Category: Wednesday

  • 2023, religion and the flight of reason

    2023, religion and the flight of reason

    If the 2023 presidential election were to be held tomorrow these are the issues that would determine the outcome: religion, ethnicity, hate speech, fake news, among others. They would most likely still be casting a long shadow in six months when actual polling would happen.

    Of the lot, religion stands out at this moment for the heat it has generated. Many had hoped the election would be about critical issues confronting the country, how well the government has handled them, and what the candidates are offering to improve the situation.

    It is fascinating watching how even those who argue that the contest should be a referendum on the performance of Muhammadu Buhari’s All Progressives Congress (APC) administration, are orchestrating the politics of piety hoping it becomes a winning formula.

    The ruling party stirred controversy with the Muslim-Muslim ticket that it has consistently argued is only a strategy to win votes, rather than an assault on the Christian faith and its interests. But if it hoped it’s action would be viewed in the same light as the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) picking another Northerner to succeed one who would have served eight years in office, it was mistaken.

    Those who think APC made error are not content to wait till February 2023 to punish it for its miscalculation. Rather, they have whipped up this huge brouhaha to discredit the Bola Tinubu-Kashim Shettima ticket.

    Especially shocking is the very frontal intervention of certain Christian leaders in the debate. Even before the selection was made, they had started making ominous threats. Others have since followed up with ecclesiastical edicts to their followers on who to vote for and who not to support.

    If, indeed, APC has made a historical error that supposedly hurts one religion’s interests, the way some of these leaders have gone about their opposition may well turn out to be a grievous mistake on the same level. To put it delicately, many haven’t acted with wisdom.

    They have carried on as though the voting population are entirely Christians who will be mobilised to defeat those who have defied them. But one of the unintended consequences of their hysteria is to create a them-versus-us atmosphere.

    Just as they can mobilise their followers, Muslims across the divide can do the same – creating a dangerous contest for religious supremacy in an already unstable polity. Who needs that given the history of sectarian conflict in parts of the country?

    The clerics stoking the fires with their fiery sermons need to reflect on the likely outcome of their adventure, especially when the obedience (apologies to Peter Obi supporters) of their followers isn’t guaranteed.

    Familiarity with the Scriptures shows that human beings don’t even obey God all the time. In fact, the vast majority daily fall over themselves to disobey the Almighty. That’s why at every point in time there are more sinners than saints.

    A little humility would help these excitable clerics realise that despite their huffing and puffing, there’s no guarantee all Christians would vote for candidates of their faith, or Muslims only for those who share their beliefs.

    Indeed, if polling units were erected next to the pulpit in some worship centres, the leaders would be astonished to discover how their faithful followers have voted.

    If the current raging over faith balance is about exercising influence, then we need to learn from the Americans whose presidential system of government we copied.

    In the US, it’s often said that the president’s closest adviser is his spouse. She’s the one he sees last each day and first thing in the morning. After supposedly powerful courtiers might have made their case in the office, she has the ability to turn their counsel upside down on the pillow next to him.

    That country’s history is replete with famous and very influential First Ladies – from Eleanor Roosevelt, to the likes of Rosalynn Carter, Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama. 

    Given that her husband, Franklin, lost use of his legs due to paralytic illness, Eleanor began giving public speeches and appearing at campaign events on his behalf. Mrs. Carter was just as controversial as she sat in on Cabinet meetings and also served as an envoy abroad.

    When Bill Clinton wanted to launch a tenure-defining healthcare initiative in his first term, it was his wife Hillary he asked to head the committee to push its passage through Congress. She was also actively involved in vetting candidates for political appointments.

    This isn’t to advocate an intrusive First Ladyship in Nigeria given the constitutional ambiguity over the role. However, if the current hyperventilation over the fact that the APC’s presidential running mate is a Muslim like his principal is about exercising influence and power, we must not dismiss as irrelevant the fact that Tinubu’s wife, is a pastor. What could be more powerful for Christians than having one of their own in the bedroom of the president?

    Under our constitution, the Vice President is powerful simply because he automatically takes over if the incumbent dies in office. Beyond that, he’s only as relevant as his boss wants him to be. In the Fourth Republic we’ve seen a couple reduced to just drinking tea and opening conferences after falling out with the president.

    Playing on fear and ignorance, some have argued that the same-faith ticket is a vehicle for Islamisation of the country. But those who seek comfort in the Muslim-Christian ticket should explain how it furthers their religion’s interest when the presidential candidate is from a different faith.

    If this is truly about contending for one’s faith, then we should ask how balancing a political ticket enhances the cause of the gospel. In all the parties you won’t find anything beyond hazy commitments to upholding the right of citizens to freedom of worship.

    In reality, three of the most notable presidential candidates are Muslim. Their antecedents should provide comfort or discomfiture for those who are worried about any sort of religious conspiracy. Some have pointed out that Tinubu who some now wish to ascribe some sort of evil agenda to hasn’t forced his wife to abandon her faith. The same cannot be said of his rival Atiku, two of whose wives converted to Islam and took new names.

    In the long run, fanning the fires of religious hysteria doesn’t help those doing so. They stand in grave danger of getting burnt by the fallout.

    What is really tragic is how this electoral cycle is being wasted on identity politics when it should be about discussing inflation, unemployment, a ballooning population and its implications, healthcare, infrastructure, insecurity and so much more.

    Another thing to watch for is how fake news and hate speech are becoming factors as election day draws nearer. More and more, I am reminded of how former US President Donald Trump rose to power. At the onset the outlandish reality star and wheeler-dealer was viewed as something of a joke by Republican Party grandees.

    But he and his campaign showed that there was no truth they could not twist. As they casually deployed alternative facts they found a large pool of ignorant Americans ready to lap up anything spewed out by the charismatic politician. Many who ended up voting for him did so after gobbling up the falsehood he circulated, especially when it connected with their prejudices.

    In today’s Nigeria, social media has become a cesspool of lies which the ignorant lap up as fact. Videos are doctored, images are photoshopped to project victims in unflattering light. Quotes are attributed to individuals who never made such statements.

    Those who share these things are not concerned about consequences when the truth eventually comes to light. They are solely driven by hate, not a need to engage in reasonable discussion. You only need to venture into the comment sections to understand how deep the vein of ethnic and religious hatred is.

    Unfortunately, many pushing these things are young people who don’t want their notions and assumptions challenged. It’s their way or the highway. It is the mindset of the bully and dictator that has taken hold of those you would describe as Nigeria’s future. What a scary cocktail we’re toying with: intolerance and misbegotten religious zeal.

    • This article was originally published in The Nation on July 26, 2022.

  • Kole Omotoso@80; Nigeria Rescue, not more Rape!’ (2)

    Kole Omotoso@80; Nigeria Rescue, not more Rape!’ (2)

    HBDTYOU, Egbon Professor Kole Omotoso@80. Please enjoy your year of glorious 80-not-out and many more, Amen. You have written yourself into the literary history of the country, the continent and the globe. Much has already been written and read about you and your 1988’s ‘Just Before Dawn,’ outstanding faction which should be compulsory reading for all youth and the political class.

