicate  , especially where presidential  and state security are both  so  precariously   involved . 

    The  two  leading security  outfits of western civilization  , the   US  FBI   and UK ‘s   M 15 freezed  geography  literally as  their leaders gave a rare  joint  press  conference  in London  to alert the world on the immense threat  to global peace and stability  posed  by China, its leaders and the governing Chinese Communist Party .They accused China of stealing western technology and interfering in elections both now and in the past in both nations and putting in place strategies and plans   to rebuff or contain  economic sanctions expected against  it  , similar  to those Russia is suffering from over its invasion of Ukraine , if and when , as expected China attacks or invades Taiwan .  The  security  bosses addressed an assembly of businessmen and warned that global  business would be affected as never before if China attacks Taiwan . They  conveniently forgot the geography, history  and politics of China  which  holds  Taiwan  as an integral  part of its  territory . They also forgot that China is still  reeling from the trade sanctions  of the Trump  presidency and is heaving a sigh of relief that Trump  is out of power and  China  is chummier with the Biden presidency   ,    obviously because of the underhand deals of the US president’s  son,  Hunter ,   in both China and Ukraine, a deal  not  covered by CNN and the anti Trump  media  in the US   both  before and after the 2020 US presidential election  The two security  chiefs seem  to have forgotten   too  that  China  values  law  and order  more than  their own  political and ideological  systems especially in the US  where gender equality , sex  ,   gun rights  and   abortion   have   replaced  patriotism  ,   good governance and general  security  .

    Similarly  in Britain,  the  PM  has  lost  credibility not only  in Parliament  but with  both his party and the opposition . The issue of sexual harassment  by an MP he  just  appointed has led to  the resignation of many of his ministers and his cabinet is about to collapse . Yet  the stubborn PM refuses to resign saying he has a great mandate from the electorate and he cannot abandon that now especially  now that there is war in Europe in Ukraine . He  even  tossed geography overboard  when  he refused  to consider a letter from Scotland’s First Minister to reconsider another referendum on Scotland’s  Independence saying that the Scots have rejected that recently  ,  and that  should stand for now . In  Britain  where parliament is run   mostly on unwritten rules , values and tradition ,  Boris Johnson  poses a great threat  to political stability because of his penchant for serial mendacity on many things he has said and declined  publicly . I  once  expressed a grudging respect for his confidence and audacity in the face of many  odds but  now I fear  for his political  life as leader in a political system which  has little or no respect  for  leaders who lack scant   or  no credibility . I think  Boris Johnson’s days as UK’S PM are  numbered   indeed as  he  juggles lies,  amnesia  and excuses to  remain  in power by all means .

    Whilst  most  Nigerians are resigned to a battle royal  in the 2023 presidential  elections between Atiku of the PDP and the Jagaban  who is the front runner and my favourite to win , it is amazing that some people in the social   media are touting a political  light weight Peter Obi as an alternative . This reminds me of the  saying that if wishes  were  horses beggars would ride cars . This is a  man  whose negotiations for a running mate has blown  up   in his face overnight . I think  his twitter and mass media supporters are  just dreaming  of the way  that Emanuel  Macron emerged from obscurity  to become the French president and  repeated the feat in his relection this year . Or  they watch  the Ukranean President  too much on CNN and  relish the fact that  he was a mere TV actor  before  getting  elected   as president  unbelievably in Ukraine before the Russian invasion of his country . But  is that  possible in Nigeria ? I  say  no , categorically  because Nigeria  is immensely  different and  more diverse than both France and Ukraine in many  respects . Nigeria  is very much ‘ work  in progress’ and the presidential candidates of the two major parties  know the  nation like the back of their hands and   I believe that the Jagaban can fix many of  our problems especially  those of security , geography , and  the economy ,  . This is because  , as I have written recently  ,   of his experience in governance  and leadership in Lagos state which houses Nigeria’s  commercial capital . Lagos  is mini Nigeria and is a place where millions of Nigerians flock   daily  to’ find gold on the  streets ‘ of Lagos  like  the young   William   Whittington  sought for on the streets of London  in the  famous English   fable ,   ages  ago .The Jagaban  , if given the opportunity at the polls  will  fix  Nigeria’s many political potholes  and security  minefields ,  because he has the experience of keeping Lagos safe and secure  for booming business for all Nigerians irrespective of their state of origin , religion , geographical  extraction and security  concerns . For  once ,  I believe,  with him at the helm ,   we are about to  get it right and move on . This   certainly  is not a time for extravagant   experiment  with political  minions  or  lightweights ,  who  generate even more security risks  and   concerns , than  opportunities    or  experience to get us out of the rot  we are dismally  struggling in,  for  now  . A word , certainly   ,  is enough for the wise .

  • Who is afraid of Muslim-Muslim ticket?

    Who is afraid of Muslim-Muslim ticket?

    The Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket is no stranger to Nigeria. It has been used before and it fetched the nation its historically acknowledged freest, fairest, most peaceful election. It was not predetermined when it happened. Circumstance thrust it upon us as a nation. And the nation still savours its sweet memory.

