Tag: economic

  • ‘Ours is economic housing, not social’

    ‘Ours is economic housing, not social’

     Lagos State Government, faced with a deficit of 2.55 million housing units, is introducing a Rent-to-Own scheme to bridge the gap. In this interview with MUYIWA LUCAS, the Commissioner for Housing, Prince Gbolahan Lawal, speaks on the administration’s almost one year in office, the efforts and plans to tackle the deficit. 

    Almost one year in office, what would you say you have brought to the table in terms of housing for Lagosians?

    Government is a continuum. The first governor of the state, Brigadier-Genral Mobolaji Johnson, who started with policies, such as the tenancy laws, also built houses under various home ownership schemes. Alhaji Lateef Jakande’s administration set out to build 200,000 housing units. But, after four years, he was able to do his bit.

    Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu came in 1999 and did his own bit. So, in the beginning of democracy in 1999, Tinubu came up with various policies; he noted that the government alone could not bridge the housing deficit in the state. He introduced the middle and low income earners scheme and also for higher end earners. Babatunde Raji Fashola came up with the LagosHOMS – a policy whereby first-time home buyers will have their own homes; it is the first mortgage scheme to be introduced by any government. Now, Mr. Akinwunmi Ambode’s administration has come up with the Rent-To-Own (RTO) and the Master Craftsmen policies. This is because we realised that the productivity of our people has to be enhanced. At the same time, we are looking at various homes; we are working with the private sector so that we can have a robust housing policy.

    The Rent-To-Own scheme is a novel idea. What does it entail?

    When this administration came on board, we were bombarded with a barrage of complaints by people, saying they could not afford the government’s housing scheme. So, we conducted a study; and from the report we gathered that there is a need to come up with a more- inclusive housing policy like the RTO. So, for a consenting home owner, you will deposit five percent of the cost, and the interest rate is six per cent, with 10 years’repayment period, after which the house becomes fully yours.The conditions that qualify a person for the scheme is that you must be a Lagos resident; be tax compliant; must have the ability to pay, that is be in the informal sector or in paid employment. If you have a source of income then you have the opportunity of owning a home in Lagos State. It is also part of the financial inclusion of the government. Its is a win-win situation.

    What happens to a person that loses his job, say six years after keying into the scheme?

    Yes, that is very germane. Security of job is very important. What we plan to do in this situation is to hedge the percent of job loss. The risk sharing part of the RTO is very important. As the government, mortgagor and mortgagee, we all have to bear risk. That is why insurance companies have to come in and guarantee payment for say six months in the event of a job loss. We believe that if we can hedge our risks, then it will be better. The government must be able to position itself to support of subsidise if there is any default in anyway like for three months. Housing is not a pair of shoes that you just go to the market to procure; it has to be well planned for the long term. There must be opportunities for people to have access to mortgage. The entire value chain is being looked into and its going to be very robust.

    Are you reviewing the conditions for getting LagosHOMS for the RTO scheme?

    The only issue there is tax compliant. The other is, we have considered our people in the diaspora. And for these category of people, we have opportunity for them to buy outrightly. It’s not possible for someone in the diaspora to do RTO. We have opened it up for them. We are in 32 sites, and by the end of this year, 2, 663 housing units will be ready for off take.

    You plan to create 50 housing units in each local government area. How do you intend to achieve this?

    That is the new policy of this government. We believe we must collaborate with the local governments as it is being done in other countries. The state government cannot boast of owning all the land; the space for housing development is going to be a major challenge.

    We cannot say we want to have 200 housing units in a place like the Lagos Island, for instance. Wse must find a way around it. With 50 units in LGs and our one – in 16 model that is coming, it means we just need like three blocks to development and won’t need so much land. Because of the problem of productivity of workforce, we want people to live near where they work; while we are working on other social infrastructure. With that, we will be able to have growth.

    What will be the segmentation of this houses, vis-à-vis pricing and location?

    There is a need for us to have new settlement, new towns and also economic activities across. If you want to reduce rural-urban migration, you must be able to stimulate economic activities in such rural areas and their environs. For instance, look at Epe; it is close to Lekki where we have the free trade zone, so people can conveniently live in Epe and live in Lekki, which is just about 10 minutes’ drive.

    Land is static, yet everybody wants to have a plot of land. Is it possible to have four people share a plot of land due to the shrinking land size in Lagos?