    Sadly, reading is not a hobby of the youth or even considered a necessity for most politicians. That political class is largely parasitic and has grown to contain most of the richest politicians in the world. In contrast, Nigeria and Nigerians have fallen to be counted among the poorest countries and citizens in the world. Nigerians, especially youth, even occupy real and watery graves in the Sahara, The Mediterranean, Sudan and now Kenya where we happily starve to a Godly death.

    Papa Mr Felix Adenaike, of Three Musketeers journalistic fame, lamented just on Sunday to me what we all lament constantly and know – that collectively, we have been writing about ills for 80 years, mainly corruption and incompetence of mind and body, and proffering easy obvious solutions like Faithfulness, Honesty and Loyalty but Nigeria is still gravely ill.

    It seems, in 2023, we are still ‘Just Before Dawn,’ no lessons learnt. The political forces of unquantifiable mega-greed consume the needs of others. Soon, Fellow Nigerians, our politicians will eat our very hands and feet, rendering us incapable of defending or feeding ourselves or even fleeing, easily overrun by new cold and hot war revivalists. This will signal the death of a country which politicians have refused to make the nation so many, like yourself, worked so hard to create.

    Can we ‘Kill corruption and save Nigeria’? Egbon Kole, Congratulations again. 80 Gbosas! Sadly ‘a luta continua, victoria e unascerta’. ‘The struggle continues, victory is uncertain!’

    Citizens’ tragic trauma on long overdue The Lagos-Ibadan Expressway, LIE Project, is no longer a disgrace but a monumental malignant disaster destabilising millions of citizens and costing billions daily in hours, fuel and productivity losses. It is a red flag demonstrating the arrogant political recklessness, greed, power-wielding, tiny-mindedness and ignorance of development strategies of the 7th, 8th and 9th NASS.

    Check past proposed vs NASS-approved LIE budgets for the period to see N20b, and even N135b, removed from the proposed Lagos-Ibadan Road. This delayed further the previously moribund LIE and kickstarted in 2013 by Jonathan into 2023. 11 years for 120km. Read what the politicians, including Saraki said and did. Our suffering is their fault.

    Army and police officers have been killed on Kara Bridge. Is that not sufficient reason, even if ordinary citizens do not matter? Why have the security services not stationed 50 riot police/soldiers on and under Kara Bridge in shifts and put barbed wire on the sides and reinforced the broken fence?

    On 29th April 2023, it took 4-11.15pm- a terrifying experience. Politicians arrogantly say ‘You must suffer for development success’? And no apology from the real manufactures of ‘National Malignant Misery’- the NASS. Calculate the negative impact on Nigeria’s EASE-OF-DOING-BUSINESS THROUGH TRANSPORT. So, our LIE suffering for the last 10 years is solely due to the NASS. NASS’s actions and attitude to its powers over the proposed budget are one more measure for Nigeria’s failure to thrive. It is part of the rape of Nigeria imposed by an uncaring leadership and contractor class.  You do not complete the central section of a road before doing the exits and entrances, or you create even more chaos just like at the Lagos end, today.   

    Nigeria has been robbed and raped repeatable by those who deviously, deliberately and devilishly set themselves over us as political and military rulers over the beautiful bride. Nigeria deserves rescue not more rape!

    PROBLEM PROJECTS FOR THE INCOMING GOVERNMENT NEEDING QUICK STARTS FOR LONG-TERM RESULTS:

    Nigerians must prevent NASS from ruining 2023 budget goals.

    ELECTRICITY: SOLAR POWER NIGERIA ASAP: not generator- powered street lighting. Sadly, more corruption.  The MD/CEO of the Rural Electrification Agency is accused of opening 37 accounts and awarding Consultancy projects of N2billion.

    The recurring questions include why, when in power, do too many Nigerians lose financial proportion of corruption? 1-10% in total, we may survive like other corrupt countries. Instead, we steal budget billions.

    Another question is why Nigeria’s financial watchdogs, including EFCC, ICPC, auditors and bank regulations do not raise red flags early enough when the first ‘funny practice’ starts. Why wait for N1b-100b to be stolen before ‘discovering’ humongous theft and the damage to the fabric and financial pillars of society? Surely, N2b diverted from REA will result in lives being lost by the absence of the electricity power that N2b could have provided. Imagine the money stolen and misappropriated from Nigerians and the beautiful bride, Nigeria, since 1961 under heads of state including Abacha and thousands of governors, senators, representatives, political appointees, and crooked or coerced civil servants and contractors.

    We owe our sad position in the world, too many deaths and too much misery and underachievement, and our refugees worldwide to the criminal and criminally negligence activities of many mentioned above. The trillions they stole would have built Nigeria for all of us, including them, with visitors pouring into Nigeria instead of our citizens fleeing Nigeria to fill other countries’ graves. Meanwhile, we execute thieves, many driven to crime by the deprivations of political theft.   

  • Nigerian domestic airlines and schedule integrity

    Nigerian domestic airlines and schedule integrity

    Boolekaja (Come-down-and-let’s-fight-it-out) was the nickname given to the rickety commercial buses of old, whose drivers and conductors were often in conflict with passengers over several issues, ranging from fares and change to damaged seats and changed routes. Quite often, the passengers’ anger would boil over and they would take it on the bus driver and his conductor, who were often discourteous and rude. It was not uncommon for a fight to break out between the parties.

    A number of Nigeria’s domestic airlines today operate more or less like the Boolekaja buses. This is especially true of the three airlines, which fly the Akure-Abuja and Akure-Lagos routes.                              

    The greatest problem with the airlines is lack of schedule integrity. They hardly keep to their advertised schedules as published online and as imprinted on passenger tickets and itineraries. More often than not, flights are delayed or cancelled, usually without informing passengers well in advance. In some cases passengers could be at the boarding lounge for hours, waiting to board as scheduled, only to learn that their flight had been cancelled. This happened to me at least on three occasions within the past one year. On one occasion, in Abuja, I had to intervene on behalf of the poor airline agents, some of whom did not know why exactly the flight in question was cancelled.

    My most recent experience was with two of the airlines, namely, Overland Airways and Airpeace. My Akure-Abuja return ticket was purchased from Overland Airways on April 24, 2023, for an outbound flight to Abuja on April 26 and a return flight to Akure on Saturday, April 29. It was the only airline available for the outbound flight on April 26. At 12:54pm the following day, I got an email from Overland, informing me that the “Akure-Abuja flight of April 26, 2023, at 11:40am has been rescheduled to 2:30pm due to operational reasons”. That was nearly a 24-hour notice, which I appreciated. Good enough, the rescheduled flight worked, although only after nearly a one-hour delay.

    I should have taken the delays on the outbound flight as a proper omen for more delays to come. However, what came next was worse than a delay. As early as 8:51am on April 28, I began to receive messages from Overland, informing me that my “Abuja-Akure flight of April 29, 2023, at 10:15am has been cancelled due to operational reasons”. I received the same message four times by email and at least once by SMS.

    Nevertheless, I still applaud Overland Airways for the persistent effort to communicate with its passengers. I also admire  the prompt positive response to my request to keep my ticket open until further notice.

    Since I could not find another flight to Akure on Saturday, April 29, I decided to leave Abuja on Sunday, April 30, because I must be at Akure on May 1. Unfortunately, however, Overland had no flight to Akure on Saturday or even Sunday, or so I was told by its agents. I ended up purchasing two different tickets, Abuja-Lagos on Sunday, April 30, and Lagos-Akure, May 1, both on Airpeace. Both turned out to be bad choices.