    It seems history is on the verge of repeating itself.

    In 1993, when Bashorun Moshood Kashimaawo Olawale (MKO) Abiola, a Muslim from Ogun State, ran for Presidency with Ambassador Babagana Kingibe, another Muslim from Borno State, Nigerians voted massively for them. It was not about religion, but merit, competence and capacity.

    The feat could be replicated in next year’s general election.

    But some people now differ for partisan reasons. They are no more talking about geo-political balance. They are calling for religious balancing as if the God of Christians is different from the Allah of Muslims.

    When Nigerian political elite are not exploiting poverty, they shift to religion. Preaching now focuses on the pursuit of transient earthly power, whereas Christian clerics ought to focus on winning souls for the Kingdom of God.

    Some armchair commentators even threaten fire and brimstone over a matter they should not lose a minute’s sleep over. Obviously, their self-serving agitation is not premised on truth and logic, but on apparent religious misjudgment.

    Those opposing the Muslim-Muslim ticket appear unconcerned about the capability of the candidates to make things work for the generality of the people. They appear to have created an elitist warfare designed to cajole, create a wrong impression and generate controversy. The wrong advocacy is meant to manipulate public opinion and incite the electorate. So far, only the gullible are swayed by the fleeting emotion and trickery.

    Pro-Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) critics, spin doctors and propagandists are trying to preempt the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, who is still consulting on the choice of a competent and suitable running mate. They are making an unsolicited suggestion that could herald an electoral doom. Their tool is a section of the social media, which is misguided and disposed to unethical practices. Mischief makers are praying for a mistake that should never happen. Their threat is that Asiwaju Tinubu should either pick a Christian running mate or heaven will fall.

    To keen observers, the hired social media agitators are mischievously whipping up inexplicable sentiments. They are evading reality and indulging in prevarication. They are jesters wallowing in daydreaming. Their expectation is that APC should make a big blunder, which their principal or sponsors will instantly exploit to maximum advantage. Observers are asking: if the PDP had picked a Yoruba Muslim as its presidential flag bearer, would it contemplate picking a Northern Christian as his running mate?

    Those who witnessed the 1993 presidential poll are taken aback. Did Atiku Abubakar, a Muslim, not fight to be the running mate to another Muslim candidate in the past? What should occupy the minds of sponsored critics is whether the PDP ought to have picked its candidate from the North in the first instance since a northerner, President Muhammadu Buhari, will be completing his two terms of eight years next year. Advocates of power shift are asking: should the North occupy the presidency for 16 years? How logical is the analysis of those who have jettisoned geo-political equity, only to turn round and make a case for conjectural religious balance to suit the prejudiced agenda of few manipulators who crave attention? How many clerics in the Southwest will have the audacity to mount the pulpit and ask the congregation to reject a presidential candidate from the zone for picking a Muslim running mate? Would the congregation listen to him? How logical? Muslims and Christians attend family and township meetings together. Christians felicitate Muslims during their festivals. Muslims rejoice with Christians during Christmas. There is no basis for discrimination.

    To the anti-Muslim/Muslim jesters, history means nothing. They allude to “changing times” as they tacitly fuel subtle religious tension.

    Read Also; Much ado about Muslim-Muslim ticket

    Having failed to stop Asiwaju Tinubu at the primary, they have resorted to a campaign of calumny ahead of next year’s election. Yet, certain facts cannot be wished away. It is on record that defunct Social Democratic Party (SDP) presidential candidate MKO Abiola and Kingibe defeated the National Republican Convention (NRC) candidate Bashir Othman Tofa and his running mate, Sylvester Ugoh, on June 12, 1993. Abiola and Kingibe are Muslims. Tofa was a Muslim though Ugoh was a Christian. It would appear that the NRC ticket reflected religious balance, which the SDP ticket appeared to have lacked. At the close of poll, it was evident that Nigerians had ignored the religious bias and voted for the best ticket.

    In 1993, there was a clash of strategies and structures, intelligence and capabilities, tact and willpower. Many factors shaped the historic exercise. The present political class is not oblivious of the details. The current circumstances present a similar scenario. The two factors – ethnicity and religion – have not fizzled out. But regional reactions to these two issues have always differed.

    According to analysts, ethnicity is strong in the South in the choice of a standard bearer, especially when zoning is on the front burner, while religion is strong in the North when attention has shifted to the choice of a running mate from the region to pair with any presidential flag bearer from the South.

    In the aborted Third Republic, the Southwest intensified its struggle for power shift. The region was lucky to have its son, Abiola, a business mogul and largely inexperienced politician, as the SDP candidate. This followed the banning, unbanning and banning of the so-called old and new breeds by the wily military junta. To the Northern SDP Caucus, Abiola was the candidate of the South, although a section of the Southeast and the Southsouth rejected him. It could be said that the Southwest was emotionally attached to his candidacy; perhaps, for ethnic reason. He was a Muslim, but his religion never mattered to the South, particularly the Southwest. Muslims and Christians alike flocked around him because of his pedigree. He was a household name: a bridge builder, a philanthropist and man of the people.