    The self-built models is everywhere now and it is a challenge. Lagos is just 3,750 square kilometres. Now we know we have to go vertical construction way in other to accommodate more houses and people. In our estates, we encourage four floors and as physical infrastructural facilities improves, we can move up to six floors. Our physical planning regime will change. When that time comes, the Physical Planning ministry will adjust the policy of government where it says you cannot go above four floors in certain areas. Rapid population is a major concern- the growth rate is 2.8 percent; but is housing growth rate commensurate with population growth rate? The answer is NO; so we have to find a way of making the hinterland liveable, making economic activities expand to those places so that it will help in reducing rural urban migration.

    It is believed that there is a 17 million housing deficit in the country. Lagos accounts for 2.55 million of this figure. What is your target?

    The World Bank told us there is over 16 million deficit in Nigeria. The last time we checked, 600, 000 people come into Lagos yearly. It is for the government to say can we do the 2.5 million houses in four years? Yes, but it is a challenge. Where is the space? Is it the same traditional way of construction? Are we going to go into technology whereby we will be manufacturing homes? Our job is to build affordable homes so we have to also look at the cost. As the government, I cannot come out and say my one bedroom unit of a house is N10 million. We have to look at the cost of a unit. But if you are looking at the high end homes, then no problem because if that is what you choose you should be ready to pay for the extras. But for the homes government wants to build which is to make it practical, we will have to continue to subsidise it – 25 per cent subsidy is already in those our LagosHOMS – being the cost of infrastructure and land already deducted. Our prices are competitive. But on the 2.5 million houses in five years, the idea is this: the deficit we have now is 1.6 million; but for us to close the gap to forestall more deficit, we must be able to say lets put the deficit at 2.5 million. But with the way we build, only the government funding with tax payers money, you and I know that it will be difficult because there are too many pressing needs for the state. Technology and private sector must come in to make this possible. We need primary and secondary mortgage banks to partner with us so that we can look and the mortgage and construction finance aspect of building.

    How do you regulate prices if private investors build for the people to buy?

    Well we have our own quantity surveyors and other experts. If government provides land, our experts are able to determine what the cost of building will be. So we can fix a price for the sale, and if a private developer cannot sell at that price then we are not in business. We already have primary mortgage banks that will take care of people in the formal sector. The primary mortgage banks will have to go for refinancing. We are already working with the Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Company (NMRC); we are looking at the MoU and others before we finalise.

    In all of these, how does this key into social housing? What is the policy thrust of your administration on social housing?

    In those climes where social housing are being implemented, like the USA, UK and other European countries, they have developed a template. Their financial institutions are robust. Once you are working, the mortgage banks there would fund your initial deposit of 10 per cent while another one will fund the remaining 90 per cent. But here, we are not there yet. So government must come up with a policy that would be very fool proof whereby the entire value chain of housing will be taken care of. We call ours “economic housing”, not social and it is just a matter of semantics. The social housing scheme in Europe started in 1948 after the second world war. In England, about 426, 000 units social houses were built using the various housing associations and government; but as at 2013, it has dropped to less than 30, 000.  This is because the cost of financing is huge and also the global financial crises. New York housing city authority that we try to benchmark our housing development policy with used to call it welfare housing. It is called Section 8 which provides that government pays or subsidise considerably vulnerable people in the society- like the war veterans, elderly people and those that have proof that they cannot afford to pay rent. This is less than 20, 000 in some parts in New York. So because of the global economic crises, it may not really encourage social housing. As a government we have to come up with sustainable policies.

  • ‘Economic slump will not mar book fair’

    Despite the present economic hardship, the Nigerian Book Fair Trust (NBFT) promises to make the 2016 Nigerian International Book Fair (NIBF) holding May 9-14 at the University of Lagos (UNILAG) a memorable one.

    At a briefing to announce the fair held at Excellence Hotel, Ogba, Lagos, Mr Rilwanu Abdulsalami, chairman of the Trust, the umbrella body of all stakeholders in the book industry (authors, publishers, printers, booksellers, librarian groups etc), said organising the fair this year has been particularly challenging.

    “The challenges we face this year in putting the book fair together are awful.  Some are poor registration, bad economy, government policies and fuel crisis,” he said.

    Though scarcity of foreign exchange has made it difficult for regular foreign exhibitors to participate, Abdulsalami, who was represented by the vice chairman, Mr Babs Fashanu, said the Trust has introduced innovations to attract participants, including registration discounts.