    At 6:31pm on April 29, I got a message from Airpeace that the Abuja-Lagos flight, originally scheduled for 2:10pm on April 30 had been rescheduled to 5:20pm. No reason was given for the change. By 10:37pm, the same day, another message came from Airpeace, notifying me of a change in schedule from 5:20pm to 7:20pm. Reason? “Technical issues on operating aircraft”. Then came the mother of all changes at 1:15am on April 30, indicating that the same flight has again been rescheduled from 7:20pm to 7:00pm for the same “technical issues”. Now, you would think that’s a gain of 20 minutes for the passengers. Right? Wrooong!

    By 5:00pm, I was at the Airpeace counter at the airport to check in my luggage and obtain my boarding pass. I was among the early birds.  I then went upstairs to the Protocol Lounge, waiting for a boarding announcement by 6:30pm for the 7:00pm flight. No such activity took place until about 8:00pm. We finally took off around 8:20pm and landed in Lagos about an hour later.

    As I wondered about the several changes to the Abuja-Lagos flight, the size of the aircraft and the nearly 200 passengers on board gave me an idea. On that day, Airpeace advertised at least four flights to Lagos, the last one being the 7:00pm flight. It occurred to me that the airline simply  moved its passengers into a single end-of-the-day flight, because they did not have enough passengers for each of the three other flights. Alternatively, they might indeed have experienced technical issues with their aircraft.

    However, my experience with the Lagos-Akure flight the following day, May 1, led me to suspect  that there probably were not technical issues after all. On April 28, I received a message from Airpeace at 4:05pm that the Lagos-Akure flight originally scheduled for 10:50am had been rescheduled for 7:00am. Accordingly, I slept early and set my alarm for 4:30am. When I woke up that early, I noticed that another message sent at 12:35am was waiting for me from Airpeace. The 7:00am flight had been moved to 1:00pm!

    Oh, well. What to do? Shower and get ready for the day. Who knows, another message might soon come. Since none came, I headed for the airport. By 11:00am, I was already at the Airpeace counter to check in. This time around, I only stayed in the Lounge for about 2 hours as boarding was called about 1:14pm. We took off at 1:28pm and landed at Akure at 2:06pm.

    Incidentally, just a week earlier, Jumoke Oduwole, Executive Secretary of the Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council, had a bitter experience with Airpeace on its Akure-Lagos flight. Here’s how she described it: “On Saturday, April 22, 2023, two Airpeace tickets were purchased to return to Lagos from Akure with a departure time of 3:30pm … On Tuesday, April 25, 2023, a schedule change notification was sent informing me of an earlier departure time from 3:30pm to 12:40pm. A subsequent notification was sent at 2:37am today, April 28, 2023, informing me of a further time change from 12:40pm to 8:30am”. She abandoned her programme in Omuo-Ekiti but missed the flight because of the deplorable road condition, especially from Iju to Akure airport. She had no option than to embark on a 5-hour road journey from Akure to Lagos in order to make a 5pm meeting in Lagos.

    This topic will be explored further next week.

  • Kill Water Bill! Nigeria rescue, not more Rape!

    Kill Water Bill! Nigeria rescue, not more Rape!

    WATER RESOURCES BILL WARNING: ASSEMBLY MEMBERS BEWARE! This is the exact time that the obnoxious National Water Resources Bill, rejected in 2018 and 2020, will be represented or smuggled in surreptitiously at this end-stage 9th or early 10th Assembly using the infamous ‘Saraki Technique’ – get political things done quickly during the horse-trading, euphoria, depression and confusion of the ‘Assembly 9 to 10 Transition.’ Watch out. It could be placed in the middle of a long list or big pile of ‘Let us Quickly finish our work and Pass these Bills’ I beg you all, just to tidy up our exit or entry.’

    BE ALERT!! ACTIVELY STOP THE WATER RESOURCES BILL FROM SLIPPING THROUGH THE 9TH ASSEMBLY OR BEGINNING OF THE 10TH ASSEMBLY.

    Kara Bridge crash and fire. Five dead due probably to the impatience, impunity, lack of maintenance and overriding ‘might is right’ arrogance of commercial drivers, be they okada, danfo or heavier duty vehicles. Their lawlessness is now ‘legal.’ The citizens are now at fault and beg them for legal right of way.

    Meanwhile the road authorities have questionable education programmes and ignore the Okada Epidemic which degenerates frequently into an ‘Okada Lynching Gang’ even when the okada is wrong. Police should hold the zonal okada union officials responsible for the criminal and murderous activities of members and every okada rider needs to have a ‘Recognizable Serial Number’ for OKADA ID-entification during nefarious activities even as Nigeria is on the descent into total anarchy.

     How do we re-teach humane, respectful dealings between citizens to citizens ready to fight a friend to the death for N50 while billions are stolen and misappropriated by the people they praise? A job for the National Orientation Agency?   

    Nigeria has been described as many things, including ‘The Beautiful Bride’ with a huge attractive annually renewable dowry for her citizens but which funds, stolen and secretly criminally plea-bargained away annually in hundreds of billions, are sequestered by pariah politicians, boa constrictor contractors, corrupt civil servants and avaricious agencies of gluttonous government leaving the masses suffering, underachieving, dying or dead from the theft of the masses’ money. 

    The evidence of abuse of the beautiful bride called Nigeria is sadly all around us, seen in children’s eyes. We are suffering the abuse constantly, which is why so many travel for medical care, every business has a generator and alternative water supply, there are 20+million Nigerians living in political and economic refugee status abroad and 100+millions, by living below the poverty line shaming shamelessly parasitic politicians.

    Exam question: Why is Nigeria, our beautiful bride, nearly or actually last in all positive Sustainable Developmental Goals and other indices, and nearly or actually first in bad moral and other indices in world ranking? Answer: Corruption – financial and by negative antipeople action and inaction. 

    Nigeria deserves rescue not more rape!

    PROBLEM PROJECTS FOR THE INCOMING GOVERNMENT NEEDING QUICK STARTS FOR LONG TERM RESULTS:

    ENFORCING OUR PLEDGE of Justice, Faithfulness, Loyalty, Honesty, not rape and plunder! We cannot wait for government officials to steal 100b or the injustice of four years of ‘UnFederal Character.’ We demand quick discovery and public plea-bargaining if any at all.   

    COST OF GOVERNANCE: Operation Economic Rescue…The government must lead and re-educate Nigeria’s politicians on reducing financial expectations and engineer a reduction in total remuneration by 75% for the Federal Executive Council and National Assembly. The Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC) must downsize the political budget because of our crippling debts and put politicians on upper rungs of the civil service structure levels 15,16,17, 18, 19 and remove the political super-Salaries And Perks and Pensions- ‘SAPPing’ Nigeria dry and Government must cancel the curse of budgetary Constitutional Projects.

    FOREIGN RESERVES: Increase targets and expectations… Our foreign reserves should have been $100-200b+ considering our huge dollar earnings and population. Before we boast of our now $36b = $0.2b/1m population we should be reminded that the apartheid ravaged South Africa has $60b foreign reserves for 59m =$1b/1million citizens, Even Ghana has $9+b for 32m =$0.3 b/1m citizens, more than Nigeria.  Our Singapore sister in post-colonial economic need at independence now has $281b for 5+m citizens= $5.5b/1m citizens. So, Nigeria is in a weaker foreign reserve position than our co-colonial survivor Ghana. 