    The SDP primary in Jos, the Plateau State capital, was tough. It was because the party had become a platform to beat. But, the choice of a running mate was more hectic. Two stalwarts -Atiku, who was sponsored by his godfather, the late Major-General Shehu Yar’Adua, and Kingibe, who was endorsed by SDP governors and state chairmen – vied for running mate. The probability was that in a Muslim-dominated North, a Muslim would likely emerge. The only Christian, Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) President Paschal Bafyau, who was supported by military President Ibrahim Babangida, could not fly.

    It may have become a trend that whenever a Muslim presidential candidate comes from the South, Northern Muslims, who only view him as a Southern candidate, may show a strong disposition towards the choice of a Muslim from their region as his deputy. This pervading feeling cuts across the two major parties. It would also appear that the dimension of ethnicity is stronger than religion in the South while the North can hardly dissociate itself from ethno-religious calculations.

    Conversely, and as history has shown, if a presidential candidate from the North is to pick his running mate from the Southeast or the Southsouth, the likelihood exists that he will pick a Christian. However, if a presidential candidate from the North is to pick his running mate from the Southwest, he can either pick a Muslim or a Christian. The people of the Southwest will accommodate his choice, if he is competent and suitable, his religion notwithstanding.

    It is not clear why other regions have not been able to demonstrate enough religious tolerance and understanding like the Southwest. This region, over the years, perceives religion as a personal matter between an individual and his creator, and sees the two major religions as similar because God is the Ultimate.

    It may be inferred that those against Muslim-Muslim ticket in the North are few, although their reaction may be blown out of proportion. In the South, particularly the Southwest, it is a non-issue. The founding fathers of the Southwest never saw a dichotomy between Islam and Christianity. What was important to them was unity of the zone, development and integration. The first Premier of Western Region, the late Chief Obafemi Awolowo, was the first head of government to set up the Pilgrims Welfare Board in the Christian-dominated region. No eyebrow was raised by Christians. Later, a similar board was set up for Christians. Awo only had one younger sister, Nimota. She was a Muslim married to Awofeso, a native of Sagamu and father of Bimbo Awofeso, journalist and former member of the House of Assembly in Ogun State.

    It is significant to recall that the Lateef Kayode Jakande/Rafiu Jafojo Muslim/Muslim ticket was the best in the Second Republic. Lagosians never regretted it. The period between 1979 and 1983 has remained a reference point. Recently, Kaduna State Governor Nosiru El-Rufai spoke about how he picked a Muslim in 2019 and the APC won Kaduna State. However, this is not to say that the demand of Christians for the running mate is not legitimate.

    The atmosphere of religious harmony permitted the wedding of Asiwaju Tinubu, a Muslim, and Yeye Asiwaju Oluremi, a Christian and now, an Assistant Pastor in the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG). Former Lagos State governor and Minister of Works and Housing, Babatunde Fashola (SAN), a Muslim, has a Christian wife, Emmanuela, a staunch Catholic.   The story is told of Ede Muslim faithful who decided to appoint a Christian as Treasurer of the Central Mosque.

    At a time when Efon-Alaaye, a town in Ekiti State was prided as a religious town comprising CAC devotees, Anglicans and Catholics, the paramount ruler, the late Oba Lawani Aladegbemi, was a devout Muslim. He will never miss church harvest services and the yearly one-week New Year prayers by the Aladura Church. In fact, he usually hosted the grand finale in his ancient palace. Oba Aladegbemi usually assisted churches to plant more branches by providing land for church buildings. Christians also reciprocated his kind gestures as father of all. Many Christians usually celebrated with him after Ramadan. Also, every year, his chiefs, who were Christians, and many townspeople usually accompanied him to the Muslim Praying Ground during Sallah.

    In 2023, what is important is the ticket that can reposition the country by revitalising the economy, providing jobs, tackling insecurity, fighting infrastructure deficit, strengthening education and health sectors, fixing the power sector, ensuring national unity, and restoring the glory of the country in the comity of nations.

  • 2023: Lagos PDP and Jenifa’s mixed bag

    2023: Lagos PDP and Jenifa’s mixed bag

    Leaders of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Lagos State are currently cracking their heads on how best to handle a situation dropped on their laps by happenings in the life of award-winning Nollywood actress, Funke Akindele-Bello, also known as Jenifa.

    Announcement on social media by Abdulrasheed Bello aka JJC Skillz, Jenifa’s husband, that they’ve been separated for three months, appears to be altering 2023 permutations within the opposition party.

    During the week, it was reported that Akindele-Bello had been listed as one of the potential running mates to PDP’s gubernatorial candidate, Dr. Olajide Adediran aka Jandor.

    Read Also: Banky W wins Lagos PDP Reps primary rerun

    Expectedly, the news elicited mixed reactions. While some applauded the decision of the party to look the way of the thespian, others knocked the idea, saying Jenifa was undeserving of such mention.