    He promised that the fair would feature better exhibition stands, cyber café, transport facilities, and affordable hotel accommodation.

    He also said the week-long fair, which has as theme: “Book – The Untapped Entertainment Treasure in Africa”, will feature a conference, workshops for publishers, teachers, printers, authors, in addition to the sale of original books and other learning resources at discounted prices.  He also said participants would get opportunities for business and networking with major stakeholders in the book sector as well as government officials expected to attend the international conference scheduled to hold on May 10, the second day of the fair.

    Keynote address for the conference is to be delivered by Prof Hope Eghagha, former Delta State Commissioner for Higher Education, and professor of English at UNILAG.  Education Minister, Mallam Adamu Adamu is the special guest of honour at the conference to be chaired by the Chairman, Senate Committee on Basic and Secondary Education, Senator, Aliyu Wamakko.

    Also expected are: Lagos State Governor, Mr Akinwunmi Ambode (as Host), Executive Secretary, Universal Basic Education Commission, Dr. Dikko Suleiman, and the Chairman, National Council for Women Societies, Mrs Nkechi Mba.

    Members of the governing board of NBFT hope that the presence of these highly-placed public servants at the fair would help address issues in the book industry such as piracy, high cost of publishing books locally, poor reading culture, among others.

  • ‘Economic and moral misfortunes, bane of academic’

    THE worsening economic and moral fortunes in the country has been described as the bane of academic integrity in the universities.

    A don, Prof Oka Obono of Department of of Scoiology, University of Ibadan (UI), stated this while delivering a paper: “The state of academic integrity in Nigeria today”, at the 66th Interdisciplinary research discourse of the Postgraduate School,  U.I.

     Obono said: “Academic integrity has been declining with Nigeria’s worsening economic and moral fortunes. As such, high integrity and technical effectiveness profile has become an issue of growing national, industrial, global and academic importance. At the moment, few universities have established systematic processes for managing the decay and reversing the decline.

    “In the face of intensified polarisation of church and state, academia – the median point on the continuum – will remain vulnerable to the decline in integrity observed in secular society. Measures therefore need to be taken to ensure the knowledge being produced and transmitted is trustworthy.”

  • Nigeria’s economic challenge is surmountable — Adeosun

    Nigeria’s economic challenge is surmountable — Adeosun

    The Minister of Finance, Mrs Kemi Adeosun, says Nigeria will overcome its economic challenges without taking loan facility from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    In a statement issued in Abuja on Saturday, Adeosun made the observation at the ongoing Spring Meetings of the IMF-World Bank in Washington DC in response to why the government has refused to apply for IMF loans.

    The statement quoted the minister as saying that Nigeria was adapting to its new realities by implementing fiscal policies to steer the country back on track for stable growth with a diversified economy.

    Signed by the Special Adviser to the Minister on Media, Mr Festus Akanbi, the statement said the minister expressed optimism that sound fiscal policies and investments would boost Nigeria’s economy by 2017.

    Adeosun insisted that what the country was passing through was surmountable because government was already applying a “cocktail of measures to address the problem.

    “Nigeria is not sick. The real vulnerability in the Nigerian economy is over-dependence on a single source of revenue; oil.

    “We have resolved to build resilience into the country’s economy to hedge against future oil shocks. This is because dependence on oil brings about vulnerability and laziness.

    “So, we are doing a combination of things to diversify our economy, with revenue mobilisation to enable sufficient investment in developing the non-oil sectors.

    “We have great opportunities to reset the Nigerian economy and ensure that as we go forward, growth will be in a sustainable manner so that we won’t be vulnerable to oil price fluctuations.’’

    Adeosun said with a truly diversified economy the government would have enabled opportunities for wealth creation that would have flow down to every Nigerian.

    “The compelling business case in Nigeria is that the fundamentals remain very strong, a teaming, young growing population, rich in resources and with a government determined to finally get it right.

    “The great thing is that long term investors recognise this and understand the difference between short term and long term issues and the case for Nigeria persuades one to plan for the longer term opportunities,’’ the statement quoted her as saying.(NAN).

  • ASCON plots survival amid economic hardship

    Participants at the retreat of the Top Management Committee (TOMAC) of the Administrative Staff College of Nigeria (ASCON), Topo, Badagry in Lagos hoped that the gathering would afford the institution the opportunity to restrategise amid the economic hardship, as well as extend its human development capacity mandate to other African countries and beyond.