    TAKE INTEREST IN NIGERIANS ABROAD: ‘Make Nigeria great again’…. Every time there is a conflict, we are surprised at the number of our fellow Nigerian citizens engulfed. South Africa, Ukraine, Turkey, Libya, Sudan, Ghana, desperate illegal economic and social migrants crossing the Sahara with drownings around Lampedusa. Anywhere there is suffering to be experienced, Nigerians seem to be first to be there for that suffering appears better than the suffering at home inflicted by a generation of gluttonous political leadership depriving citizens of dignity, hope and happiness on home soil and everything needed for a decent living with social opportunities and even denying some the right to life with wrongful incarceration and death.

    DEBT REDUCTION STRATEGIES: We have a huge debt burden around N77trillion or roughly N400,000, around the neck of every Nigerian.

    RESTORE NAIRA VALUE AND DIGNITY: Wrestle the black market from the black marketers who thrive on a hugely weakened dollar-naira exchange rate which operates on the philosophy of ‘you work for your money and we will play with your money by halving its dollar value whenever we feel.’ 

    ELECTRICITY: SOLAR POWER THE CITIZENS OF NIGERIA ASAP: not generator-powered street lighting.     

  • Kole Omotoso joins the octogenarian club

    Kole Omotoso joins the octogenarian club

    About eight years ago or so, Kole and I were returning from Adekunle Ajasin University at Akungba-Akoko, where we were engaged in different tasks. He headed the Department of English, while I was Director of the Teaching and Learning Centre I was invited to establish there in 2013. It was a lend-us-your-experience assignment for each of us but we took it seriously. We normally commuted between Akure and Akungba but would stay over at Akungba for 2 or more days, depending on our load of work and the tasks to be accomplished.

    On that occasion, we were about half-way on our way back to Akure, when we ran into a traffic jam at the roadside market in Emure-Ile. As usual on Nigerian roads, a two-lane (face-me-I-face-you) road had become four or more lanes. Traffic was more or less at a standstill as market women and their customers meandered through vehicles on the already congested roadway. One commercial bus driver nearly hit our car as he tried to double-cross us but for our alert driver who maneuvered his way out. As we drew parallel with the driver, Kole asked him, “Ki lo nwa yi?” Instead of a simple apology, the driver turned spiritual: “Ki Olorun gba wa ni o”. Visibly angry at the response, Kole muttered to no one in particular, “Ki lo kan Olorun l’oro yi bayi”.

    I draw from the preceding paragraphs two of several post-retirement experiences Kole and I shared. One was the Akungba experience, which gave us deep insight into the state of university education in the country-the declining quality of scholarship and research; the inadequacy of infrastructure; and the lack of appropriate teaching tools, including books and teaching technologies. The other experience, which we both had shared for a long time, is non-alignment with any religion of the Book. Kole’s reaction to the invocation of God by the wayward driver comes from this non-alignment.

    However, we both value and seek to uphold Yoruba culture and its modes of expression and reproduction, particularly language and the vast odu Ifa. In fact, Kole once proposed a Yoruba Language Institute and was working on it before returning to South Africa.

    We also shared other experiences in our post-retirement years. We were both consultants to the Ondo state government on the invitation of Dr Olusegun Mimiko, Governor of Ondo State (2009-2017). After Akungba and the consultancy, Kole went on to head the English Department at the then young Elizade University, while I served on the Governing Council, and later Board of Trustees, of the same institution. Simultaneously with these activities, we also were columnists for different newspapers.

    Straddling these activities and experiences was the three-some monthly discussion lunch with our mutual friend, Professor Ladipo Adamolekun, usually at Sunview Hotel or sometimes at Hotel Continental. At other times, one of us would host the lunch at home. This last experience was the most rewarding of all, because it afforded us the opportunities to reminisce about our varied professional experiences, the state of the nation, and the situation of our universities. On one occasion, Ladi also shared with us his own observations during his short post-retirement stint at the Federal University of Technology at Akure.

    On several occasions we bounced off our observations against our experiences at the University of Ife, where the three of us taught during the university’s prime time in the seventies and eighties. Incidentally, all three of us left Nigeria in the late eighties. Ladi left for the World Bank, while I left on a Senior Fulbright Fellowship to the University of Wisconsin. I returned briefly to Nigeria on a research grant and later took up a permanent appointment at Temple University in Philadelphia. On his part, Kole fled to South Africa over possible persecution for his acclaimed novel, Just Before Dawn, published in 1988, which irked elite, especially military, sensibilities at the time.

    In all my years with Kole as a close friend, three traits of his character struck me deeply. One, Kole is incapable of capital accumulation, not  because he is lazy or because he cannot spend money wisely, but because he cannot engage in piling up wealth as a capitalist. In other words, he makes only the money he needs to support himself and his family. If there is some excess beyond his immediate needs, he would enrich his bookshelves instead of his shoe rack and then give the rest to the needy.

    He once told me of his experience when he bought his first car. It was a Volkswagen Beetle, which he drove to visit his uncle. On sighting the car, his uncle upbraided him for buying Ajapa, the local term for VW Beetle. He swallowed the censure but decided never to visit the uncle again! He did’t want any uncle to push him to spend beyond his means.

    The second trait is Kole’s sense of social justice. For him, injustice is not limited to bondage as in slavery, forced labour, and sex trafficking. For him, most boundaries create prejudices, which then reinforce injustice. To demonstrate his dislike for boundaries, Kole once insisted on his house-help sitting at table to eat with the family! That’s why, in his writings, he explores the boundaries created by inter-racial, inter-generational, interethnic, and inter-national, marriages, some of which he himself experienced.

    But above all, the third trait is Kole’s humanity. A compassionate, sympathetic, and generous disposition not only permeates his behaviour; it also leads him to expect reciprocity. That’s why the central theme in his writings is questioning the humanity of African leaders and intellectuals, who make a wasteland of their states, by failing to create the conditions for unity, social justice, equity, and the socioeconomic development on the continent. This is the question underlying Kole’s scathing revelations of the trials, tribulations, and failings of the Nigerian state in his acclaimed novel, Just Before Dawn. However, those whose leadership and judgement were questioned over the riots, uprisings, violence, coup d’etats, and corruption that have held Nigeria back for nearly a century all but asked for the author’s head.

    The situation of the country has hardly improved beyond the description in Just Before Dawn, leading some Nigerians today to go back to the novel in order to better understand why we are still where we are today.

    Kole, as you turned 80 on April 21, 2023, be rest assured that you successfully pricked the conscience of your nation with Just Before Dawn. Once more, Ladi and I are happy to welcome you to the club of octogenarians.

  • 2023: When Trumpism happened to Nigeria

    2023: When Trumpism happened to Nigeria

    The just concluded general elections were truly revelatory about the condition of the Nigerian nation. Carefully papered over tensions between the three biggest ethnic groups broke forth like a raging fever – no thanks to the fact that each had a representative in the presidential race.