    Sentry, however, discovered that Jenifa might be the preferred choice of Jandor. According to sources, he already told some party leaders he will settle for Akindele for some reasons which include the fact that the actress hails from Ikorodu in the eastern part of the state. Another reason was Adeniran’s desire to reap votes from ‘Soro Soke’ groups across the state.

    “Jandor believes Jenifa has ties with many youth groups that staged the #EndSARS protests and as such her presence on the ticket will guarantee support, funding and votes to PDP by members and patrons of the various groups during the 2023 elections,” one said.

    But with the actress now trending negatively following her husband’s revelations, party elders are worried about her choice and are working hard to convince Jandor to look elsewhere for a running mate, the source added.

  • Forty eight hours and more after PDP dared OBJ

    Forty eight hours and more after PDP dared OBJ

    Last Tuesday, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), through its Board of Trustees Chairman, Senator Walid Jibrin, threatened to expose former President Olusegun Obasanjo if he didn’t clarify his comment about his former deputy Atiku Abubakar within 48 hours.

    The ultimatum given the ‘Ebora Owu’ expired last Thursday and not a few Nigerians are disappointed that neither PDP nor Jibrin has said a word about exposing the former president as promised.

    Read Also: Obasanjo and his ‘touch of madness’

    Obasanjo had the previous weekend said he made a mistake when he picked his running mate ahead of the 1999 presidential election. Atiku, who is now presidential candidate of PDP, was Vice President from 1999 to 2007. The former president added that God saved him from the ‘genuine mistake’ he made when he selected his deputy.

    Reacting to the statement, Jibrin warned Obasanjo to clarify his comment to avoid being exposed, saying PDP would tell Nigerians who Obasanjo really.

    But long after the deadline Obasanjo has neither clarified his statement nor debunked it, yet mum has been the word from Jibrin and PDP. Sentry even gathered from party sources that the BoT Chariman was scolded by a number of prominent chieftains for daring the Balogun of Owu at a crucial time like this. As it is, OBJ may have nothing to fear as neither PDP nor Jibrin appear ready to challenge him to a fight just yet.

  • *Politics, religion and 2023

    *Politics, religion and 2023

    It is only natural that identity issues featuring such factors as ethnicity, religion, culture and region will always be key determinant influences in the politics of a complex, plural polity like Nigeria. Thus, the extant constitutions of the First, Second, and Third Republics and now this Fourth Republic have always had provisions requiring that the composition of governments at various levels reflect the ‘federal character’ of the country. As much as possible, this has meant ensuring that personnel recruitment and appointment particularly at the leadership levels in the various Ministries, Departments and Agencies of government at the center and sub-national levels evince a deliberate effort to balance ethno-regional, religious and, increasingly, gender considerations.

    A key demand by diverse socio-cultural and political groups since the restoration of civilian rule in this dispensation in 1999 has been the rotation of presidential power between North and South. In picking its presidential flag bearer for the 2023 general elections from the North, namely former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), has overridden the loud clamor across party lines that the presidency rotate back to the South after the completion of incumbent President Muhamamdu Buhari’s eight-year tenure next year. The South-East especially, which has been the strongest and most consistent bastion of support for the PDP since 1999, justifiably felt entitled to the party’s presidential ticket but even a good number of delegates from the region did not vote for Igbo candidates at the party convention, which means that other factors can readily trounce conventional expectations in the choosing and balancing of party electoral tickets.

    However, this week, Atiku announced the choice of Delta State governor, Dr. Ifeanyi Okowa, a Christian, as his running mate thereby fulfilling this time another unwritten power-sharing convention that if the President is a Muslim, the Vice President should be a Christian and vice versa. In sharp contrast to the PDP’s insensitivity to adherence to the power rotation pact between North and South, the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) had picked its presidential candidate, former Lagos State governor, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, from the South-West. This followed the insistence of 13 of the party’s influential governors from the North that the presidency shifts back to the South in 2023 in the interest of fairness, equity, and justice and against a bid by a clique to foist Senate President, Dr. Ahmed Lawan from Yobe State as ‘consensus candidate’ purportedly acting with the authority of President Muhammadu Buhari. To his credit, the President refused to throw the weight of his office behind this move thus enabling the APC to keep faith with the power rotation principle between North and South.

    President Buhari had earlier charged the governors to consider the demonstrated capacity of a prospective candidate to achieve electoral victory for the party in the search for a flag bearer.

    With the emergence of Tinubu as the APC presidential candidate, the Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) and some other solitary voices have demanded that the APC must balance the ticket with a Christian Vice- Presidential candidate since Tinubu is a Muslim. As former Abia State governor and Chief Whip of the Senate, Chief Kalu Orji Kalu, has persuasively pointed out, however, if Tinubu, a Muslim minority from the South picks a Christian minority from the North as his running mate, that would be a perfect recipe for predictable electoral disaster. Nothing would gladden the PDP more. Critical stakeholders and delegates who ensured the emergence of Tinubu as APC presidential candidate know that he is their best bet to fight and win a national election against a candidate of Atiku’s stature. Why should they then cripple the efficacy of such a ticket by presenting a Christian Vice-presidential candidate when their flag bearer has an appeal that cuts across religious boundaries? It will simply make no sense.