    The four-day exercise, which began on Tuesday, last week at the college premises, afforded the Director-General Mr Ajibade Peters the opportunity to present his stewardship in the last eight years to participants, having enjoyed two consecutive terms which expire in June.

    Participants also expressed concern about the fate of the 44-year-old institution in the face of the zero allocation that befell it last year, and its shoddy preparation to defend this year’s allocation before the national budget was passed.

    Nonetheless,stakeholders at TOMAC are optimistic that the college would wriggle out of stormy waters going by participants’ rich contributions , which they believe, would result into communiqué that are ‘practical, complete and also implementable,’ said Olatunji Daoudu, a participant and Executive Secretary, West African Management Development Institution Network.

    Earlier, Peters noted that unlike the previous editions, TOMAC, this year, came a bit late owing to stakeholders’ desire to have a holistic approach into the activities of the institution under his regime.

    Said Peters: “This retreat is to look back to see what we have been doing in the previous years and to also plan  for the coming year. The retreat is a bit late this year because we have been looking at what we have done in the last eight years. I’ve been DG of this college since June 2008 and I shall be bowing out by June 2016. Though I’ve been rendering annual report, but this time we want to collectively have a holist view of our activities over the last eight years collectively, and use it as a springboard for leaping ahead and preparing the way for my successor.

    “I have spent my entire career here. I joined ASCON in 1981 and I cannot just say bye-bye or forget the job that trained me as a trainer, researcher and consultant.”

    “When the Head of Service of the Federation visited us few weeks ago, I reminded her that this year’s budget has been passed and we went to defend the budget we did not quite prepare for. Unfortunately, the 60 bedroom accommodation was also not there. I also told her the mandate of this college transcends Nigeria to other African countries and there is a need to pay more attention to that,” Peters added.

    Daoudu said deliberations would also veer toward using the college to strengthen government institutions.

    “We need a strong institutions and ASCON needs to help the government rebuild those weak instructions,’’ he said.

    Another participant Dr Modupe Anjorin, is also upbeat.”Yearly, we do this retreat and we make sure we carry out the communiqué we arrive at which has aided our progress. This year, we hope the communiqué we shall develop will move the college to greater height and ASCON shall survive despite harsh economic condition and eventually adapt to the change mantra of the current administration,” he added.

     

  • ‘Diversification ‘ll end economic woes

    former Commissioner for Finance, Economic Planning and Budget in Lagos State, Dr Ismail Adebayo Adewusi, yesterday said the  solution to Nigeria’s current economic challenges lies in the diversification of the economy from oil to agriculture.

    Adewusi who spoke in Ibadan, Oyo State, said the mentality of exporting crude oil at the detriment of other economic ventures which had reduced the nation to a monolithic economy, was debilitating and needed immediate arrest.

    The politician who felicitated with his former boss, Asiwaju Ahmed Bola Tinubu on his 64th birthday and his immense contribution to the political development in the country, urged President Muhammadu Buhari to break from dependence policy of the past administrations in order to fix the wobbling economy once and for all.

    He said: “The only way we can improve this economy is to quickly do what I call the diversification thing. Let us quickly address the issue of diversifying our economy away from where we are.”

    “We have consistently canvassed for a diversification of the economy away from oil, because as long as this external shock from the global oil price continues, we will be having crisis managing our economy, especially in fulfilling government obligations. It is about time that we tackled this issue of diversification of the economy in a very serious manner.

    The immediate former chairman of Wemabod Estates Plc, a subsidiary of Odu’a Investment Company, also said that: “Commodity prices are declining internationally and oil, being the driver of the revenue of the Nigerian government has suffered very serious decline, and this has affected the capacity of government to provide resources to turn the economy around.

    “You would see that even in the 2016 budget, which is a budget of about N6trillion, it has a deficit component of about N2trillion, which is very substantial.

    “But the main issue facing Nigeria today is the problem of over reliance on this mono- cultural, mono-product economy, which requires that we diversify to agriculture.

    “Agriculture requires single digit financing. In terms of interest rates, agriculture with subsidy on inputs, fertilizers, seedlings, will go a long way. Even financing in terms of real channeling of financing intervention funds in agriculture will boost production, while providing opportunities for our youths to start something, rather than looking for jobs that are not there. These are the things we need to immediately embark on.