    Nothing exposes our divisions better than the contest for political power. When the main contenders are from the same ethnicity, these passions are not overly excited and lie dormant, waiting for the right conditions to manifest. For instance, in 1999 when the People Democratic Party’s (PDP) Olusegun Obasanjo ran against Olu Falae of the All People’s Party (APP), it was an all Southwest affair and the issues that dominated that campaign revolved around competence and the candidates’ democratic credentials.

    Four years ago when the All Progressives Congress’ (APC) Muhammadu Buhari faced off against Atiku Abubakar of PDP, they were both Northerners and more specially Fulani. The election was fought mainly as a referendum on the first four years of the incumbent, while the ruling party’s flagbearer spent his time on the hustings reminding voters of the failings of the government that preceded his.

    The results of this year’s polls have shown how voters rallied round candidates of their ethnicity. For instance, President-elect Bola Ahmed Tinubu, won comfortably in the Southwest – except for the shock defeat in Lagos State. Atiku prevailed in five of the six states that constitute his Northeast zone. But support for one’s own was most dramatic in the Southeast where in places Peter Obi of the Labour Party notched up close to 95% of votes cast.

    The fallout from the polls has seen rivalry between the two big Southern ethnic groups  Yoruba and Igbo – explode into unprecedented levels of biliousness. This is largely down to the take-no-prisoners approach of fanatical supporters who rallied under the ‘Obidients’ banner to drive Obi’s presidential aspirations. Their actions and utterances don’t factor in how future ties with other groups in a multiethnic federation may be affected.

    Nigeria has never seen anything of the sort: a group who would not accept any outcome other than that which aligns with their wishes. To their bitter disappointment, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) declared their bete noire Tinubu winner. With their options narrowed to the courts, they and others of the ‘Anyone But Tinubu’ persuasion have turned on the very judiciary which they hope will uphold their victory claim. We’ve seen very senior lawyers sympathetic to their cause question the ability of the Supreme Court to do justice.

    Some have gone further, churning up scenarios that would prevent their worst nightmare from becoming reality.

    It’s all too reminiscent of how former United States President Donald Trump refused to accept that he lost the 2020 elections to a rival he had derided as Sleepy Joe. Against every known convention and tradition of American politics, he refused to concede, pushed his Vice President Mike Pence not to ratify the results and stirred up his Make America Great Again (MAGA) followers into a riotous mob that infamously stormed the Capitol on January 6, 2021, in a last-ditch effort to prevent Congress from confirming the obvious.

    Central to the Trumpist ideology is denial. As if they tore a page out of Trump’s manual on insurrection, those who have refused to be reconciled to the reality that Tinubu won, are now doing what they can to stop him from being inaugurated. They argue that he should not take office because the results are being contested.

    But this is fallacious. The 2023 presidential polls are not the first to be contested. Buhari challenged Goodluck Jonathan’s victory in 2011, but that didn’t stop the latter from taking office. Atiku fought Buhari’s victory right up to the Supreme Court in 2019 while the victor continued in office.

    In one of their dream scenarios, an interim government should be installed while all legal issues are resolved. But our electoral laws and transition arrangements recognise that litigation is a critical part of the process. Hence provision is made for tribunals to resolve disputes that may arise. That suggests that whatever legal interventions have been made by the losers should not be seen as anything extraordinary as to warrant any other ad hoc arrangement.

    To be fair, talk about this contraption started long before the elections as part of a sinister tradition that runs back 30 years. In the early 90s as the world waited for the Ibrahim Babangida junta’s transition programme to reach its terminal point, agents of the military regime began publishing sponsored opinion articles in the media making the case for soldiers to continue in office. The presidential candidate of the defunct National Republican Convention (NRC), the late Bashir Tofa, penned one of those pieces.

    After the transition collapsed with the annulment of June 12, 1993 election results and the subsequent forced exit of Babangida, the military installed the Interim National Government (ING) headed by Chief Ernest Shonekan as a necessary child born of the constitutional crisis. That is the reference point of those casting around for a means to prevent the looming May 29, 2023 inauguration.

    The only problem today is the absence of a crisis. Each of the items listed in INEC’s schedule of activities this electoral cycle have been executed like clockwork – including the declaration of a president-elect. So, the commission’s job is done, while the judiciary picks up the baton to round things off.

    Some interests who want to promote the notion of crisis point to protests in Abuja. But the discerning can see that these are rent-a-protester events put together by political entrepreneurs. They are soulless, unconvincing and unsustainable and have since petered out. Outside of a small park in the capital where else in the country are these so-called protests taking place? Certainly not in Atiku’s Northeast or in Obi’s Southeast heartland, definitely not in Lagos where Labour Party pulled off a stunning upset on February 25.

    The interim arrangement can only be viable in the heads of those frustrated by the outcome of the polls. It’s biggest challenge lies in how or who will initiate it and who would constitute such a regime. The one and only time it was tried was in the military dispensation. In a democracy, there has to be a total breakdown of law and order and the incumbent government has to be perceived to have lost control, for such an idea to even be contemplated. Those conditions don’t exist in today’s Nigeria. In any case, what would be the motivation for Buhari to junk a transition that is nearly totally done and plunge the country into the great unknown called interim government?

    But this has been the pattern. Every time we approach elections, agent provocateurs are unleashed on the country sowing seeds of doubt as to whether they would actually happen. Right up to voting day in February many doubted whether the elections would hold.

    Nigeria is a country clearly addicted to adhocisms. We often begin journeys only to abandon them half way to try the next shiny object. We abandoned the British parliamentary model thinking the American presidential one was better for us. Today, after coming to terms with the huge cost of maintaining the current system there are those who now look back wistfully at the Westminster model.

    Even after copying the American model we have launched into a dizzying number of amendments of the young 1999 constitution. Since coming into operation in 1789, the US constitution has only been altered 27 times, but we keep chopping and changing – in vain pursuit of the idyll. But there’s no perfect system anywhere. We hold up the US as a model and are quick to ventilate our failings in their space, but even in that supposedly near perfect system there are secessionist movements in the states of Texas and California.

    Nigerians claim to want democracy but we really can’t abide it’s processes and outcomes. We deliberately sabotage the system when it doesn’t benefit us.

    Elections are an integral part of the democratic process. But surprisingly when the parties – especially APC – were preparing to pick their candidate, they appeared very leery of having an open contest. The buzzword was ‘consensus’ which was just another way of saying the leader simply picks his anointed. The plot was pushed till the very end when party chairman Abdullahi Adamu unsuccessfully tried to foist Senate President Ahmad Lawan as the consensus candidate. When the move backfired the party resorted to what it feared the most  – an open, democratic contest.

    Instead of shopping for ad hoc solutions that lead us nowhere, why don’t we continue with the system that has helped us transit successfully from one administration to another since 1999? Tearing down institutions and individuals in order to win a contest we never won in the first place can never deliver a pleasant or peaceful end.

  • Ban politicians’ medical tourism for five years (2)

    Ban politicians’ medical tourism for five years (2)

    Politicians should stop being infected with widespread ‘Grandiose Delusions’ disease common to almost all politicians in Nigeria. The japa syndrome is fulfilling the human right to travel abroad for better opportunities and better care of family, one’s primary human responsibility. 