    Given the strong antipathy of most parts of the South-East and South-South to the APC, there is no guarantee that a northern Vice-Presidential candidate for the APC will attract sufficient electoral harvest from both regions in an election in which maximization of votes by contending parties is key in what will most likely be a closely fought election. Why shouldn’t the APC more rationally do all it can to take optimum advantage of the rich harvest of votes in the North-East, North-West, and South-West while also striving hard to split the votes with the PDP in the North Central, South-South, and South-East?

    Tinubu’s urbane disposition and cosmopolitan outlook are well known and admired. His wife of over four decades, Senator Oluremi Tinubu, is not only a Christian; she is a pastor of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG) as others have pointed out. Before Tinubu’s assumption of office as governor of Lagos State, there was no provision for Christian workers at the Government House, Marina, to worship. He built a chapel on the premises for this purpose to complement the Muslim Mosque. Throughout his eight-year tenure, the revered General Overseer of the RCCG, Pastor Enoch Adeboye, preached at the State Thanksgiving Service, which was an annual event. The tradition continues after him.

    In fulfillment of his electoral promise, Tinubu as governor of Lagos State returned over 20 schools that had been taken over, about two decades earlier from Christian missions by the state government, to their original owners. These schools include St Gregory’s College, Obalende, Holy Child College, Obalende, Our Lady of Apostles, Yaba, St Finbarr’s College, Akoka, C.M.S. Grammar School, Bariga, Howells Memorial Grammar School, Bariga, Lagos Anglican Girls School, Surulere, Awori Anglican Comprehensive High School, Badagry, Igbobi College, Yaba, Methodist Boys High School, Victoria Island, Methodist Girls High School, Yaba, The Apostolic Church Grammar School, Ketu, Baptist Academy, Obanikoro, Shepherd Girls high School, Obanikoro, Agbowa Ikosi Grammar School, Agbowa, The African Church College, Ifako, Lagos African Church Grammar School and Aladura Comprehensive High School.

    Ten schools taken over from Muslim Missions were also returned to their original owners by his administration. Although there were unanticipated teething problems associated with the return of the schools following the prolonged period of state take-over, the initiative was enthusiastically welcomed by the missions and showed a commendable fidelity on the part of the governor being a Muslim, especially with respect to the Christian Mission Schools, which were more in number.

    When it is pointed out that the Muslim-Muslim ticket of Chief MKO Abiola and Ambassador Babagana Kingibe of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) roundly defeated the Muslim-Christian ticket of Bashir Tofa and Sylvester Ugoh of the National Republican Convention (NRC) on June 12, 1993, presidential election regrettably annulled by the military regime, one ready response is that Nigeria is a far more different country today with higher levels of religious intolerance. This is only partially true.

    For instance, in his 1995 essay, ‘Religion and Nation Building: The Paradaox of Dual Identities in Nigeria’, the eminent political scientist, Professor Isawa Elaigwu, meticulously documents no less than 20 incidents of religious conflicts involving violence, bloodshed, and deaths between March 1986, and January 1993, occurring among others in Ilorin, Kwara State, Ibadan, Oyo State, Kafanchan, Kaduna State, Katsina, Katsina State and Tafawa Balewa, Bauchi State, to name a few. In October 1991, for example, a demonstration by the Izala sect to prevent Reverend Reinhard Bonnke from holding a crusade in Kano deteriorated into bloody clashes with loss of lives and property. Again, in May 1992, communal conflicts between the Katafs and Hausas in Kaduna State turned into a violent confrontation between Muslims and Christians with large fatalities. True, there are more widespread acts of violence today but these go beyond religious conflicts to encompass banditry, terrorism, armed robbery, and kidnapping.

    The broad pan-Nigerian support for the Abiola-Kingibe Muslim-Muslim ticket in 1993 thus indicated that inter-religious violence perpetrated or orchestrated by extremists of a given faith may not necessarily be reflective or representative of religious tempers in the larger population thus making a Muslim candidate like Abiola easily acceptable then beyond his religious profession just like a Tinubu will readily be today beyond Muslim circles.

    In any case, ethnoreligious intolerance, extremism, and violence have deep-seated economic roots in worsening material poverty and inequality manifesting particularly in soaring unemployment, pervasive hunger, and rising despair and hopelessness among the vast majority of the populace. A candidate that can convince higher numbers of the electorate that he has the knowledge, experience and demonstrated record of past performance to bring about economic recovery, mass creation of jobs, and the onset of prosperity in post-2023 Nigeria will win widespread electoral support irrespective of the religious coloration of the ticket.

    There is nothing Atiku has said or done since leaving office in 2007 and serially contesting for the presidency in 2011, 2015, and 2019 that suggests he will do anything different from what the PDP in its 16 years in power did in terms of reworking and revitalizing Nigeria’s economy. While he talks animatedly about his new conversion to restructuring in the South, he is far more reticent about the subject in the North. I can think of no PDP state that is an inspiring model of the kind of developmental trajectory Nigeria should seek to follow after Buhari, not even the oil-rich Rivers and Delta states which do not have to contend with the kind of population pressures Lagos faces for instance from all over the country and with no derivation allocation to benefit from.