    “And the good thing about agriculture is that it does not take so long a time. If you plant maize today, in 90 days time, you begin to harvest. The rainy/planting season is here already, so, we need to immediately drive this process. It is not about mouthing it”, Adewusi stressed.ý

     

     

  • Kaduna economic summit: FCT, Port Harcourt golfers, others storm tournament

    As preparations for the Kaduna State Economic and Invest Summit (KadInvest) continued over the weekend, golfers from across the country on Saturday participated in the Kadinvest 2016 Golf tournament held in Kaduna.

    Wife of Kaduna State Governor, Hajiya Hadiza El-Rufai, who performed the tee-off as golfers from the host club, Kaduna Golf Club, were joined by players from golf cubs in Abuja, Kano, Minna, Jaji and Port-Harcourt.

    Hajiya El-Rufai was supported at the opening of the tournament  by senior government officials, including Dr. Manzo Maigari, Commissioner of Agriculture and Forestry, Hadiza Bala-Usman, Chief of Staff to the Governor and Chris Umar, Deputy Chief of Staff in the office of the Deputy Governor.

    Welcoming the golfers, Executive Secretary of the Kaduna Investment Promotion Agency (KADIPA), Gambo Hamza, explained the thrust of KadInvest as a platform to stimulate private sector investments in the many opportunities that Kaduna State offers.

    Hamza said: “Securing and fast-tracking investments is the best way to create sustainable jobs, grow the economy and improve livelihoods for our people,” he explained.

    Golfers like Senator Ben Birabi, His Royal Highness Alfred Diete-Spiff and General Zamani Lekwot participated in the tournament which was sponsored by Pinnacle Investments.

    Kaduna State Governor, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, who made a surprise appearance at the gala dinner for the tournament where trophies were presented told the golfers that he had just returned to Kaduna from Paris where he met the management of Peugeot Citroen to further discuss the bid for Peugeot Automobile Nigeria.

    According to the governor: “Jobs and prosperity are essential to restoring our Kaduna as a cosmopolitan city that welcomes all and provides opportunities to start and grow successful businesses.”

    El-Rufai commended the sponsors and participants in the golf tournament for providing such a wonderful platform for unveiling KadInvest 2016.

  • Kigali Forum to accelerate Africa’s economic transformation

    Recent events in the global economy have made it urgent  for Africa to transform its economy.

    This was the message from the President of the African Centre for Economic Transformation (ACET), K. Y. Amoako, who was addressing delegates at the inaugural African Transformation Forum (ATF) in Kigali.

    Amoako said: “The sharp fall in commodity prices or the slowing of the Chinese economy has once again shown how vulnerable most African economies remain to external factors outside their control.”

    He was joined by Rwanda’s Minister for Finance and Economic Development, Claver Gatete and the Executive Secretary of the Economic Commission for Africa (ECA), Carlos Lopes in the opening session.

    Amoako said since ACET started its work in 2008, “a remarkable consensus has formed, both within and outside Africa, that economic transformation holds the key to sustained growth and prosperity”.

    He said this had been endorsed by the African Union, the African Development Bank, the ECA and the African Heads of State and Governments at their summit last year.

    “Our work will not end here…We are not here to talk… we are here to act. We are here to accelerate economic transformation,” he said.

    Speaking of his country’s advance in economic growth, Amako said Rwanda’s Vision 2020 envisages a country transformed in all aspects of the economy and the society moving towards a middle income country by 2020.

    He added that at 47 per cent, services had overtaken agriculture’s 33 per cent in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. Besides, growth had been inclusive, with a corresponding reduction of poverty.

    “Our belief in and commitment to an African-led, collaborative and cross-stakeholder movement towards transformation is the reason why we have partnered with ACET to co-host this forum’’, he stated.

    ECA Executive Secretary, Lopes, said though Africa had experienced unprecedented growth over the past decade and had been remarkably resilient to the global economic crisis, its economic performance had not created enough jobs.

    “The continent remains home to the world’s highest proportion of poor people. Furthermore, African economic growth has proven vulnerable to volatility in commodity prices, demand and perception fragility,” he added.

    He however, said Africa, as a latecomer, has the privilege to learn from others’ experience.