    Japa-itis is not caused by the Nigerian doctor who is about to be punished for being stupid enough to get among the best grades in school and becoming a Nigerian doctor whether he or she trained in a poorly funded federal, state or private medical school. Japaitis is due firstly to the persistent political disease – the politicians’ 60-year decision to deliberately underfund the budget with ‘INADEQUATE HEALTH, EDUCATION and POWER BUDGETARY ALLOCATION’ which should be 12-20% to pay workers well and provide equipment and 24/7 power as found abroad for medical & educational & power facilities. Even that would not be enough to cover corruption level deficits.

     A close second cause of japaitis is the WORSENING NAIRA VALUE with no increase in Salaries & Perks and Pensions to anyone except the professional politician and padded budgets. This compounded the inability of doctors, nurses, technologists and IT workers and all others to meet personal professional goals and domestic commitments.

    A professional unable to feed and educate the family is a disgrace prone to mental issues like depression, aggression etc. Decisions must be made for family survival and progress, including work-related trips to self-respecting societies which themselves may have some problems as witnessed by strikes in the UK and France.

     Politicians-no-de-hear-word anywhere. This was compounded by a long history of a combination of poor, dirty working conditions, unstable remuneration, broken service conditions, irregular and fractionated salary and poor federal, state and LGA financial policies, poor policing and distribution of available funds, limited positions with attractive employment and job opportunities.

    All these are in the full control of the professional politician and not the professional in medicine.  

    Yes, there is japa syndrome and the only employed profession not japaing is the political class. Ask yourself why? The reason is known to every non-politician Nigerian. Politicians are the only ones with decent remuneration, i.e., taxpayers’ subsidies, in Nigeria. Go and look at the stupendous government ‘Political Salaries and Perks and Pensions’ and CONSTITUENCY PROJECT FUNDS to know why not.

     Politicians do not have two heads, two brains or even two bottoms and do not do twice or even HALF as much work as other government employees, doctors included, so why should politicians pay themselves so much more each month than do doctors, engineers, technologists, nurses, IT, agriculturists teachers and then punish doctors in particular for wanting to move to where they can get economic rights to support their families enshrined in the International Labour Organisation (ILO) Law.   Since these professionals cannot be paid such huge amounts, it requires politicians to cut their SAPPs down by 75% to a scale in the civil service scheme in the region of directors and permanent secretaries.

    The origin of the japa syndrome in medicine aka ‘brain drain’ is not a medical affair and medical doctors should not be identified as scapegoats to be punished for it. The diagnosis of the doctor as the cause of the ‘brain drain disease’ is wrong. The prescription of ‘five years imprisonment in Nigeria’ is wrong and the disease japaitis or brain drain will continue and worsen. Students work very hard to get into and even harder to stay in medical school. On graduation, most doctors work very hard, sometimes in conditions made impossible by the politician underfunding medical service delivery. Doctors who remain and new doctors should not be shackled in this way.

    We should criminalise non-provision of SDGS like 24/7 UNINTERRUPTED power SUPPLY which paralyses day and nighttime activities like the blood bank chain, operating theatre operations and laboratory services for a large part of every single working day in hospitals and clinics nationwide. It paralyses lecture and laboratory and research and reading time in the primary, secondary and tertiary education systems. We should criminalise the non-provision of refineries, an international disgrace and a huge financial burden on Nigerians.

    This after 62 years of independence and broken political promises. It is the politician who should be banned from travelling, once he takes any political office, for five years. He or she should be banned from owning or running a generator, and should use only the medical and educational and electricity facilities in his or her state for five years. Kia-kia our electricity, health and education problems will disappear.

    Justice Alaba Omolaye-Ajileye, retired from the Kogi State judiciary as an expert in electronic jurisprudence, an area pertinent to our current judicial journey with its fake, fraudulently altered and fickle tsunami of documentation, evidence, and even audiovisual fact, fiction and fantasy. These pollute social media and cyberspace content, some correct information or even comedy but turned by 419ers, hackers, unscrupulous bloggers and miss-informers. Fake news was initially the preserve of a criminally minded political class and the class of ‘spin doctors’ whose sole employment criterion was deception and disenfranchisement of the electorate and derailment of the election. As a result, no picture, story, video, document or report can be taken as ‘the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth’ without expert, critical, forensic IT analysis. ‘Congratulations,’ wishing Justice a successful retirement teaching tertiary judicial electronic regulation to the professionals of tomorrow.

  • Census without key demographics

    Census without key demographics

    For the avoidance of doubt, the 2023 Census … like previous censuses of 1991 and 2006, have no questions on religion and ethnicity”.

    —Director of Public Affairs Department, National Population Commission

    Population census is not just about the number of people in a country. Rather it should collect data on a vast range of demographics, such as ethnicity, religion, age, gender, income, employment, literacy or educational level, and other data as may be deemed necessary. These demographics are used not just for planning and governance purposes by the government collecting the data; they are also used for research by scholars and by R&D departments of companies and corporations at home and abroad; for feasibility studies for programmes, products, and projects; and for projections by international bodies, such as the World Bank and the United Nations.

    The National Population Commission (NPC) acknowledges the importance of these demographics: “A population and Housing Census (PHC) is of great relevance to the economic, political and socio-cultural planning of a country. Reliable and detailed data on the size, structure, distribution and socio-economic and demographic characteristics of a country’s population is required for policy intervention and monitoring of development goals”.

    Some of these demographics are more important in certain countries than in others. For example, in diverse African countries, ethnicity and religion are very important demographics, which affect people’s life chances. This is especially the case in Nigeria, the largest Black nation on earth, universally recognized for its multiethnic, multilingual, and multi-religious structure.

    Yet, for the third time in a row since the NPC was established by military decree in 1989, Nigeria is about to engage in a population census in which the key demographics of religion and ethnicity are not going to be collected. According to the NPC, “it was agreed that religion and ethnicity should not be included in the Census questionnaire in order to insulate the process and outcomes from unnecessary controversies”.

    To be fare to the Commission, its decision was based on precedents. There has hardly been any census taken in Nigeria since colonial times that was free of political rancour. Some census data were rejected outright, while others were contested in court. For example, the pre-independence census of 1952/53 was rejected for under-enumeration and non-simultaneity of the exercise (North, May-August 1952; West Dec-January 1952/53; and East May-August 1953).

    Similarly, the 1962 exercise was completely rejected for political reasons. The repeated exercise in 1963 was also rejected, having been contested before the Supreme Court, which ruled that it lacked jurisdiction over the administrative functions of the executive branch! Contrast that decision with the recent Naira redesign (termed Naira swap) policy on which the same Supreme Court ruled against the executive branch. It is tempting to conclude that even the Supreme Court played politics with the census in 1963; but you can draw your own conclusions.

    The 1973 census did not make the light of day to even be contested. As is the case with many high-powered commissions and committees, plenty of money was expended with no outcome. To lessen the attendant controversies, questions about religion and ethnicity were deleted from census questionnaires as from 1991. Yet, controversies still attended the 1991 and the 2006 figures.

    Now fast forward 17 years later to 2023 and see how you as a Nigerian would want these questions answered: (1) Will it not be useful to know how many distinct ethnic groups we have in the country for planning, governance, and research purposes? (2) Will it not be useful at federal, state, and local government levels to know how many people belong to what faith—Islam, Christianity or neither of the two, also for planning, governance, and research purposes?