    True, the APC has been no less dismal in its management of the economy over the last eight years even though it has fared comparably better particularly in infrastructure provision than the PDP when an account is taken of such debilitating factors as the drastic crash in oil prices towards the end of 2014, the unanticipated coronavirus pandemic and the consequences of the ongoing Russian-Ukraine war. Even then it’s well known that though Tinubu is honorifically known as its National Leader given his role in the party’s formation, his opportunity for input into governance in the last seven years has been marginal if not zero. He can therefore rightly claim that being elected President in 2023 will provide him the first opportunity to do for Nigeria the transformational foundation-laying he did for Lagos between 1999 and 2007.

    If she has a President who can help tap and actualize her latent economic potential as well as release the trapped energies of her people for accelerated development, the basis would be laid for the drastic minimization of the role and influence of primordial factors like ethnicity, religion, and region in the country’s politics. There will no longer be the large army of the deprived and impoverished to be recruited as bandits and terrorists. Beyond all this, however, we must never forget the late Dr. Bala Usman’s immortal admonition that we must always be wary of those who will always seek to manipulate religion for self-seeking political and economic reasons rather than love for God or Nigerians.

  • Nigeria league is dead

    Nigeria league is dead

    Permit me, dear reader, to sustain my focus on the country’s domestic leagues which ought to serve as the nurseries to discover raw talents abound the 774 Local Government Areas (LGAs) but aren’t. We have won several gold medals at the cadet levels, making the country one of the world powers in soccer, only if we understood the essence of creating age-grade competitions by the game’s owners FIFA in Zurich. Nigeria has been kings of the U-17 World Cup in 1985, 1993, 2007, 2013, and 2015. Yet, we have been unable to easily play in the quarter-finals of the senior World Cup, irrespective of the quality of coaches who took us to those cadet Mundial. Forgive me if I don’t celebrate any kind of age-grade feats Nigeria has recorded to date.

    Anyone who thinks that the Nigerian coaches who led the Golden Eaglets to win the World Cups in those times did anything fantastic on the boys in those years, should perish that assumption. Those boys were picked from across the country and had contrasting styles. They were driven to glory by the average Nigerian’s zeal to always seize such platforms to excel. Those glorious groups at the Under-17 level learned the game by watching their idols on television. They were products of the functional school systems of yore. Not the dysfunctional systems we have today. I don’t want to question their ages. Rather, I will look at the positives – part of which shows that the factory for discovering talents still abound. What is missing is an effective policing of all the mechanics around the game.

    Those World Cup-winning lads are lost largely because there wasn’t any coordination between the time they became heroes and now. Most of them knew that they had taken a chance on the system and needed their freedom. Had we taken the pains to comb the 774 LGAs, we would have discovered dozens of players to fill the gap created by the fleeing few. It is that lacuna that has opened the window of flooding our prestigious Super Eagles with foreign-born Nigerians.

    True, they have the right to play for their fatherland, but the backlash is those kicking all kinds of round objects in the 774 LGAs have been shut now. It hurts that age-grade players are being taken from the foreign-born legions, making it imperative to ask what has happened to the domestic game? One word. The league is dead. Those papering the cancerous sore have forgotten that the stench from the sore is killing everyone. No country judges her development in soccer by the number of foreign-based players in their national teams. Those countries that have foreign-based players in their soccer squads can easily trace their growth through the ranks of the football cycles.

    These foreign-born Nigerians are products of recent feats by European countries in age-grade competitions largely because those countries have the domestic leagues having cadet teams that serve as supply lines to churn out younger lads to replace their ageing stars or those who have lost form. This is the missing link in the Nigeria league. Sadly, those characters running the game here think otherwise and it is unfortunate.

    Were our local clubs’ cadets involved in weekly matches as we find in Europe, we wouldn’t have found ourselves in this quagmire. Many of the players would have come from the leagues, giving such clubs the basis to seek good revenue from clubs eager to sign them. Not those shylock European agents who cheat of the naive players and at other times sign into slavery playing for clubs whose leagues are nothing but novelties. The European countries where these boys are being lured to play for Nigeria couldn’t be bothered by our lazy approach to football development knowing that they have a factory that has surpluses waiting to fill the void created by such exits. In fact, these countries are happy to let those lads go, except for players whose positions their nationals can’t fill.

    The advantage of having our age-grade team players in the domestic league is that it helps in gathering players’ data early. This further reduces cases of age cheats caused by greedy parents who are involved in the falsification of such vital documents. Only parents can confirm their wards’ ages, unfortunately. If our clubs have age-grade teams from ages 5 to 16, it would be easy to detect cheats through the measures ingrained in the systems. It is laughable that in the 21st Century, we still allow kids playing for Nigeria’s cadet teams to use sworn affidavits as evidence of their ages.