  • A buoyant Nigerian economic outlook

    A buoyant Nigerian economic outlook

    The downturn of oil prices has created immediate but temporary fiscal and monetary challenges in Nigeria. Dollar oil revenue to the government has shrunk considerably, reflecting over 70 per cent decline in oil prices from the heights they attained in June 2014. Therefore, expansion of the federal fiscal deficit has become necessary in order for the government to continue to meet its obligations and deliver service to the populace. In the states, where the fiscal space is more constricted, paying public sector wages has become more challenging.

    On the monetary side, there has been downward pressure on the foreign reserves. This has limited the wherewithal of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to continue to defend the naira value across the foreign exchange markets. The official market is sheltered from exchange rate volatility. But we have seen the naira reach all-time lows against the dollar in the parallel market, causing public anxiety and threatening the way working class Nigerians love to live.

    While this is on, it is so easy to become downbeat in one’s outlook for the Nigerian market. Extreme opinions have called into question any sense of progress the country has made with economic management, especially since the return of democratic governance in 1999. They see the threats of higher public debt, inflation, unemployment and slower economic growth. But these issues are most likely to be short-term.

    The current sharp decline in oil prices constitutes a speed bump. Yes, it slowed the pace of economic growth to 3.3 per cent last year, from 7 per cent average GDP growth rate of the last ten years. But, some positive developments are already identifiable with this foreign exchange crunch. To summarise the totality of the auspicious developments, Nigeria has entered a phase of economic transition. This transition has been imperative for long. To some extent, signs that it is already afoot are undeniable. But the economic conditions of today ensures that this transition must gather pace. This transition would invariably lead the country to a period of sustained, endogenous high economic growth.

    There are three factors that underpin my buoyant outlook on Nigeria. One involves cumulative improvement in governance. The second is Nigeria’s commitment to macroeconomic stability. And the third is the irrepressible determination of Nigerians to do well for themselves. This third factor ensures the resilience of the citizens and that of the country. It is the critical element that has continued to drive the progress the country has been making.

     

    Cumulative governance improvement

    The Administration of President Muhammadu Buhari will deliver further improvement in public governance and fiscal management in Nigeria. The President will continue to build on the progress that has been made since the country returned to democracy in 1999. It is not the better judgment to focus on the challenges of governance and overlook the evidence of the progress that has been made.

    Nigeria is committed to democratic governance. In 2007, we appeared surprised when the country made the first-ever democratic transition of government. The late Umaru Musa Yar’Adua succeeded President Olusegun Obasanjo as elected president. Then in 2009, without much pomp and pageantry, we marked the first straight ten years of democratic governance in Nigeria. The 2015 presidential election just proved to be another landmark for the country: for the first time in our history, an opposition party candidate won against the incumbent, and the transition of power was smooth.

    Ahead of the election, Moody’s affirmed a stable outlook for Nigeria. In an interview with one of the country’s top economic journals, Financial Nigeria, later in 2015, the head of sovereign analysis for the rating agency, Aurelien Mali, said the track-record of conclusive elections in Nigeria was factored in the positive outlook.

    Institutions of democratic governance are enjoying longevity. It is a rarity for the legislature, whose existence was usually terminated by the incessant military interregna of the 1980s and the 1990s. Even the tenure certainty for the President nowadays is remarkable in view of our history. While each administration since 1999 has grappled with putting in place more transparent and accountable frameworks for public and market governance, the fact that the institutional drivers of the process are intact is a mark of progress on its own.

    To crown it all, Nigerians are clamouring for further progress. We want the pace of progress to increase. We want responsible and responsive governance. We are even more assured than we were 17 years ago that it is the role of the electorate that is pivotal in constituting government. This awareness is healthy for the Nigerian populace and those who constitute government or aspire to political leadership.

     

    Stable macroeconomic environment

    There is a positive relationship between an environment of political stability underpinned by constitutionality and positive market performance. The Nigerian democracy has even prioritised the development of the Nigerian market. One of the ways successive governments have demonstrated this is by pursuing macroeconomic stability. Unprecedented levels of domestic and foreign investments have followed, beginning with the mobile telephone industry in 2001.