    The truth, of course, is that we know that certain ethnic groups are concentrated in certain parts of the country. We also know that certain parts of the country are populated more by members of a certain faith than others. What we don’t know is the exact or at least approximate number in each case. We also don’t know exactly how mixed each state is in terms of ethnic and religious affiliation. Yet such data are useful for national and subnational planning and governance purposes.

    Recent events in our political development show that religion and ethnicity are critical factors in our political behaviour, in employment opportunities and patterns, and in the distribution of resources. There is a sense in which the federal character principle acknowledges these demographics, which are often masked by artificial creations, such as region, geographical zone, and state. Moreover, the whole idea of zoning positions, such as the presidency at the federal level and the governorship at the state level, is a further acknowledgement of these demographics.

    Even with its elimination from previous census data, religion still loomed large in the last presidential election. On the one hand, there were loud criticisms of a Muslim-Muslim ticket. On the other hand, voices were raised against overselling religion, leading to criticisms of overzealous Christian pastors, who converted church services into electoral tutorials. Similarly, the role of religion and ethnicity was evident in voting patterns across the country. We know, for example, that each of the four top presidential candidates got the majority of the votes within their ethnolinguistic group. We also know that some candidates exploited these identity markers more than others.

    One question that has hardly been asked is why the government decided way back in 1991 to stop collecting data about religion and ethnicity. How was it determined that these two demographics were the determinants of controversy over past censuses, rather than other factors, such as under-enumeration, over-enumeration, poor data collection, archaic methodology, and non-simultaneity of the exercise across the country? After all, these are the factors identified for the rejection or outright cancellation of past censuses.

    Fortunately, according to the NPC, technology is now being deployed such that “the 2023 Census will be Nigeria’s first Digital Census and will change how the Census is being conducted in Nigeria before now”. Now that the NPC has taken adequate measures to ensure efficient mapping of enumeration areas and adequate data collection, why still remain bound by the 1991 ban on religion and ethnicity, which, today, stare us in the face? For how long shall we continue to run away from collecting data about critical markers of our identities, while we continue to play identity politics?

  • We analyse differently

    We analyse differently

    It is often hard to be objective when we analyse political behaviour. This is especially true of elections in our own country, because we often invest our emotions, our hopes, and our expectations in such elections. Many Nigerians who have written about the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria have done so against the backdrop of their investment in a particular political party or its candidate. Some of the analysts are objectively subjective, while others are subjectively objective. Yet, others are downright subjective. Few are downright objective, especially when they analyse only statistical data, such as voter turnout, voting trends, and who gets what votes where. Regardless of the degree of objectivity or subjectivity, every analyst looks for data to justify their perspective and conclusion about the election. My literary “daughter”, Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie, is no exception. The above title is a parody of her “We remember differently” (Premium Times, November 23, 2012) in response to Chinua Achebe’s There Was a Country.

    Adichie supported Peter Obi of the Labour Party, while I supported Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress. I have known Tinubu for about 40 years in Nigeria and in the United States. As friends, we once had political differences and I wrote about them in 2012, when I was a regular columnist for The Punch newspaper. But we resolved our differences on his birthday in 2013, without even talking about them.

    Those differences cannot remove my appreciation for his efforts as Governor of Lagos State in growing the state’s Internally Generated Revenue from a paltry hundreds of millions to multiple billions of Naira monthly and in laying the foundation for the growth of the state to the status of the fifth largest economy in Africa. Nor could those differences obliterate my appreciation for his consistent progressive political philosophy ever since he stood for election over thirty years ago. Equally unforgettable is his nurturing of a political party and his role in the formation APC. Besides, he is the only one among the four major candidates, who has never switched parties or ideological orientation.

    These are the reasons I endorsed him beyond being a friend. I did so long before the election, and, after the election, I wrote about his path to victory, which the other candidates lacked (see How to become President of Nigeria, The Nation, March 8, 2023). I was not surprised that similar factors were outlined as underlying Tinubu’s victory by an American diplomat, Jonnie Carson, currently Executive Director of the United States Institute of Peace, who led the US-based National Democratic Institute (NDI) and the International Republican Institute (IRI) on an international observer mission to Nigeria for the 2023 presidential elections. He affirmed that Tinubu undoubtedly won the election based on three factors, namely, financial resources, a nation-wide organisation, and “the ground game” (see How Tinubu won presidential election—American Observer, Premium Times, April 6, 2023).

    I have no quarrel whatsoever with Adichie’s support for Peter Obi. She said she supported him because “Obi was different; he seemed honest and accessible”. She is also happy with “his vision of anti-corruption and self-sufficiency”. I have no quarrel with her reasons, either. However, I have three misgivings with her open letter to President Joe Biden, titled Nigeria’s Hollow Democracy, published in The Atlantic (April 6, 2023), the same day we learned about the reasons given for Tinubu’s victory by Carson, the American observer.

    My first misgiving is with her choice of arbiter, namely, President Biden, whose own election in 2020 was denied by his opponent, Donald Trump, the same way that Obi is now denying Tinubu’s election (see Obi: Trump of Africa, The Nation, April 5, 2023). Why report your country to a foreign nation, especially when  election denialism occurred in that country? It will be interesting to know if Adichie joined the Obidients at the equally futile protest march in Washington DC on April 4, 2023. Why shame your country so hard, because your candidate lost an election?

    Second, why did Adichie ignore the facts of the election altogether and rely on anecdotes relayed to her by relatives and friends in Nigeria as well as social media portrayals of the election? Did she ever follow the negative social media portrayals of presidential candidates and their campaigns in which videos were doctored and faked, while facts were distorted and falsified? What did she tell Obidients, who manufactured stories and spread outright untruths about Tinubu during the campaign? Or did she report them to anyone?

    Finally, did the following data not emerge also from the same presidential election? As many as 20 (12 APC and 8 PDP) state Governors were unable to win the election in their states for their respective presidential candidates. Did Adichie reflect on the fact that, on the one hand, Obi won Lagos State with over 582,000 votes? That’s Tinubu’s home state, where he was Governor for eight years. And what did Tinubu do? He pacified his supporters as soon as the results were released: “The fact that the APC narrowly lost Lagos State to another party should not be the reason for violence. As a democrat, you win some, you lose some. We must allow the process to continue unhindered across the country while we maintain peace and decorum” (The Guardian, February 27, 2023). On the other hand, did Adichie notice that Tinubu could only muster about 127,000 votes in all five Igbo states of the Southeast, where she, Obi, and most Obidients come from?

    It was not only Tinubu, who lost his state during the presidential election. The leader of his political party, APC, incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari, lost his state to the PDP. Similarly, the Chairman of the APC, Abdullahi Adamu and the Chairman of the party’s Presidential Campaign Council, Governor Simon Lalong, both lost their states to the LP. A careful observer with knowledge of Nigeria’s demographics and social formation would quickly realise that Obi won where there was a concentration of Igbo and/or Christian voters. To parody Carson, Obi lacked national organisation and ground game but relied heavily on ethnic and religious bigotry.