    It is exciting to note the efforts being made by the sports minister Sunday Dare to reinvent the principal’s Cup competition. However, the organisers must be alert in clearing players to the competition. they should insist on seeing the players’ academic records. They should interrogate such records by interacting with the pupils in such schools. Any student should know the school’s star players including his mates in class.

    If the revamped Principal’s Cup is free of sharp practices, it would attract the interest of the corporate world. No investor would identify its goods and service in a system fraught with fraud and controversies. Investors love to see value in their investments. The beauty of investors’ interests in business is that it has a spiral effect once the business community identifies with novel ideals they don’t relent. Instead, they find ways to key into various aspects of the project.

    This writer identifies with the honourable Minister of Information and Culture, Lai Mohammed’s appeal sometime in the past to the corporate world in Nigeria to do exactly what they do with sports in other climes like ours. That indeed is the only way to make the sports industry as attractive as what we find in the western world. In such regions, sports is a business, not a novelty. Where this writer differs from the honourable minister is that his plea ought to have been targeted at the nurseries where these investors have their kids and relations. Interestingly, the future of any nation rests with its youth and how effectively they are engaged with works that would easily take them out of crime and other social vices. Most of the talents discovered could be exposed through the domestic leagues for the exceptional ones.

    Dear league organisers, no human being’s blood should be shed on the altar of going to watch a game to drive away boredom or to watch one’s favourite teams, for those who live far away from their villages and states of origin. Those who have chosen to cast an indulgent eye on the show of shame in the cities of carnage and bestial conduct should be wary of the kind of stories being told by those supporters who were not in the stadium. I speak of the likely reprisal attacks on those home teams’ fans who take delight in causing chaos, knowing that the security architecture in match venues can easily be breached.

    The biggest money-spinner for most leagues in the world that are worth their welcome is the quality of their television coverage. If the league organisers don’t understand my point, they need to Google the details on how much the big five leagues in the world earn from television rights for enlightenment. We are tired of watching league matches that never end on the pitch but contraptions done after the competition has gone a long haul. A league without credible medical care or should I say a reliable health insurance policy for the coaches, players, officials and now the fans are known to everyone should not be allowed to begin. If the competition begins without providing for these basics, then such match venues would be veritable death stables. The welfare of participants at league venues is paramount.

    The Nigerian league should never be allowed to begin with the myriad of problems starting with the payment of players’ coaches’ and officials’ wages and other entitlements. It is very easy to achieve if the organisers are sincere about it.

  • Laws, interpretations and morals

    Laws, interpretations and morals

    It is a sociological  fact that the laws of societies originate from the customs , norms and traditions of such entities  . Either   with   religions or political systems there  are clear sanctions for violations of such laws . In nations at large and in modern times  , courts adjudicate in civil , criminal and international matters to interprete the laws and apply   penalties for constitutional  breaches  according to the statutes  of  the applicable law . I look  at the topic of today with the spectacles  of two  wise cracks . The first is that the ‘ mills  of justice may grind slowly but they grind exceedingly well ‘ . The second is that ‘  power corrupts but absolute power corrupts absolutely ‘

    Two judgements or constitutional interpretations led to today’s  topic of discussion . Another event of a religious  tone  helped  to  beef  the content of discussion  and a new  law  in the offing to prevent frivolous  interpretation of human rights,  in a nation known for championing such rights ,  provide the guiding lights for our discussion .Let  me now reveal these  catalysts of our topic .

    In  the US ,  purportedly  ‘  God’s   own  country ‘ and whose motto is ‘ In  God  we trust ‘  the Supreme Court of the US – SCOTUS  –  overturned an  abortion law  and  right   to  it  that  had been in existence    federally  for 50  years by ruling that it was based on a constitutional  right that does not exist in the constitution .In  Nigeria  the Supreme Court ruled  that the Nigerian president cannot approbate and reprobate on a bill  that he had given  assent to and does not have the power to tell  the National Assembly what  laws to   make because law making is out of his constitutional   powers . At  the Vatican  in Rome , Italy ,   the Catholic Pope  gave  communion to the US Speaker of the House  of Representatives who  has been banned by the Catholic Church  in the US because as a Catholic  she supports the right to abortion which is against the Catholic Church doctrine or religious laws . In  Britain Parliament  is being prepared to make a law that  would  limit wild interpretations of human rights in the light of the stoppage of the new government   policy  of transferring illegal  migrants to Rwanda which was declared illegal  by the International Court on Human Rights  -ICHR – to which the UK is a signatory  . Undoubtedly  ,  all  these issues revolve around interpretations of laws and rights in the society and especially in the political  system and should be  judged by the well  known and tested traditions , norms and culture  of    such  societies  in  their various  locations and contexts .