    The CBN has pursued single digit inflation and maintained it in the better part of the last five years. Price stability has been predicated on market reforms and financial market stability. When the 2008 – 2009 Global Financial Crisis arrived on our shores, the reinvigoration of the banking system through the recapitalisation and consolidation of the banks three years earlier, helped us to weather the storm. A strong response to the crisis through CBN liquidity intervention, introduction of macroprudential regulation and purchases of impaired assets helped to strengthen the banks. As the country faces the headwind of low oil prices now, Nigerian banks are expected to remain resilient, even if they have to make operational adjustments.

    Even as the exchange rate policy of the CBN continues to generate a healthy debate, the anti-devaluation argument is consistent with maintaining financial and price stability. President Muhammadu Buhari has shown good leadership with his position which indicates that macroeconomic stability is not a political party agenda in Nigeria; it is a country agenda that has been upheld by successive administrations since 1999.

    The institutional architecture for supporting market stability has continued to strengthen, and that is without overlooking the higher standards that are yet to be attained. Public debt management in Nigeria has been modernised. A legal framework through the Fiscal Responsibility Act is in place. It places a 3% limit on fiscal deficit as a ratio of the GDP. Since the last two fiscal years of the last administration, a policy to channel public borrowing to infrastructure projects came into place. This policy is affirmed in the fiscal borrowing plan of the present administration, as seen in the 2016 budget.

    While the borrowing plan in the budget has inflamed passions, it appears that the provision of a N360 billion Sinking Fund to liquidate matured debt has eluded the debate. Nevertheless, Nigeria has a solid reputation of servicing its debt obligation to both domestic and international financiers. The deals by which Nigeria exited the Paris Club and London Club debts in 2005 and 2006, respectively, will remain a point of reference in the country’s debt repayment behaviour. Since those important deals, the  fiscal authorities have never taken eyes off the sustainability gauge of Nigeria’s public debt.

     

    Primed for success

    Nigerians are generally determined to be successful. If it takes education, we would go for it. If it takes industry, we would become entrepreneurs and start businesses even under the most challenging environment. We are irrepressible in adverse conditions. As the current foreign exchange crisis begins to affect business as usual, we will reinvent ourselves.

    Nobody, including the average Nigerian, wants a hard life in place of easy life. Countries that have developed have had to do so in response to challenges that posed a threat to their easy life. It might be geopolitical threat, demographic challenges or economic stress. In Nigeria today, the formidable threat is the intertwined high dependency on oil for foreign exchange, import dependency and inadequate domestic production.

    What we have to do is diversify the economy, promote non-oil exports and boost domestic production. In the meantime, we need to use policy instruments to curb unnecessary imports. The policy leaning is there, and Nigerians will respond; not only for survival but to achieve and maintain the good life. This is what defines us as a people of achievement. This is why the outlook of the country is especially buoyant, medium- to long-term.

  • Support grows for The Nation’s economic forum

    Support grows for The Nation’s economic forum

    Four major international and national organisations have pledged to participate in the The Nation’s economic forum fixed for April 7th and 8th, 2016, in Lagos.

    They include the host, Lagos State Government and the United States  –  Africa Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture, Securities and Exchange Commission and The National Mathematical Centre, Abuja .

    The United States – Africa Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture through its President, Mrs. Alexandra Hembarsky and the Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Adekunle K. Alliu, was one of the early organizations that pledged to be part of the event and assist to make the event achieve its goals on Nigeria’s economy particularly in the area of agriculture.

    A message from the international organisation reads: “Our interest will be international development cooperation that will develop our agricultural sector into that of advanced economies, like USA and Europe, where billions of Euros and dollars are generated as revenue yearly”.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission and the National Mathematical Centre, Abuja, and many researchers from institutions also are pledging to be part of the event which is slated for April 7th and 8th at Lagos Airport Hotel Limited, Ikeja, Lagos.

    The Bank Of Industry, which is a major partner of the Forum, is particularly interested in using the event as a platform to reach out more on its SMEs and micro-SMEs programmes to boost our economy.

    According to Mr. Sam Omatseye, Chairman, Editorial Board of The Nation, a distinct feature of the programme is general exhibitions by state governments, federal ministries and the general public which will showcase products based on comparative advantages and competencies in order to boost inter and intra-regional trades. The exhibitions will go on simultaneously with the mind-lubricating talkshops on the economy.

    The programme, which is to be declared open with a keynote address by Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, governors and Chief Executives of Industries are also to grace the event.

    Further enquiries have been advised to be channeled to: Tel: 08169289167, 080255997994, 08060205914, E-mail: ceedeeinter@gmail.com