    The above data show clearly that blatant rigging that characterised past elections in Nigeria was reduced to a negligible proportion. In those elections, it was unthinkable to have a Governor lose election or his state, unless, of course, you had former President Olusegun Obasanjo in power, who routed all Alliance for Democracy Governors out of power in 2003 and installed his party acolytes. The only Governor, who successfully fought and won the battle against Obasanjo then, is no other than Tinubu, the President-elect.

  • Naira crimes and punishment

    Naira crimes and punishment

    Most leaders on the verge of leaving office are preoccupied with matters of legacy; fretting about how history would remember them. They want their time and deeds to be painted in brilliant colours, rendered in laudatory prose. I am sure President Muhammadu Buhari is no different.

    For a man who ran unsuccessfully for president thrice and each time contested his loss to the highest court based on the belief he was rigged out, the desire to transform the way elections are run in Nigeria became something of an obsession. I am sure in the 2023 general elections he saw an opportunity to deliver the freest and fairest polls ever.

    From 2015 when he came into office to now, he superintended the contested 2019 polls and many off-season elections at state level. The reviews of those exercises have been mixed. Despite the best efforts of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), each poll threw up the same old stories about rigging, violence, technical and logistics failings.

    Although the government has been quick to claim credit for improvements in gubernatorial elections in Anambra, Ekiti and Osun, each of these supposedly better-run polls still manifested age-old blights associated with voting in Nigeria.

    In the last two to three years, as the nation anticipated the next general elections, there was a seeming political consensus on the need to improve. This led to the amendment of the Electoral Act which introduced innovations that were supposed to ensure the people’s votes count. The new law introduced limits to what individuals and parties could spend in the quest for office. So much noise was made about stamping out vote-buying.

    So while the National Assembly led the efforts to amend the laws, Buhari clearly had his own trump card stashed away in the deep recesses of his babanriga. It was the naira redesign to neutralise powerful politicians who allegedly had been building up a frightening war chest to prevail in the contest for office.

    As the rollout of the policy ran into hitches, the government tried its best to force the bitter pill down our collective throats – never mind that we were gagging. This was the magical solution for money laundering and terror financing, as well as the best way to demonetise the electoral process. For many, however, the suspicion was that it was political – targeted at truncating the ambitions of one or two individuals.

    Their position was that it was unthinkable that a party in power would unleash a poorly planned and executed policy in an election season. If it planned to win it would do the opposite.

    In the end, vote buying wasn’t eliminated. Rather the buyers became more creative in the absence of their preferred currency. The unintended consequences came in cascades. Turnout hit an abysmal all-time low across the country because of disenchantment on the part of a populace frustrated by inability to access their funds. No one can estimate how many small scale businesses which are largely cash dependent folded over the past three months. And, horror of horrors, people were reduced to buying cash for a fee.

    If it was just a case of suffering it might have been bearable. But it was more. This calamitous policy killed people. Just a few examples. There was a viral report of a man who deposited his critically ill wife in hospital and dashed to bank to hustle for cash. By the time he returned empty handed, she had bled to death.

    A radio presenter in Ibadan who chose to trek to work because of lack of cash, slumped and died along the way. A tragic collision between a Lagos BRT bus and a train claimed seven lives. The father of one the victims said she hardly ever used the bus, but chose to do so that day because she only had N200 on her.

    The cruel irony of the new naira fiasco is that it was the product of the government of man whose political journey has been driven by an uncommon connection with the talakawa or masses. Their guttural cries of ‘Sai Baba’ was the soundtrack that ushered Buhari into Aso Rock. Sadly, they were the ones mainly brutalised by the failed currency change scheme.

    They were the ones camped from morning to night at bank premises waiting for cash that never came. They were the ones who stripped half naked in bank halls when their frustrations boiled over.

    The naira swap was sold as a scheme that would revolutionise the economy. It hobbled it instead. The government regularly shares statistics of millions it claims to have pulled out of poverty. It would be interesting to know how many have been dumped back where they came from because of the initiative.

    With the intervention of the Supreme Court, the policy is now dead on arrival. We are back to spending old notes that were supposed to disappear with the appearance of the new. After weeks of confusion and prevarication, none of the objectives were achieved. Instead, we are left with wreckage of thousands of small businesses, massive reversal of gains in the area of financial inclusion and huge losses for commercial banks.

    One of the fallouts of Emefiele’s kamikaze policy is the report that banks are witnessing a shrinking in deposits as people scarred by the naira scarcity saga appeared to have taken to hoarding cash. Even the infamous new naira notes which we were assured by the CBN was in abundant supply have virtually vanished. So, what was the point of it all? Was this policy just an end in itself?

    The damage done to the CBN as an institution is unquantifiable. A Central Bank is supposedly independent but this episode has shown that Emefiele was just a poodle who would not act or speak until he had received his marching orders from the Presidential Villa.

    What happened a couple of weeks ago confirmed it. People woke up on a Sunday to read Anambra State Governor, Chukwumah Soludo, telling them of his conversation with the CBN governor who had disclosed that banks had been instructed to receive and pay out the old notes. Many who were desperate for good news took to sharing this on social media. But it was not official. By evening the CBN spokesman issued a statement saying the bank had not issued such instruction.

    As pressure built up with the states set to file contempt charges against Emefiele and Malami on Tuesday, Buhari issued a statement at his Pontious Pilate best, washing his hands off the handling of the matter by Malami and Emefiele. Within minutes of the statement appearing on social media, the CBN rushed out its own statement authorising banks to obey the Supreme Court order. It was clear they were just waiting for clearance from some higher authority.

    This episode is all too revealing of the distance between our leaders and their people. It is especially troubling when this disconnect is between a supposed lover of the downtrodden and the people. People living a hard scrabble existence expected their government to move fast to end their misery. They did nothing of the sort. When at the beginning of the crisis, APC governors went to see him to push for an urgent intervention, he asked for seven days to sort it. He finally took action of sorts ten days after. Unfortunately, those who had no money to eat needed immediate relief.

    Even after the Supreme Court order on March 3, the government was ominously silent, with an air of defiance. There is every reason to believe that but for the threat of contempt charges which were to be entered, nothing would have been done.

    Today, there is a measure of relief, but the pains people experience trying to access cash are by no means over. Let no one be fooled, the CBN only acted in the face of the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) threat to shut down the country. Imagine if that sword wasn’t hanging over Emefiele, would he have cared?

    I have heard different descriptions of how Nigerians were maltreated over the naira crisis, but none comes close to Prof Wole Soyinka’s intervention for exactitude. He accused the CBN Governor of being sadistic and committing crimes against humanity by reducing the populace to an unbelievable level of despondency. Many who went through hell in the last few weeks won’t argue with that assessment.

    But that’s not the problem. In Nigeria, crimes hardly ever attract commensurate punishment. So they keep being repeated. Many public officials who have done things for which they would have been executed in places like China are living large and flaunting it in our faces.

    After the disastrous collapse of his signature policy that led to deaths, Emefiele without shame clings to office. If he had any dignity he would have stepped down. Buhari isn’t likely to oust him given that he was clearly taken by the redesign policy. But since his appointee won’t go willingly, the next president can reap immediate goodwill by showing him the door early. There are many ways to skin the rat called tenure.

    As for the incumbent president, it is rather sad that for his all accomplishments in infrastructure and other things, many would only have bitter memories of how the promise of something new became a multifaceted nightmare for all.