    We  start with US where the Roe vs Wade decision  in 1973  gave abortion rights to women federally across the US . The SCOTUS has not cancelled abortion rights as is being wrongly peddled by the US President and Speaker but  it has ruled that state legislatures have the power and not  the courts to make legislation  to  allow  ,  ban or  regulate  abortion .  The  judgement  asked women to  try and lobby and vote to power in their various state legislature representatives who  can pursue  their choice on abortion ,  either for or against . Those  against  the overturning of the abortion rights law have been  calling  for the heads of the  majority  Conservative judges in the SCOTUS while  religious groups especially  the Catholic Church   are   thanking God  for the overturning of the abortion rights law .

    It  is in this light  that  we look at the giving of communion to the Speaker by the Pope  in the Vatican when   the US Catholic Church  had   given  instructions not  to give communion to the Speaker Nancy Pelosi because  she is Catholic  but is a powerful  supporter of abortion which  is against the Church’s moral  laws .Even the circumstances  surrounding   the giving of communion to Pelosi are  dubious and showcase a misuse of power . Pelosi  was said to be on vacation in Italy , a private issue but must have been given communion because of her political status as Speaker in the US Congress  in spite  of the ban at   home in the US . The  Pope himself  has been  accused of giving a wrong signal on abortion by giving the communion to Pelosi in spite of the ban on her by the US Catholic Church . Worse  still ,  the Pope recently ,  according to reports ,  bypassed the US  bishop  who sanctioned Pelosi  on abortion and appointed as Cardinal  ,  another junior   bishop  from the US   who  was being ordained  as Cardinal at   the ceremony in  which Pelosi  received communion from the Pope . Critics  have made  bitter  comments on the receipt of Communion by Pelosi   and  it remains  to be seen how the Pope too will extricate himself from the  smear  of condoning  US  powerful US politicians ,  in this case both the US president and the Speaker of the lower house , who  are both Catholics  but are flouting the Church’s  moral  rules on abortion publicly and with  such   impunity .

    In  Nigeria,  the Supreme Court ruling against the President and his Attorney General on section 84/12  in the new Electoral Act   simply affirms the separation of  powers inherent in the Nigerian constitution. Which is that  it is the duty of the legislature  to  make  laws and not that of the presidency .Having assented to the Electoral Act  it is not the duty of the president to send it back for an amendment as making laws is the duty of the legislature according to the Nigerian constitution . This  is constitutionalism  at  work and one can  be proud of the  Nigerian  Supreme court on this .The  presidency too should  have the guts to take the National Assembly  to Court up to the Supreme Court when it comes to approval  of the budget where  the legislature is infamous for  padding the budget to suit its constituencies  project and thus ballooning expenditure it is expected to vet and prune  , before returning it to the presidency for implementation . That would be a great day too for constitutionalism and separation of powers in Nigeria .

    We  end up with Britain’s battle with immigration and on which  it has evolved a Rwandan solution now being thwarted by  the International Court on Human Rights –  ICHR –  based in Strasboug  . I called the UK a rogue  state for flouting International  law on the matter last week  but  the government is making amends . It  is planning to go to Parliament  to make laws  that will make the rulings of the British Supreme Court  supreme over that of any International Court . In Britain   traditionally  Parliament is supreme in making laws and if such laws are in place the British Supreme Court rulings will give the government full powers  locally   and internationally , to implement its policies like the one in Rwanda stalled by the  ICHR . According to the UK  Deputy  PM  the new law called ‘ The Bill of Rights ‘ will  strengthen ‘ our British  tradition of freedom while injecting  a healthy dose of common sense into the system’ He  reportedly told Parliament that the new law is to ‘ rein in elastic interpretations of human rights  that have developed through court rulings without meaningful democratic  oversight by the House  of Commons . ‘ It  is a way  of telling the international community that Britain will  go on with its Rwanda solution because it is only a sovereign state  that knows where the shoe pinches on migration . And  that on human  rights the saying is apt that   its  freedom ends where Britain’s  nose  and  sovereignty  begin . That  is vintage moral and  legalistic  pragmatism . It  has my admiration , albeit grudgingly .

  • Tonto Dikeh heads to Government House

    Tonto Dikeh heads to Government House

    Controversial Nollywood actress and social media influencer, Tonto Dikeh, is now a politician and Sentry can authoritatively tell you that she is not starting small at all. As a matter of fact, she is the deputy governorship candidate of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) in the forthcoming 2023 general election in Rivers State.

    Tonte Ibraye, ADC governorship candidate in the state, reportedly called on Dikeh to come and join his ticket as his running mate after considering a lot of other options available to the party across the state. He announced Dikeh’s candidacy yesterday in a statement posted on his verified Facebook page.

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    The statement reads: “After series of consultations with leaders of our party, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) in Rivers State and the national level, I’m glad to announce Ambassador Tonto Dikeh as my running mate for the 2023 gubernatorial election in Rivers State.

    “We are pleased to welcome her to the #RiversRescueMission2023 as we strive to improve the standard of living for everyone in our dear Rivers State.” So, when next you come across the controversial thespian anywhere, it may not be out of place for you to address her as ‘Her Excellency in waiting.’

    For those wondering if this is some comedy outing, it isn’t. This is for real, not just some Nollywood actress pretending to be a politician.